NZDUSD Strong buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel DownIt's been more than 2 months since we last gave an NZDUSD signal (see chart below), a buy call that hit straight into our 0.62750 target:
The price broke yesterday below Support 1 (0.59845) and today almost touched the bottom of the latest Channel Down pattern. With the 1D RSI almost on the 30.00 oversold barrier, this is a strong buy opportunity for a short-term rebound to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel retracement level at 0.62000.
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Nzdusdsignals
NZDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDUSD Buy signal within the Channel Down confirmedThe NZDUSD pair hit our upside target (see chart below) on our last analysis more than a month ago and then started to pull-back:
That pull-back was the bearish leg of the long-term Channel Down, which has so far been the dominant pattern of 2023. Today is the 2nd straight green 1D candle since the price came close to the bottom of the Channel Down so the R/R is favorable in buying for the medium-term and targeting the top of the pattern at 0.62750.
The 1D RSI almost getting oversold is an additional buy signal, though last time it required a Double Bottom (March 09), which was a slightly Lower Low before the bottom was priced. But still the R/R is low on that trade. A closing below the Channel Down however would invalidate this trade and instead we will sell aggressively targeting Support 2 at 0.57415.
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NZDUSD Trade long-term based on this Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern, having just broken below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The short-term Resistance is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The key here is the 0.60850 Support. As long as it holds, expect a rise back to the top of the Channel Down, with our target being at 0.63000. A closing below the 0.60850 Support, will be a sell signal for us, targeting the bottom of the Channel Down at 0.59000.
On the longer term, if the price breaks above Resistance 1, we'll target Resistance 2 at 0.65435. Only a break above the top of the 2 year Bearish Megaphone can justify more buying.
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NZDUSD Channel Up trading with 1D MA200 in focus.It has been almost two months since we looked into the NZDUSD pair. Last time the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) helped us accurately take a bottom buy and then sell near the expected top:
Right now we are booking the profit on the sell as a new short-term pattern has emerged. The price is approaching the bottom of the Channel Up since the December 13 High. The 1D MA200 is right below it, ready to support. Our plan is to buy near the bottom and target the 0.65340 High. If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, then we will sell and target primarily the 0.5 Fibonacci (0.60300) and under conditions which we will analyze when the time comes, the 0.618 Fib (0.59100). We are only willing to buy for the long-term if the price breaks above the Megaphone's Lower Highs.
Whatever the pattern turns out to be, the most efficient medium-term buy will be when the 1D RSI dips below the oversold barrier (24.00).
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NZDUSD Still bullish testing the 1D MA200.The NZDUSD pair has been on a tremendous rise since the October 13 Low. That was a Lower Lows on the long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern that goes back to the October 21 2021 High.
At the moment, the price hit (and so far holding) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) that hasn't been a Support since April and the last Lower High of the Megaphone. The 1D RSI has pulled-back to neutral levels but this is exactly what took place on March 14, when the price held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and rebounded to price the last High on the red Zone.
Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 is holding, we expect a High around 0.6600. A break below the 1D MA500 is bearish towards the 0.5600 - 0.55165 Support Zone.
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NZDUSD Sell Trade.NZDUSD is trading at resistance level and also it has continuously trading in Ascending Channel pattern from long time .According to chart pattern analysis , we might see downside in NZDUSD for short time.
Trade with Stop loss and own capital risk management
views/opinions are welcome to discuss.
NZDUSD Broke above the 1D MA50. Trading plan ahead.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern since the April 05 High. Yesterday it broke (but didn't close) above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 18. Today it is (so far) trading entirely above the 1D MA50. If it closes above it as well, we expect it to extend the rise to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) where it formed its last Lower High (August 12) at the top of the Bearish Megaphone.
If rejected there or close below the 1D MA50, we will sell and target 0.55700 (top of the October Support Zone). A break above the top of the Bearish Megaphone, would constitute a bullish shift long-term with a first target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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NZDUSD Close to the long-term Support. Buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair had previously completed its bullish leg above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before starting the new correction on the August 12 High, as we illustrated on our previous analysis:
Right now the price is again the closest its been since July 12 to the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1 year Bearish Megaphone pattern. This makes the odds of a buying stronger, even though the 1D RSI isn't yet oversold. Probably that will happen within the current level and 0.5900. In any case this is a good medium-term buy opportunity, initially targeting the 1D MA50 and Inner Lower Highs (1) trend-line on a potential +5% rise (minimum of rises inside the Megaphone) and in extension the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Inner Lower Highs (2) trend-line on a +7.50% rise (maximum inside the Megaphone).
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NZD/CAD bearish confirmation the trade will be executed.monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.80400 zone.
Canada experienced a trade surplus every year between 1970 and 2008. With the exception of the years 2011 and 2014, the trade balance has been in deficit since 2009. The highest trade deficits were reported with China, Germany, and Mexico in 2018, while the largest trade surpluses were recorded with the United States, the United Kingdom, and Norway in the same year.
Will the new increase (nzd/usd) be sharp?In my opinion, this currency pair is in a 5-wave downward trend.
We are currently in the middle of wave 4 and the first part of wave 4 movement has been completed. Currently, we should expect the formation of the second part of wave 4.
In the second part of the movement of wave 4, selling pressures will decrease and buyers will take over the market. As a result, the second part of the wave will be very sharp.
Be successful and profitable
NZDUSD Resuming uptrend to 0.6500 at least.The NZDUSD pair turned bullish and reversed the medium-term sell bias exactly on the moment we wanted it last time we posted on analysis on it:
As you see, the rebound took place exactly on the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line of the long-term Bearish Megaphone, a pattern it's been trading in for over 1 year. At the moment, the price is consolidating around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), struggling to stay above it but nonetheless, it closed a 1D candle above it for the first time since April 12. Every time the pair closes above the 1D MA50, the rebound is extended to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This time, that at 0.65470 and if that is achieved within August, the price will make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as well.
