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11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook #NAS #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: The bullish case will be how we respond to the FDL from Friday. We have price tapping the low at the moment and we will need to watch out for how price responds to the 4H+FVG range we are in. On the LTF, we should see a new +POI form and we can use this to aim for the +LP($), Friday’s PDH and back in the W-FVG. #BearishCase: The bearish care will also revoke around the PDL from Friday. Since we are in the 4H+FVG range, we will need to see an impulse through the low on the LTF and aim for the PDL lows from Wednesday and Thursday. 1H chart 4h chart D chart: W chart
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
11/26/23 DXY Weekly Outlook11/26/23 DXY Weekly Outlook #DXY #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: A bullish move on Dollars means that we are seeing a LTF move through the 4H-FVG. Once we move through it we see that price uses the 4H-FVG as an IFVG setup to the upside. We then target the previous -POIs, the PDH from Friday and back into the D-IFVG range. #BearishCase: A bearish scenario is a bit more probable at the moment still as we have a PDL from Friday within a few points below us and last week’s PWL as well. The initial moves of the week will need to be how we handle the 4H-FVG made on Friday near the YOP. If we get a reaction within that range we can see continuation to the down side from there. XXX/USD bullish USD/XXX bearish 1H chart 4H chart D chart W chart
TVC:DXY
by Cory4rex
11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook #SPX #WeeklyOutlook: Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: Currently taking the PDL, however, below this low are the following +POIs, a D+B and two 4H+FVGs. On the LTFs, we need to see how price reacts below this PDL and on the LTF if we get new +POIs with these ranges. #BearishCase: The PDL from Friday is also our POI for the sell setup as well. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup. 1H chart 4H chart D Chart W Chart
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by Cory4rex
11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook #US30 #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: The bullish case is to take the PWH on each of the time frames. There are -POIs above us that are still our HTF draw. In the case of US30 we also have a W-RB(rejection Block)/D-OB that is just above the last PWH. #BearishCase: The bearish case is the LTF -LP($) from the 1H TF. If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday. 1H chart 4h chart D chart: W chart
FOREXCOM:US30
by Cory4rex
Bullish movementEnglish First of all, we have a bearish structure on monthly timeframe, on weekly and daily is the same, but looking at it on 1h and 4h looks bullish with HH and HL, I believe the price is going up because of its structure and I´ll be waiting for it to get in the 200% extension and then have a retrocement in the 1.27 level, the market usually does those kind of movements. Let´s see how the market continues. *THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE* Español Primero que todo, tenemos una estructura bajista en mensual, semanal y diario, pero viendo el precio en 1hr y en 4h tiene una estructura alcista con altos más altos y bajos más altos, creo que el precio irá arriba debido a su estructura y estaré esperando a que llegue al nivel 200% de la extensión del Fibo y luego agarrar su retroceso hasta el nivel 1.27, el mercado suele hacer ese tipo de movimientos. Veremos cómo continúa el mercado. *ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Short
by DarkTradingCapital
1
US30 general viewEnglish For this index, I see how we are on a bullish rally (Christmas rally) which is about to break its last H(HIGH) and unless something happen with the FOMC on December, I wouldn`t expect to start a bearish movement. We are currently in a monthly OB which is the last H, if it breaks that H, we could expect higher prices and maybe break the ATH price, but we also have the possibility to go down, but in this point, it is up to the FOMC and all they say on December, let`s see how the price moves. By now, it looks better to buy and not to sell, it is more probable to happen. *THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE* Español Para este ìndice, veo como estamos en pleno rally alcista (Rally navideño) el cual está cerca de romper su máximo anteriores y a menos que la FED comente algo en su reunión en diciembre que afecte al dolar, seguramente siga subiendo, no espero iniciar un movimiento a la baja. Estamos en pleno OB mensual bajista, el cual puede servir de contenedor para que no suba, pero lo puede romper e incluso subir a su precio ATH y romperlo, vamos a ver cómo se mueve el mercado después de la reunión de la FED en diciembre. De momento, es más probable comprar y tener éxito que vender. *ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by DarkTradingCapital
11/19/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #WeeklyOutlook Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI. We set the PWL inside of a D+OB and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. We set an equal high EQHs with the PWH from 8/28/23. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs . We are inside of a W-OB (not drawn) and D-OB but the is holding and setting up to push higher. #BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. We have EQHs that is my main target for us on US30 #BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs, SSL, and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets. 1H chart 4h chart D chart:
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by Cory4rex
