Crude Oil Dipped: Downtrend Could ResumeFenzoFx—Crude oil has begun consolidating around $63.5, a resistance level aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Selling pressure has resulted in a long-wicked bearish candlestick pattern at this level.
The primary support level stands at $61.45. A break below this threshold could trigger a new bearish wave, potentially driving the price toward the $60.20 support, reinforced by the 50-period simple moving average.
However, the primary trend remains bullish as long as the price holds above the $60.20 support.
Oil
USOIL Today's strategyThe short-term trend of USOIL hit a new high, reaching around $63.5 before falling back and adjusting. The oil price broke below the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend direction has entered a transformation. In the MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines crossed below the zero axis, and the bearish momentum is quite strong. It is expected that after the oil price in the day falls back in line with the trend, it will obtain support near 60 and then rebound upwards.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
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USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends
Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600.
Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post.
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Oil Price Reversal? Why I’m Bullish on WTI Right Now! 🛢️ WTI crude oil is showing renewed bullish momentum. This move is backed by a shift in sentiment following the recent U.S.–China tariff truce and positive trade headlines. While OPEC+ supply increases and elevated inventories remain headwinds, surprise U.S. crude draws and strong jet fuel demand are tightening the market. I’m watching the current retrace. As always, keep risk tight—oil can turn fast! 🚀🛢️📈
Fridays BULL RUN CONTINUATION, Sunday EntryFridays entry at Break of POi(Point of interest) 59.892
Entry 2: Sunday Night 10pm
price retested previous high 61.084
Previous high, turned into new price Low
SetUp: Retest, Break + CLose of 1hr wick (61.281
Entry:
stops below hourly Low (60.970]
TP: 63.135 : filled @ 3am EST London Session Open
+174 pips banked
Crude oil trend todayInternational oil prices continued last week's upward trend. Brent crude oil futures rose 27 cents to $66.06 per barrel; WTI crude oil futures rose 28 cents to $63.5 per barrel. OPEC+ plans to accelerate the pace of production increase from May to June to meet market demand. However, according to market surveys, the production of the organization in April instead saw a slight decline. The expected production increase has, to a certain extent, curbed the room for oil prices to rise. The United States and Iran concluded nuclear negotiations in Oman and plan to continue consultations. If an agreement is reached, the return of Iranian crude oil supply will increase global supply pressure, which may push down oil prices. In addition, data shows that the number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in the United States last week dropped to the lowest level since January this year, reflecting that U.S. energy companies remain cautious about the future market. Crude oil showed a volatile upward trend, and the oil price broke through the previous high, reaching the expected price. The oil price has formed a three-wave structure. If the subsequent adjustment does not break through the channel, there is a high probability of a continuation of the bullish trend.
The increase in crude oil has approached the previous wide-range oscillation pressure level. Whether it can break through still requires some tug-of-war. In terms of operation, it is considered to lay out long positions on the pullback as the main strategy, with short selling at highs as a supplementary strategy. Pay attention to the resistance at the range of $63.5-64.5 per barrel, and the support at the range of $62.2-61.1 per barrel.
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Crude oil gains could be limited. Here's whyAlong with other risk assets, crude oil has had a positive day, albeit a much quieter one compared to the major indices. It has been held back in part by the dollar also finding good support. So, I think a large part of the rally today in WTI is just a function of the market pricing in higher demand because of lower tariffs. Thus, it is the removal of a bearish factor driving prices higher, which could be factor for a while yet as market finds a new equilibrium. The underlying issue of an oversupplied market is what will ultimately determine oil prices. On that front, you have the OPEC ready to release more withheld supplies as it doesn’t want to lose more market share to non-OPEC producers. Thus, the upside linked to a brighter demand outlook should be capped. So, while I do think prices may rise a little further, I don’t think that we will see significantly higher prices with the current state of supply picture. I wouldn’t be surprised if $70 turns into resistance now on Brent, or if WTI holds this shaded yellow resistance range you can see on this chart around $65 area.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USOIL Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 63.388.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 57.927 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineAt present, the price of crude oil is above the key technical level, and the geopolitical sentiment has also become more favorable, so the short-term outlook for crude oil is bullish. If the upcoming Sino-US meeting leads to a relaxation of trade tensions, the upward momentum is likely to accelerate. Unless OPEC+ unexpectedly increases the supply, the target for the next few trading days may be set at $63 and higher. Crude oil opened lower this week and then rebounded. The weekly candlestick closed as a large positive candlestick, approaching the resistance of the 5-week moving average. On the daily chart, after the second pullback, the price rebounded upwards without breaking the low point. $64.80 is a key watershed. Below this level, there is still a possibility of a bearish trend. In the short term, the trend is bullish. Overall, it is expected to rise first and then fall next week. Pay attention to the resistance at $63.50 and go short, and set the stop-loss with the position of $64.80 for a bearish outlook.
