The latest bull attack this monthTo date, the market is clearly working out according to the planned plan. We are still collecting work-outs, but it is worth being on the alert as we approach the end of the month. As the middle of the month progressed, we expected to see a wave of growth to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. As I wrote in the last review, as we approach the end of the month, we should expect a second wave of growth to finally consolidate the month bullish on the tops. Against this background, a new wave of growth began with the flips of monthly candlesticks and altos.
As always, the opening level of the new month will be of great importance. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter still technically support growth, but there is an extremely negative picture with a growing dollar and falling oil, which puts a lot of pressure on the crypt and increases the activity of sellers, which is why we have already seen a stronger correction from the 2750 ether test than expected. The 2500 level was broken again, which indicates a breakdown of the bullish trend and gives a signal for a new attempt to go to 2000 in the future. The next month is the central one in the quarter and the final direction for the end of the year and the five-year plan will be chosen, which can lead to a very strong increase in volatility and new large drawdowns for the altos. Given this picture, after collecting the latest developments this week, it is worth carefully weighing money management and reducing positions in the work before determining the direction of the new month.
Most of the coins that I have taken into work show good dynamics and are in the top of growth, troy has shown itself most well. Most of the goals were taken, so far I'm not considering it anymore. Among the coins without a monitoring tag, only vib remained the most attractive, with a likely increase by a retest of 0.125-150 and above. The weekly candle opened quite negatively on the ast. Unpleasant signals were also left for a new local fracture. Today, it was not possible to gain a foothold above 0.1 and give a local overshoot of the previous momentum. In addition, the ast was delisted with okx, which is an additional negative signal and a reason for a local fracture. In this regard, I reduced my position on the 0.1 test. For now, there is a possibility of a higher breakdown in the coming days when fixing above 0.1, but with a lower probability in my opinion than for vib.
In addition to vib, among the coins of binance, only coins with the monitoring tag remained in the most oversold position. Such assets are often the last to grow and may show good momentum in the coming days. OAX still has the top potential among them, with the nearest targets at a retest of the range 0.20-25 and an exit to the test of 0.35 in an optimistic scenario. Secondly, I am again considering the work of pros, a partnership with which was announced last week by Metalpha. The immediate goal for him, while maintaining the current emission, is a retest of the 0.50-75 range and a test of 1.0 under an optimistic scenario. Also, waves of growth up to 30-50% can still show vite and hard. When choosing the position size, do not forget that coins with the monitoring tag, although they have the greatest growth potential, still retain the probability of delisting.
To save funds in the medium term, gft looks the most interesting so far due to its high liquidity.
Oax
The possibility of realizing the potential of OAXToday, another announcement was released about the delist from the ooki, unfi, kp3r, idrt binance. It is very unpleasant to see ooki in the list, which repeatedly gave large impulses and pleased with profits. Because it was delisted from an already extremely oversold position, there is a fairly high probability of an exit pump, but I will look at it at least closer to the weekend.
After the announcement was released, the rest of the coins with the monitoring tag turned out to be safe, against which you can look at increasing positions on them. First of all, OAX stands out for a large number of unused savings in order to retry an exit above 0.35-40, full issue, the presence of a btc pair providing additional liquidity, and extremely high unprocessed targets on large timeframes up to 5X in a pair to btc. This combination gives a huge potential for a breakdown. Also, during the impulse on October 9, signals for overshooting were left on small timeframes, which gives an additional signal for growth. Taking into account the approach to the end of the month, the probability of a repeat impulse with the aim of local overshooting with a test of the trend line formed by the previous breakdown is growing. In case of consolidation above the trend line or the 0.25 level, which is key for the growth of volatility, there is a probability of an impulse to 0.35+. The main support is the range 0.125-135. We have already pushed off from the lower limit, in case of successful re-trading and a rebound from 135, there is a chance of a trend. Even on a 0.25 retest, the profit reaches 90%, and when trying a 0.35 test, it reaches 150%. If a new monthly candle opens above 0.25, a further breakdown will not take long.
GFT vite pros hard and akro from coins with a monitoring tag can also show good growth. However, unlike oax, they have already worked out quite high goals, which reduces their growth potential. Among them, gft looks the most interesting so far, having the greatest liquidity due to derivatives on other exchanges, which in the future may lead to the addition of futures on the binance, or a change of tag with rapid subsequent growth.
