NZD/USD - Strong NFP NumbersGiven the robust NFP figures from last week, alongside the deteriorating job market in New Zealand and evident bearish technical analysis, it appears advantageous to consider a short position on NZD/USD.
The price remains below the 200-day moving average, indicating a downtrend, and has recently tested resistance at 0.60500. I am targeting a decline to 0.58800 as my take-profit level.
Nzdusdshort
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5890.
We look to Sell at 0.5960 (stop at 0.5984)
Our profit targets will be 0.5900 and 0.5890
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5965 / 0.5990
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5890
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NZD/USD H4 | Potential bearish breakoutNZD/USD is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 0.59833 which aligns with the 38.20% Fibonacci level.
Stop loss is at 0.60013 which is a level that aligns with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit 1 is at 0.59543 which is close to the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 1.61
Take profit 2 is at 0.59337 which aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.76
Total risk 1.24%
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
NZDUSDIn the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD is tracking a descending channel, prompting a short-term selling opportunity as we target the support trendline of the channel. Upon reaching this level, a bullish rejection suggests a potential long-term buying opportunity, leveraging the support trendline as a strategic entry point. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before initiating any positions.
NZDUSD - Sell opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block + trendline.
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NZDUSD ShortMARKET PHASE
OANDA:NZDUSD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has already started it's initial move down, the velocity of the downward move caused a gap in price around 0.60874. Price retraced to this level, triggering our entry and has continued downwards.
TRADE
I will be entering short on OANDA:NZDUSD with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 0.60874
Stop Loss: 0.61084
Take Profit: 0.60454
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
nzdusd analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD - Still bullish ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are still in a bullish market structure, so I am looking for a long. I expect bullish price action from here as price can reject from bullish order block + trendline. I see price to fill the imbalances higher.
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NZDUSD: On an Upward Trend, but with Some ConsiderationsGreetings, fellow traders! The past week proved to be just as volatile as the preceding one. After two weeks of trading, the bulls and bears seem to have reached a stalemate. The news from RBNZ initially caused the exchange rate to drop, but it subsequently rebounded by more than 2000 pips throughout last week.
Following the breakthrough of the downward trend's high on February 20th, there is technically an upward trend in place. However, it's important to note that the growth spurts are accompanied by deep corrections, indicating that the upward momentum may not be as strong.
While the growth seen this week is undeniably impulsive, there are a few key points to consider. Firstly, the high did not surpass the previous peak of the trend. Secondly, an unusual configuration of two consecutive market imbalances has emerged on the daily chart.
A similar scenario unfolded in early November last year and was resolved by closing these imbalances prior to the continuation of the upward trend that persisted until the end of the year:
The overbought signals generated by our trading strategy indicators are also contributing to the downward pressure.
We are currently exploring the possibility of an even deeper retracement into the 0.6050-0.6200 range. Our anticipated point of a decline's completion is around the 0.6110 level, which corresponds to the closure of the lower imbalance.
At present, we have entered two sell positions at 0.61539 and 0.61888. We are preparing to close these positions, with a tentative target date around Tuesday, March 12th.
New Zealand Dollar Bearish Sentiment and Trade Plan
Based on the latest COT report, non-commercial traders (speculators) have significantly increased theirlong positions in the NZD. This suggests that they are becoming less bearish on the New Zealand dollar and may be anticipating a potential rally.
Open Positions Retail Sentiment data also shows a decrease in short positions and an increase in long positions among retail traders. This is a contrarian indicator, as retail traders are often wrong at market turning points. Therefore, the increase in long positions among retail traders may suggest that the NZDUSD downside has further to go.
The NZDUSD pair is currently trading below a triggered BUY level at 0.6157. An upside move and testing this level could make a fine signal to entry point for a short position.
How much longer can the kiwi sell off? How much longer can the kiwi sell off?
On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opted to maintain interest rates, coupling this decision with dovish remarks and forward guidance.
Danske Bank economists anticipate a continued decline in NZD/USD in the upcoming year, setting a 12-month target at 0.5700. They think that the RBNZ contrasts with other G10 central banks which are apparently eyeing the start of their respective rate cutting cycles (which might be news to you, considering most expectations for rate cuts from other central banks are repeatedly being pushed back).
Nevertheless, this sentiment led to a significant decline in the New Zealand dollar over the past two days, although it seems to be trying to find support.
The 100 and 200-day simple moving averages emerge as notable hurdles for bearish sentiment on the daily chart.
On the 4-hour chart, the next support level following these moving averages is at 0.6050, a critical level that previously served as resistance in October last year.
Sustaining levels above 0.6070 could help sustain a positive outlook with the next target possibly around 0.6140, supported by signals from the RSI.
NZDUSD: the odds of a turnaround are on the rise.Hello, Successful Traders! $-) Our analysis of the situation shows that the market is locally overbought and the current upward momentum is losing steam. It seems that any upcoming downward movement will be relatively moderate in size, while a fresh surge of growth will surpass the peak reached on January 31st.
Furthermore, time also points to the possibility of a reversal. The duration of the downward trend matches closely with the average.
We've decided to enter a sell trade at 0.61372 for the entire trade limit. Our plan is to close the position within the next couple of days.
Sell NZDUSD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a downward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging upper and lower trendlines. This pattern can indicate a period of consolidation before a breakout in either direction.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6187, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels 0.6150 and 0.6130.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 0.6215. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike.
Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting.
The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%.
ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo.
KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,”
A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change.
Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news.
The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).