OCGN
OCGN next movementsWe arribe to the final countdown and go up... If the news are good the movement will be bullish.
I show you my prediction lines:
Blue -> Hard Resistance that if overcome will become hard support.
Red -> Resistance that if overcome will become support.
Orange -> Bearish trend that we broke days ago and that we do not want to see any more.
Good luck to all!
OCGN Ocugen new Covid-19 Vaccine and Price TargetOCGN Ocugen partnered with Bharat Biotech for Covaxin, the first COVID vaccine developed in India to receive emergency authorization.
With the COVID significant rise in cases, hospitalizations and deaths over the last two weeks, vaccines producers are rising once again.
My short term Price Target is 10.30usd
OCGN back to basicsOCGN kind of treading water for now. I think what we need to see are some rock-solid results from COVAXIN, which this rolling submission could be helpful in identifying. The Phase 3 results were interesting. With more warnings coming out about the current SOC EAU vaccines, another option might not be "too late" at this point. But a lot will clearly come down to the results. For now, speculation is probably playing a bigger role as we don't know much more beyond what Ocugen announced this week. Regardless, looking at chart levels, a quick Fib retracement shows a few "pain points" on the chart, namely the 618 fib that has been a frequent resistance level over the last few months.
"On July 2nd, Ocugen reported new evidence from Bharat Biotech. The company shared positive results of its Phase 3 study of COVAXIN™; a whole virion inactivated COVID-19 vaccine candidate. According to the company, it demonstrated a vaccine efficacy in mild, moderate, and severe COVID-19 disease of 77.8% with efficacy against severe COVID-19 disease alone of 93.4%.
“With the Delta variant becoming a dominant strain of COVID-19 in the United States, we believe that the Phase 3 efficacy results reported by Bharat Biotech demonstrate that COVAXIN™ has the potential to become an important option to expand protection against this emerging variant. Combining these data with the only Delta-variant results from a controlled Phase 3 clinical trial, evidence continues to support a favorable benefit-risk profile for COVAXIN™.” - Dr. Bruce Forrest, Acting Chief Medical Officer and a member of the vaccine scientific advisory board of Ocugen. "
Quote Source: 7 Penny Stocks For Your Watch List This Week If You Like Biotech In July
OCGN "variant stew"Alot going on in this chart but bear(or bull) with me.. 100MA being tested, broke above trend line and alot of confluence occuring all at once while the "Variant" is the big talk of the days.
Quite a bit of upside here if good PR comes out on OCGN. Otherwise we could see this get swatted right back down under the trend line and below the 100MA. My calls are in for a solid risk reward play here.
Trade safe and have fun! SMASH that like button and let me know your thoughts in the comments!
OCGN US manufacturing set to BOOMWhen I was but a young lad, matching games were my favorite... Do you see the similarities in the ellipses here? Identical but different scales second ellipse is nearly double the first.. could this go to above 20 soon? Dont take my word for it just an interesting thought. I mortgaged my house and sold my truck for these calls....Heavy in calls so cheers to retirement... kidding..trade safe trade smart!
Good luck. Be sure to like and share! Check out my profile for these charts or DM me for more!
Did you see my last AMC callout...?? At 9$? and before even lower...
Probability theory: Independence, Psychology: Regret theorySocial media provides access to quality content analyses, but you see rookie traders who make good money, losing it all in one trade!
In the past few days, I predicted 4 potential stocks to be candidates for the next pump and one call option with decent gains.
WISH, VLDR, QS, and OCGN, made double-digit returns, and the AAPL call option made a +100% gain. A minority of my followers invested in these ideas and won big. Those who are chasing a higher level of adrenalin bought options on some of these ideas! Now I see this phenomenon creating a bigger problem for the majority of my followers. The famous sense of FOMO(Feeling Of Missing Out). This Feeling Of Missing Out could become a dangerous situation!
How?
let me explain it from a mathematical point of view:
Probability theory: Independence
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.
Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other (equivalently, does not affect the odds). Similarly, two random variables are independent if the realization of one does not affect the probability distribution of the other.
When dealing with collections of more than two events, a weak and a strong notion of independence needs to be distinguished. The events are called pairwise independent if any two events in the collection are independent of each other while saying that the events are mutually independent (or collectively independent) intuitively means that each event is independent of any combination of other events in the collection. A similar notion exists for collections of random variables.
The name "mutual independence" (same as "collective independence") seems the outcome of a pedagogical choice, merely to distinguish the stronger notion from "pairwise independence" which is a weaker notion. In the advanced literature of probability theory, statistics, and stochastic processes, the stronger notion is simply named independence with no modifier. It is stronger since independence implies pairwise independence, but not the other way around.
A simple Example:
Rolling dice:
The event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event of getting a 6 the second time is independent. By contrast, the event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event that the sum of the numbers seen on the first and second trial is 8 are not independent.
Psychology:
What Is Regret Theory?
Regret theory states that people anticipate regret if they make the wrong choice, and they consider this anticipation when making decisions. Fear of regret can play a significant role in dissuading someone from taking action or motivating a person to take action. Regret theory can impact an investor's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make investment decisions that would benefit them as opposed to harming them.
Regret theory refers to human behavior regarding the fear of regret, which stems from people anticipating regret if they make the wrong choice.
This fear can affect a person's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make decisions that would benefit them as opposed to those that would harm them.
Regret theory impacts investors because it can either cause them to be unnecessarily risk-averse or it can motivate them to take risks they shouldn't take.
During extended bull markets, regret theory causes some investors to continue to invest heavily, ignoring signs of an impending crash.
By automating the investment process, investors can reduce their fear of regret from making incorrect investment decisions.
Conclusion:
No matter how you trade or who you follow, the odds of success in any trade are independent..! It means even though we had 5 successful trades in a row, the next one has a 50% chance of being a failure!
What saves us is Risk Management, and having a stop loss which works as emergency exits in the building!
Do not let FOMO overrule your trading strategies
Kenny Rogers:
You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em. Know when to walk away and know when to run.
Moshkelgosha
Reference:
1- en.wikipedia.org(probability_theory)
2- www.investopedia.com
$OCGN Continues to Consolidate in Constructive MannerOCGN is a strong growth name that has been consolidating its massive rally from Dec-Feb over the past 3-4 months. This consolidation has taken the form of a symmetric triangle, which is normally technically constructive, pointing to a potential test of the sloped resistance line now sitting above in the $15 area.