USOIL (WTI) → bullish setuphello guys.
Trendline Break: The price has broken through a downward-sloping trendline, which is a potential signal for a trend reversal or continuation of the upward move.
Order Block Area: There is a highlighted horizontal zone (yellow) around the 70.30 level, which may act as a significant resistance or supply area. Traders are likely watching for a test or break of this zone.
QML Pattern (Quasimodo): The yellow circle highlights a QML pattern where the price reverses from a prior support level, suggesting a potentially bullish setup.
Upward Target: The projected arrow suggests that if the price can sustain above the broken trendline, it may attempt to reach the 70.30 resistance level, representing a potential price target.
Volume Consideration: While not displayed, monitoring volume increases as the price moves toward the target zone could validate the strength of the upward move.
Support Zone: A key support area appears around the 67.50 level, as shown by the horizontal blue line. If the price reverses, it could test this level again.
Overall, a bullish setup appears in place with key resistance around 70.30, but any failure to break that zone could result in a pullback to support around 67.50.
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Oil
USOIL Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 7,527.3.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 7,913.5. level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USOIL BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on USOIL right now from the resistance line above with the target of 71.99 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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XLE AT A INTERESTING PRICE WHEN LOOKING AT THE PASTDoes this mean anything?
Yes and no.
you need more to go on than just this to project the move, however, if you assume middle trend is where this price wants to go to stabilize, and you see we are at a major spot when it comes to horizontal support.
I really can't tell yet where it goes.
The upside percentage is far less than the potential downside percentage.
Upside is favored, but again, I can't really tell on this one to say anything other than, it's at a horizontal mark that has been historically important.
WTI breaks outOil prices have been edging higher from their earlier lows. Understandably, traders do not want to be caught holding short bets on oil heading into the long weekend. The potential for Israel to strike Iran could see oil prices gap higher at the Asian open next week. There’s also the potential that China’s finance minister will announce substantive fiscal support for the ailing economy. This could ease demand concerns.
Meanwhile, oil traders will also look forward to the release of the monthly OPEC and IEA reports on Monday and Tuesday. Bearish oil speculators will be watching for further signs of weakness in oil demand, while the bulls will probably jump on anything constructive for oil prices. Let’s see what these groups will post, but with the focus being mainly on the Middle East situation, I don’t expect to see prices move very much on the back of these monthly oil reports.
WTI has just broken its bearish trend line observed on 1 hour time frame. The new short-term support now is this trend line at around $75.30. From here, WTI could rise to take out liquidity resting above recent highs of $78.30, and possibly even reach $80.00. Let's see if it will be able to hold the breakout now.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst for FOREX.com
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Confirmed Bullish Reversal
WTI Crude Oil looks bullish from both daily/intraday perspectives.
On a daily time frame, I see a confirmed breakout of a resistance line
of a wide horizontal parallel channel and a trend violation and reversal.
On a 4H time frame, I see a retest of a recently broken resistance of the channel
with a consequent strong bullish movement and change of character CHoCH.
I believe that the market will continue growing.
Next resistance - 77.0
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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional GainsMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional Gains
WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $78.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended gains above the $72.40 and $73.50 resistance levels.
- There was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $71.15 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $72.40 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low. Besides, there was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75.
The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $75.30 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low.
The RSI is now near the 60 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $76.30. The next major resistance is near the $77.90 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $79.50 level or even $80.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $73.50 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $72.40 zone, below which the price could test the $71.15 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $70.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $68.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Brent crude: Buying into the stormAny trade you take in oil right now is probably going to make you a quick win or loss .
Oil has easily been the most volatile market this week - it's pretty obvious why
1) Hurricanes in the US disrupting supply
2) War in the Middle East
For us, the trend is higher since breaking through $76 / bbl. And the latest fractal forming a higher low helped confirm this idea.
This uptrend has not been properly established with 2 higher highs, which offers bigger possible upside but also a greater chance of never getting going.
You can see the price is trapped between the 50 SMA and 200 SMA.
We see a chance for a favourable 2:1 risk reward by trading the pullback from yesterday's bullish engulfing candlestick up to this week's high around 81.50.
What do you think? Please share your ideas in a comment
US oil creating bullish momentum on 4H
Not stop entry
Wait for little consolidation, wicks or bullish momentum candle at entry
SL are below from golden ratio and take less risk by putting SL below the momentum candle
Actually we miss the trade but mark alert maybe market retest and you get the trade
2024-10-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - oiltl;dr
oil - 297 points given to you yesterday. Hope you made some. 76 could be resistance but I can see this printing 78 again tomorrow. Either way, bad place to buy right now. Need better pullback or a buy near the 1h 20ema or bull trend line. I got nothing for the bears here either. They made big bucks and did not fight this much.
comment : Closed the given swing long for around 260. I hope you also made some. Bulls are in control again and I doubt bears want to fight this big time before 77 or higher.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 71 - 80
bull case: At 75.55 I don’t know how deep the pullback can get. Lowest should be around 74. There is a bull trend line and the 1h 20ema is around 75. Above targets are 77/78 and if bulls get wild again, we will print 80 soon. After such wild moves up and down, it’s more reasonable to not expect more extremes and maybe somewhat more contracting prices and sideways movement before the impulse.
