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USOIL USOIL is showing a potential sell opportunity following a breakout of the upward trend on the 30-minute timeframe. This signals a possible shift in momentum toward the downside. Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Entry Zone: 73.000 – 73.300 🔻 Resistance Level: 73.700 (Key level to watch for invalidation) Target Levels: ✅ Target 1: 72.300 ✅ Target 2: 71.670 ✅ Target 3: 70.780 If price respects the resistance zone and fails to break above 73.700, we could see a continuation to the downside toward the listed targets. Confirmation from price action will strengthen the setup before executing trades.
TVC:USOILShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
7
USOIL 1H Analysis: Bullish Breakout or Reversal?📊 WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 1H Chart Analysis 🛢️🚀 Current Market Status Open: 73.33 High: 73.36 Low: 73.25 Close: 73.26 (-0.11%) 🔻 200 EMA: 72.40 Key Observations ✅ Strong Uptrend 📈 Price is trading above the 200 EMA (red line), indicating bullish momentum. Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, confirming upward movement. ✅ Consolidation Zone 📊 Price is currently in a range (orange box), suggesting a potential breakout. Market is forming small candles, indicating indecision before a bigger move. ✅ Projected Breakout 🚀 The chart shows an anticipated bullish breakout above $74.00 - $74.85 target area (gray box). If the price breaks above resistance, it may rally towards the next psychological level $75.00+. ❌ Risk Zone (Stop Loss Area) ⚠️ Support zone (bottom of the orange box) at $72.78 - $73.15. If price breaks below this level, a bearish reversal could happen. Trading Outlook 💡 Bullish Bias 📈: Look for a breakout above $73.50 - $74.00 for a long entry. ⚠️ Bearish Reversal Risk: A break below $72.78 may invalidate the bullish setup. 🔥 Potential Move: 🚀 Upside Target: $74.85 - $75.00+ 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $72.78
TVC:USOILLong
by MrStellanSight
1
WTI OIL Weak price action on the medium-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) is extending the Bearish Leg of the Triangle pattern after the recent January 13 rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Until the 1W RSI turns bearish again, and more importantly the Support Zone gets hit, we expect this bearish trend to be extended. The strongest Demand Level for the past 2 years has been this Support Zone, so our medium-term Target is on its top at $68.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
1
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨 - Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL) - Timeframe: 4-Hour - Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility - Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 Key Technical Analysis: 1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection. 2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal. 3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs. CPI Session Volatility Warning: - With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment. - If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short. - Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play. Trade Plan: - Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation. - Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks. - Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows. Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Fondera
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 70.97 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 69.61 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 73.22 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Crude Oil daily time frame - potential Ascending Channel Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) – Daily Chart Analysis (Feb 11, 2025) 📉 Market Structure: Crude oil is trading within a broad ascending channel, with higher lows forming near $68 and resistance near $80-$82. Price recently bounced from a key support zone around $70-$72, indicating demand in this area. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $70-$72 (previous resistance turned support) Resistance: $78-$80 (previous strong rejection area) Major Resistance: $82+ (upper trendline of the channel) 📊 Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: If price holds above $72, a continuation to $78-$80 is likely. Breaking $80 could lead to a test of the upper channel at $82-$85. Bearish Case: A break below $70 could invalidate the bullish momentum, pushing price towards the lower trendline near $68-$66. 📌 Conclusion: Oil is in a consolidation phase, respecting key levels. Bulls need a breakout above $78-$80 for further upside, while bears would target a breakdown below $70. 🚀🔥
NYMEX:CL1!
by Forexbeats
CRUDE OIL - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.2-7.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 10th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), likely completing the 1st phase. The extreme forecast on February 3 worked as a reversal from the combined resistance of the MA20 and the large triangle boundary, which I mentioned in my last post. Holding the short position from the February 3 extreme forecast. The first phase of the base cycle isn’t over yet, but it is very mature. ⚠️ Note that the pivot forecast on January 17 marked a triple top with the extreme forecasts of July 1 and April 12 (Retrograde Mercury). This is a very strong resistance level. I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. Next pivot forecast for crude: February 11.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 11In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets: ES \ S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC |Gold SiI | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout. For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound. Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable. As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky. On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach. Gold Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials. Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated. Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place. On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position. For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today. With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined! Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550 -Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917 -Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
WTI crude bulls eye $74Crude oil prices fell over 11% from the January high before support was found at the 200-day SMA and 50% retracement level on Friday. Trump's latest tariffs saw commodities rise on inflationary concerns, and that allowed WTI futures to post a daily gain of 1.6% - its best day since the January high. The 1-hour chart shows an impulsive move with no immediate threat of a top forming, and it seems plausible that the market is now reaching for $74 as part of a counter trend move, near the monthly pivot point and weekly R2. However, as Monday's trading volume was the lowest of the year, it shows a lack of bullish enthusiasm. So unless we see volumes rising alongside prices, I am to assume the current bounce is simply a correction against the drop from the January high. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
2
Support around 73.25 is the key Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (CL1! 1D chart) The point to watch is whether it can rise above 73.25-74.62. Since the M-Signal indicator and MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicators on the 1W chart are passing around 73.25, it is expected to be the first resistance zone for the rise. The M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is passing around 74.62, so it is expected to be the second resistance zone. - If it receives resistance and falls, 1st: 70.64-71.0 2nd: 68.18-68.94 You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above. - (30m chart) Resistance: M-Signal indicator of 1D, 1W chart Support: 5EMA+StErr indicator of 1D chart (71.78) - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
NYMEX:CL1!
