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"UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout. Buy entry above 77.500 Sell Entry below 75.500 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 81.500 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 72.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: The "UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors. 🟠Macroeconomic Factors: 1. Global Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China, may decrease demand for crude oil, putting downward pressure on prices. 2. US-China Trade Tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China may lead to a decline in global economic growth, negatively impacting oil demand. 3. Strong US Dollar: A strong US dollar may make crude oil more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices. 🔴Fundamental Factors: 1. Increasing US Shale Oil Production: Rising US shale oil production may lead to a surplus in global oil supply, putting downward pressure on prices. 2. High Oil Inventory Levels: Elevated oil inventory levels in the US and other countries may indicate a surplus in global oil supply, negatively impacting prices. 3. OPEC+ Compliance Issues: Non-compliance by OPEC+ members with production cuts may lead to a surplus in global oil supply, putting downward pressure on prices. 🟢Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis: 1. Bearish Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short crude oil, indicating a bearish sentiment. 2. Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting crude oil prices to decline due to the supply surplus. 3. Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that crude oil is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $70 level. 🟡Sentimental Outlook: Bearish Sentiment: 55% Bullish Sentiment: 30% Neutral Sentiment: 15% ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FX:UKOILSPOT
by Thief_Trader
$BP’S COMEBACK? ELLIOTT’S STAKE & UNDERVALUATION BUZZBP’S COMEBACK? ELLIOTT’S STAKE & UNDERVALUATION BUZZ 1/7 BP ( NYSE:BP ) just got a jolt of activist energy ⚡️ as Elliott Management took a significant stake. Shares surged 7% to 464.75 pence—the highest since August. Are we witnessing the start of a big turnaround? Let’s break down the numbers. 2/7 – REVENUE RUNDOWN • 12-month revenue (ending Sept 2024): $199.1B (↓13.72% YoY) • Big contrast to 2022’s 51.58% revenue jump • Post-pandemic swings? The energy rollercoaster keeps rolling. 🎢 3/7 – EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS • Q4 2023 net income: $371M vs. $10.8B the previous year 🤯 • Lower refining margins + weaker oil & gas production = big dent • Still holding a “GOOD” Financial Health score—some resilience under the hood. 4/7 – ELLIOTT’S INVOLVEMENT • BP’s 2023 performance: -16%—underperforming Shell (-4%) & ExxonMobil (+8%) • Elliott sees untapped value? Activists typically target companies trading below intrinsic worth • Market loves it: 7% daily pop signals new optimism. 🚀 5/7 – VALUATION SNAPSHOT • TTM P/E ratio at 7.89—notably below Shell & Exxon’s multiples • Some analysts call BP “undervalued” and point to further upside potential • If Elliott drives restructuring or divestitures, could we see a sustained rally? 6/7 Is BP primed for a major comeback with Elliott on board? 1️⃣ Yes—Activists will unlock hidden value! 2️⃣ No—BP’s challenges run too deep. 3️⃣ Maybe—Need more clarity on strategy. Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/7 – RISK FACTORS • Commodity Volatility: Oil & gas prices can swing hard • Regulatory & ESG Pressure: Green-energy pivot demands big $$ • Debt Levels: ~$20.9B net debt could limit agility • Competition: Shell, Chevron, & Exxon aren’t standing still. ⛽️
NYSE:BPLong
by DCAChampion
Crude Oil Analysis near resistance areaAs the market continues to react to various economic indicators and geopolitical developments, Crude Oil prices are currently at a pivotal point. Below are two potential scenarios based on the current market conditions. Current Analysis: Crude Oil is currently facing a critical resistance zone between $71.5 and $72.8. Based on the price action and market sentiment, I foresee two potential scenarios: Scenario 1: Bearish Reversal Resistance Strength: The resistance at $71.5 and $72.8 is strong. Expected Movement: If the price fails to break through this resistance, I anticipate a rebound, leading to a decline towards the $68-$69 area. Action Plan: Entry Signal: Monitor for bearish price action signals, such as a Shooting Star or a Bearish Engulfing Pattern, indicating a potential reversal. Entry Point: Enter a short position upon confirmation of the bearish signal. Target: Set a target at the $68-$69 range. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at $72.8 to manage risk effectively. Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout Resistance Strength: The resistance at $71.5 and $72.8 is weak. Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above this resistance, I expect it to rally towards the $77-$77.5 area. Action Plan: Entry Signal: Wait for a confirmed close above $72.8, ideally accompanied by a strong bullish candle (preferably a long green candle) to validate the breakout. Entry Point: Enter a long position upon confirmation of the breakout. Target: Set a target in the $78-$79 range. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at $71.5 to protect against potential reversals. Summary The key levels to watch are $71.5 and $72.8 for potential reversals or breakouts. I will wait for confirmation through price action signals befare takeing a decision.
NYMEX:CL1!
by dPEngineering
WTI Oil H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 71.95 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 73.50 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 69.58 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge. Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown. On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy. Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling. On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable. The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy. Gold Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory. At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option. However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases: Wednesday: U.S. CPI Thursday: U.S. PPI On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach. On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones. Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900 Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856 -Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 70 should be bigger support and I expect more sideways movement here. It is somewhat lower probability than bears continuing with the selling because bulls managed to go above the prior day’s bar exactly two times in the last 15 trading days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls need to print some consecutive bull bars or the selling won’t stop. Their first target is to test up to 72 and the daily 20ema and then test the bear trend line from 79.45. Bulls have going for them that market is not making meaningful lower lows and new lows are bought. Still, best they can hope for next week is to go sideways between 70 - 73. Invalidation is below 69.7. bear case: Bears are selling any bounce harder than bulls are buying new lows. They prevent bulls from printing any decent bull bar or even consecutive bars above the 4h 20ema. They also have going for them that the volume during the selling is much greater than during the pull-backs. For now bears are still in full control and they are favored for lower prices. Problem for them is that 70 is a big round number and also above the trading that the market stayed in from October to December. Selling close to 70 is a bad sell and unless we get bearish oil news, we can expect bears to wait for pull-backs to 72 or 73 before selling again. Invalidation is above 75. short term: Neutral for now. No interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bear channel
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
Ichimoku Theories - Complicated? Keep it SimpleNYMEX:CL1! The Ichimoku Strategy is a technical analysis method using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, which helps traders identify trends, support/resistance levels, and potential trade signals. It consists of five key components: Ichimoku Indicator Components: 1. Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): (9-period moving average) • Short-term trend indicator. • A sharp slope suggests strong momentum. 2. Kijun-sen (Base Line): (26-period moving average) • Medium-term trend indicator. • Acts as a support/resistance level. 3. Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): ((Tenkan-sen + Kijun-sen) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead) • Forms one edge of the Kumo (Cloud). • A rising Span A suggests an uptrend. 4. Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): (52-period moving average, plotted 26 periods ahead) • The second edge of the Kumo (Cloud). • When Span A is above Span B, the cloud is bullish (green); when Span A is below Span B, it’s bearish (red). 5. Chikou Span (Lagging Span): (Closing price plotted 26 periods behind) • Confirms trend direction. • If Chikou Span is above past prices, it signals bullish momentum. Trading Strategies Using Ichimoku 1. Kumo Breakout Strategy • Buy when the price breaks above the Kumo (Cloud). • Sell when the price breaks below the Kumo. 2. Tenkan-Kijun Cross Strategy • Bullish signal: Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen. • Bearish signal: Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen. 3. Chikou Span Confirmation • Buy when Chikou Span is above past price action. • Sell when Chikou Span is below past price action. 4. Kumo Twist • When Senkou Span A crosses above Senkou Span B, it signals a potential bullish reversal. • When Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B, it suggests a bearish reversal. 5. Trend Confirmation • Price above the cloud = bullish trend. • Price inside the cloud = consolidation. • Price below the cloud = bearish trend. Advantages of Ichimoku Strategy ✅ Provides a comprehensive market view (trend, momentum, support/resistance). ✅ Works well in trending markets. ✅ Offers clear entry and exit signals. Limitations ❌ Less effective in ranging or choppy markets. ❌ Can be complex for beginners. ❌ Requires confirmation with other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). Trade Smart - Trade Safe 🚀