Cue ball sets an example for the marketThe probability of an increase in bull activity is maturing in the market again, let's consider the situation. First of all, the cue ball headed for a 75k retest with a likely overshoot, but a parallel increase in dominance, as I warned in previous reviews. The reaction on the viola should be expected after the cue ball is fixed in the trend and later when taking the level at 75k. In this regard, the first wave of alt activity is likely at the change of the month. I would like to draw your attention to the fact that when the first monthly candle closes in the bullish quarter, the probability of continued growth of the cue ball will increase until the middle of the quarter.
According to the cue ball, the second half of the month opened above 65k, which gives a signal for a slow continuation of growth and increases the probability of closing the month with a bullish candle. After consolidating the current weekly bullish trend, which is almost guaranteed, the prospects for the end of the month will become obvious and there is a high probability of tightening the altos to the current cue ball pattern. In this regard, as we approach the end of the month and the growth of the cue ball stabilizes, the probability of viola breakouts increases.
Against the background of the positive cue ball, first of all, we can expect an increase in purchases on alt over the weekend with a reversal of weekly candles in bullish and purchases in the second half of next week already for a reversal of monthly candles in bullish.
Strong pressure on alcohols is also exerted by the strongly growing dollar, against which the cue ball is trying to grow. This situation is fraught with a breakdown of the cue ball trend, which slows down investments in riskier altos. The same confidence is given to the altos at the end of the month by ether, which opened the second half of the month above 2600, which gives a signal for the test of 2750 and in the case of opening a new month above the level, a breakdown to 3250-3500 can be expected.
Until the growth is finally fixed, I am not in a hurry to take new coins to work. I still hold large positions primarily on troy vib and ast, which are in the most oversold position on the binance and do not have a monitoring tag. This weekend and next week, there is a chance of overshooting past impulses with an increase of up to 70-100% from current levels. I also use gft to save funds in the medium term due to high liquidity and derivatives.
Among the coins with much larger goals for growth, but also the risk due to the monitoring tag, oax ooki is the most interesting. For security reasons, these coins can be taken in the second half of the week, since delistings most often take place in the first, and as reliably as possible on weekends. Last weekend, oax took a nice walk due to the presence of a pair to btc and more liquidity, ooki did not have enough liquidity for significant growth. This weekend, given the last bullish candle, oax has a chance to try to go to the test of the target range 0.25-35. At the end of next week, this probability will increase further. Ooki also has a growth potential of up to 100%+, however, due to low liquidity, it should be counted on last, already in the case of a large wave of growth in oax.
Successful cancellation of seasonal salesAs we approach the quarter change, I want to review the market situation once again. September is seasonally a month of sales, but at the end of August, the bulls did not show activity with a hike to 3000, allowing the price to slide to work out bearish goals at the 2000 retest. The signals for the 3000+ rest remained unprocessed. The picture is similar to a game of giveaway to safely extinguish seasonal sales at the expense of unprocessed goals from above. I think this scenario will increase the confidence and activity of buyers with seasonal growth in October. At the moment, I expect the flat to continue in the range of 2250-2750 before the opening of the new quarter. The probability of smooth growth prevails in order to return to the 3000-3250 range against the background of an attempt to reverse the semi-annual candle in the new quarter. The reason for a new test of 2000 before the end of the month can only be a new strong wave of strengthening of the dollar, but this did not happen even after the ECB rate cut. The opening level of the last quarter will have a strong impact on the market dynamics at the end of the year. An opening above 2500 will be enough to support purchases until the end of the year with the trend continuing at the beginning of the new year.
To date, given the market situation, I am leaving all positions in operation, I have reduced only the position on quick, because the price has approached a fairly strong resistance at 0.06 and judging by the monthly chart, the probability of a retest of 0.035-40 prevails before continuing to grow to 0.075-90 and above in the new quarter.
GFT and og remain the most reliable and liquid tools for storing funds as an alternative to quick. Together with them, Vib has less liquidity, but it is also well suited for this task because it is one of the most oversold coins without a monitoring tag.
Also, without the monitoring tag, pros and ast remain the most oversold coins on binance, which double-check loy due to incomplete issuance, creating interesting entry points, but also giving more abrupt disruptions against the background of a general market decline. For pros, with the current issue, the target remains a retest of 0.75-1.0, for ast, a retest of 0.150-175.
The most oversold and low-liquid coins with a monitoring tag, which gives rise to sharp breakouts, remained ooki and oax with targets up to 3X at least.
