OB
USDJPYWhile market sentiment is bearish I'm not bearish at the moment! If you have open long position it's good idea to close some of it.
If don't a very low-risk short option could be an option for those who believe confirmation in LTF could do a miracle!
If you prefer more suitable place to enter the market, just like me, wait for a breakout upper of 145.000 or lower than 141.200
Short Trade = Daily Anti Cypher + Bearish Maxlev PatternShort Trade = Daily Anti Cypher + Bearish Maxlev Pattern
Price seems to be in a downtrend, creating lower low market structures.
Confluences:
1. Price below FRVP POC
2. Price below AVWAP bands
3. Large Bearish Harmonic Pattern
4. Bearish Maxlev Pattern
Target:
1. Liquidity Hunt from Maxlev Pattern
2. FVG
Harmonic + OB + IMB + OTE: Failed1. I used the Previous OTE ZONE as my entry area when it has already been tapped a few times...
2. I did not plot a fib ret on the latest swing low/high for some reason despite there being a ChoCh present.
One thing to note about this though, is that the FIBRET is Reversed. Seeing the non-reversed version meant there was no OB + OTE confluence anywhere.
Maybe that's why I didn't bother with it.
Here's the thing though.. and what is probably a crucial information that I wouldn't have learned if I didn't lose this trade:
Putting fibret on reverse, meant it confluenced with the FVG.
So what I've learned:
1. OTE + FVG MIGHT JUST BE AS VIABLE AS OTE + OB.
2.Try out both reversed and non-reversed versions of fib ret. There might be a confluence you are not seeing.
ALSO, VERY IMPORTANT NOTE:
If price left your entry point, and reached target take profit (liquidity, fvg, s/r levels, etc) first...
Close the trade.
Reaching the target take profit means the market maker move is done.
It means the intention has been fulfilled, and it's time to make a new price action setup.
So the next time it reaches your target entry point, the price has a higher chance of not bouncing, because price is already moving with different intent.
CANCEL COMPLETED TRADES.
SAVE YOUR CAPITAL.
DON'T GIVE IT UP EASILY.
Harmonic + OB + IMB + OTEHarmonic + OB + IMB + OTE
Check the pic.
Main Reason for Entry is the harmonic pattern.
Waited for Choch, and there it was.
Entry point will be the Orderblocks confluence with the OTE Zone, based on Fibonacci .57-.8,
Targeting Previous Daily High.
Stop Loss at below liquidity points.
I made 2 entry points in case the first one gets SL hunted.
Overall good trade if it works.
WINLEV + PULLBACK OTE OB Pattern: Failed.WELP.
SL HIT.
It got so close to TP point yesterday though.
Sad.
Anyway.
Reason trade failed?
1. Strong resistance
2. Too ambitious tp point?
3. I should have closed the trade once I saw price made a lower high and flipped to the downside.
4. Maybe I should have made the SL or even entry point a lot lower than the FVG? Current price just bounced from the FVG and it looks like a good re-entry point. I'll see what I can do.
Pullback OTE + OB Trade StrategyPullback OTE + OB Trade Strategy
Pump + Pullback to OTE + Orderblock Strategy.
Tapped FVG below + Weak High = ripe for more pump. Just has to gather more gas at the orderblock to fuel the breakout.
I just can't think of any good or new thing to say about this.
I've done this several times.
You can follow this or not, it depends on you. Just put a stoploss and proper position sizing so you're good.
USDJPY Short IdeaWe are Currently in Premium, testing a Bearish Orderblock in the form of PDA. Inside this Orderblock, we have a new orderblock from which price moved rapidly away from as well as it took out previous high, which validates the OB. Price Manipulated the Previous Highs with a long wick, making this a Smart Money Reversal. We have a lot of FVG and EQL (SSL) to fill in. As another confirmation, we expect a retracement down as we have an overextended W, which should attract the market to move downwards.
If the price should reach there, I'm looking to scale off some profits at around 110.077.
Two possible Scenarios,
One entry (main setup), it's a lower entry so more likely to get triggered.