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#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Market closed near the high of the week and we made a textbook double bottom below 56. Sometimes it’s not more complicated than that to take a trade.
current market cycle: trading range on monthly tf and bear trend on the daily
key levels: 58 - 64
bull case: 63 is my first bull target, followed by 64 and above 64.38 we likely test up to the bear trend line around 67. Best for bulls would be to keep the gap 59.8 - 60.3 open.
Invalidation is below 58.
bear case: If we drop below 58 again, it’s a clear descending triangle and we could do 56 or lower, again. Right now bears don’t have much since last week was bullish and closed at the highs. Best bears could get is a trading range 55 - 65, so they better keep making lower highs or they have to try again around 67 or higher.
Invalidation is above 64.4
short term: Bullish for 63 or higher. No interest in selling down here.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: 3 legs down on the weekly chart and market has printed a credible bottom around 55. I think we can test back to 65 over the next weeks.
WTI - Technical Setup Points to April HighsThe US Light Crude chart is displaying promising bullish momentum after establishing a significant double bottom at the $56 support zone. Following a sharp recovery from recent lows, the price has broken above key resistance levels and is currently trading around $61,27 with the green arrow indicating potential continuation to the upside. Technical patterns suggest there is a higher probability that crude oil prices will extend this rally toward the local top formed on April 23rd near $65, completing a broader recovery pattern. With strengthening momentum indicators and improved market sentiment, this upward move appears well-supported, especially if crude can maintain position above the current consolidation range and continue forming higher lows on the daily timeframe.
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USOIL What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 60.99
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 58.63
My Stop Loss - 62.11
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 60.00$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineHello Traders
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today XTIUSD analysis 👆
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WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI, the price is currently at a critical level of $62.
Candle formations on high time frames indicate a higher probability of the price declining to $53.
Given the influence of political and geopolitical news, there may be increased volatility in the price. This analysis will be updated accordingly."
If you have any more details to add or need further assistance, please feel free to let me know!
USOIL: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 60.99 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction from the lows and
The price made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 60.10$ then made a
Retest and a rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further bullish
Continuation on Monday
Buy!
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USOIL: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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Oil Analysis: WTI Approaches the $60 Level AgainOver the past two trading sessions, oil has gained more than 4.5%, and is once again approaching the psychological barrier of $60 per barrel. This recent bullish movement persists despite OPEC+’s clear stance on increasing supply in June and the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) cautious outlook on global oil demand for the remainder of the year. As such, it appears that oil prices are currently benefiting from improving market sentiment, particularly as investors await the outcome of the upcoming U.S.–China trade negotiations.
Persistent Bearish Trend
Since mid-January, oil has maintained a steady downtrend, and so far, minor bullish retracements have not been strong enough to signal a meaningful reversal. Therefore, this downward technical formation remains the dominant structure to monitor in upcoming trading sessions.
RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover around the 50 level, indicating a sustained balance between bullish and bearish momentum. As long as this equilibrium remains, a neutral bias could dominate short-term price movements.
ADX
The Average Directional Index (ADX) remains close to the 40 mark, though the line has recently begun to flatten. This could be interpreted as a sign of weakening trend strength in the short term, likely due to the price currently testing a significant resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
$60 – Nearby resistance: A short-term psychological level. A break above this zone could reactivate a bullish bias and potentially lead to the formation of a new short-term uptrend.
$63 – Main resistance: Aligned with the 50-period moving average. Sustained price action above this level could challenge the prevailing long-term bearish structure.
$57 – Nearby support: A zone that matches recent multi-week lows. A drop below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and provide more room for the current downtrend to extend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst