Oil(wti)
We could see a HUGE move on Oil in a longterm. DON'T MISS IT. As you can see Oil slowly returns to a huge Ascending Channel which has started in 1999. As long as Oil is inside of the Channel (or close to it) I am great believer of Oil rise. Due to a symmetry I suppose that we could see a huge move till the top of the channel with possible break (or not?) at a middle of a channel. If this setup comes true you were bought at the bottom of the channel and could sell at the top of the channel - that's what every trader dreams about. However, if Oil leaves a channel we could see rush FALL till 20+ area or lower which could mean that all who has leveraged could loose a capital. So, RR is about 1:2. Trade looks to be really danger, so Risk Management is a mandatory (if you just press BUY button with no thinking about risk management of a trade, you probably loose a lot (or everything)). If you have no skills or experience to manage risks, better stay away from Oil now.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Levels to Watch 🛢
For the last three weeks, WTI Crude Oil is very bearish.
Recently the price broke and closed below a strong rising trend line and now is approaching strong horizontal support.
Here are key levels for you to watch for oil trading:
Support 1: 93.2 - 95.0 area.
Support 2: 86.6 - 89.7 area.
Support 3: 72.5 - 75.3 area.
Resistance: vertical trend line.
Resistance 1: 106.9 - 109.0.
Resistance 2: 114.3 - 116.7.
Breakout of one of those will trigger a bullish/bearish continuation to the next structure.
While a test and confirmation may give you a counter-trend/trend-following trade.
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Crude to fall or spike?Of late, we are seeing a fall in Crude prices... a lot of it is about releasing supply into the market really.
The daily 55EMA has been broken, tested and failed once. But worthy to note that the support is holding!
So, breaking down decisively below 92 would be followed by more downside; else breaking above 98/99 would be tested by resistance zones above 100 for a short spike towards the end of April.
USOIL. P-Modeling PT V3. Inverted Springs of CajunWelcome Hyperspace Travelers,
This is a Time_Series Analysis on the 1-day timeframe.
I might wrong, but looking at data stemming from 2011. We absolutely are repeating a W formation in my eyes.
I am looking for some major relief of oil and gas prices. Coming very soon..
See previous Ideas.
This was V2.
V1 was done last year during the drop to 0.00 (can be found below).
Snapshots provided.
Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me,
Glitch420
🛢️ CRUDE OIL - 17% Higher Since our PERFECT Post 🦉💙
Our previous Oil post was perfectly on support. It is now over 17% higher since our entry.
Even more impressively, you may go back to our post on March 3rd:
also here:
and here:
Pure perfection..FXPROFESSOR style
OIL PRICES:
War in Ukraine is the biggest issue here. Inflation equally the other big issue. Then again you know a lot about these 2 factors but there is a third one:
Saudi Arabia Considers Accepting Yuan Instead of Dollars for Chinese Oil Sales
Talks between Riyadh and Beijing have accelerated as the Saudi unhappiness grows with Washington.
Unfortunately we must keep our eyes open on all these and pray for the best. Situation is not a good one.
Keep safe people.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
A potential BEARISH pattern developing for OILWhat if today's rally in crude and brent oil prices was nothing more than an oversold bounce after the hideous more than 30% decline from the prior few trading sessions?
We have identified a potential Head and Shoulders reversal pattern forming on the H4 chart, which might be an indication of what is to come, but before that let's look at what did the chart tell us shortly before the sharp selloff from the $125 highs began.
As you can see on the chart, there was already a smaller Head and Shoulders pattern that formed in the $107 and $127 range, with the two shoulders of the figure lining up almost perfectly at $114 per barrel and the massive head topping around the $125 highs. On March 10th we saw the initial break of the neckline of the bearish reversal formation with the subsequent retest of the neckline from below respecting it as a new resistance. Every Head and Shoulders pattern projects a potential reversal move roughly equal to the size of the Head of the formation. In this case, the Head was equal to $125 (Highest point) - $108 (Neckline) = $17. Guess what.. after breaking the neckline of the above-described figure the Oil price fell from $109 per barrel to $93 per barrel, which was precisely $16 before staging today's sharp intra-day rally.
What caught our attention is that today's massive rally could be actually forming the right shoulder of a much more massive Head and Shoulders pattern, with the following parameters: Shoulders within the $100-103 range, a Head of $31 dollars and a neckline around $94. To put it simply, if the price reverses course from current levels and ends up breaking below the $94 neckline support, we might be in for a vicious sell-off that could end up taking the price below the $70 mark.
Now, please keep in mind that this is a hypothetical scenario and that the figure has not yet formed. A typical entry point for a Head and Shoulders pattern is considered to be the breaking of the figure's neckline, which in this case would occur if the price drops below the $94 per barrel level on a closing basis.
