Oats
Oats Potential For Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ZO1! Potential For Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Potential for Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZO1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. However, I am looking to play the pullback. So, I am looking for a possible buy limit entry at 321.125, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line are. Stop loss will be at 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line are. Take profit will be at 369.125, where the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Potential For Bearish DropLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for Z01! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell stop entry at 378.250, where tyhe 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 390.500, where the previous swing high is. Take profit will be at 362.500, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Oats Futures ( ZOK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Oats Futures (ZOK2022), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 745.500
Pivot: 613.250
Support: 665.000
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head back down the the support level at 665.000, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 745.500 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 690'6
Pivot: 679'3
Support : 673'1
Preferred Case: Price is moving above the ichimoku cloud which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 679'3 where the pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st resistance at 690'6 in line with the swing high resistance, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 673'1 in line with the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 731'3
Pivot: 699'2
Support : 684'6
Preferred Case: Price is moving along the ascending trendline and is moving above the ichimoku cloud which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 699'2 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 731'3 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and swing high resistance.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 684'6 in line with the swing high support.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for oat.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 648'1
Pivot: 633'1
Support : 626'0
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 648'1 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci projection from our pivot of 633'1 in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing low support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 626'0 in line with the horizontal pullback support.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Oat Futures ( ZO1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 633'6
Pivot: 626'2
Support : 615'0
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 633'6 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance from our pivot of 626'2 in line with the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 615'0 in line with the horizontal swing low support and 78.60% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Oats Futures ( ZOK2022), H1 Potential for Bullish RiseType: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 695'7
Pivot: 664'7
Support : 645'7
Preferred case: We are expecting the price to potentially rise from our pivot level of 664'7 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st resistance level of 695'7 which is in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Alternative scenario: Otherwise, the price might break our pivot structure and trigger a dip to the 1st support level of 645'7 which is in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals: No major news.
FOOD CRISIS bad for stocks?There has been a lot of talk since the Ukraine - Russia war started that the rising prices in the agricultural sector will cause a new Bear Cycle in the stock market. Commodities have been rising across the globe as a result of an inflation build up in recent years, accelerated by the COVID pandemic, but with agriculturals in particular, the story is a little different.
This chart illustrates Corn (blue trend-line), Sugar (orange), Soybeans (teal), Oats (black) and in the pane below them is the S&P500 index (green trend-line). As you see, even though price rallies on the agriculturals have caused minor (from a long-term perspective) pull-backs on S&P (as they did in February/ March), they only coincided with a Bear Cycle in the 2007/08 Bear Cycle, which of course was caused by the subprime mortgages.
So the conclusion we can draw is that global indices' reaction in February/ March with a strong pull-back, was very natural based on the long-term historic action. A Bear Cycle has to have a strongest macro-economic catalyst, strong enough to affect the fundamental structures of the capitalistic/ monetary system that supports the stock markets.
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ZOK2022 (Oats Futures) | H1 Bullish BounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 758'6
Pivot: 738'0
Support : 716'0
Preferred Case: Price is near pivot level of 738'0 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially rise up to the 1st resistance level at 758'6, in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bullish bias is further supported by price trading above the Ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Price might also dip towards the 1st support level of 716'0 in line with 100% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Oats Futures (ZW1!), H4 Potential Bearish DipType: Bearish Reversal
Resistance : 746'7
Pivot: 729'0
Support : 696'2
Preferred case: Price is approaching our pivot level of 729'0 in line with 138.2% Fibonacci extension. We see the potential for a further dip towards our 1st support level of 696'2 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where price is trading at the resistance level.
Alternative scenario: Otherwise, price could potentially go to the 1st resistance level which is in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: No major news
OATS FUTURES (ZOK2022) | H4 Bearish DropType: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 694'7
Pivot: 668'7
Support: 627'6
Preferred case: Price near pivot level of 668'7 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially drop to our 1st support of 627'6 in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is supported by stochastic indicator where it is near resistance level.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively , price may break pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 694'7 in line with 100% Fibonacci projection, along with a graphical swing high resistance.
Fundamentals: No Major News
OATS FUTURES (ZOK2022) , H4 Bearish DipType: Bearish Dip
Resistance: 666'4
Pivot: 646'5
Support: 616'7
Preferred case: Price near pivot level of 646'5 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to our 1st support of 616'7 in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is supported by how price is moving below the Ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Price may break pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 666'4 which in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: No Major News.
Agriculture - SeasonalityBrief for Agriculture:
- Price inflation of commodities and tailwinds of seasonality will provide a bountiful harvest this year's end for agricultural commodities.
Focus points:
Coffee:
Oats:
Soybean:
Soymeal:
Cotton:
Most interested in Coffee and Oats, as they are showing strong trends entering into the bullish season, but eagerly awaiting Soybean and Soymeal reversals for a most opportune entry.
GLHF
- DPT
Oat Milk vs Soy Milk in the Last Six MonthsOat milk has exploded onto the scene in the last six months. Oat milk does appear to be a superior product to both soy and almond milks for drinking, smoothies and alternative barista creamers. I believe the demand for oat milk and oat milk products is driving the rise of oat futures and the fall of soy.
CBOT:ZOZ2021
CBOT:ZSF2022