BTC Daily Analysis. The possibilities and what to look out forIndicators used. Camarilla pivots on monthly levels. Linear regression. HH HL LL LH with RSI. / Oscillation, ppo, shaff trend / MacD
The Green and bullish path would indicate us breaking H4 and closing over it on a daily. The target would be H5. If this happens stoploss would be H3. To see these happen we would want to see more consolidation in the levels we are currently in without breaking and closing under the H3 beforehand.
The yellow path is the healthy correction path and what it seems we might be more likely to take at this moment. We see some warning flags. such as caution dots on the daily as well are grinding under a downward linear regression channel and a daily mac-D cross down confirmed. for a trade on this path one would want to see a daily close under the H3. Target the L3. with a stoploss at the H4
The red path would only be if we took the yellow path and the bounce on the monthly L3 did not resolve a bounce. For this play one would want to see a daily close under the L4 and enter with a target of L5 and a stop loss at the L3.
Personal Idea. I think it is not out of the realm of possibilities to see the corrective path at least. I am not supper bullish nor bearish in this place. The daily indicators at the current moment lean on it more in my personal experience. It should be noted I trade using pivot points and static levels and not Moving averages. So DYOR and trade to your plan and liking. This is not financial advice. Just the way Isee it.
Ocillator
The DEFINITION of STOCHASTIC oscillator !*Stochastic oscillator
The stochastic oscillator is a useful indicator when it comes to assessing momentum or trend strength. The stochastic oscillator, and oscillators in general, are presented in an easy to understand manner with clear buy and sell signals. However, an overreliance on these signals, without a deeper understanding of stochastic oscillators, is likely to end in frustration.
To avoid such frustration, new traders ought to have a solid understanding of the underlying mechanics of the stochastic oscillator viewed in relation to present market conditions.
**WHAT IS A STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR?
A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator that calculates whether the price of a security is overbought or oversold when compared to price movement over a specified period. The oscillator essentially weighs up the most recent price level as a percentage of the range (highest high – lowest low) over a defined period of time.
***HOW DOES A STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR WORK?
The stochastic oscillator presents two moving lines that ‘oscillate’ between two horizontal lines. The solid black line in the image below is called the %K and is while the red dotted line is a 3-period moving average of the %K line and It is called %D.
Price is shown to be ‘overbought’ when the two moving lines break above the upper horizontal line and ‘oversold’ once they break below the lower horizontal line.
The overbought line represents price levels that fit into the top 80% of the recent price range (high – low) over a defined period – with the default period often being ‘14’. Likewise, the oversold line represents price levels that fit into the bottom 20% of the recent price range.
****Timing entries:
Furthermore, the stochastic indicator provides great insight when timing entries. When both lines are above the ‘overbought’ line (80) and the %K line crosses below the dotted %D line, this is viewed as a possible entry signal to go short and the other way around is when the %K line crosses above the %D line when both lines are below the oversold line (20).
Additionally, you should not blindly trade based on overbought/oversold conditions alone. Traders need to understand the direction of the overall trend and filter trades accordingly. For example, when looking at the BTC/USD chart below, since the overall trend is down, traders should only look for short entry signals Further more, the stochastic indicator provides great insight when timing entries. When both lines are above the ‘overbought’ line (80) and the %K line crosses below the dotted %D line, this is viewed as a possible entry signal to go short and the other way around is when the %K line crosses above the %D line when both lines are below the oversold line (20).
Additionally, you should not blindly trade based on overbought/oversold conditions alone. Traders need to understand the direction of the overall trend and filter trades accordingly. For example, when looking at the USD/SGD chart below, since the overall trend is down, traders should only look for short entry signals at overbought levels. Only when the trend reverses or a trading range is well-established, should you look for long entries in oversold conditions.at overbought levels. Only when the trend reverses or a trading range is well-established, should you look for long entries in oversold conditions.
****STOCHASTIC OSCILLATORS: A SUMMARY
The stochastic indicator is a great tool for identifying overbought and oversold conditions over a specific time period. The stochastic oscillator is preferred by many traders when price is trading in a range because price itself is ‘oscillating’, leading to more reliable signals from the stochastic indicator. However, you need to avoid blindly shorting at overbought levels in upward trending markets; and going long in down trending markets purely based on oversold conditions shown by the indicator.
Note that sometimes the accuracy of BB is low (like the one shown with white flash) but most of the times it works fine.
We hope that you've learn something with this post .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
Potential EURCHF ShortA downtrend of LL's and LH's has formed (marked) with a number of s and r lines (marked). The Stochastic oscillator suggests that the market is currently oversold so we can expect a rise to a support level followed by a continuation of the downtrend if the support holds (marked on the graph and indicator). A sell limit below the support line with a sl just above and a tp by R2 could prove profitable
A little bitcoin in sights All the other kids with the pumped up kicks
You'd better run, better run, out run my gun
All the other kids with the pumped up kicks
You'd better run, better run, faster than my bullet
Yes this is personal chart on top of it it is a suggestions (YES THOSE RED LINES ARE SUGGESTIONS DON'T TAKE THEM 4 GRANTED) .
And so i started to publish my ideas .
Alecs