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by makerup
EXXONMOBIL ($XOM) EARNINGS & OUTLOOKEXXONMOBIL ( NYSE:XOM ) EARNINGS & OUTLOOK 1/7 ExxonMobil is back in the spotlight after Q4 2024 earnings. ⚡️💰 From a $59.5B Pioneer merger to record Permian production, there’s plenty to unpack. Let’s dig in! 2/7 – Q4 & FULL-YEAR EARNINGS • 2024 earnings: $33.7B, down from $36.0B in 2023 • Q4 2024: $7.6B net income (~$1.72/share), with $12.2B in operating cash flow • Distributed $36B to shareholders in 2024—talk about rewarding loyalty! 💸💥 3/7 – EXPANSION & STRATEGY • Targeting higher output in Permian Basin & Guyana, despite oil oversupply • FWB:20B annual share-repurchase program planned for 2025 • Recent Pioneer merger boosts upstream portfolio—long-term production potential just got a big upgrade 🚀 4/7 – VALUATION VS PEERS • P/E ratio ~13–14, below the industry range (15–18) ✅ • Dividend yield ~3.5%, beating the 3.0% sector average • Stacks up against Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) & Shell ( NYSE:SHEL )—but ExxonMobil’s Guyana assets could be the real differentiator 🌍⛽️ 5/7 – RISK FACTORS 1️⃣ Oil oversupply + OPEC+ cuts → Price uncertainty 📉 2️⃣ Global economic slowdown → Softens demand 3️⃣ Regulatory scrutiny → Heightened costs 4️⃣ Shifting to renewables → Could reduce big-oil momentum 6/7 Is ExxonMobil truly undervalued given its strong cash flow & dividend? 1️⃣ Yes – Undervalued gem 2️⃣ No – Oil oversupply risk is too high 3️⃣ Maybe – Need more clarity on renewables Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/7 – SWOT SUMMARY • Strengths: Advantaged assets (Permian/Guyana), robust cash flow 🏭 • Weaknesses: Reliance on oil price, smaller renewables exposure • Opportunities: Pioneer merger, carbon capture, high-value chemical products • Threats: Regulatory, oversupply, economic slowdown
NYSE:XOMLong
by DCAChampion
1
Weekly Market Forecast: CRUDE OIL Can Go Lower!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th. OIL is still trending to the downside, and sells are still valid. Until we see a bullish market break of market structure, sells all day. CPI Data news on Wednesday, so be careful trading into news day. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!
by RT_Money
Crude Oil Outlook: Bearish Pattern, Triangle Formation, and Key Back in January, despite strong rise, crude oil has seen limited upside and fully reversed the path. This is partly due to the Trump administration’s goal of bringing crude oil prices lower, with plans to refill the US strategic reserves. In fact data from the Energy Information Administration, showing that production has been gradually increasing since summer of 2023, around the time energy prices hit a swing high near $95. Since then, crude oil has consistently formed lower swing highs. So, if the Trump administration will really boost the oil production, it will likely put more downward pressure on energy prices and help ease inflation; the CPI y/y data, which is highly correlated with crude oil prices, could decline as well as shown on the weekly chart (but this will change if / when economy “booms”). From an Elliott wave perspective, we are tracking an ongoing A-B-C-D-E triangle pattern, but wave E could still push prices a bit higher, for a rally in the next few weeks, because the pattern appears incomplete. But, once this triangle concludes, I expect a break to the downside. This would likely coincide with lower inflation expectations as mentioned; thus lower US yields, and a weaker US dollar. Overall, my assumption is that crude oil will eventually break below $64 per barrel in 2025! GH
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by ew-forecast
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 71.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 73.50 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 69.58 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
1