How much longer can the kiwi sell off? How much longer can the kiwi sell off?
On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opted to maintain interest rates, coupling this decision with dovish remarks and forward guidance.
Danske Bank economists anticipate a continued decline in NZD/USD in the upcoming year, setting a 12-month target at 0.5700. They think that the RBNZ contrasts with other G10 central banks which are apparently eyeing the start of their respective rate cutting cycles (which might be news to you, considering most expectations for rate cuts from other central banks are repeatedly being pushed back).
Nevertheless, this sentiment led to a significant decline in the New Zealand dollar over the past two days, although it seems to be trying to find support.
The 100 and 200-day simple moving averages emerge as notable hurdles for bearish sentiment on the daily chart.
On the 4-hour chart, the next support level following these moving averages is at 0.6050, a critical level that previously served as resistance in October last year.
Sustaining levels above 0.6070 could help sustain a positive outlook with the next target possibly around 0.6140, supported by signals from the RSI.
Nzdusdshort
NZDUSD: the odds of a turnaround are on the rise.Hello, Successful Traders! $-) Our analysis of the situation shows that the market is locally overbought and the current upward momentum is losing steam. It seems that any upcoming downward movement will be relatively moderate in size, while a fresh surge of growth will surpass the peak reached on January 31st.
Furthermore, time also points to the possibility of a reversal. The duration of the downward trend matches closely with the average.
We've decided to enter a sell trade at 0.61372 for the entire trade limit. Our plan is to close the position within the next couple of days.
Sell NZDUSD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a downward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging upper and lower trendlines. This pattern can indicate a period of consolidation before a breakout in either direction.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6187, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels 0.6150 and 0.6130.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 0.6215. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike.
Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting.
The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%.
ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo.
KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,”
A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change.
Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news.
The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).
NZDUSD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD Long Term Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Yemi_Fx1 I Short Setup and Opportunity on NZDUSD NZDUSD is approaching a resistance zone around 0.61588 , taking a look back we see how the continuation pattern( bear flag) and in conjunction with the economic news release on NZDUSD last week played out in favor of the bears.
Recently the pair has an overall structure to continue in its downward trend. So we may see a test of the resistant zone.
If the resistance zone holds and price rejects (third touch), consider a sell-off towards support at 0.60590.
While a sell-off towards support at 0.60590 seems likely, I will be conservative on my entry on this, I'll wait for confirmation on the 15-minute chart via a bearish continuation pattern .
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nzdusd sell. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD/USD will go under 0.600 soonHello Traders
It seems NZD/USD is going to make a diagonal correction.
it is possible, since we are bullish on USD.
so we are expecting the price will reach 0.60 and 0.595 levels eventually.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
NZDUSD remains volatile in a trading range.NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6140.
We expect a reversal in this move.
A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6050.
We look to Sell at 0.6140 (stop at 0.6166)
Our profit targets will be 0.6075 and 0.6060
Resistance: 0.6120 / 0.6140 / 0.6150
Support: 0.6075 / 0.6065 / 0.6050
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Yemi_Fx1 | Bearish continuation on NZDUSD As predicted on my last Forcast, Price broke out of the channel impulsively this is a momentum move from the bears.
I'm waiting for a 15MIN continuation pattern before the next impulsive leg.
So we may see price to retest the 15MIN resistance level close to 0.61110 before continuation in the preceding direction.
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NZDUSD: bears have revealed their plans.Let's take a look at what happened in the NZD/USD market last week. There was some manipulation going on with the prices. We were actually expecting the market to rise due to some planned strategies by the buyers. However, we had a change of plans when the market rose without breaking the low of 0.60620 from January 23rd. This made us shift our perspective and decide to open short positions.
On January 31st, there was a false upward move with a spike that reached 0.61737. The bears entered their short positions and then the market has collapsed.
Currently, we have short positions with an average price of 0.61223. The situation seems favorable for us to hold onto these positions. We considering the possibility of opening more short positions, especially as the levels around 0.6090-0.6095 look promising.
Our expectation is that the market will continue to decline and could potentially reach the level of 0.6000.
Stay tuned for more updates!
Yemi_Fx1 | Bearish Setup on NZDUSD Hello folks,
OANDA:NZDUSD is one of the pair I have on watchlist this week.
NZDUSD has been trading within an ascending channel since .
Price recently tested the 1HTF supply zone at 0.61584, a potential resistance zone.
From Daily Timeframe:
The pair is currently in a consolidation phase following a downtrend. We're expecting a continuation of trend on this time frame.
However, on 1HTF we may experience a pause in price to provide a continuation pattern giving us an opportunity to join the train or we just wait for the complete break and retest of the structure to then go Short on it.
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NZDUSD - Potential downside for liquidity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and could reject from resistance zone.
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NZDUSD remains mixed and volatile.NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (0.6120).
We expect a reversal in this move.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
A move through 0.6100 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6040.
Our profit targets will be 0.6060 and 0.6045
We look to Sell at 0.6120 (stop at 0.6144)
Resistance: 0.6120 / 0.6135 / 0.6150
Support: 0.6100 / 0.6045 / 0.6040
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.