However, considering the effectiveness of the prior Head and Shoulders signal that we got, we wanted to share it with you.
🛢️ CRUDE OIL - Time for a New Rally 💀War is on and the Oil correction could be over right now.
Price dropped below 100$ (we were quiet surprised to be honest) and perhaps it's time to load ong positions on, again.
There are 2 fundamental factors for this correction:
1. Russia indicated it is in favor of the Iran nuclear deal resuming as soon as possible.
Ceasefire talks between Russia and Ukraine further eased fears of supply disruptions and surging COVID-19 cases in China fueled concerns about slower demand.
2. Ukraine hopes, China lockdowns : Hopes for a diplomatic solution in Ukraine continued to weigh on oil prices Tuesday, along with COVID-19 lockdowns in China, pushing prices of both Brent and U.S. crude down to levels not seen in two weeks
There are bigger reasons why the price could bounce back up next: War in Ukraine and Inflation.
We are going LONG here. Do your own research and ride the Bull (or the Bear). Good luck to all.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
✅CRUDE OIL WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG🚀
✅CRUDE OIL is trading an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above
LONG🚀
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short-term pullback in Oil expected. $OIH $WTI This thing has gotten way overcooked and gone parabolic. If it continues to go parabolic, it will destroy the consumer. Which is 70% of what drives the US economy. So I doubt that will be allowed to happen by the market gods lol.
I expected TVC:USOIL to return to its well-defined travel that it bonered out of like a rocket. Unless we see 3 consecutive closes above $115 a barrel for WTI crude, then I expect a return to earth (the channel) and then continuing its slug upwards until renewables and EV's have completely replaced fossil fuels and ICE's.
Please see the tagged post for more info. And to understand this is not my first time doing due diligence on the subject. And not to say I told you so, but I told you so, I was spot on with oil last time. I gotta take my W's.
The easy way to potentially play this while limiting risk exposure is puts on $USO, and use any profits to add to $OIH. #TRUSTinTheTiger
CRUDE OIL Head And Shoulders! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has formed a head and shoulders
Pattern which makes me bearish biased
But for us to enter short trades
The price needs to break the neckline first
To give us a confirmation of the bearish bias
After the breakot, I am expecting Oil
To fall towards the horizontal support below
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
WTI oil - Price drops due to release of the SPRWTI oil rose to as high as 129.98 USD on 7th March 2022. However, today USOIL fell to as low as 115.51 USD. Currently, the price of USOIL trades around 170 USD price tag. We remain bullish on oil as we expect bullish factors to persist for a while longer. However, we also remain very cautious as we think any progress in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine could possibly put pressure on rising oil prices.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI exhibits extreme strength of the bullish trend as it holds for so long in the overbought territory. However, this raises a warning signal. MACD and Stochastic remain bullish. DM+ and DM- show that same condition in the market. ADX grows which suggests the trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, it starts to flash first warning signs.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is overbought. MACD and Stochastic are bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. ADX increases which suggests the trend is gaining momentum. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Top Reached on US OILFollowing my previous Idea of the big bearish Harmonic Cypher on US OIL, we continue.
#Price action Analysis
If we analyze price action, we can see on USO on left, on green boxes on before days you needed 20m shares to move the price about 4% up. Yesterday, USO traded 30m shares to move the price nowhere, Wyckoff simple offer/demand, if you push a rock 4%, and later you needed a lot more force to move the same rock 0%, means that someone is pushing the rock from the other side really hard right? The same happens here. Offer/Demand.
On the right we have a candlestick pattern where the red candle takes over the green one from yesterday, that's a reversal pattern.
#Long price term Analysis
if you followed my before days chart, I put a bearish Cypher with a target near this area, we come from 0 from Covid FUD to 126 without a major correction, not a simple .386 Fibonacci retracement at all.
I think if you jumped to oil just because everyone is buying, you will get rekt probably, I expect a .386 retracement to 100-80s at least, in the following weeks/months.
What will happen next?
I think after the pullback to 80-100s this might continue to test an ATH break maybe, I am not sure, but a correction is more than needed at these prices at this point on the trend.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) One More Breakout 🛢
Soooo
Oil opened with a gap up.
The price violated key weekly supply cluster.
The next resistance on focus is ATH.
144 - 148 is the area where the market is going right now.
Look for an occasional retest of a broken structure to buy oil.
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There's 90% chance this is the bottom of the $oil pricehistoric falls of oil shows 77% before the next rally. we might be at the end of it. current drop is 77% from near top.
also to notice this is making massive falling wedge, for this to be reality. oil has to close above 20$ on weekly chart. which is most possibly as looking at shorts are very high. short squeez is immanent.