Invalidation is below 74.
bear case: They gave up above 74.5 and their next target is to keep the market below 77 and turn more neutral again. I honestly don’t have decent arguments for the bears. They made big points on the pullback and now bulls try again. I would not look for shorts in this.
Invalidation is above 76.5.
short term: Bullish for 77 or higher. Neutral below 74.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Gave you the swing long yesterday at 73.28. That.
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE)Oil prices are still up & buyers are holding strongly! On the smaller TF we saw price dip a little lower in the past 4 days. For those who aren't in buy's already, you should have used this dip to get into Oil at a cheaper price. Bare in mind prices are still dirt cheap right now, so take advantage before it's too late.
GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
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Holding WTI buys. H4. 10.10.2024🛢 Holding WTI buys
On oil in a private channel gave a zone for buying at 72.20.
I myself bought a little higher at 72.50,
but the accuracy is small, but the result is already there.
I will hold the buy until the take profit at 80 with intermediate
fixation of 50% at 78. If there will be another escalation of the conflict
between Israel and Lebanon on the weekend, as well as natural cataclysms
in the USA, it will be a positive signal for oil, as it will prevent the delivery
of oil products. So buy hold and squeeze with private channel subscribers
with it profit to the fullest.
BLACKBULL:WTI
USOIL Rallies, Tensions Rise, Could Price Soar More??Here I have TVC:USOIL on the Daily Chart!
Starting with Technical, we can see Price has formed a Double Bottom at a Support Area that's kept Price afloat for quite some years now, but was last visited and acted as Support for Price back in the Spring of 2023!
Price has Broke the Confirmation of Pattern @ $72.36 and is now Breaking the Local Falling Resistance from prior July & August 2024 Highs. Regardless, Price Action has Broken Structure and created Higher Highs and Lows, confirming Uptrend, starting with the Higher Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1!
- Currently we want to see this Bullish Rally continue Breaking Above the Falling Resistance and staying above the ( $71 - $72 ) Range that Price has been interacting with Signaling Bulls in fact are in control, then for a Test of the Break of Confirmation of Pattern and Test of the Break of Local Falling Resistance!
* Once successful, we will see Price rise to the next Falling Resistance created from the Highs of Sept. 2023 & Apr. 2024!
- Massive Bullish Volume enters on the 2nd Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1
- Price on RSI is Above 50 with the Break of the Confirmation of Pattern
Now Fundamental, the biggest factor that seems to be at play for TVC:USOIL is all the Geo-political confrontation stirring up. Not only is the Russia/Ukraine war still ongoing, the tensions between Israel/Iran are seeing massive implications across the board!
- Oct. 1 being the beginning of the Iran missile attacks on Israel www.tradingview.com
- Now worries arise that Iran's Oil Facilities may be in danger as a possible Retaliatory Israeli Strike Target! With Iran eyeing Israel's Energy Infrastructure, Power Plants, Refineries and Gas Fields!
www.tradingview.com
* Oct. 7th is the Year Anniversary to the Israel/Hamas conflict and suspicions arise that we could be looking at things intensifying further!
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USOIL is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 71.85.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 72.299.Well, colleagues, the price did not stop and continued its upward movement. At the moment, I understand that the price should turn around and start the long-awaited continuation of the downward movement.
I believe that wave 2 should end in the area of 79.338 or it has already ended and the downward movement has already started.
In any case, I see the first target is the support area at 72.299.
This scenario will be canceled by reaching the level of 84.601, as this is the top of the wave “2” of the higher order, which means that the wave movement needs to be reconsidered.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
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Look at this chart notice that the stochastic rsi
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Also notice that the price is in an uptrend?
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CRUDE OIL SHOWING STRENGTH EXPANDING TRIANGLE CORRECTIONSCrude Oil corrections!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
2024-10-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Confirmation is only above 74.7. Tough spot right now. I would not be surprised if Globex starts the pump early. Decent chance we see 76 tomorrow and 78 on Friday. Bears would surprise me below 71 and I do think we would see an even bigger flush below that price.
comment : Yeah I know, oil again. Market is moving the most currently so embrace the volatility. I make it short today. 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Market could retest 77, so 300+ ticks higher from here. If you would long this now, stop is either 69.8 or 71.5. Both are reasonable. Confirmation for the bulls is above 74.75.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls see the 3 legs down and a 200 tick buy from the lows. Next they want follow through to break above the bear channel and they know, bears will have their stops between 74.5 and 74.7. Above is no good resistance until 77 again. On the daily chart we can also see bulls bought the daily 20ema almost to the tick and the bull channel now looks proper. Enough reasons why a long now is a decent trade.
Invalidation is below 71.5.
bear case: Bears had a gigantic pullback and now 2 bigger tails below the daily bars. Are they gonna fight this or do they think they made almost 700 ticks from the highs and it’s probably reversing soon? If you look at the daily chart, you can not come to the conclusion that you want to short 73.35 right now. If we somehow manage to get below 71.5, the bulls case is probably dead but market would likely be more neutral than bearish.
Invalidation is above 74.7.
short term: Bullish with stop 71.5.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: Long 73.28, stop 70.5. Target 77 or higher.
trade of the day: Shorts at 77 which was the big red line and August high. Market spiked and bulls who bought above 76.5 did not even had the chance to exit break even.