Continuation of seasonal growth from next weekTo date, we have come to the next emerging wave of growth, let's look at interesting coins. Since mid-August, the market has been experiencing annual seasonal growth, and therefore I expect the bullish trend to continue. According to the tops, the picture is very contradictory. Ether opened the second half of the quarter in a negative zone, which gives a signal for confident sales at every opportunity. The pullback on the monthly candle has already been worked out this week, but after mid-September it is worth taking into account the high probability of a pullback on the quarterly candle. A successful break above the 2750 level supports the price for now and retains the probability of going to 3000-3100 at the beginning of the new month. A supporting factor for the price may be the opening of the month above 2750.
Today and tomorrow, the bulls have the last two days left for the growth of coins on a monthly schedule, in connection with which new waves of growth can be expected to consolidate the monthly candles bullish with the continuation of the trend in the first half of the new month, especially for coins that did not show growth last week.
By the next two weeks of growth, there are quite a few oversold coins left. First of all, vib og ast gft quick is more reliable for medium-term investments today as an alternative to vidt and uft that have reached high levels so far. According to vib og and gft, all coins are in circulation, and therefore the price moves quite smoothly according to the general dynamics of the market, with attempts at significant overshoots in the bullish period. Pros oax and ooki remained among the riskier assets, but with the highest growth targets.
Vib is suitable for purchases anywhere below 0.085, with a medium-term growth potential up to 0.15-25. The third wave of growth is outlined on the monthly chart, in which there is a high probability of an impulse to a significant overshoot. A similar pattern has already worked on the monthly gft chart and the weekly quick chart.
Gft is interesting for purchases everywhere below 0.0175-190, however, it has high liquidity due to its presence on a variety of exchanges, including derivatives. In this regard, it can be used to save funds in the average amount already below 0.021 with additional top-ups in case of a drawdown below against the background of general market dynamics. After the breakdown of the 0.064 level, there is a signal for the 0.075 test in the future. To date, at least we can expect the monthly pinbar to fill with a trend up to the retest of the 0.05 and 0.06 levels.
Og is by far the most powerful fantoken. Due to its rather high liquidity, due to its presence on exchanges and derivatives, it often shows extremely high volatility. In the medium term, it is also quite reliable due to almost complete emission and is well suited for scalping with frequent breakouts of up to several x's. It is interesting to work everywhere below 3.5.
Quick is quite reliable fundamentally, because it is in the most oversold position among the tokens of the exchanges. In the average period, the growth potential to 0.15-25 and after the spring breakdown, it looks like the accumulation is ending and the bullish trend has begun to recover on the weekly chart. The nearest target so far is at least a retest of 0.075-85, probably by the end of the year with an attempt to move above 0.075 if the new year opens.
Ast has recently entered a highly oversold zone and is interesting to work everywhere below 0.12. So far, not all coins are in circulation, which will contribute to rollbacks after large waves of growth and the creation of new options for earnings. With the current issue, the target is a retest of 0.150-175 at least.
There are only a few coins with low liquidity that are traded with powerful impulses. Although such coins are dangerous for long accumulation with unstable breakouts, they pleased with a large profit in the end. These currently include pros oax and ooki.
According to pros, a small part of the coins is still in circulation, which increases the probability of a retest of loyalties in the average market. However, the absence of a monitoring tag gives greater confidence and today a third wave of growth is also planned on the monthly chart with a possible impulse to significantly move into the range 1-1.25. That is, the potential is up to 4-5.
According to ooki, after the change in the current supply, the dynamics will become smoother with possibly more stable growth waves. Signals for growth up to 0.0075, that is, up to 6-7X, were left, however, with the current emission, the 0.0045-50 retest is still more reliable.
Oax, like ooki, remains the last most oversold token in the monitoring tag. So far, the main goal is to double-check the trend of the spring pulse up to 0.35-50. However, on the monthly chart, a breakdown pattern with a powerful overshoot from the third wave is also likely, in this case, if a stable trend is successfully maintained, there is a probability of a test of 0.75-1.25.
Let me remind you that the greatest probability of growth remains from today (especially after the closure of the foreign exchange market) to the beginning of a new month (up to two weeks), after which it is worth paying attention to money management, the number of coins in operation, the size of positions and the price range, due to the likelihood of a major rollback.
We do not hesitate to ask questions about the position of the market and coins in the work.
