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Oil(wti)

Oil continues to slide within the channelThe price of WTI crude oil continues to rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday, during which cartel members will discuss policy regarding production. The group will likely decide to lower the output in response to more than a 20% decline in the oil price since September 2023 highs (now, closer to an 18% decline). While a drop in supply is normally bullish for oil, it is important to note that some of it will get offset by the United States trying to ramp up its domestic production. Furthermore, the prices are already rising in anticipation of the cartel’s decision. Nonetheless, our outlook stays unchanged, with a price target of $70 per barrel for 2024. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
1
$CL1! / $USOIL LongsHi, today i will bring you an idea of a USOIL Long Setup, in this case i'm using basic concepts, considering the war of Israel vs Palestine too, i'm searching for longs since we will have an IRL>ERL Cycle as we had in LTF, which is where we took the Weekly FVG on OTE and then went for OTE again and reacted to the OB, now i expect us to take the pending Daily FVG and then make a pullback to the last Sell Side Liquidity Zone using it as a Breaker to strengthen our move straight to Half of the Monthly BISI where we will enter in longs.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by zeratrading
WTI CRUDE OIL: Very dangerous 1W MACD Bearish Cross formed.WTI Crude Oil materialized our 78.50 short term target (chart at the bottom) and crossed under the 1D MA200. This is a breach of potentially serious consequences as it also breached the 1W MA50, so we need to monitor the closing on a weekly scale. If it closes under it, the bearish trend is very likely to be extended. The formarion of a MACD Bearish Cross on the 1W timeframe can be very dangerous as the last one that happaned while the price breached the 1W MA50 was on June 13th 2022, the market High after the Russia invasion peak. If the market does close the week under the 1W MA50, we expect a rebound on the Channel Down bottom near 76.00 and if the candles close under the 1W MA50, fresh short targeting the 1W MA200 (TP = 71.00). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
WTI POSSIBLE RALLYOil prices rebounded after experiencing losses last week, primarily due to expectations of a tight supply situation for the rest of the year. This rebound was driven by key factors, including the commitment of major oil producers Saudi Arabia and Russia to maintaining production cuts until the end of the year. The decrease in the U.S. oil rig count also played a role, as it indicated a lack of response from U.S. producers to the current price environment, giving confidence to Saudi Arabia to continue withholding supply from the market. Additionally, concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East related to the Israel-Hamas conflict subsided, contributing to the market's rebound. The oil market is now closely focused on economic data from China, particularly trade and inflation figures, to gauge commodity demand in the country. While China's oil imports and fuel demand have remained robust, rising stockpiles could lead to a drop in oil imports in the coming months, especially if economic conditions deteriorate. Meanwhile, the overall health of the U.S. economy, another major consumer of oil, remains a factor influencing oil demand, with expectations of weakening demand during the winter season. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar is currently providing some support to oil prices, but it may also reflect concerns about a cooling U.S. economy, which could impact oil consumption. If the trend continues the price might reach levels of 90.51, in the opposite scenario the price might drop to 80.49. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by legacyFXofficial
🛢️ Crude Oil Hits $93 - 💰 Why 88$ is ok for Saudi Arabia 🌴Hey Traders, Professor here! 🤟 You might recall my bullish call on oil at $70, based on fundamentals and geopolitical moves. Fast forward, and here we are at $93 a barrel. But is this the ceiling, or is there more room to grow? Let's dissect. 🛢️🔍 The Resistance at $93: More Than Just a Number 🛑 Oil has rocketed to $93, and I'm seeing this as a strong resistance point. It's not just a psychological barrier; it's also a key level when you look at Fibonacci retracements and historical price action. Could this be the turning point for a retracement? 🤔 My Oil Long at $70 Post : Inflation's Role: The Double-Edged Sword 📈 While rising oil prices have been great for traders and certain economies, they also fuel inflation. And let's be clear: Inflation is a beast that the U.S. and Europe can't afford to ignore. High oil prices are now a geopolitical concern, and there will be pressure to tame them, especially as they contribute to rising inflation. 🌍 Inflation and Oil post Post Saudi Arabia's Profit Game: Low Costs, High Margins 😁 Here's where it gets interesting. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait enjoy production costs as low as $5.40 per barrel. Even at the higher end, it's just around $10. So, whether oil is at $88 or $93, they're raking in massive profits. This low-cost advantage gives them a competitive edge, especially when other countries are grappling with significantly higher production costs. 🇸🇦💰 The High Dollar's Role 🇺🇸 The dollar has been on a tear lately, and it's worth noting its impact on oil prices. A strong dollar usually puts downward pressure on commodities priced in USD, like oil. This could be another factor contributing to potential resistance at $93. The US Dollar & The Wolverine: What's Next? The Road Ahead 🤷‍♂️ Keep a close eye on potential retracement levels. Fibonacci and moving averages could be your guide here. 88$ to 93$ range is what i would most likely expect📉 Geopolitical events are always wild cards. Any tensions or agreements could send oil prices soaring or plummeting. 🌍 Don't lose sight of Bitcoin. It remains my go-to asset for hedging against inflation and market volatility. 🚀 Trade wisely, folks. My charts are always here if you need a second opinion. 📊 (ps if the price breaks over 95$ we might need to run for the great reset hills!) One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:USOILShort