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NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekWith a breakout/retest of the major bearish trendline on the daily time frame, I am of the opinion that the Kiwi night gain momentum in the new week. In this video, I have explained how I intend to take advantage of a potential opportunity.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS#NZDUSD
- Currently NZDUSD is going down very fast. The reason for that is the VIX UP and the strength of the dollar. Due to MARKET RISK OFF in the previous few days, COMMODITIES were also sold down very fast. Because of that, every NZD BASED CURRENCY PAIR was SOLD.
- Thus COMMODITIES are going down. It also affects the NZD very strongly. The weak currency of CURRENCY STRENGTH was the New Zealand dollar last week. RBNZ made a RATE HIKE today. Everyone knew for a long time that the RBNZ would do a RATE HIKE. Therefore, NZD did not get much attraction at that time.
- Anyway, NZDUSD can move further until it reaches 0.5999 LEVEL. And after that, if the MARKETS RISK is ON, you can definitely BREAK the TREND LINE above the NZDUSD and BUY until it reaches the 0.6500 LEVEL. Keep an eye on STOCKS, COMMODITIES, VIX, DXY, MARKET SENTIMENT. Then we can get very good ENTRIES.
NZDUSD Time to turn bullish again.The NZDUSD pair hit our target of the last analysis we published following the +5.20% pattern:
That High was in fact formed and rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been unbroken since April 14. Technically, the price still trades within the long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern, so highs are best viewed as sell opportunities. Naturally however, a medium-term relief rally is most likely ahead of us as the 1D MA50 is as close to the price as the previous Lower Lows of August 20 2021 and January 28 2022.
As long as the Lower Lows trend-line (bottom) of the Megaphone holds, buy and aim again for a +50.20% rise (0.64400) with an extension of +7.65% (0.65800). The latter can make a perfect contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is intact since April 07.
On the other hand, if the price closes below the Megaphone, take the loss on the buy (small SL, low risk/ high return) and open a sell targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension a little over 0.5800.
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NZDUSD Wait for these levels to sellThe NZDUSD pair has been trading inside a one year pattern that resembles a Bearish Megaphone. Below you can see the most recent trade on the pair:
Recently on May 12, the price made a Lower Low and has been rebounding since. As you see within this pattern, a common characteristic of all rebounds but one is that they have been just over +5.00%. Exception is the one in February that rose by roughly +7.70%.
The current rebound is almost at +5.20% and taking into account that this is where the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level is as well as the May 05 High (and current Resistance) of 0.65680, makes it a strong candidate for rejection.
However, the RSI is still only at 49.50 and the Lower Highs Sell Zone is way above (67.50 - 73.00). Even the April 2021 rebound reached the 63.75 1D RSI level before turning sideways and eventually getting rejected.
As a result, dedicate only a small portion for selling here, most should be done after a +7.70%, roughly at 0.6670, which is also marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and by the time where the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is likely to be.
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NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE is currently slightly UP. The main reason for this is the UP of occasional COMMODITIES and some weakness in the USD. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has not diminished yet. But from time to time DXY CORRECTION is happening. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6341 LEVEL. The DXY is currently trading slightly below 103.91. According to the MARKET SENTIMENT and the USD is currently slightly WEAK. Prices are below NZDUSD DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- NZDUSD PRICE can be DOWN to 0.6284 LEVEL before UP. Then it can be UP to 0.6660 LEVEL. Buying NZDUSD is a bit risky if VIX is UP. So stay tuned with MARKET UPDATES.
NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS- USD JOLTS JOB DATA is to be released today in the NEWYORK SESSION. It's a HIGH IMPACT NEWS. This is why you need to keep an eye on us.
- NZD FEATURE is currently down a bit. The main reason for this is the slowdown in periodic COMMODITIES and the slight strength of the USD. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has not decreased yet. But from time to time DXY CORRECTION is happening. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6428 LEVEL. The DXY is currently up to 103.66. According to the MARKET SENTIMENT and the USD is currently slightly STRONG. Prices are below NZDUSD DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- NZDUSD PRICE can return to 0.6288 LEVEL and then UP from that LEVEL. NZDUSD SHORT TERM may be further BUY if COMMODITIES PRICES UP UP, VOLATILITY DOWN.
- NZDUSD PRICE can go to 0.6288 LEVEL before UP. Then you can BREAK the TREND LINE and UP to 0.6660 LEVEL. Buying NZDUSD is a bit risky if VIX is UP. So stay tuned with MARKET UPDATES.
NZDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND TECHNICAL BIAS- NZD FEATURE is currently down a bit. The main reason for this is the slowdown in COMMODITIES and the slight strength of the USD. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has not diminished yet. The NZD FEATURE stands at 0.6560 LEVEL. The DXY is currently up to 102.54. According to the MARKET SENTIMENT and the USD is currently slightly STRONG. Prices are below NZDUSD DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- NZDUSD PRICE can return to 0.6520 LEVEL and then UP from that LEVEL. NZDUSD SHORT TERM may be further BUY if COMMODITIES PRICES UP UP, VOLATILITY DOWN.
- NZDUSD PRICE can go to 0.6520 LEVEL before UP. Then you can BREAK the TREND LINE and UP to 0.6730 LEVEL. Buying NZDUSD is a bit risky if VIX is UP. So stay tuned with MARKET UPDATES.