OGI
SNDL a MJ penny stock in reversal from trend down LONGSNDL is shown on a weekly chart with a volume profile and VWAP band lines anchored back
three years. Perhaps due to recent news of potential federal legalization or other catalysts
SNDL is now above its pivot low. The EMA cloud ( periods 7, 21 and 42) is now green as
lines converged into a zero slope and are now rising. Price is now approaching the first lower
band line and will thus enter the fair value zone above the undervalued zone. A reasonable
target is 7.0 where the POC line of the volume profile is confluent with the black mean VWAP
line. The is more than 100% upside and will not occur quickly. Price may get spikes with
marijuana-related news along the way. A sign the trade is going bad is if both the faster green
RSI line and the slower black RSI line both go below the 50 level. The stop loss will be
at 1.86 below the EMA cloud. Accordingly. the risk is $0.50 per risk. If only $100 is to be risked
the trade can be 200 shares. Risk is off when price rises to $2.85 and the stop-loss is adjusted
to the entry price. Beyond $3.00, the stop loss can be adjusted to a trailing 10-15% or the
ATR. I see the last weekly candle as a Doji and so consolidation and price consensus making for
a best entry.
OGI - a MJ penny stock upgraded LONGOGI got an upgrade from hold to buy and with it a target of 5.25 or more than double current
valuation. The ballot iniative in Florida and legalization in Gremany are recent news. VP Harris
seeks to make legalization an lection issue this fall while pushing for a DEA reboot on the whole
cleassification of MJ. Prospects for growth seem more clear for OGI . I will take a long trade
here with the National MJ Day upcoming this weekend. I will target the horizontal levels
of recent pivots as drawn in black on the 60 minute chart.
OGI Swing Trades Continue More Volatlity from Fed News SHORTOGI has completed another trend up from the federal news about a push for legalization
of marijuana as a handout from incumbents seeking another term. My recent idea on OGI
as to demonstrate its suitability for high return short duration swing trades to add compounding
into the profit and returns. The increased volatility due to the federal news only adds to
the overall picture. I will short OGI here looking for price to fall to the area of the mean VWAP
where I will reverse my position and begin to take a long position in increments at optimal
entries.
TLRY and its peers jump on high federal news catalyst LONGTLRY on the 2H sharge shows a draamatic trading response to the DOJ recommending the
reclassification of marijuana. No much to the analysis = these will have momentum until it
fades. I suspect good continuation plays here until mid -day on Friday when profit taking
and sell-offs will dominate. Short sellers will take positions at the tops as well. In the
meanwhile long trades are the low lying fruit.. The risk is a bit lessens by the surge from
the news. Others include SNDL, OGI , ACB and the ETF MJ for those who like to spread risk
across a basket of stocks. For the time being these stocks will be truly buzzed but do not be
late. Stay home if you are.
ACB a Cannabis Penny Stock LONGACB is moving of late due to the legalization of marijuana in Germany as well as the election
referendum in Florida in November. It is the best capitalized of the peer penny stocks in
this sector. Today from the low at the opening bell to the high before the NY lunch hour, ACB
moved about 30%. There was both a long and short trade here. The options moved
multiples. National MJ Day is April 20th. I expect these stocks to keep moving at least
until then. ACB is getting support from the mean anchored VWAP line and is able to run
with its bullish momentum to the second upper VWAP line before the shorts take positions
and longs realize profits. Since ACB is now situated at the mean VWAP, it is set up for
a long entry now.
ACB Cannabais Peeny Stock with News LONGCannabis socks got a boost in the past day as the Biden administration seeks a reclassification
of cannabis with the Drug Enforcement Agency ( DEA) This will likely give the entire sector
some momentum. Here on a 60 minute chart, Aurora ACB is seen in a VWAP band breakout,
crossing over the fair vlaue area of the mean VWAP accompanied on the indicators with
confirmatory volume and volatility. On the zero lag MACD, the lines have crossed above the
zero horizontal and above the histogram. I see this as an excellent long entry targeting 4.35
which was the pivot high after the last earnings. This represents a conservative 17-20% upside
with potential upside beyond that price level given the potential impact of the federal news.
Swing Trading a Marijuana Penny Stock OGI LongOGI is a highly volatile penny stock in the marijuana subsector. It is too cheap to short It does
have options. ( The strike $2 for 3/15 contract on Friday went 67% from the LOD to the high of
day). On the 15-minute chart is shown my swing trading strategy for OGI. Each up arrow is one
lot of shares while the red arrow is to sell a lot. The lot size can be number for example
1,20,50, 100. consistency helps the strategy.
There are seven trades taken, three are completed while four are open. The three completed
trades average 2.5 to 4 % daily return and compounding when the cash returns from
settlement or new cash is deployed while awating settlment. There is no need for
margin. The options strategy yields more than 10% per day for capital deployed into
call contracts. The mass index indicator is used in lieu of a set of moving averages.
The dual time frame RSI looks for an early warning of a reversal with bearish divergence and
the faster RSI < slower RSI while the linear regression line in a reversal goes to a zero slope
before becoming downsloping.
This is an easy strategy with very little time and effort involved that can be scaled
once experience and results demand it.
This is an effective strategy to grow a small account in a short time. For those with significant
math skills or who know how to use a scientific calculator. Calculate the number of trading days needed to 10X initial money when the account balance is compounding each session and the compound rate is 2%. ( This strategy will compound an account 2% per trading day if 65%
of the account balance is in trade at any time with the remaining 35% settling or waiting
in cash for the next trade- I have done this several times with a few mentees.) ( Post your
result and I will private message you the calculation)
YCBD- another marijuana pneey stock lights it up LONGThe idea is on the 15 minute chart here- See also ideas for OBI, ACB, TLRY, and CGC
Germany also is pushing full legalization. A new day is dawning? Several states are working
on releasing minor offenders ( clemency and pardoning).
