OGNUSD - 1H - Long with +108% potentialGood Morning everyone,
This week I will be sharing a breakdown of a trade I intend to take with Origin (OGN).
With OGN we currently have a couple of exciting things happening amongst multiple timeframes.
The most recent development on the 1Hr chart is the formation of a Distribution Channel, shown on the chart in yellow.
We also have some longer-term trend lines shown as two white, dashed lines on the chart. These can be interpreted any one of many ways. I see either a symmetrical triangle or long term support and resistance trend lines. Whichever way you see them, price action finally broke the resistance on April 17th.
We've had one retest of this resistance line but I believe we will see another very soon.
This now takes us to our buy range. If you notice, this is the intersection of 3 points that consist of patterns/setups that are still in play (the triangle and the distribution). That is why our buy range is set here.
The chart is pretty self explanatory with one important caveat. If the price breaks through the buy range and continues downward then this trade is invalidated and you should hopefully have a stop loss set somewhere around mine. If the price touches the buy range (where you will open your long) and continues back upward, then we have a valid setup. Either way, your stop needs to be set to the same value.
Our first sell point is what I call a shoe-in, meaning it's an easily obtainable level to ensure I take some profits along the way during trades. I set this level just below the most recent resistance price level. So if our trade plays out like we think it will, then obtaining this take profit level is almost guaranteed.
Our second sell point is similar to the first, but it is set just below the more prominent resistance level of the beginning of the triangle (or longer term resistance trend line for others).
Lastly, our top sell point is the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement from the 1Week timeframe. We chose this level because OGN has been able to hit this goal multiple times. Always incorporate daily or weekly Fibonacci trends in your potential trade setups for more accurate take profit levels.
Now, the recap for the TL;Dr'ers!
The buy range is 0.4664 - 0.4749.
The stop loss is 0.4302.
1st take profit/sell 25% is 0.6750. (+42% profit)
2nd take profit/sell 25% is 0.8224. (+73%)
3rd take profit/sell the last 50% is 0.9890. (+108%)
Happy hunting, you animals!
*** Like what you've read? Check back every week for new updates on trade setups, educational lessons, and more! ***