Resumption of purchases against the background of the reversal oTo date, we have come to a new bifurcation point and opportunities for refills, consider the market position. On average, for the current month, the main scenario remains with an attempt to move and an attempt to exit the ether at 4250-4500 due to the opening of the month above 3750. Against the background of the interest rate cut by Europe, the market followed the most low-volatility scenario without hype and premature impulses immediately at the opening of a new monthly candle. But this week we are approaching the middle of the month, the period of sales and shadow rendering for the monthly candle is ending. Already today and tomorrow, as the middle of the week and month pass, we can expect an increase in buyer activity for a weekly candle reversal, turning into a monthly bullish reversal.
Among the coins in the work, only vib has shown itself to be the most interesting so far, according to which goals are maintained at least at 0.15-25 and up to 10X in a long time, judging by the pair to btc. Starting this week, there is an opportunity for growth in other coins. Ooki pros cvp are still the most oversold, with a growth potential of up to 150-200% from current levels.
EPX reached a similar potential, which brought a decent profit last year and, after a stormy start to this year, fell as part of a pullback on the annual candle. At the moment, the price has approached strong support at 0.000150-175, from where the probability of a return to 0.00035-50 prevails against the background of a month reversal.
Similarly, vib remains the most oversold among coins with a btc pair, oax, with targets at least at a retest of 0.35 and up to 0.50-75 in the medium term. The presence of a btc pair increases volatility and the size of oax pulses.
OAX looks bullishWarning: the price of this symbol fluctuates a lot and many shadows are created on the chart.
It seems that the price is inside a large diametric. It is now at the end of wave D.
It can go up while maintaining the green area.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
We are expected to return to 3500, we are going higherTo date, the market has reached another turning point, let's look at further prospects. The goal of returning above 3500 on the air was successfully fulfilled against the background of the opening of the quarterly candle above the level, however, the second half of the quarter opened in a negative zone, which will support sellers as they approach the end of the quarter and everywhere above 3500. At the moment, sales from 3750 were successfully bought off on Thursday, because at the moment they are premature. With the opening of a new monthly candle, sellers' activity will increase against the background of the opening of the second half of the quarter below 3000, which will lead to increased volatility and market disruptions.
Today, the probability of continued growth prevails in two scenarios. The opening of a new month in the range of 3500-3750 will allow testing 4500-4750 in the current quarter, from where a significant pullback is most likely up to a retest of 3000. In a more optimistic scenario, the new month will open above 4100, which will allow stable growth to continue until the 5000-5250 test. A significant cancellation of purchases and a market drawdown can be expected only at the opening of a new month below 3400, for which there are not yet sufficient arguments.
Since the last week of the month for the tops opened above key levels, which gives a consolidation of growth and a high probability of maintaining purchases until the end of the quarter, active purchases on many altos can be expected this week with continued growth in the new month.
So far, vib remains the most suitable tool for investing in the average market, with a growth potential of up to 0.150-175 at least and up to 0.25-50 in the case of an increase in ether to 4500. The main threshold level for accelerating purchases remains 0.1.
OAX continues to show good volatility with growth waves of 20-40%. The growth potential remains at least 0.35 retest, which gives reason to maintain volatility with a further trend.
Weaker projects are also interesting for scalping, but they are in an extremely oversold position, such as ooki pros and cvp with a growth potential of up to 150% from current levels.
While maintaining positive dynamics in the tops, epx for and vgx can show growth of up to 30-50% from current levels.
New momentum on ookiAgainst the background of attempts to restore ether to 3250-3500 before the middle of the quarter, in addition to vib, ooki also looks interesting, which has repeatedly pleased with profits. There is a fairly high probability of an impulse to open a new quarter above 0.0035. If this scenario is successfully implemented, an opportunity will open for a trend towards the 0.0050-75 range, which is the main target in the mid-range.
In addition to vib and ooki, pros and cvp are currently interesting for scalping.
New attempts to grow to 3500 before the middle of the quarterWe are very close to the change of the next month, it's time to once again weigh the prospects of the market. Due to the negative opening of the second half of the month, the market remains sluggish, but the target for the 3500 retest with an attempt to reach 4500 on the air remains relevant throughout the quarter due to its opening above 3500. New waves of growth with local interruptions can be expected from the current retest 3000. The most optimistic scenario is to take 3500 today or tomorrow and open a new monthly candle higher. In this case, we will receive a signal for stable growth with a view to moving on this quarter. Tomorrow's statistics on the United States and Europe will play an important role. In a more negative scenario, the new month will open below 3250, which will lead to continued growth on the weekly chart and make the range 3500-3750 a strong resistance. This will increase the probability of a flat for at least a few weeks. Due to the opening level of the current quarter and year, so far there are no reasons for stable sales below 2,900. The most important factor determining the further dynamics for the summer will be the opening level of the second half of the quarter.