by readCrypto
WTI CRUDE OIL: Aiming at 82.00 long term.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.507, MACD = -0.150, ADX = 34.872) as only today it crossed above the 1D MA50, following a correction since Jan 15th. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we are very close to its bottom. The two bullish waves it had already, peaked after at least a +20% rise. As the 1D RSI is already on the S1 Zone, we anticipate a new bullish wave to start gradually and aim at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 82.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
Weekly price prediction: $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max).Projected Price Range The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max). Contended Price Levels $74.50 – Point of Control (POC) – potential support $73.22 - $71.49 – High Volume Node (HVN) – potential support $77.32 - $81.62 – Low Volume Node (LVN) – potential resistance Technical Analysis Fibonacci Retracement & Price Movement: The price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in mid-January before retracing. This level has demonstrated consistent horizontal price movement over the past six months, indicating it as a key reference point. Volume Profile Analysis: High Volume Node (HVN): Found between $73.22 and $71.49, indicating strong liquidity and potential support. Low Volume Node (LVN): Between $77.32 and $81.62, which could lead to rapid price spikes if the price enters this zone. MACD and Stochastic RSI: Stochastic RSI (Bottom Indicator): Has shown low bearish momentum over the last two weeks and appears poised for an upward crossover, signalling potential price growth. MACD (Top Indicator): Remains in the negative region, with a few weeks left before a possible crossover, implying continued caution for bullish sentiment. Additional Factors Support & Resistance Considerations: Point of Control (POC) and HVN are close to the current price, reinforcing these as key support zones. The price is currently resting on a previous resistance level that has now turned into support. The black rectangle above the price highlights the LVN region, where rapid price movements could occur. The white rectangle represents a large support zone, which may contribute to horizontal price movement. Geopolitical & Market Sentiment: As always, geopolitical events could significantly impact price fluctuations, and traders should remain alert to any market-moving developments. Conclusion Brent Crude Oil prices for the upcoming week are likely to remain within the projected range, given the strong support levels in the current price zone. However, any breakout downward could be swift, while an upward breakout could be accelerated due to the LVN region.
OANDA:BCOUSD
by BlackbearTrader
Reversal of US Energy Policy Could Push Crude Oil LowerNYMEX: Micro Crude Oil Futures ( NYMEX:MCL1! ) #Microfutures On January 20th, President Donald Trump signed an executive order, “Declaring a National Energy Emergency”. This sets the tone of US energy policy for the next 4 years. By declaring national emergency and raising energy independence to the highest level of national security, President Trump introduced sweeping measures to fast-track energy infrastructure and regulatory approvals. In a 180-degree reversal, the new administration abandoned the Climate Change policies championed by the Biden presidency. Other executive orders saw the US quitting the Paris Climate Accord and cancelling pushes into renewable energy and electric vehicles. This marks a major turning point in the price trend of crude oil. Since Mid-January, WTI prices have already retreated 11%, while Brent was lowered by 10%. In my opinion, WTI futures could fall to the pre-Pandemic price range of $45-$64 a barrel, with a midpoint target at $55 in 2025. My logic follows: US oil production will rise, benefiting from the new energy policy As of 2023, the U.S. produced about 14.7% of the world's crude oil, surpassing Saudi Arabia and Russia. This makes the US the largest crude oil producer globally. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated the domestic oil production at 13.2 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2024. It recently forecasted the US output to grow to 13.5 and 13.6 million b/d, in 2025 and 2026, respectively. Considering the complete makeover of US energy policy, I think the next EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) would show measurable upticks in its production forecast. Threats of Tariffs could curtail global oil demand Last week, the US slapped a 25% tariff for Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff for China on top of those imposed during the 2018-19 trade conflict. While the tariffs for Canada and Mexico are on hold pending trade negotiation, China retaliated and announced new tariffs on US goods at rates ranging from 10% to 15%. Rising global trade tensions would increase costs and raise the prices on store shelves. Declining sales would lead to production reduction. Eventually, a slowdown in economic activities will result in less demand for crude oil. The January STEO report forecasts global oil consumption growth to be less than the pre-pandemic trend, at an increase of 1.3 million b/d in 2025 and 1.1 million b/d in 2026. With the impact of higher tariffs, I expect the next STEO to show