USOIL, sell high and buy low to participateTechnical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-78.5
Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil 4-hour chart is still shrinking and consolidating, and short-term contraction and shock are waiting to accumulate momentum to open up space. In the short term, there is still an expectation of further downward adjustment. Today's upper resistance focuses on the opening of yesterday's hourly line around 81.3-81.5. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down with the main short. The short-term support below focuses on 79.7-79.5. The European and American markets stabilize at this position once more and then look at shocks and rebounds. Sell high and buy low (At the same time, beware of the technical changes and there is also a warning of a sharp drop and wash)
SELL:80.7near SL:81.10
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Oil
Saudi Arabia delivers a major blow to the dollar!Oil prices have shown steady growth from $76 to $85 per barrel of Brent crude (#BRENT) since the beginning of June. This rise is driven by seasonal factors: high consumer activity during the summer driving season, increased demand from the transportation sector, and higher electricity consumption for air conditioning.
However, a more significant development in the oil market is the expiration of the 50-year-old Security Agreement between Saudi Arabia and the USA, signed in 1974, and Riyadh's refusal to renew it.
The agreement facilitated economic cooperation and military needs between the two nations, stabilizing the situation after the crises of the 1970s. The US benefited from oil at favorable prices, while Saudi Arabia gained a technological ally and wealth. Crucially, this agreement mandated that Saudi Arabia sell its oil exclusively for dollars, a restriction that no longer applies. This system greatly strengthened the dollar's position as the dominant global reserve currency by creating worldwide demand for dollars directly tied to oil transactions. Many have called this the "deal of the century."
Abandoning the petrodollar system could, in the long run, weaken the dollar's influence and impact US financial markets, reducing Washington's ability to accumulate national debt and profit from exports. Countries like China, Russia, Iran, and India are increasingly settling trades in their national currencies. By 2023, already 20% of global oil was being purchased without using the dollar. Now, Saudi Arabia can sell oil for any currencies or assets, including the yuan, gold, and even cryptocurrencies, which could significantly boost the value of these assets over time.
FreshForex analysts recommend closely monitoring changes in settlement schemes in the energy markets. Trading instruments like Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Gold (XAUUSD), and the US Dollar to Chinese Yuan (USDCNH) might become very profitable investments in the future .
Invest ahead of the curve!
Oil is still under Bearish PressureHello Guys,
I see a larger Timeframe Consolidation since some Years from 98 - 70 Dollars. We have approached the middle Line of this Yearly Consolidation Line and see some weekness taking place. However, for this idea to be confirmed I will wait for the black trendline to be broken and have a bearish pattern below it.
This may take place from the green highlighted area of 84-86 - a break of the area with a retest would be bringing more optimism from bullish territories into the fields. Below this I believe that we are going to see a leg lower - with the targets being 80 - 75 - 70 Dollars.
I will use my trading strategy to enter safely on the lower timeframes. Ideally this will happen on the 2h-4h Chart - but I prefer to enter on the hourly.
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 77.06 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USOIL - Accumulation phase !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a range, so we have opportunity both for long and for short. We can consider that range as a bullish flag and open a long position above 82.00, or price could confirm regular divergence in waves and open a short position below 80.20.
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WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 1-hour chart - SELLThe market is currently in an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Recent price action suggests a potential reversal or pullback from the resistance zone.
Resistance Zone: The shaded grey area around 82.127 - 82.220 is a significant resistance zone where the price has shown rejection.
Support Levels: Immediate support is around 80.473 - 80.417, marked by the red lines. A stronger support level is at 77.000, a psychological round number that aligns with previous lows.
Above the resistance zone at 82.220, there may be buy-side liquidity where buy stops from short positions could be placed.
Below the support level at 80.417, there may be sell-side liquidity where sell stops from long positions could be resting.
The overall analysis suggests a bearish bias for USOIL (WTI), expecting a potential reversal or pullback from the resistance zone around 82.127 - 82.220.
WTI support continues to attract buyers.WTI - 24h expiry
Bespoke support is located at 80.70.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Our short term bias remains positive.
50 4hour EMA is at 80.73.
80.59 has been pivotal.
We look to Buy at 80.75 (stop at 79.95)
Our profit targets will be 82.75 and 83.25
Resistance: 81.50 / 82.24 / 83.00
Support: 80.50 / 79.50 / 79.00
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USOIL BULLISH PRESSURE ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart at 10 JUN , as mentioned rising reach our target
Tendency the price is a bullish pressure in 80.16
TURNING LEVEL : the price turning level at 80.16 , price stable below this level it becomes reach a support level , but if breaking this level active bullish area , to reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: if the price trade above turning level at 80.16 , the price will rise to 82.85 then stable this level reach to 85.04
SUPPORT LEVEL : the price breaking turning level 80.16 , it will reach the support level of 78.18 and 75.63
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : price will 80.16 , correct itself before long
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USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 81.15.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 86.12 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 77.14 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello,Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 77.13 area.
