Occidental Petroleum ($OXY): Buffett-Backed Value Play in Energy
Introduction:
Occidental Petroleum ( NYSE:OXY ) is an energy giant🌍 that’s catching attention for all the right reasons. With Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway owning 28.8% of its shares, record-breaking production levels, and innovative strides in carbon capture, OXY has positioned itself as a compelling investment opportunity. Despite a challenging year with a -20.33% YTD decline, the company’s improving financials, operational efficiency, and strategic acquisitions point toward significant long-term potential. Let’s break it down. 📈
Key Points
1. Market Context 🛢️
Stock Price: $46.50
52-Week Range: $42.00 - $66.00
Market Cap: $52.3 billion
Market sentiment around OXY is cautiously optimistic. With Buffett’s backing, many investors see the current dip as a potential buying opportunity.
2. Financial Health 💵
OXY’s financials showcase a balance of value and efficiency:
P/E Ratio: 12.7x, below the 5-year average of 18.4x.
Price-to-Book Ratio: 1.43, indicating undervaluation.
Dividend Yield: 1.85%, with room for growth as debt reduces.
Q3 2024 Highlights:
Net Income: $964 million ($0.98 per share).
Operating Cash Flow: $3.8 billion.
Debt Reduction: $4.0 billion, bringing the debt-to-equity ratio down to 0.75.
3. Operational Performance 🚀
Production: 1.4 million barrels/day in Q3 2024, exceeding guidance and setting company records.
Margins: Operating margins improved to 57.01%, driven by lower well and drilling costs.
4. Strategic Initiatives 🌱
CrownRock Acquisition: Boosts Permian Basin operations, positioning OXY for long-term growth.
Carbon Management: Leading in carbon capture technologies, aligning with sustainability goals and opening new revenue streams.
5. Investment Case 🛡️
Buffett’s Confidence: Berkshire Hathaway’s 28.8% stake reflects a belief in OXY’s undervaluation and long-term potential.
Valuation Metrics: Trading at a discount compared to historical averages provides an opportunity for value investors.
Growth Potential: Stabilizing oil prices, improved operational efficiency, and innovation in carbon management suggest significant upside.
Conclusion
Occidental Petroleum offers a unique blend of value, growth, and innovation. With Buffett’s endorsement, record production, and strategic focus on sustainability, OXY is well-positioned to reward long-term investors employing a Dollar Cost Averaging strategy. 🌟
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
Occidentalpetroleum
Buffett is just one step away from skyrocketing to the Moon 🚀Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway just snapped up more Occidental Petroleum shares, pushing the legendary investor's stake in the oil company to just over 25%.
Buffett's conglomerate purchased another 2.1 million shares of Occidental in the past week when the stock traded at $57.89, an amount worth $123 million in total, according to a recent Securities and Exchange Commission filing.
Berkshire now owns 224 million shares of the oil producer worth $13 billion. That represents just over quarter of Occidental's entire value, with a total market cap of $52.56 billion.
Buffett has been vocal about his bullishness on Occidental Petroleum, snapping up big chunks of the stock over the past year as oil and natural gas prices skyrocketed in the aftermath of Russia - Ukraine tensions.
And though Buffett has said he has no interest in taking over Occidental, Berkshire gained approval from regulators to potentially own up to 50% of the company last August.
Energy prices, meanwhile, have eased from their highs last summer, but analysts have said prices are in for another surge later in the year, especially if China's economic reopening leads to a big upswing in oil demand.
Moreover El Niño is here. Commodity prices could swing in turmoil.
OXY Occidental Petroleum Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought OXY before the last run:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OXY Occidental Petroleum prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.32.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Occidental Petroleum formed 2 strong bullish patternsIn the last few months we've seen two bullish formations.
W Formation first and recently a Cup & handle.
The price has broken above the neckline and brim level, and now the price seems to be retracing to a conservative level of entry.
With the higher lows and clear signs of demand, it looks like this market is poised for growth.
7>21>200
RSI>50 - Higher lows
Target $80
Occidental Petroleum: The Bulls are back! 🐂In the Occidental Petroleum chart, bulls have displayed renewed strength since early September, which needs to be sustained. The turquoise wave B is expected to reach higher, stopping just shy of the $77.13 resistance level. Following this peak, substantial declines are anticipated, potentially dropping below $54.35. Should the price manage to break above the resistance, though we deem it only 34% likely, it would overshoot the turquoise wave alt.B. However, this doesn't alter the bearish outlook that follows.
Is It Time to Follow the Oracle's Lead?You may have heard of a certain Warren Buffett, and it seems like he might be onto something...
Buffett, known as the "Oracle of Omaha," has demonstrated remarkable investment timing, or perhaps an innate ability to steer investment flows. This was clearly illustrated by his investment in Japan, which triggered a rally in the Nikkei to decade-long highs. While that window may have closed, Buffett has been discreetly bolstering his stake in another entity - Occidental Petroleum (OXY).
If we scrutinize the timing of his purchases, it's apparent that Buffett likely had a price floor in mind. Intriguingly, his first purchase occurred when Crude was trading at a 15-year high!
This leads us to examine Oil, which has been trading nearly 40% lower since mid-2022.
Since our last discussion about oil, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) has been further depleted, reaching its lowest level since 1983. The result of this drawdown is a diminished impact on energy costs as evidenced by the energy inflation index, which has not only passed its peak but has now turned negative.
Interestingly, the Canadian dollar and the Norwegian Krone, currencies of major oil-exporting countries, have been outpacing the commodity typically correlated with them, Crude Oil.
On the whole, it seems the energy commodity sector may have bottomed out, with all types of Oil and natural gas trading on an upward trajectory.
In consideration of these factors, the outlook for oil leans towards the bullish side. The scarcity of oil in the SPR and the absence of energy inflation as a significant contributor to overall CPI make it unlikely for the U.S. to release more oil to depress energy prices. Coupled with the buoyant trend in the energy commodity space and the recent outperformance of major oil-exporting countries' currencies, it appears to be an opportune moment to consider a long position on oil. At the current price level of 72.33, risk managed trade points to setting the stops at the previous support of 66 and take profit level at 85. Each Crude Oil Future contract is equal to 1000 barrels of crude oil. Each 0.01 point increment in Crude Oil Futures is equal to 10 USD . The same view can also be expressed with greater precision using the Micro WTI Crude Oil, where each Micro contract is equal to 100 barrels of crude oil and each 0.01 point increment is equal to 1 USD.
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Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
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www.eia.gov
tradingeconomics.com
Running Low on OXY?Running Low On OXY?
I believe we will be "running low on oxy" over the next few days or weeks.
A head and shoulders pattern was identified on the daily in confluence with 2 rising support trendlines. OXY broke below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern on Friday, February 3, 2023. Furthermore, the daily chart shows an increase of sellers at the break of the neckline.
Therefore, I'd be interested in shorting OXY if it holds below the neckline AND breaks below the 2 rising support lines (for further confirmation). The level of interest is 60.
Akili,
MrALtrades00
*This is not financial advice.
OXY: 3 Line Strike If The Week Closes Like ThisWe have 2 instances of MACD Bearish Divergence along with some RSI Divergence and a potential for there week to confirm a Bullish 3 Line Strike if the weekly can close below the last 3 bullish candle bodies. Based off of this i think Occidental Petroleum will be coming back down to $35.00
OXY - Occidental Petroleum long setupOccidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.
- BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY (Warren Buffet) is acquiring shares
- Expected earnings and revenue beat
- High oil prices
- High volume
- Above 200 EMA
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: $OXY) Back @ 2016, 2017 & 2019 LowsOccidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
OXY: Can earnings boost momentum?!Occidental Petroleum
Short Term - We look to Buy at 55.37 (stop at 50.76)
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode lower. Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return. Earnings news could provide a good catalyst for the move.
Our profit targets will be 67.90 and 72.00
Resistance: 60.00 / 64.00 / 68.00
Support: 55.00 / 52.00 / 49.00
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Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: $OXY) Boost By Berkshire Hathaway!🛢Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
2/13/22 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation ( NYSE:OXY )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil & Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 40.143B
Current Price: $42.98
Breakout price: $41.55 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $41.50-$38.40
Price Target: $39.20-$40.50 (Reached), $48.40-$50.60 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 80-83d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $OXY 5/20/22 50c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.50/contract
1/23/22 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation ( NYSE:OXY )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Oil and Gas Production)
Market Capitalization: 31.522B
Current Price: $33.75
Breakout price: $35.60
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $33.50-$30.40
Price Target: $39.20-$40.50
Estimated Duration to Target: 83-88d
Contract of Interest: $OXY 4/14/22 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.10/contract
Occidental Petroleum Corporation strong uptrendNYSE:OXY is resuming with the uptrend. The price is back above the 50EMA, implying a semi-strong trend. Keep in mind that the AMEX:XOP is also above this level, showing strength in this sector.
I'll be adding to my existing position with a stop loss at $28/share.
Remember to practice sound risk and money management.
Follow for more charts.
Bullish on Occidental Petroleum. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!