by FX_Professor
13
OIL - Bearish move comingCrude oil prices went up on Friday due to Israel's expansion of ground operations in Gaza. This has raised concerns about the possibility of the conflict spreading in a region responsible for a third of the world's oil production. Turning our attention to China, we're eagerly awaiting the release of manufacturing and services PMI data for October. Investors are looking for signs that the world's top importer of crude oil, China, is stabilising economically. Market participants are especially interested in assessing whether Beijing's supportive measures have boosted oil demand. The US Dollar (USD) is facing resistance as market expectations lean towards the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates at 5.5% in the upcoming Wednesday meeting. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing positive movement after a lukewarm performance during the Asian session, currently hovering around 106.70. The 10-year US Bond is making a comeback, reaching 4.85% at the moment, which is providing support for the US Dollar. In addition, investors will keep a close eye on key indicators such as the US ADP Employment Change and the ISM Manufacturing PMI for October. Investors are approaching the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy meeting and China's manufacturing data with caution, which is leading to a drop in crude oil prices. This cautious stance is overshadowing the support that was previously provided by tensions in the Middle East. Overall, we are bearish but we are anticipating an up move to $88 price before seeing a drop down to $82, from there another potential drop to the $79 prize zone could happen*!? But right now we will be focusing on that up move to $88 and looking to short it from that level, please see chart above for details! *Potential further drop to $79 price zone (as mentioned above)
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by financialflagship
WTI CRUDE OIL Trade it based on today's candle closing.WTI Crude Oil is breaching at the moment the Rising Support of the last 3 months. The (1d) candle closing will determine in our opinion the short term direction, as on this level the momentum is neutral, with a Falling Resistance above and numerous Support levels to target if broken. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the (1d) candle closes over the Rising Support. 2. Sell if it closes under it and breaches Support (1). Targets: 1. 87.50 (Falling Resistance). 2. 79.00 (a little over the MA200 (1d)). Tips: 1. The sentiment could be a little more favorable to selling at the moment as the MACD (1d) just made a rare shift, invalidating the bullish build up as it switched from a Bullish Cross immediately to a Bearish Cross. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
TVC:USOIL
by TradingBrokersView
The U.S. reveals a trick up its sleeveA few weeks ago, we expressed our bewilderment at the U.S. administration and its handling of the oil stockpiles. Despite oil plummeting below $70 during the summer, officials did not take the initiative to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (also canceling plans to buy oil in July 2023), prompting us to speculate about what trick the administration could have up its sleeve. Finally, last week, we might have discovered exactly what it was when news erupted that the United States lifted some of the sanctions on Venezuela, allowing it to produce and export oil to its chosen markets for the next six months without limitation. While Venezuela’s oil production is only about 800,000 barrels per day, the news announcement is still quite a big thing as it will enable U.S. entities to buy crude oil and help alleviate rising crude oil prices (especially if the country ramps up production in the coming months and the global economy continues to slow down - presuming no broad conflict will affect oil supply in the Middle East). Now, on the topic of technicals, we are paying close attention to the Sloping Support/Resistance. If the price breaks back above the resistance (and holds the ground), it will be bullish. However, a failure will raise our skepticism about more upside. In addition to that, we are watching MACD, RSI, and Stochastic on the daily chart. To support a bearish case, we would want to see all of them continue declining. Contrarily, to support a bullish case, we would like to see MACD reversing and breaking above the midpoint. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and a simple setup with bullish prospects above the sloping support/resistance and bearish prospects below it. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MACD. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish breakout below the midpoint. If MACD fails to rebound back into the bullish area above zero, it will raise the odds for a continuation lower. Illustration 1.03 Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates an impending bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. If successful, it will bolster a bearish case. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish (with weak trend) Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
4