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USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello,Friends!
USOIL pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 77.43 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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WTI Crude Oil: Geopolitical Tensions and Technical SignalThe US crude oil benchmark, is trading near $82.00 on Monday. This modest uptick is driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations of increased oil demand during the summer season.
Geopolitical Tensions and Market Impact
The prospect of a broader conflict in the Middle East, which could threaten crude oil supplies from the region, is fueling the rise in WTI prices. The UN Secretary-General’s statement on Sunday, warning that a full-scale war between Israel and Hezbollah would be disastrous, has further intensified these concerns.
Technical Analysis: Signs of a Possible Retracement
Technically, there are signs that WTI might experience a price retracement. The current levels suggest a potential pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement within a bearish channel, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions. This setup hints at a possible near-term correction before any further upward movement.
Outlook
In conclusion, while geopolitical tensions and seasonal demand are bolstering WTI crude oil prices, technical indicators suggest a potential retracement. Market participants should remain vigilant, watching for price movements around the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the behavior of the RSI in the coming sessions.
WTI OIL Death Cross formed Pullback to $76 would be very healthyWTI Oil (USOIL) is forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since December 22 2023. That comes after the former Channel Down had a bullish break-out following a rebound on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), a series of events that happened also on December 20 2023 and before that on May 17 2023.
We already have a 1D MACD Bullish Cross. Circling back to the 1D Death Cross, the one on December 22 2023 formed a short-term top that had the price pull back within the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci retracement Zone.
As a result, even though we have confirmed a new long-term uptrend, we technically turn bearish on the short-term, expecting a pull-back towards the 0.618 Fib, targeting $76.00.
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WTI turns lower after surprise crude stocks buildNews of a surprise inventories build in the US has caused oil prices to give up earlier gains and turn lower.
The EIA US weekly crude oil inventories came in at +3591K vs -2850K expected and -2547K prior.
The 3.6-million-barrel build suggests weaker demand despite hopes that inventories would draw down more meaningfully due to the US driving season. However, gasoline stocks also rose, coming in at +2654K vs -1024K expected, while the refinery utilization fell to -1.3% vs +0.1% expected.
As a result, crude oil prices turned lower on the session to take out the lows of the past several days.
The key support to watch is at $80.00 – if it breaks this level decisively now then we could see some follow-up technical selling towards $79.00 next.
However, if instead oil prices rise to hit a new high on the session, then this would invalidate any bearish signals we may have seen today.
So, watch the closing prices attentively.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Avoid FOMO of oil being bullish Until the price is below 7000 mark we cant say oil has turned bullish
there is volume imbalance and bearish fvg on daily time frame around 6887 to 6771
where there is high probability price to get reject
those who are in long trade before try to trail your stop
and those who are looking for fresh long AVOID !!
Crude Oil Market Analysis and Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5
Four-hour resistance 82, support below 80.7-79
Crude oil operation suggestions: After a bottom rebound in the daily chart of crude oil, the upward momentum has slowed down. Short-term is accompanied by a second roundabout retracement confirmation. The daily chart uses the middle track as the support point. Go long after the retracement confirmation.
Today's lower support continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline support of 80.5. Relying on this position, the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The upper target is still near the daily pressure of 83.4. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 80.7 mark. If the daily level stands firm at this position. Continue to follow the trend and do more. Short selling can participate near the daily resistance of 83.4. (At the same time, beware of trend changes, and there is also a warning of a sharp drop in the technical side)
SELL:80.7near SL:81.10
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
2024-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
wti crude oil
comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again.
current market cycle: Trading range
key levels: 80 - 82
bull case: Bulls still see this as a second leg of a pullback around the lower bull trend line and they want to start their third leg (W5) up to 83/84. They need to keep it above 80 or bears might get cheeky and want to push it to the daily ema around 78.8, which would also be a breakout retest.
Invalid below 80.
bear case: Bears are not able to print two decent looking consecutive bear bars on higher time frames. Until they get much stronger or give up again, best they can probably hope for is sideways around 80. Selling today looks like a leg inside a trading range and not a stronger pullback below 80.
short term: Neutral 80-82. It’s moving sideways. Don’t make it more complicated.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear key levels given
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 81.39.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 83.28 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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