Ukraine-Russia Oil UpdateWe playing a headline driven game on the edge of war, but we have a fairly well defined $90-$95 range that should let us know the outcome one way or another in the next couple of days.
A special summit with US Europe and Russia would be the sort of news to start the downside.
Actually Russia troops in Ukraine likely the start of the move to $100 if that comes out.
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Oil(wti)
CRUDE OIL - Watching Closely!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for CRUDE OIL, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (17th January 2022)WTI oil continues to march higher and we continue to maintain a bullish outlook on oil. Our view is supported by a combination of bullish technical and fundamental factors. Currently, we will observe whether USOIL will manage to break above the major resistance at 85.39 USD which will further bolster the bullish case for WTI oil. We would like to set a new short-term price target for USOIL to 85 USD per barrel. Our long-term price target is 90 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bullish and due to perform crossover above 70 points (into overbought zone). We expect such a phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. However, after completion of crossover we think it is likely that price will retrace lower before continuing towards a price tag of 90 USD per barrel. MACD and Stochastic are also bullish. DM+ and DM- signal bullish trend. Additionally, ADX exhibits growth which suggests that the prevailing bullish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. Same applies to MACD and Stochastic. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover recently. ADX undergoes reset as it declines. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish.
Support and resistance
Major resistance sits at 85.39 USD while major support lies at 61.76 USD. Support 1 sits at 80.81 USD and Support 2 at 78.28 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
oil could resume the boom (GUSH)wti is still in a weekly uptrend, and that could mean bulll
ish business for GUSH.
i think every time we hit a bottom in monthly oil futures we experience a period of upside with extreme volatility until that pattern of lower weekly highs during reversal breaks on the daily.
we are just near treating VWMA as support.
CRUDE OIL: Buying A Pullback To Key Support 6-2-2022CRUDE OIL – Futures
Price Action: There is no price action signal to note at this time.
The recent Bearish Tailed Bar Signal, failed (We did not consider trading this signal and hopefully saved some members on this market).
Price moved significantly higher from the prior Bullish Tailed Bar Signal + Inside Bar Breakout Pattern (Combo Setup) that had formed just under the $84.91 – $85.41 prior resistance area – which now acts as a short-term support area, also a minor Event area.
Potential Trade Idea 1: For more aggressive traders, we are still considering buying on a retracement lower and after a clear price action buy signal, at or around the $84.91 – $85.41 short-term support area (Minor Event Area)
Potential Trade Idea 2: We are still considering buying on a deeper pullback and/or after a price action buy signal, whilst price holds above the $74.17 – $77.46 short-term support area.
XLE to hit $130 by Jan 2025 a 300% gain from 2020 lowsCheck out the two trends prior to this. Clearly, you can see the run of over 300% that was 6 years long and then another 5-year trend at 142% gain. I believe we have entered commodities run and companies that produce oil and sell gasoline or diesel are going to benefit hugely. I am making a call that by January of 2025 we will see XLE at $130. Even if it doesn't, WTI Crude will hit that $130 mark. Two calls right there I think are very realistic repeating that 5-6 year trend which also matches the first 300% gain although the climb may be steeper. I think that climb coincides with how much inflation we have so I believe it's still a fair analysis overall.
If you have not watched my recent video on hyperinflation, I suggest you do. At least go compare a 1month chart of the M2 money supply (M2SL) to the SPX. Hand a hand increases and parabolic running back to 1960. It looks to be sometime around 2025 we hit our first level of lift-off, straight up as the curve stops and begins to head to the moon. This happens to land around my chart here with XLE being at $130 by 2025. After 2025 all bets are off. WE could be heading into a massive inflationary person and it could be a billion per share or something crazy. That number won't matter anymore of course as it's only nominal.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Resistance Ahead! 🛢
Hey traders,
Oil is unstoppable.
From the beginning of December, the market gained more than 35%.
Ahead is a strong supply cluster.
It is based on a major rising trend line that the price respected 3 times in a row in the past.
Let the price test that structure and then look for a confirmation to short catching a pullback from there.
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Crude Oil Approaches Key 90 Mark, but RSI Warrants CautionCrude oil is showing multiple Bearish RSI divergences, but the fundamentals -- which take precedence (IMO) -- e.g., OPEC spare capacity, Ukraine, increasing demand, etc., appear increasingly bullish.
EIA inventories due out this week show an expected build of 962k barrels, according to Bloomberg. That would mark the third week of storage increases for WTI, but Cushing, Oklahoma, stocks have seen a corresponding reduction.
If prices continue to increase, the 90 psychological level may offer up some resistance.
OIL in 1hr Ascending ChannelOi finds itself in another parallel channel. This time it is ascending and often
bearish. With lighter volume, oil continues to suggest that the
target of 93.23 will not be reached. Going forward Oil MUST reclaim the middle of
the ascending channel to stand a chance at a move higher. If it turns back at that price
level and specially breaking the bottom of the ascending (blue) channel this rally
is likely over for good.
2 place oil trader must put buylimit with sl=40 gold in way to 100$ , it break trendline(mean + trend start) ,so will see fibo 161% (dont pick sell signals,looking for buy in deep ,understand?)
if you have old sell , you must close or hedge above upper green arrow ,oil can see 100$ soon
if you are not oil trader , dont pick this signal , oil need minimum 3 year demo practice (gold better than oil)
good luck
USDWTI D1 - Short SetupUSDWTI D1
Really hoping that this $85/b price holds. We are pushing last years previous high price. Before this, we hadn't seen WTI this high until 2014.
Could see us trade down to around $75/b again before looking to extend higher, this would see a healthy correction from our latest daily extension. We could then look to position ourselves long on certain trading supports and correction zones to break this yearly high.
✅CRUDE OIL SELLING OPPORTUNITY|SHORT🔥
✅CRUDE OIL is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants are taking profit from longs
While others find this price level to be ok for selling
So as usual we have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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USDWTI D1 - Short SetupUSDWTI D1
Another bull leg seen here on WTI, pushing in excess of $81/barrel now. Things are looking very good, possible correction wave to be seen before the next push upside.
Looking for rejection and possible short positions from that $85/barrel price. From here we can squeeze a short position hopefully for as much mileage as it offers.
SPZX Key Event Risk for Tues 1/11 | Fed Upcoming etc.Starting Saturday, private insurers will be required to pay for over-the-counter HIV testing. This will make it easy for individuals to check for illnesses and halt the Omicron strain of the virus from spreading. As a result of mixed employment reports, the US dollar declined. The rates on Australia's and New Zealand's benchmark 10-year government bonds are higher than they were a few months ago. During Asian trading, crude oil increased a smidgeon, but gold plummeted. Following the crash in Treasuries on Friday, the news sent bond markets in Asia into a tailspin.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Technical Outlook & Swing Analysis 🛢
Hey traders,
WTI Oil keeps trading in a global bullish trend.
On a weekly time frame, the price formed an expanding bullish triangle
setting the equal lows around 62.0 level and setting the higher highs respecting a major rising trend line.
I will expect a bullish continuation within the boundaries of the triangle.
I believe that quite soon the price will reach 84.0 level and with a high probability will go higher to 91.0 - 96.0 resistance cluster.
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Are WTI crude oil prices topping?WTI crude oil prices are showing negative RSI divergence on a test of resistance marked by an inflection area in play since July 2018. This hints that upside momentum may be fading, with a turn lower to follow.
A break below support anchored at 72.52 may expose the 70.00 figure. Alternatively, breaking resistance at the 77.00 mark might open the door for another challenge of 79.60.