further deterioration in its oil consumption forecast. Lifting of oil embargo could release more supply to the global market The new administration campaigned to end global military conflicts. In my opinion, a US brokered peace treaty between Russia and Ukraine is on the horizon. Iran and the US could resume talks soon. Both scenarios could see the existing oil embargo being lifted. In 2024, Russia is the 3rd largest oil producer with 10.75 million barrels a day, while Iran ranks 7th with 4.08 million. Together, they contributed to over 18% of global oil output. Market trades on expectation. Oil prices would respond quickly with the emergence of any planned negotiation. OPEC+ to increase crude oil production The STEO forecasts the OPEC+ to relax production cuts. Following an annual decline of 1.3 million b/d in 2024, it expects growth of 0.2 million b/d in 2025 and a further increase of 0.6 million b/d in 2026 from OPEC+ producers as voluntary production cuts unwind. Additionally, STEO expects further production growth from countries outside of OPEC+, including the United States, Canada, Brazil, and Guyana. Commitment of Traders shows bearish sentiment The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on February 4th, total Open Interest (OI) for NYMEX WTI Futures is 1,765,342 contracts. “Managed Money” (i.e., hedge funds) own 204,272 in Long, 60,136 in Short and 393,098 in Spreading. • While they maintain a long-short ratio of 3.4:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 36,310 (-15%) while increasing short positions by 11,085 (+16%). • This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on oil. Crude oil prices typically rise on the back of geopolitical tensions, supply disruptions, and economic growth. We are likely to witness the retracing on all these fronts. Another reason for the rising prices in most financial assets has been the abundance of liquidity, leading by the $2-trillion-a-year US deficit spending. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) made significant headways into cutting government expenditures. This could help remove some of the premiums on asset prices. Trade Setup with Micro WTI Futures If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the NYMEX Micro WTI Futures ( GETTEX:MCL ). MCL contracts have a notional value of 100 barrels of crude oil. With Friday settlement price of $71.0, each March contract (MCLH5) has a notional value of $7,100. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $586. NYMEX crude oil futures are among the most liquid commodity contracts in the world. On Friday, standard WTI futures ( NYSE:CL , 1000 barrels) has a trade volume of 784,820 contracts and an OI of 1,796,265. Micro WTI has a trade volume of 54,038 and OI of 19,178. The Micro contracts allow traders to tap into the deep liquidity of NYMEX WTI market, while requiring only 1/10th of the initial margin. Hypothetically, a trader shorts March MCL contract and WTI prices pull back to our upper price range of $64. A short futures position would gain $700 (= (71 - 64) x $100). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +119.5% (= 700 / 586). The risk of shorting crude oil futures is rising oil prices. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set stop loss at $75 when entering the short order at $71. If crude oil continues to rise, the maximum loss would be $400 ( = (75-71) *100). To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com The Leap trading competition, #TheFuturesLeap, sponsored by CME Group, is currently running at TradingView. I encourage you to join The Leap to sharpen your trading skills and put your trading strategies at test, competing with your peers in this paper trading challenge sponsored by CME Group. www.tradingview.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
1
Crude oil is approaching highs and continues to shortReal-time analysis of crude oil market: Crude oil did not fall below the 70 mark for four consecutive trading days last week. This week, the price of crude oil will be determined by the integer mark of 70. Last week, we repeatedly suggested that we should buy at 70.5 and 70 in batches. Now it has reached the 71.5 line, which can only be regarded as the first stop of the decline. The short-term pressure range is in the 71.7-72.1 area. It is expected that there will be no big ups and downs at the beginning of the week. With 71.5 as the radius, 15 points of space will be reserved above and below as the shock range at the beginning of the week. Today's resistance is focused on the 4-hour upper track 72.1. The upper side looks at the pressure point of 72.5 where the daily MA60 moving average and the 4-hour MA60 moving average overlap. The deviation pressure point focuses on the weekly MA10 moving average 73. For support, first look at the 1-hour middle track 71, followed by the lower track 70.6, and the deviation looks at the 70 integer mark. Overall, the 4-hour Bollinger band lower track and the daily Bollinger band lower track have turned into an upward closing state, and the probability of breaking the low again is not high. Therefore, any retracement this week is an opportunity to try a long-term bullish trend. For the European and American markets, it is recommended to mainly go long on retracements, and go short when encountering resistance at high levels.
TVC:USOILShort
by niwmniwm