To date, I am still considering the most oversold coins with the highest possible unprocessed goals, such as vib ooki pros oax, because they left technical signals for overshooting with an increase of up to 200% from current levels. Vib and oax are more dynamic due to the presence of a pair to btc. At the same time, Vib is more reliable fundamentally for saving funds in the medium term and has signals paired with btc up to 10X.
According to oax, a local overshoot has been left, then the probability of a new hike to the 0.175-190 test prevails before the 0.35 growth wave. At the opening of the month on the ether above 3500, we can expect continued growth for the 0.35 test in a row.
According to vib, 0.095 is a strong support and there is a possibility of a smooth increase to 0.125 with a further sharp increase in volatility to 0.150-175, regardless of the dynamics of the ether. At the opening of the month on the ether below 3500, there is a possibility of an additional short-term test up to 0.0910-925 with further elaboration of the same growth scenario.
Ooki and pros are more low-liquid, so the growth can be quite smooth. According to pros, the main goal is to recover to 0.55 with further impulses for the 0.75 test. Ooki is usually traded in pulses similar to fantokens, therefore, at the next attempt to grow ether, we can see a breakdown immediately to 0.0050-75 with a stable consolidation above 0.0025, which is the main support for the growth of volatility.
With the current dynamics of the market and the end of the shopping season in April, I am not in a hurry to expand the list of coins for work, since the largest part of the market may continue to fall smoothly for several months. I will consider new coins for work after determining the opening level of the second half of the quarter, where further market dynamics for the beginning of summer will become more predictable.
vib is aimed at the hay testThis week we are passing the middle of the month and it is time for attempts to turn monthly candlesticks into bullish ones for individual coins. VIB still has extremely high potential with medium-term goals up to the 0.25 test. Today, the momentum for the month's reversal immediately passed, but these are only the first investments for the upcoming trend. On the weekly chart, according to the indicators, we remain in a bullish trend for a long time, which will support growth. The main technical signal is the left overshoots on the weekly and monthly charts. Also, in addition, the ground for breakouts will be created by general attempts to grow the market for a turn of the month by tops. Sales continue for the first half of the week based on the inertia of last week, but more active purchases can be expected from the middle of the week. The reason for the growth will also be the weakening of the dollar against the background of events in the Middle East, which I also expect from the second half of the week. The main area of the set of positions for vib today is the range 0.085-90. With an optimistic scenario and the implementation of a reversal already this week, there is a high probability that the month will end before the end of April. With a negative market, the trend will be smoother, with the 0.15 test already in the new monthly candle.
Oax pros and ooki have similar potential, which today I primarily consider to work as the most oversold coins with the highest unprocessed goals. Pros and ooki are less volatile due to the lack of a pair to btc. According to oax, we can expect at least a retest of 0.35, according to pros, a return to the bullish trend followed by a test of 0.75, according to ooki, the target on the retest is 0.0050-75.
we continue to earn on OAXTo date, after a wave of growth of 150%, I have returned to OAX support, and therefore, continuing to follow the plan, I moved into it with the aim of retesting at least the 0.35-40 range in the current monthly candle. After re-entering above 0.25-26, a sharp acceleration in growth can be expected.
I am also considering mainly proc oki vib for work, for the rest of the coins there is a possibility of a deeper rollback. There are also positions on atm and asr that are only flying by 30-50% so far, but have not shown significant growth, the potential for a test of 7.5-11$ remains with the overall growth of the market, but fantokens are low-liquid, often give good profits, but after a long accumulation, it is worth being careful with the size of the position on them.
Ooki is preparing another giftToday, the rolled-back ooki is becoming promising again. The token failed to open a quarter above 0.005 for a technical signal to go to 0.0075-100, but opening above 0.004 makes it possible to continue flat in the range of 0.004-6 with an attempt to gain a stable foothold above 0.005 eventually. With the overall growth of the market, there is a possibility of a sharp return to the trend with an attempt to overshoot. In the event of a further pullback in the market, the ooki trend may repeat the picture of the previous month with numerous opportunities for scalping. On average, the growth potential is 50-150% from current levels. The main area of the set of positions at the moment is 0.00325-375.