YCBD is risky but the potential rewards are great. As for me, a fair position with a stop loss
of 10% targets of 50%, 100% and 200%. I am in no hurry and will accept the cup and handle
as being over a relatively short period of time and so not necessarily highly reliable.
Nevertheless, i will chase some of the hottest things around- penny and low priced
marijuana stocks. (Very) HOT until they are not.
MAPS a technology and marijuana penny stock LONGMAPS on 240 minute chart is now in a significant breakout with spiking volume and dramatically
increased relative strength. The breakout was caused by the news that the Biden administration
and specifically VP Harris will now push to legalize marijuana and take it off the DEA's
controlled substance schedule which if legislated and enacted will buttress the Biden/Harris
ticket and help the marijuana sector free itself of certain regulatory encumbrances which will
invigorate related stocks. MAPS is a fintech app that includes advertising and helps users
locate and compare dispensaries. I added 200% to my existing position with the news.
I will add another 100% if price can get over the trendline it sits under and stay over it
for a day. My other holdings in this subsector OGI and ACB have have the best 2 or 3 days
in a long time. Will watch for signs of a momentum fade but continue to add to positions
in the meanwhile.
A clear pullback scenario for the cannabis industrySeeing the growth and innovation that has occurred in recent months shows that the big wave is incoming. This formation clearly refers to pull back and bottom. Even one of the most conservative countries of Europe; Poland has given the Market Authorization to Tilray, Inc. (TLRY). Also, the election vibe has been taking charge of global media, federal legalization would be the starting point of new stoned FOMO.
Canopy Getting HammeredCanopy Growth (WEED) is getting absolutely hammered. We're down over 7% this month after crashing over 20% in July. Imo, the stock is going to blow up when the US finally decriminalizes Cannabis. The opportunities for hemp are endless and of course the recreational market for drinks, bud, and all the rest is booming in legal markets. If I see a sub 20's print, I'll start accumulating. We have a solid floor around 12.90...
OGI Organigram Holdings Great Earnings Call and Price Targets OGI is free of any significant debt after repaying our entire term loan balance of 58.5 million!
The company currently has 220 million in cash and short-term investments!
The Market Cap is only 880.85M!
Q3 results:
- Gross revenue grew 51% from Q2 2021 to 31% from the same period in fiscal 2020 to 29.1 million.
- Net revenue grew 39% from Q2 and 13% from the same prior-year period, respectively, to 20.3 million.
- Cost of sales decreased 47% to 23.4 million from Q3 of 2020
- IFRS gross margin increased to a positive 2.1 million from a negative 50 million in Q3 of 2020, largely due to lower cost of sales
- net loss in Q3 of 2021 was reduced from Q3 2020 loss of 90 million to 4 million.
Tobacco giant BIT British American Tobacco made an investment in Canadian pot grower OGI Organigram Holdings. BIT has a 19.9% stake in Organigram for an investment equivalent to about $175 million.
The partnership also gives OrganiGram an opportunity to expand into the U.S. and new international markets.
1. My medium term price target is 4.5usd based on the resistance level
2. Fibonacci extension tool has a price target of 5.45usd
3. Stifel Nicolaus brokerage has a price target for OGI of $6.00
Did you know that you can buy it now similar to the price British American Tobacco paid for OGI Organigram Holdings?
OGI - Possible Bullish Trajectory EstablishedOGI's price created a double bottom between April 20 and mid-May. Short-term resistance has become support (orange horizontal lines), and although the RSI, MACD, and WTT indicate a short-term reduction in price, I believe price will follow the channel identified by the pitchfork. This idea becomes void if price breaks strongly out of the pitchfork channel and below current support.
Overall, I'm bullish on OGI, and we'll see how the next earnings report affects price. Thoughts?
(Good luck, do your own research, and trade safely. I'm a complete amateur, so don't trade based on my ideas. I produce charts for my own education. The ideas I present are not financial advice.)
$OGI Looking Like a Snack SoonOverall bullish on Organigram, but not at the current price level. We are not quite into oversold territory, and will need strong volume to signal a reversal.
1st Buy Target: $2.25 coincides with a minor support level and the 200WMA. This level may also provide a nice bullish swing failure of the previous low of $2.38 on the weekly time frame.
2nd Buy Target: $1.96-$2.00. This area was major resistance at one time. A retest of this zone, followed by a bounce, would provide a strong reversal point. A gap fill would also be a nice touch.
OGI looking good for a push higherOGI following our pattern nicely after dropping to our BUY ZONE, with a gap up a pointing to above 7 in this wave i of 3. Levels to look for are the gap close at 3.25, invalidation of the pattern at 2.38 and above we would like for a break of the previous high of 6.45 before going above 7. #Potstocks tend to jump higher, so beware of gaps up and rocket moves. Both RSI and MACD turning up, pointing to a move up.
BAT invests directly in OGIBAT invested directly in OGI. I sold the $2.50 cash secured 2023 Leap puts.
With the cash infusion from the direct sale of stock to BAT there is minimal risk that the stock trades sub 85 cents.
Eight five cents would be the cost per share minus the put premium collected. and a secondary inveetment of the collected premium into GGN and BPT. As usual this is a two way trade. The cash collected went into BPT September puts and GGN common.
Please view the other two charts I posted for GGN and BPT details.
Of note I sold GGN yesterday for a 4 cent per share profit and the monthly distribution is 3 cents per share. The caveats with GGN and BPT investment with the put premiums collected are stated in the other two posts (SNDL and BPT).
wishing you prosperous trades and
all the best...
Might be able to add 1/2 here..see what it looks like @ PHPH (power hour). Just wanted a quick headline with the view.