Bearish XAUUSDEnglish Beautiful reaction in a 4hrs OB, in 1hr had a price action (candlestick) confirmation and I just clicked on sell in the moment, the operation is right now with a profit, let`s see how it goes in this weekend to conclude the bearish movement I`m waiting for a movemetn until 1974 (at least). Let´s see how it goes. *THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE* Español Hermosa reacciòn en un OB de 4hrs, en 1hr dió acción de precio con una confirmación (patrón de vela japonesa) y solamente entré por mercado en venta en el momento, la operación está en profit actualmente, estoy esperando un movimiento hasta 1974 por lo menos. Veremos qué sucede. *ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DarkTradingCapital
1
11/12/23#NAS #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly High after trading into the D+VIB and near the Weekly low. We also traded through the D-OB and if it is going to continue to the upside may use this as a new POI. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure. #1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there. #2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below. 4H chart
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
11/12/23 SPX Weekly Outlook#SPX #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook: Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly Low and high. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure. #1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there. #2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below. 4H chart
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by Cory4rex
11/12/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook Took out the PWH and traded into a W-FVG up to the mid point at 34300.6. The 1H/4H+FVG is sitting right at the W-FVG(L) at 34098.9 and if we move up this is likely where I may look for a move up. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure. #1 main goal is the PWH for an initial upside move #2 Pushing down into the +FVG that is the downside move on the LTF but, I want to see if the move is pushing down to move up from there. 4H chart
FOREXCOM:US30
by Cory4rex
Weekly Outlook - SPX 10-22-23 Weekly Chart: We gapped up last week only to trade near last week's high and into the W-FVG(MT). Price failed to continue the move up. We are down for the month and this week's candle has opened inside of last week's candle. Staying bearish for now with last week's low at risk PWL and 10/2-10/6 PWL as well. Getting a bullish short term move into the last up close candle would be where I'm looking for setup unless we go after the PWL first. Weekly Chart: Daily Chart: Opened to the upside is likely my short term bias and I'm okay with seeing prince move into the D-FVG above Friday's PDH. However, just given the proximity oof Friday/PWL (previous week low) this is the first place at risk to be taken out. 10/4 is holding the next PWL target if Friday's PWL is taken out. Daily Chart: 4H Chart: As we push up short term, I'll be looking to see how price pushing and if we reach into this 4H-OB during the over night sessions. That will be my first POI to determine how we setup Monday morning. We don't have a swing low from the weekly to the 4H so far so this still plays into this pushing to the downside a bit more. 4H Chart: 1H Chart: Short term focus will be how we move, if we move into this 1H-FVG, take out the +LP above Friday's closing session high, or if we move immediately after the PWL. Overall I'll be paying attention to the short term move but looking to see if I can get into a HTF setup. 1H Chart:
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by Cory4rex
BTC USD IdeaGood morning Chart Surfers, In the world of Bitcoin/USD trading, we've witnessed a notable surge in trading volume that has brought us into a significant weekly order block. What's intriguing is that we've received a noticeable reaction from this order block, suggesting its importance. When you consider TPO chart volume data, which unfortunately isn't available here, and the monthly VWAP (indicated by the red line), it paints a rather bullish picture. However, despite these bullish signals, it's worth noting that the recent rally in Bitcoin has been quite substantial. As of today's data, caution is warranted. Should we see a retracement back to the 26,479 level, and if this level holds, there may be an opportunity to go long. But for now, it might be prudent to consider scalping moves, particularly when we encounter retracements of around 80%. In a market as dynamic and unpredictable as Bitcoin, a approach reminds us to weigh the data carefully and remain prepared for a variety of potential outcomes.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by themarketknight
Weekly Bias for SPX - 10/1/2023Weekly Chart: Traded into last week's bearish engulfing candle and then took out its low. Traded into a +POI (W+FVG), wicked near MT at 4236.6 Weekly Idea: Because we are bearish but entered into this +POI, with may get a bounce but would look to see if the PWL is taken out for a continuation lower. For now, I'm 505/50 on this mainly because of the W+FVG. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited Daily Chart: Price took out the PWL and set a low on the Daily in the W+FVG, however, price bounced from the area without making a new high. This is logic to stay on the downside for now. Another thing to note, Friday's close is at the mid point of the weekly range, Weekly high 4347.4, Weekly Low 4243.2, and Weekly mid point 4295.3, finally Weekly close/ Friday closing price 4295.3. Daily idea: Because of the close and the price failing to make a new high this give reasoning to at least look for the price to take out the PDL and -LP ( $ trend line liquidity) with best case scenario, price taking out the PWL. A bullish scenario would need to be revisited 4H Chart/Idea: We have a 4H-OB and 4H-FVG, one the LTF, do we have price return to mitigate this area? The +breaker is hold price up for now and this will be the first thing that I look at for a response of what price decides to do. The low was made in a +POI, a +OB but will it hold?