Today, vib with a breakdown potential up to 0.25 and pros with a test target of 0.75 are also interesting.
Vib will repeat the success of oaxThere remains the last day before the end of the quarter and the last opportunity to try to open a new quarter above the key level for coins. Considering yesterday's dynamics of oax, the probability of an attempt to take 0.25 on vin has increased. A double bottom has formed from the new trend line and technically there is ground for a breakdown. In the case of overshooting from the third wave above 0.15, the target range will be 0.23-35 in the same way as oax.
Ooki, unlike oax, shows more sluggish dynamics even with a positive technical picture. Due to the lack of a stable breakdown of even 0.0045, there is still no talk of moving into the range of 0.0050-75, which may lead to a trend reversal and a return to 0.0025-35. According to proc, the picture is more optimistic, a position is being set after a successful retest of 0.5 and on the 4-hour chart there is also a probability of a breakdown from the third wave with a test target of 0.75. There is also a possibility of a new wave of pump for drep and pnt as part of the pullback on the current weekly and monthly candle.
We are preparing for a correction in the new quarterAgainst the background of maintaining purchases and maintaining the likelihood of continued growth in the second quarter, coins continue to try to take new levels. Almost all the coins that I considered for work gave good growth waves. After working out, I reduce my positions in the work, because the new quarterly candle will form a shadow, the correction can be up to 30-40% for many coins from current levels. Also, the sales season begins in May, where the dynamics of the market will become much more difficult. This year, there is a fairly high probability of fully compensating for seasonal sales in May, similar to January, due to the long-term bullish trend within the five-year plan.
Until the end of the quarter, there is still the possibility of a second attempt to gain a foothold above 0.25 for oax with a test of 0.3 and a stable continuation of the trend in case of opening a new quarter above 0.25. For pros, the probability of a new test of 0.75 remains with an attempt to open a quarter above 0.6 to maintain purchases in the new quarter. According to ooki, in case of a successful rebound on the 4-hour chart from 0.00325-335, a new impulse is possible to break into the range of 0.0050-75 with an attempt to open a new quarter above 0.005 to maintain the bullish trend. There is also a possibility of an additional impulse for the $ 5-7.5 fantokens for the test, among which I mainly consider asr and atm. In the absence of impulses today or tomorrow, these unprocessed goals will increase the likelihood of opening a new quarter for these coins with growth.
The Gft did not gain a foothold above 0.35, now the probability of a pullback prevails. Df also bounced from 0.75, vib from 0.15 and cvp from 75, for which the probability of a deeper pullback to the formation of a shadow for a new quarterly candle also prevails.
According to drep and pnt, the first pulse did not reach the targets on the 0.21-25 and 0.150-175 test, and therefore there is a possibility of a new impulse to reverse this week tomorrow or retest these levels already in a new monthly candle at the beginning of the week.
The most important week has arrivedWe are very close to the US interest rate decision, a key event in this quarter that will set the further direction for the markets until the middle of the year. At the moment, the overall picture of the market looks quite optimistic: in the foreign exchange market, the week opened not in favor of the dollar, in the cryptocurrency market, the tops also opened the week above key supports. In particular, the opening of a weekly candle above 3500 on the ether allows you to continue extinguishing sales on the rollback of the quarterly candle. Such dynamics also increases the likelihood of a positive quarter close with a possible move. Other countries' rate decisions are also expected this week, which significantly complicates market forecasting. I think the decision of other countries will be an excuse to take safe levels in advance before the US decision.
To date, a double bottom has formed on the 4-hour chart near the opening level of the month. In an optimistic scenario, growth will resume tomorrow with a return above 3600 and a signal to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. In this case, the probability of overshooting prevails up to the 4500 test. In a more negative scenario, the level of 3500 will not be able to be held, which will lead to an attempt to turn the monthly candle into a bearish one and an aggressive test of the supports of 3100-3000-2750 with further payback at the end of this week and in the last days of the month. In this case, the quarter can be expected to close in the range of 3600-3750.