One entry at Equilibrium (CE), which has way better Risk to Reward but is less likely to get triggered. (however, LTF created lots of imbalance inside the new OB, which could definitely get filled)
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Confirmations:
- In Premium
- Orderblock INSIDE bigger Orderblock
- Manipulation of the High
- FVG & SSL Targets
- W formation Retracement
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My ONLY Concern for me is that we have a lot of News today which could impact price to move the other direction.
This may fail, but at least I'm not afraid to show my risk to reward box BEFORE it happens, unlike 95% of everyone on this platform.
If it fails, I still have a strong belief that these FVG and SSL level will get filled soon, and I'll still keep them as targets for future trades.
eurusd shortOn the 2hr timeframe, I notice a OB supply level with liquidity taking out the previous SL before.
I have placed my entry on this and am now waiting. This type of trade will probably run for couple days due to the big move to the downside.
I will be taking partials from certain price levels.
ES short-term analysisToday I want to see fill of the 1h Breakaway Gap - 4139.
My key level 4125. This is buystops level. Pretty sure it will want to test it to complete ATM/ICT Mentorship Model.
My Pre-market Plan for May 24, 2023:
Bullish Scenario - Break above 4165 (short-term BSL, 4163 NY Midnight Open Price as well) can bring some bulls —> 4175 - this is "NWOG" - 04/16-04/21.
Market looks more bearish anyway. Once it tested 4175 level and failed to hold it, I am going to play long w/ target at 4186-90.
1h OB - 4190 + 1h FVG.
Bearish Scenario - Break below 4132 ("NWOG" - 05/07-05/12) will give short trade opportunity with target at 4126.
Next my trade can be below 4120 - SSL on 1h chart.
Once it breaks this SSL level, it will open the room to the 4111.
Key Levels for long today: 4158, 4168, 4185
Key Levels for short today: 4131, 4122, 4104
USDCHF Update. New hight ? After a good start on the 15-minute chart around the Point of Interest for buyers on the 4-hour chart, I noticed that we are also in a key area of interest on the 1-day chart. According to the Smart Money concept since January 2021, we have only just finished accumulating liquidity. After such a powerful one-day candle, I decided to leave a portion of my deposit in trading to hold 0.01 lots until the price reaches the last untested zone on the 1-day chart, which settled around 0.10000. Since my broker still has long funding, this could be a great trade.
Criteria for closing the position:
The price reaches my stop loss, which I will occasionally move relative to the zones of interest on the 4-hour chart.
The funding turns against me.
GBPCHF continues its bullish trend!After breaking new highs, the British Pound is planning to reach even higher heights. Is the next stop 1.1606?
I am expecting a new attempt to attack the Swing High.
"I'm opening a position at market (1.12572) and placing a stop loss behind the Strong Swing Low. I'll set one take profit at 1.13719 and the second take profit at 1.1606."
Eurusd weekly forecast currencyhello traders we expect bullishness once they dib down to the imbalance follow the trend wish you good luck i have posted the reasons you can refer to it for quiz just comment down below i am happy to help lets make money make sure to follow and boost wish best trading weeks manage your risk
A loss for me a lesson for you- Trading a bearish FVGReview this first to see the fair value gap:
(1)Trades inside the -FVG
(2) Rejects -FVG(MT)
(3) Holds -FVG(L)
Note: This is a high probability sign for moves higher, price trades inside the 4H-FVG. Once price is inside, the price trades to the 4H-FVG(MT) and trades back down to the 4H-FVG(L) and price holds for a continuation inside.
(4) Prices trades through -FVG(MT)
(5) Trades and rejects the -FVG(H) and -OB
Note: This is where, and only where I should have entered for the sells that I attempted near the midpoint. We had already traded pass 4H-FVG(MT). After the failed entry, you should wait for price to reach the 4H-FVG(H) and in this case the -OB as well.
CADJPYThis will be my trade for CADJPY as the current market had made a new pattern on the chart. As a student of SMC, there is a break of structure, and it has a strong rejection on the OB. it may reverse from here. let's see how the price shall react.
if you do have any idea or suggestion, leave down your comment. let's discuss about it