OIL MIGHT BE GETTING INTO FURTHER SELL-OFFOil prices have continued to decline, marking the third consecutive session of losses. This decline is attributed to a series of sluggish economic data releases from Germany, the eurozone, and Britain, which have raised concerns about energy demand. Brent crude futures dropped by 2%, down $1.76 to $88.07 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 2.2%, down $1.91 to $83.58 per barrel. The eurozone's business activity data showed an unexpected downturn this month, raising fears of a potential recession in the region. Germany, one of Europe's economic powerhouses, appeared to be slipping into a recession, and Britain reported another monthly decline in economic activity, increasing concerns of a recession ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate decision. These economic uncertainties, along with other global factors, have contributed to the downward pressure on oil prices. Despite the economic concerns in Europe, the U.S. recorded an uptick in business output in October, which helped boost the U.S. dollar, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Additionally, concerns surrounding the situation in the Middle East, where diplomatic efforts are underway to contain the Israel-Hamas conflict, have also impacted oil prices. Overall, the oil market remains on edge, with a focus on potential supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions. If this trend continues, the price might reach levels of 81.53. In the opposite scenario, as a pivot point might be considered 86.38, from where the price might reach levels of 89.32. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
🛢️ Oil at $88: Told Ya! (Now toss a coin!)Hey Oil Traders! 🤟 Oil is at a critical S/R level of $88, and it's anyone's game right now. 🎯 📈 Recent Trades: Went long under $70 and short at the $93 top. Nailed it! 🎉 🔮 Next Moves: It's a 50-50 toss-up. Could go to $93 or drop to $82. 🪙 🤷‍♂️ Why I'm Not Trading: With such uncertainty, why risk it? There are better setups out there. 🎣 📊 Other Setups: If you're itching to trade, maybe look at other assets. Bitcoin, anyone? 🚀 🤔 My Call: If I had to pick, I'd say we're going lower next. But again, why trade it now? 🤷‍♂️ That's the quick rundown, folks! Sometimes the best trade is no trade. 🤓 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 long: short:
TVC:USOILShort
by FX_Professor
1
WTI CRUDE OIL Buy on this Falling Support. Sell below.WTI Crude Oil hit the Falling Support, the 3rd time making contact with and turns into a short term buy. Target 89.75 (Resistance A at 89.80). The medium term pattern is a Channel Up so id the Falling Support fails, take the small loss and wait for the bottom of the Channel Up to breaks. Sell and target 79.00 (1week MA50). A bearish reversal is quite probable at the moment since the 4hour MACD is on a strong Bearish Cross. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:USOIL
by TheCryptagon
A new conflicts roils the oil marketOver the weekend, a new conflict broke out in the Middle East after Hamas, a designated terrorist organization, initiated an assault on Israel. This attack is already roiling the oil market, which saw oil prices rise more than 5% after the futures market opened. However, it is possible the impact has not been fully felt yet, considering the potential for further escalation amid Iran’s involvement in the preparations for the attack. Such developments could lead to broader conflict in the region responsible for producing one-third of global supply. That, in turn, could send the oil price much higher from the current levels (likely toward $100 and potentially even higher). As a result, we are closely monitoring the situation and will update our thoughts with the emergence of new events. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL. The yellow arrow indicates an opening gap. If the gap fails to be filled, it will bolster a bullish case for oil in the short term. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates the initial return of the price in the upward-sloping channel (after the market opened). It will be bullish if the price re-enters the channel again and holds above the lower bound. Illustration 1.03 The picture above portrays the daily chart of MACD. If it fails to break below the midpoint and starts flattening, it will be a bullish sign. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Slightly bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
WTI CRUDE OIL Important bearish breakout. Short the spike.WTI Crude Oil crossed under the 1D MA50 (and the Channel Up) for the first time since July 6th turning the 1D technical outlook bearish (RSI = 35.225, MACD = -0.060, ADX = 34.325). The short term timeframes are oversold so expect a minor spike to the 1D MA50 or near the 4H MA50. We will use that as our new sell entry and target the strong support zone consisting of the S1 level, the 1W MA50 and 1D MA200 (TP = 78.50). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
3
Oil to bounce to test $94I think oil will now bounce to test $94. I'm short term bullish; medium term bearish. Oil took a hard dive "low liquidity run" through the previous swing-low which was taken out. The next swing-low is $77-ish. But we are hitting 20 week MA and prior old highs at the same time. Thus the slow stochastic weekly losing embedded (was above 80 now falling below 80) means a run to the 20week MA was likely. The next few days will show whether or not this confluence of old highs and 20week is strong enough to arrest oil's fall towad the liquidity pool (swing low) of $77. My trade has been to open longs using credit-puts below that $77 level where there should be much stronger resistance than the confluence already mentioned. Counter thesis is that the price cheese-knife's toward the $77 liq pool which could accelerate a sell-off. 20 Week is the "hold the line" for the trade.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DarthTrader1357