When trying to rebound from the second bottom, individual coins try to gain a foothold above the resistances in advance. Pros shows good dynamics today, which in a new wave of growth is highly likely to test 0.9-1.0 against the background of a breakdown of the key resistance of 0.75 in the last wave. Vib also showed a good growth momentum, which also has the opportunity to move in a new wave up to the 0.25 test against the background of a resistance breakdown at 0.15. Also, good growth attempts are shown by ooki, which left a signal for the 0.0075 test, at the breakdown of which there will be the possibility of a hike above 0.01. New growth waves can also be expected for cvp oax asr atm, which maintain targets up to 100%+. As a more fundamentally reliable instrument, in addition to vib, I still hold a large position on quick, which steadfastly tolerates the market pullback and is just as well suited for storing free funds in the medium term.
Purchases for the reversal of the monthly candleToday we have come to the next opportunity for purchases, I want to consider the market situation. Last week, under the pressure of powerful statistics on the United States, unfortunately opened below 2500, after which the market followed the low-volatility scenario that I assumed in this case. During the week, powerful statistics were also added, which led to the 2250 test, which I indicated as the target of the bears in case of consolidation below 2250. But in the average period, growth remains on the inertia of the positive closing of last year and as we approach the end of the month, the probability of a market buy-off with an attempt to turn the current weekly and monthly candles into a bullish one increases.
An additional batch of statistics is coming out tomorrow that will determine the level of volatility. With sufficient buyer activity, there is a high probability of turning the current weekly candle into a bullish one over the weekend. If a new weekly candle opens above the key 2500 level, you can count on maintaining purchases in the new month. If strong statistics are released tomorrow and the euro continues to fall, the volatility of the crypt may turn out to be quite low, in which case the weekly candle will not be able to be deployed, but the struggle for the opening of a new month above 2500 will continue.
Regardless of the growth rate of the market, there is ground for the reversal of monthly candles for individual coins and it makes sense to top up before the end of the month. I continue to rely mainly on coins with the highest unprocessed goals, such as uft vib cvp ooki drep atm asr, which very successfully compensated for the market drawdown and made attempts to reverse. After fixing part of the profit, I transferred to oax in order to retest the high. Against the background of a return to support, I also took on quite strong df and gft coins.
OAX ANALYSISFrom the green range, it can move to the specified TP.
The specified SUPPLY range is fresh and will cause rejection.
The green range is also an important range. One can expect a swing from the green range to the supply side.
A close of a candle below the green range will cause the analysis to be violated
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
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Pros is preparing for the reversal of the annual candleToday, pros is showing itself quite actively, which over the past couple of months has already given 4 waves up to 50% on the swing of a new trend. At the moment, I expect more from him. These impulses are investments in the reversal of the current annual candle, which has a large scale. VIB and pnt have already shown a similar reversal.
After over-trading near the main long-term support at 0.25, there is a high probability of a new attempt to gain a foothold on the uptrend line formed in September. The intermediate resistance is the 0.4-5 range, which will probably be easy to take given the main targets for a reversal in the area of 0.75-1.0. The project is fundamentally questionable, however, it causes high speculative interest in the current market situation, so it can show very interesting dynamics. From profit-taking on gft, it is interesting to increase positions on pro ssoki vib and uft.
the growth of GFT volatilityBinance has added GFT and COS to margin trading. COS has already taken the second take that I indicated, I am not considering it for work at the moment, although this news may have a wave of growth up to 30-50% additionally. And according to GFT, the probability of a deeper correction decreased, topped up the position, and the probability of a breakdown in the area of 0.035-50 increased.
The main area of customer recruitment for GFT is the 0.0125-150 range, as I wrote earlier. To date, it is planned to exit the triangle between this zone and the descending trend line, which may lead to a sharp trend change. Binance supported this trend. The main threshold level for additional volatility growth is 0.025, from which the price opens at 0.040-60. Depending on the volatility, there is a chance to reach 0.040-60 in one wave at a breakdown of 0.0325-350. As I mentioned, the coin is strong, given the rather large company behind it, it is traded on many exchanges, including derivatives with huge turnover. In the future, I expect it to add new pairs. The coin is well suited for saving funds in the medium term. Given the beginning trend for the reversal of the annual candle, the growth may be quite stable with continuation in the spring.
Along with gft, uft and vib remain fundamentally promising in the medium term. I continue to work with such coins as cvp ooki drep oax pros atm asr in fairly large positions, because they have much higher goals for growth up to 3-5X, however, they may behave uncertainly at the turn of the year due to trading on a small number of exchanges. Vidt epx fio df vite for dock om is also suitable for scalping up to 30-50%, but with an even greater probability of disruptions at the turn of the year, I work with them with a smaller position size.