NzdUsd could rise above 0.65Much like its larger counterpart, the AUD, the NZD found a bottom against the USD in early August.
Since then, the pair has been trending upwards and is currently testing a key resistance level.
A breakout here could lead to further gains, with the 0.65 level as the next potential target.
I'm bullish on the pair as long as the price stays above last week's low.
Nzdusdsignals
NZDUSD Strong sell opportunity.The NZDUSD pair gave us last time (June 26, see chart below) a solid sell signal, even though the Target just fell short of being hit:
The price is giving yet again a sell signal as not only it fulfilled the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and got rejected but also the 1D RSI hit and got rejected exactly on the 70.00 overbought barrier, which is where all tops since late 2022 have been priced.
As a result, we expect the pair to initially hit at least 0.6000 towards the end of this month.
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The NZDUSD price forecast update June 30thThe NZD/USD pair is trading around 0.60914. The price is currently below both the 100-period and 200-period moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
There is a significant support zone around 0.60313 to 0.59926. This zone had previously acted as a support but has been broken and retested, indicating a potential shift to resistance. Immediate resistance is around 0.60824, just above the current price.
The price has recently broken through a significant support level (around 0.60824) and retested it, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Summary: Right Now it indicates a bearish trend with the price trading below key moving averages and having recently broken a critical support level. Traders should look for selling opportunities on rallies to resistance levels, with potential downside targets near the descending support line around 0.59000. Always ensure proper risk management with stop-loss orders above key resistance levels.
What do you think ? Let me know in the comments
SIGNAL:
SELL: 0.60944 - 0.61085
STOP: 0.61168
TAKE PROFIT: 0.60295
TAKE PROFIT: 0.59948
NOTE: Trade at your own risk. Thank you
NZDUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )NZDUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price closer a resistance trendline before falling , indicating the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line a round 0.613, which indicates two cases , the first cases until the price trade below 0.613 reach a support level , the second case the price breaking 0.613 , the price reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : a green lines inside a gold rectangular , an area created above the turning level , the gold price area for the resistance level between 0.619 and 0.622, when it is created the price by open 4h candle above turning level
SUPPORT LEVEL : a red line , an area created below turning level , the gold price for the support level around 0.608 , buying have already increase at this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is under bearish pressure until trade below turning level at 0.613 , it will attempt to reach support level at 0.608 ,then stable below this level reach 0.603 , if the breaking this level the price trying to reach a new resistance level at 0.619 and 0.622
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.619 , 0.622
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.608 , 0.603
NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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NZDUSD Still bullish but be aware of the sell opportunity above.The rebound we expected on NZDUSD came a little later than we expected two months ago (March 22, see chart below) but nonetheless it is being delivered now and the price is now very close to our medium-term target:
Since we observe though a shift on the Lower Highs trend-line of the long-term Channel Down, we decide to push the Target higher to 0.62600, which now represents the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and would be almost a +7.14% rise, similar to the July 14 2023 (Lower) High.
A 1D RSI Double Top would be a perfect sell entry signal like December 27 2023.
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NZDUSD Strong medium-term buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair easily broke above the former Channel Down on our last buy signal (October 27 2023, see chart below) and then went on a slow long-term retrace:
The restructured pattern is close to forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, which would be the first since July 06 2023, a formation that turned out to be a buy signal. As the 1D RSI broke below its former Higher Lows trend-line and went below 35.00, a bullish pattern arises. As you can see such RSI pattern priced the Lows of October 26 2023 and May 31 2023, which where bottom buy opportunities that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous High of the Channel Down.
Assuming the price soon hits its Lower Lows trend-line, a projected 0.786 Fib is around 0.6280 but we are targeting marginally lower at the top of the Channel Down at 0.62350, as until it breaks, it remains the dominant pattern.
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NZDUSD Channel Down still holding. Prime short here.The NZDUSD pair hit the 0.60500 target (see chart below) we set on our most recent call (October 27):
As you can see, the price extended even higher to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 12-month Channel Down where it has so far been rejected. This is technically the most optimal level to sell, as long as the trend-line holds of course. We are taking this opportunity and will target 0.57750 (Support 1). If however the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold level before the target is materialized, we will take profit regardless, as this will be a sign of a potential bottom.
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NzdUsd is extremely bullish above 0.6050
Recently, I highlighted a potential reversal for NZD/USD on a few occasions. This anticipation was based on two primary factors: firstly, the occurrence of a false break, and secondly, the emergence of a notably large bullish engulfing pattern in mid-November.
As predicted, the pair successfully surpassed the 0.60 figure and the horizontal level at 0.6050, achieving a local high of 0.6221.
While the early part of the week is marked by a normal correction, there are indications that this correction may have concluded, paving the way for a potential continuation to the upside towards 0.64 next important level of resistance.
As the title suggests, NZD/USD is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum above the 0.6050 support level.
The bullish sentiment prevails as long as this support is intact on a daily close basis.
In line with this analysis, my strategy for this pair is to capitalize on buying opportunities during market dips.
NZDUSD High probability buy at the bottom of the Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair has gone a long way since the previous successful buy signal we gave (see chart below):
The Channel Down shifted higher but the price is once again found on its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) giving us a new high probability buy opportunity. On top of that, it appears to be repeating the May 31 bottom as the RSI is on an identical sequence. As a result we expect a rise towards the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level at 0.60500, which would be as close as possible to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to test it as a Resistance.
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nzdusd buy. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD Buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 8-month Channel Down since February and right now is staging the new rebound on its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). The 1D RSI has been rebounding from the oversold zone on Higher Lows, while the candle action has been on Lower Lows, displaying a strong Bullish Divergence.
As a result, we have the ideal signals to go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level on a +4.35% rise at 0.61000.
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NZDUSD: Trend-Following Setup 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is bearish.
The price has just retraced to a major falling trend line.
A bearish movement will most likely initiate from that.
Our confirmation is a descending triangle formation on 1H time frame
and its neckline breakout.
I expect a bearish movement to 0.593 support.
NZDUSD Strong buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel DownIt's been more than 2 months since we last gave an NZDUSD signal (see chart below), a buy call that hit straight into our 0.62750 target:
The price broke yesterday below Support 1 (0.59845) and today almost touched the bottom of the latest Channel Down pattern. With the 1D RSI almost on the 30.00 oversold barrier, this is a strong buy opportunity for a short-term rebound to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel retracement level at 0.62000.
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NZDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDUSD Buy signal within the Channel Down confirmedThe NZDUSD pair hit our upside target (see chart below) on our last analysis more than a month ago and then started to pull-back:
That pull-back was the bearish leg of the long-term Channel Down, which has so far been the dominant pattern of 2023. Today is the 2nd straight green 1D candle since the price came close to the bottom of the Channel Down so the R/R is favorable in buying for the medium-term and targeting the top of the pattern at 0.62750.
The 1D RSI almost getting oversold is an additional buy signal, though last time it required a Double Bottom (March 09), which was a slightly Lower Low before the bottom was priced. But still the R/R is low on that trade. A closing below the Channel Down however would invalidate this trade and instead we will sell aggressively targeting Support 2 at 0.57415.
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NZDUSD Trade long-term based on this Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern, having just broken below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The short-term Resistance is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The key here is the 0.60850 Support. As long as it holds, expect a rise back to the top of the Channel Down, with our target being at 0.63000. A closing below the 0.60850 Support, will be a sell signal for us, targeting the bottom of the Channel Down at 0.59000.
On the longer term, if the price breaks above Resistance 1, we'll target Resistance 2 at 0.65435. Only a break above the top of the 2 year Bearish Megaphone can justify more buying.
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NZDUSD Channel Up trading with 1D MA200 in focus.It has been almost two months since we looked into the NZDUSD pair. Last time the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) helped us accurately take a bottom buy and then sell near the expected top:
Right now we are booking the profit on the sell as a new short-term pattern has emerged. The price is approaching the bottom of the Channel Up since the December 13 High. The 1D MA200 is right below it, ready to support. Our plan is to buy near the bottom and target the 0.65340 High. If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, then we will sell and target primarily the 0.5 Fibonacci (0.60300) and under conditions which we will analyze when the time comes, the 0.618 Fib (0.59100). We are only willing to buy for the long-term if the price breaks above the Megaphone's Lower Highs.
Whatever the pattern turns out to be, the most efficient medium-term buy will be when the 1D RSI dips below the oversold barrier (24.00).
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NZDUSD Still bullish testing the 1D MA200.The NZDUSD pair has been on a tremendous rise since the October 13 Low. That was a Lower Lows on the long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern that goes back to the October 21 2021 High.
At the moment, the price hit (and so far holding) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) that hasn't been a Support since April and the last Lower High of the Megaphone. The 1D RSI has pulled-back to neutral levels but this is exactly what took place on March 14, when the price held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and rebounded to price the last High on the red Zone.
Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 is holding, we expect a High around 0.6600. A break below the 1D MA500 is bearish towards the 0.5600 - 0.55165 Support Zone.
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NZDUSD Sell Trade.NZDUSD is trading at resistance level and also it has continuously trading in Ascending Channel pattern from long time .According to chart pattern analysis , we might see downside in NZDUSD for short time.
Trade with Stop loss and own capital risk management
views/opinions are welcome to discuss.
NZDUSD Broke above the 1D MA50. Trading plan ahead.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern since the April 05 High. Yesterday it broke (but didn't close) above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 18. Today it is (so far) trading entirely above the 1D MA50. If it closes above it as well, we expect it to extend the rise to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) where it formed its last Lower High (August 12) at the top of the Bearish Megaphone.
If rejected there or close below the 1D MA50, we will sell and target 0.55700 (top of the October Support Zone). A break above the top of the Bearish Megaphone, would constitute a bullish shift long-term with a first target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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NZDUSD Close to the long-term Support. Buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair had previously completed its bullish leg above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before starting the new correction on the August 12 High, as we illustrated on our previous analysis:
Right now the price is again the closest its been since July 12 to the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1 year Bearish Megaphone pattern. This makes the odds of a buying stronger, even though the 1D RSI isn't yet oversold. Probably that will happen within the current level and 0.5900. In any case this is a good medium-term buy opportunity, initially targeting the 1D MA50 and Inner Lower Highs (1) trend-line on a potential +5% rise (minimum of rises inside the Megaphone) and in extension the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Inner Lower Highs (2) trend-line on a +7.50% rise (maximum inside the Megaphone).
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