cl, oil, trading for Oct 15thtrading near settlement price of the day prior and looking decently balanced so will be looking for either a test of the red zone or a break out or the same zone. how i trade will depend on the response around the red zone top and bottom.
Both higher and lower are possible so will have to be observant to pick off good trades today.
Oil(wti)
cl, oil, trading for Oct 14thAfter a strong up move we have returned back into the 6 day consolidation zone, this is either a market finding support to move back to Fridays range or a market wanting to be complacent and move back to it's comfort zone of the prior weeks common range. I will be watching close to see if we get a upward reaction or further complacency.
WTI Respected Daily Support. Now Going Up!
WTI has clearly respected a key structure support level on a daily.
we see a sequence of rejection/dodji/engulfing candles and rsi divergence as well.
I have a bullish bias on WTI and currently hold a long position.
My stop is 50 level but I have entered a few days earlier.
Key levels for targets:
56.0
58.0
60.0
WTI - OIL Long Idea. I may set a limit order for this trade. Just scrolling through my charts, I see a potential here. Ok so, price has hit a support area on the daily after quite the sell off. A "High Wave" Candle has developed, traders will take notice of that. There has already been a Bullish push up, I would want to see relax a bit. Dropping down to the 4 Hour chart we have a chance to get into a long on a small retracement. The trade (potential) offers a nice Risk/Reward. I do also see MACD divergence on the 4 hour chart. Oil is not for the faint of heart, risk management is important...anything can move aggressively, but oil being so geo-politically sensitive, I use extra caution.
That's my approach, 1% Risk 2:1RR - Happy Trading!
cl, oil, trading for Oct 9thtoday is inventory report day so I will be very selective until post report.
Oil is in a big balancing zone between 53.30 and 52 and has no clear directional bias until we move outside this range. however inside this range can provide some very good trading spots so i will be focusing on the top and bottom of this range, and look at the middle of the range as a hard to trade chop zone.
WTI Crude Oil - Long Above Key Support LevelWTI Crude oil has been dropping but we do believe there is upside potential as long as the market is above the key support level at $50.55. This is due to the possibility that tensions in the Middle East worsen and there is a recovery in the global economy as payrolls today came in at 136K vs 145K expected whilst the August number was revised upwards by 38K.
WTI Crude Oil: 1W Support reached. Long term Buy opportunity.Oil has almost made contact today with the 50.55 1W Support after a very disappointing 8 red candle streak which has turned 1D bearish (RSI = 36.455, MACD = -0.740, Highs/Lows = -3.6829).
We see this decline as the most optimal buy entry both on the medium and long term as despite 50.55 being a 4 month Support and strong buyer accumulation zone, the RSI is coming off Higher Lows and making Higher Highs. The symmetry on the duration of each Low to Low and Low to High, allows us to project the rise on a 1 - 1.5 month horizon.
The Medium term Target Zone is 60.90 - 63.30 and those on a longer term perspective can take the profit within 63.80 - 66.60.
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WTI Crude Oil - Neutral - Dropped Below Key SupportWe have a neutral view on oil despite believing there is significant upside potential for the oil market because prices have dropped below the key support level at $55.55. We would expect the market to now drop towards $50.4 but continued tensions in the Middle East which could cause a spike in oil prices at any time lead us to maintain our neutral view.
oil, cl, day trading levels for Sep 27yhThe levels I am pointing out are directional signaling areas and are not always the trade trigger. after a direction is established for my trade i then need to have a triggering event. The trigger can be right at the break point but often is not and the market will have to provide me some real time info to actually create the trigger so the action can be fired upon. I look at trades as 2 parts one is a directional signal and second a trigger or action point. Action point will be looking at things like possible reward and possible risk and is the action cooperating with the signalling direction.
In the live trading room my software create triggers it is up to the trader to see if the trigger matches there personal risk reward.
I point this out because I have been getting lots of questions as of late on what my red zone means.
I will not be adding much about the market today due to the fact the red zone was broken lower as of this typing and will possibly provide a second post today after the break move has digested.
US OilHello, How you doing
USOil has been in range for last few days
1. EMA200: its right on the price and soon or late its time for the move away from it
2. Channel: Up
3. Green Support box
4. Oscillator going to oversold area
There is chance for breakout to the downside, since momentum is getting weak
We are looking for big green candle and breakout to higher price for making decision
I'll be happy to read your opinion and ideas, Remember, we are speculators, not investors ;)
Have a profitable day
WTI Crude Oil - Long - Upside PotentialWe still see WTI Crude Oil moving higher due to tensions in the middle east despite a dip recently on the back of poor economic data and heightened tensions in the trade war between the US and China. However, we would not want the market to fall below the $55.593 support level with a view towards prices rising above the $59.839 resistance level .