Weekly Oil Report: More Bullishness by New IEA ReportsOctober, as expected, brought oil growth after 4 months of fall. November also opened with positive sentiments. During its first week, crude oil grew by 4.71 %.
The volume and MACD are showing slight weakness in bulls. We might see oil moving a bit more slowly during the week.
With the supply issues at the moment, oil can stay in the channel of 90
Oil(wti)
OIL HIGHER AFTER MIDTERM ELECTIONSFUNDAMENTALS:
- OPEC is for higher prices
- Sanctions on Russian oil will drive price up
- Developing Diesel shortages will drive price up
TECHNICALS:
- Price made a Higher Low on the D1
- Price is at Role Reversal Zone = 50% of downswing = Quarterly Pivot
- Looking for price to respect demand-zone and break above SELL-VWAP
TIMING:
- Expect trend to take off after midterm elections (> NOV 8)
Today API oil report tell shortToday API oil data report tells us that we have a lot more millions barrels this week and it can allow us to predict together with destilates rosed report togther with BIden releasing reserves to fight the oil production OPEC cut, to artificially make oil price higher can makes us to suspect that tomorrow oil DATA will show us reasons to make this black gold cheaper up to 82 or less . . . some says biden wants 68 or less .
Uncertainty by Mixed Signals Hit Traders AgainOn the weekly chart of WTI, uncertainty is clear in the last candle. Buyers and sellers were both indecisive.
On the daily chart, the MACD indicator seems to be crossing and changing the phase. Oil might open lower on Monday but it is possible to see volatilities throughout the week.
The recession is nearly the strongest bearish factor holding oil prices down. The dollar index is increasing and it brings more fear to the markets.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Trading Plan For Next Week 🛢
Hey traders,
WTI Crude Oil has recently reached a key daily structure support.
The market is currently stuck within a horizontal range.
To catch the next trend-following move, watch 81.85 - 83.4 horizontal demand zone.
Wait for its bearish breakout next week - daily candle close below that, then sell aggressively or on a retest.
Targets will be 79.7 / 76.5
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance may trigger a bullish movement.
Good luck next week!
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WTI oil - Deteriorating demand to weight on the higher oil priceSince our short-term price target of 80 USD was taken out a few weeks ago, we abstained from setting short and medium-term price targets because of very high volatility in the oil market. Despite that, we stuck to the long-term price target of 70 USD, to which we remain committed.
Our views are based mainly on fundamental factors concerning the deteriorating global demand for oil, with the OPEC slashing demand for 2023 and China maintaining its zero covid policy for longer.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- strive to perform a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages. Yellow arrows hint at bullish breakouts (above SMAs) and subsequent invalidation.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD are bearish. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture shows the weekly chart of USOIL and two moving averages. The yellow arrow points to the impending bearish crossover between two SMAs; if successful, it will bolster the bearish case.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Is Crude Oil - WTI Really on a Hike?In the daily chart of WTI, we can detect a hidden divergence in MACD and price. Friday’s movement was strong but it was not significant to the strong yearly pivot resistance and stayed below 200 MA. It can be only a fake breakout. Yet, we shall observe every new detail closely.
If it fails at the resistance, be prepared to go short. Unless the fundamentals of the Ukraine war take over and the panic pulls up the chart.
USOIL Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL is going up now
And I think that it is already
Locally overbought at this point
So I think that after the retest
Of the horizontal resistance
We will see a local bearish correction
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
oil decision timeoil is at a key key level here we did get a bullish break of the trend line but its right into a key level so price has to make a decision soon overall trend is down but oil did hit a major low on that up move so if this level holds we can see a move back down to atleast fill that gap around 80$
now if price breaks above here we can see push towards 86$ level b4 any bearish push these next few closes are important for oil
Crude Oil since the US Presidential Election vs UkraineJust a commentary about President Biden's Press Secretary saying that the Ukraine situation has caused oil prices to be elevated.
The advance from the lockdown/reopening may have been a much more important factor in the current market price.
The fear that investments in new oil refining wouldn't generate a return with an administration vehemently against oil has prevented projects from getting funded. Projects have a long time line from start to finish, measured in years.
The price had tumbled to generational buy levels in the wake of the Covid Lockdown response and economic stagnation in 2020-2021. So the natural rebound would have taken us back to this level anyway.
It's an interesting picture to see how the market moved versus how people are saying the market has moved.
IF the price goes back UNDER the Ukraine level of February 24th, then you can rightly assume that a large correction and wipe-out of speculators is underway.
The idea of this chart is that NEWS is important to graph so you can see the level where it happened. That NEWS level will be key on any future revisits to that level. It is the foundational idea behind "Key Hidden Levels" where we graph the Earnings Day on our charts to help us define low risk, high reward potential trade setups.
Tim
9:52AM EDT May 19, 2022
Crude Oil (WTI) Bearish Trend Continues 🛢️
Weekly update for WTI Crude Oil.
From the beginning of September, the market was forming a descending triangle formation - a classic bearish accumulation pattern.
Its support was broken on Friday last week.
I believe that it will trigger a further decline.
Next supports: 74.5 / 71.5 levels.
For entries, consider a confluence zone based on a trend line of a triangle and its neckline.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️