Get started

Oil(wti)

Strifor || BRENT-14/03/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: After a very long accumulation in oil, most likely the buyer is ready for the long-awaited growth. According to the results of yesterday's trading, the price was fixed at the highs, which indicates the strength of the buyer against the backdrop of growing market sales. In this regard, we maintain a strong buy priority towards levels 86 and 87 . Both scenarios are displayed on the chart, where scenario №1 is more likely. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for boost and share your views!
TVC:UKOILLong
by Strifor
1
Oil continues to ascend within the upward-sloping channelWest Texas Intermediate crude oil regained a bullish momentum and managed to establish a new high at $81.58, which marks the highest value in over four months. Additionally, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all moved higher on the daily chart. These developments are positive for oil and bolster a bullish case in the short term and medium term. However, while it is possible that oil might reach $85 per barrel (or perhaps even $90, depending on the global economy, oil supply/demand dynamics, and the situation in the Middle East), we are skeptical about such high price tags as $100 per barrel in the coming months. In our opinion, the United States will continue to ramp up its production against OPEC, which is trying to balance the market by cutting its own production quotas. Furthermore, the declining industrial and manufacturing production in Europe and the United States is likely to continue holding a lid over rising oil prices. Consequently, at the moment, we see very limited upside for oil. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the ADX’s daily chart, which reflects the trend’s momentum. Yellow arrows indicate a temporary decline in momentum ahead of the OPEC’s monthly report and subsequent awakening after the report. Illustration 1.02 The image above shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
Bullish trend is still relatively weakWest Texas Intermediate crude oil continues to trade within the upward-sloping channel. However, its bullish trend remains weak, as reflected in the relatively low (but growing) value of ADX (on the daily time frame). In the past two trading sessions, the daily RSI continued to flatten, Stochastic turned lower, and MACD performed a bearish crossover while staying above the midpoint. With these developments unfolding, we pay close attention to the 20-day SMA and resistance levels at $79.25 and $79.72. The price’s ability to retest these resistance levels and ideally maintain a ground above them will bolster a bullish case in the short term. In contrast, a breakdown below the 20-day SMA might hint at oil wanting to slide toward the channel's lower bound. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates the oil’s recent retracement toward its 20-day SMA, which acts as a support. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily MACD. The yellow arrow highlights a bearish crossover between the MACD and signal lines. While this is slightly bearish, it is important to note that MACD remains in the bullish territory. Illustration 1.03 The chart above illustrates simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs; one more alternative resistance lies at $79.72. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish (weak) Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to 50% Fibo level 75.49.Dear colleagues, the price resumed the impulsive upward movement. I assume that this movement is wave 1 and it will end soon. Perhaps we will see the beginning of wave 2 today from current levels, but a more conservative and favorable entry will be from the resistance area at 79.37. In any case, I expect the price in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 75.49. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:USOILShort
by Hellena_Trade
4
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 50% Fibo lvl 74.32. Dear Colleagues. The price has shown strong momentum. In the coming week I assume that the price will start an upward movement, as a result of which I expect the price in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 74.32. Last week's strong movement makes us re-draw the waves, but for this the price should make a correction to our target. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:USOILLong
by Hellena_Trade
2
Hopes for higher oil price are getting shatteredThe hopes for higher oil prices were shattered last week with the announcement of a potential Hamas-Israel ceasefire deal, which led to a quick selloff in the oil market. Following the invalidation of a bullish breakout above $76.14, the price of oil kept sliding lower, finally hitting a low of $71.43 yesterday. Currently, the WTI crude oil trades close to $72.80 per barrel, and we pay attention to RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart. All of these indicators began to reverse to the downside after the news hit the market, with RSI and Stochastic building bearish structures and MACD attempting to retrace back below the midpoint. If the MACD succeeds, it will bolster a bearish case in the short term. The same will apply to RSI and Stochastic continuing to develop bearish structures. However, as the ADX remains relatively low on the daily time frame, it is suggestive that there is a lack of any trend whatsoever. With this assessment, it is likely that WTI oil will continue to trade within the range between $68 and $75 in the foreseeable future. Illustration 1.01 The image above portrays the daily chart of the USOIL’s MACD. A breakout below the midpoint will bolster a bearish case in the short term and elevate the odds of a breakdown below $70 per barrel. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
2
Geopolitical tensions are starting to weigh on oil pricesThe United States’ decision to conduct airstrikes earlier this week against targets in Somalia and Yemen provoked more aggression from Houthi rebels, who engaged in multiple new attacks against commercial vessels in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. Following that, Yemen’s rebels claimed a successful hit to the U.S. military ship, which the United States quickly denied. Despite months of ongoing attacks on ships passing through the strait, there have not been any reports of casualties. However, the odds of a fatal tragedy are growing together with the increasing intensity of Houthi’s attacks. Such an event would likely elevate tensions to a new level and put significant pressure on the United States government to act. In the scope of this worsening crisis, the odds of higher oil prices are climbing. On the technical side, some developments suggest oil might be prime for a run higher as well; the MACD crossed into bullish territory on the daily graph, and RSI and Stochastic continue to build bullish structures. Nonetheless, one thing to note is that the ADX is still relatively low, hinting the trend is very weak. Therefore, it might be proper to wait and see whether the USOIL manages to close above $76.14 for at least two consecutive days before committing to a bullish outlook. Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the MACD breaking above the midpoint on the daily time frame. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of the USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. An important level to watch is support at $76.14. If the USOIL manages to make another two consecutive closes above this level, it will bolster the bullish odds. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area 79.37 (Wave C).Dear Colleagues, after a long analysis, I suggest that the upward movement is not over yet. At the moment I suppose that the price is in wave C and should update the maximum of wave A 76.00, but to do this is not easy. The price should meet resistance and I see such a level - it is the resistance area at 79.37. I suppose that the price can make a small correction before the upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:USOILLong
by Hellena_Trade
3
Crude oil could rally from $72Price action has been very choppy on the daily crude oil chart, but if we place a line chart over the top is shows prices are trying to break out of a small triangle / pennant. Whilst these are usually expected to be continuation pattern, they can also make decent reversal pattern. And this case, we've see prices hold above $70 on a closing basis, and the lower candle wicks made a series of higher lows. Momentum is now turning higher. Bulls could seek dips down to $72 (yesterday's low) or a break of its high, with an upside target around $78, near the 200-day MA and 100-day EMA.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex