Oil(wti)
cl, oil, trading for Oct 18thNow we had a very interesting move in the last 24 hours and give us more to play with. Today the red zone is now very small and will give a more clear trade opportunity so will watch close. That said being Friday the move after this pop can be consolidating.
I can see a pull back all the way to 53.75 before the up move takes off again and below that area will not lean long but think more like expanded range. And any move above 55 is to be looked upon as nice and bullish, but will wait for retests to get long.
WTI Crude Oil: Buy opportunity within a Channel Up.Oil has been trading within a 4H Channel Up (RSI = 46.297, ADX = 36.695) since the October 3rd 51.00 bottom and is currently on its Higher Low zone. This makes it an optimal buy opportunity for the short term. The Highs within the Channel appear to be filling the Lower Lows of the downtrend sequence that led to the 51.00 bottom. Based on this the next Target (Higher High) should be near 55.50 where it will also make contact with the 4H MA200 (orange line).
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cl, oil, trading for Oct 15thtrading near settlement price of the day prior and looking decently balanced so will be looking for either a test of the red zone or a break out or the same zone. how i trade will depend on the response around the red zone top and bottom.
Both higher and lower are possible so will have to be observant to pick off good trades today.
cl, oil, trading for Oct 14thAfter a strong up move we have returned back into the 6 day consolidation zone, this is either a market finding support to move back to Fridays range or a market wanting to be complacent and move back to it's comfort zone of the prior weeks common range. I will be watching close to see if we get a upward reaction or further complacency.
WTI Respected Daily Support. Now Going Up!
WTI has clearly respected a key structure support level on a daily.
we see a sequence of rejection/dodji/engulfing candles and rsi divergence as well.
I have a bullish bias on WTI and currently hold a long position.
My stop is 50 level but I have entered a few days earlier.
Key levels for targets:
56.0
58.0
60.0
WTI - OIL Long Idea. I may set a limit order for this trade. Just scrolling through my charts, I see a potential here. Ok so, price has hit a support area on the daily after quite the sell off. A "High Wave" Candle has developed, traders will take notice of that. There has already been a Bullish push up, I would want to see relax a bit. Dropping down to the 4 Hour chart we have a chance to get into a long on a small retracement. The trade (potential) offers a nice Risk/Reward. I do also see MACD divergence on the 4 hour chart. Oil is not for the faint of heart, risk management is important...anything can move aggressively, but oil being so geo-politically sensitive, I use extra caution.
That's my approach, 1% Risk 2:1RR - Happy Trading!
cl, oil, trading for Oct 9thtoday is inventory report day so I will be very selective until post report.
Oil is in a big balancing zone between 53.30 and 52 and has no clear directional bias until we move outside this range. however inside this range can provide some very good trading spots so i will be focusing on the top and bottom of this range, and look at the middle of the range as a hard to trade chop zone.
WTI Crude Oil - Long Above Key Support LevelWTI Crude oil has been dropping but we do believe there is upside potential as long as the market is above the key support level at $50.55. This is due to the possibility that tensions in the Middle East worsen and there is a recovery in the global economy as payrolls today came in at 136K vs 145K expected whilst the August number was revised upwards by 38K.
WTI Crude Oil: 1W Support reached. Long term Buy opportunity.Oil has almost made contact today with the 50.55 1W Support after a very disappointing 8 red candle streak which has turned 1D bearish (RSI = 36.455, MACD = -0.740, Highs/Lows = -3.6829).
We see this decline as the most optimal buy entry both on the medium and long term as despite 50.55 being a 4 month Support and strong buyer accumulation zone, the RSI is coming off Higher Lows and making Higher Highs. The symmetry on the duration of each Low to Low and Low to High, allows us to project the rise on a 1 - 1.5 month horizon.
The Medium term Target Zone is 60.90 - 63.30 and those on a longer term perspective can take the profit within 63.80 - 66.60.
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