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Cory4rex
10/2/23: Sell Setup on SPX10/2/23: Sell Setup: I was looking for a continuation set up on SPX. TK/SY session set a small range that held London but was taken out in the premarket session. This left a 1H/15m-FVG set up with a -OB on the 1H. Price trades into the 15m-FVG (L) and pushed down and failed to make a new low followed by EQLs being set in NY open session. Once the EQLs were made we traded back into the 15m-FVG(MT) and tapped into the mid point. I didn’t see the clean enter in the 15m but the 5m chart gave a great entry that I missed. My targets were the PDL, EQLs/Thurs PDL, and PWL. No entry on the setup, had two attended two meetings back to back and I had to present on the calls. This was the 1st set up I was looking for but I was on a work call and miss this one. This gave confirmations on the 5m/15m charts and this would have been a trade that would have hit the first target of 4274.08 then BE on the remaining. This was the second entry I was looking for, higher into the 15m-FVG. NAS was also reaching into its own FVG which gave me a more validation this was a good setup. But as soon as we passed the mid point at 4297.80 it tanked without confirmations on any of the LTFs, even as far as the 1m chart. This was the final entry, later than I would normally be looking for anything but also no confirmation and this was a good thing because the price could not take out the low and pushed back up off to the DL. Sell Entry: 4293.05,4297.80, 4284.39 SL: 4300,4303.65,4293.05 Targets: 4274.08, 4263.03,4238.23 We’re pushing up for now, we have NY session high, Weekly opening price, and Friday PDH 15m chart:
BLACKBULL:SPX500Short
by Cory4rex
Weekly Bias for DXY/GU - 10/1/23Weekly Chart: DXY and GU both have reach POI, on DXY a W-OB and on GU a W+FVG. In this scenario, I'd be looking for DXY to see how we respond to the PWH if we fail to take it out and trade back into last week's range, I'll look to the downside potentially. If we trade through it, the +LP at 107.993 will be the next draw. GU will have to deal with the W+FVG and the YOP which may be a tough task. Weekly Idea: DXY's strength be the thing I'm watching. This is a good area to fall from and that will spring GU to the up side. A fall lines up with the YOP holding price up on GU. However, if we take out the high on DXY, GU reaches into the YOP Daily Chart: The first draw is the PDH on DXY and the PDL on GU. We will need to pay attention to how the engulfing candles made on Thursday on DXY/GU are handled and this will be a range that the LTF will need to deal with. 4H Chart: DXY has a small 4H-FVG but the one above it is the one I'm interested in. The PDH has already been taken out and the response to the highs are what I'm looking for. On GU, the PDL hasn't been taken yet but its at risk so, I'll be looking at how price reacts to all of the +POIs (D+FVG,4H+Breaker, and the 4H+FVG, 4H+OB). If DXY fails to push through PDH, well look for price to trade into the 4H+FVG and and the same time I'll be looking at price inside of the 4H-FVG on GU.
by Cory4rex
Weekly Bias for Nas100 - 10/1/2023Weekly Chart: Price took out the PWL and the August low into a W+OB and we did close positively for the week. We did create the low of a W-FVG (not drawn but, it's there) and price closed near the middle of the weekly range, Weekly High 14906.5, Weekly Low 14429.3, Weekly Mid point 14667.9, Weekly close 14741.8. Weekly idea: Price took out lows into the W+OB but for now there is a W+FVG below that may be the target. If we take out the PDL, this will be my target into the the W+FVG(H) near 14232.7. In order to turn bullish I will need to see a high taken out and I'll want to see what price does inside the W-FVG. Daily Chart: Price traded into a D-FVG and set the high near the D-FVG (MT) and left a huge wick with a Friday close near the Mid point of the Weekly range. We took out the bearish engulfing made on Tuesday but by Friday we traded back into it. Daily Idea: Price leaving that large wick will cause for me to look at how price response to the close, middle and high of the candle. Do we fail inside this wick or take out the high? This is the question I'll be looking to answer. If we fail, I'll be looking to take out the PDL and THURS PDL. If we take out the high, price should close the D-FVG and trade into another D-FVG just above (not drawn) with the low near 14974.1. 4H Chart: Price left a 4H-OB inside the daily wick and the low was made inside a 4H+FVG(H) 14661.5. There is a +CHOCH above THURS PDH and the this is my hesitation to go full on bearish on the short term. There is also a 4H+Breaker that Friday could not take out as well. 4H Idea: I want to see if price will take out the 4H-OB or the PDL
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex