SPY Bull TrapTSLA news isn't actual stock split, AAPL is down from profit taking after winning Best Picture, Ukraine situation continues to unfold, Treasury bonds, etc.
All things considered, still bearish Wednesday onwards, though we may get another day or two of bullishness (though somehow I doubt it)
Ocelot
BTC Quadruple TopLooks like multiple tries of attempting to break through neckline but consistently failing to hold above neckline at each critical point. With the recent greenish activity, chances are higher than usual of red activity this coming week, though it could go either way at this point. Still, with world events, I'm leaning bearish.
AAPL NeutralCurrently positioned at a point that it could easily breakdown and be bearish or break up and continue bullish trend upwards. Due to the nature of things, expecting multiple green candles during a week to be followed by some bearish profit taking Monday, but currently at a point where it's hard to truly make a call either way. Will need to see Monday price action at market open, midday, and EOD to make a conclusive
APPL Bearish168.76 is strong resistance.
Break above that, next resistance is 174.87. Above that is 182.84
160.07 is support
Break below that, 156.95
See trend line for next support
Next hard support is 150.53
Next is 139.8
Then 130
Catalyst: Apple Event
Predicting break below 150 by May 16th, falling through support levels.
Prediction invalidated if we make new ATH
C2+T3, now recruiting.
SPY StraddleOn the short term this looks like a textbook bull pennant
Long term however it's a bear pennant (kind of?), But not a textbook one, that massive dip and massive rally messes with it
I expect us to make a major move up or a major move down today or tomorrow
SOTU is catalyst enough today for that imo
I'm leaning towards up. The charts are better for it and I think Ukraine news is good for US, as we covered earlier
Looking forward to your thoughts when you read this
tldr 437.33 turns into support that holds solidly we go pew up to 440, then it's a straight shot to 447
Now if it breaks to the downside, 430.39 is the support, and if that fails we tumble all the way down to 412
"gap down" as they say
Bears will do puts, Bulls will do calls, smart / safe money will do both with a straddle