Oil
USOIL:Bide one's timeThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅USOIL made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 68.60$ so we are bullish
Biased so we can enter a
Long trade with the TP of 69.46$
And the SL of 68.17$
LONG🚀
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USOIL: Rally, Resistance, and Technical ReversalThe recent trend of USOIL has been continuously rising in a volatile manner, and the current intraday price has reached a three - week high.
Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by fundamental news, mainly due to the combined effects of the United States increasing sanctions on Iran's energy and the ineffective and substantive implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Analyzing the short - term trend from the one - hour chart of USOIL, during the US trading session last night, the crude oil price surged again, hitting the resistance of $69.5 in the market. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled, and the price slightly retreated to the support of $69 without further decline.
After today's opening, the bullish momentum was obviously insufficient, and the price did not rise further. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands extended downward, exerting pressure. The moving average of the Macd indicator formed a cross at a high level and has a downward extension trend, and the momentum column began to release downward.
USOIL Trading strategy
Sell@69.5-69
tp:68-67.5
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Crude Oil: Today's Trading StrategyAfter a gradual rise, the price of crude oil has experienced a brief pullback. Currently, the short-term resistance zone is around 69.64. When the price approaches this area, you can start shorting.
usoil sell@69.2-69.6
sl: 70.4
tp: 68.6-68.8
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WTI rises to test major resistance WTI has risen in the last couple of weeks after staging an oversold bounce from around the key $65.00 long-term support level at the start of the month. However, it is now testing a key resistance area between $69.15 - $70.00 range, which is where WTI last sold off from. It is a pivotal zone. Given the underlying long-term bearish trend, I am more inclined to look for bearish setups to form here, than to chase this move higher. However, that being said, I would have to drop my short-term bearish bias in the event WTI were to break decisively above $70.00 level in the days ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI OIL Ultimate long-term guide.WTI Oil (USOIL) has a tendency, like a number of key traditional assets, to follow long-term Cycles. Market psychology more times than not makes investors and the market behave in similar ways (euphoria buying, panic selling) given the same market conditions. Fundamentals and catalysts can often be used as reasons and excuses to confirm the technical trends and long-term Cycles.
Oil is no different and on this 1M time-frame analysis we see why. The dominant multi-year pattern is a Channel Down and it has started on the July 2008 All Time High (ATH). Right now it appears that we are inside a Wedge pattern similar to 2011 - 2014 and more specifically on the final Bullish Leg towards the top.
The 1M RSI sequence among those two fractals is identical so based on all these parameters we believe WTI will test $90.00 by late 2025 - early 2026 and if rejected, start a brutal long-term sell-off towards the bottom of the Channel Down and the 35.00 - 30.00 range by late 2026 as the Time Cycles suggest.
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Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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Brent crude: We maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the yearBrent crude's current momentum has taken prices to a three-week high, with the latest move being supported by a combination of underinvested hedge funds, improved risk sentiment following a softening in the tone regarding tariffs after Trump indicated some nations could receive breaks from "reciprocal" tariffs starting next week on 2 April, and not least, the mentioned secondary tariffs on buyers of Venezuelan crude, which, together with Iran sanctions, may help tighten supply.
Overall, we maintain our USD 65 to USD 85 range for the year, with the near-term upside potential being limited by resistance now seen in a band between USD 73.80, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the January to March selloff, and USD 74.10, a level that provided support on several occasions last month before the eventual break triggered a slump extension to near USD 68.
CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
One of the setups that we discussed on a today's live stream
was a bullish flag pattern on WTI Crude Oil on an hourly chart.
Its resistance breakout provides a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth at least to 70 level.
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OIL Today's strategyYesterday, prices were affected by tightening expectations on the supply side, geopolitics and other factors, and the trend was strong, breaking through $69.
Today, it is fluctuating above $69, and another wave of gains is expected. At the same time, we need to pay close attention to the situation in the $68.5-69.5 area and adjust it at any time
usoil buy@68.3-68.7
tp:69.5-70
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USOIL Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 69.379.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 67.044 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Technical Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (Daily Chart)Current Price Action
WTI crude oil is trading at $70.51, showing a recovery from the Liquidity Pool zone near the $66.00–$67.00 range. The price has approached a key resistance level around $71.00, which aligns with a previous area of rejection in February 2025. The chart suggests a potential pullback from this resistance level, as indicated by the projected downward arrow.
Support Levels:
$66.00–$67.00: This zone represents a significant liquidity pool where buyers have consistently stepped in, leading to a reversal in price.
$65.00: A psychological support level and the lower boundary of the liquidity pool.
Resistance Levels:
$71.00: A critical resistance level that has acted as a ceiling for price action in recent months.
$73.00: The next major resistance level if the price breaks above $71.00.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart shows significant trading activity between $70.00 and $71.00, indicating strong resistance in this area. Above $71.00, the volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a rapid move toward $73.00.
Indicators and Momentum
Trend: The price is recovering from a bearish trend but remains below the highs of $80.00 seen earlier in the chart. The current move appears to be a retracement within a broader downtrend.
Potential Pullback: The projected arrow on the chart suggests a possible rejection at $71.00, with a pullback toward the $68.00–$69.00 range.
Market Sentiment
The chart reflects cautious optimism, with buyers stepping in at lower levels but facing strong resistance at $71.00. A breakout above this level could signal a shift in sentiment, while a rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Conclusion
WTI crude oil is at a critical juncture, testing the $71.00 resistance level. Traders should watch for a breakout above $71.00, which could target $73.00 and higher. Conversely, a rejection at this level may lead to a pullback toward the $68.00–$67.00 support zone. The liquidity pool near $66.00 remains a key area for buyers to defend in the event of further downside.
CRUDE OIL Will Go Up After Pullback! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Local uptrend and the price
Made a strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 68.40$ so after a pullback
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a gap up on the daily chart. It showed a strong, one-directional rebound up to the 5-week moving average on the weekly chart.
Since the 5-week MA overlaps with the 60-week MA, it's unlikely to break through easily without a short-term correction.
On the daily chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, meaning that even if a pullback occurs, the strategy should remain buy-on-dip oriented.
There is still an open gap down to 19,960, which could be filled at any time—so it's important to consider the possibility of a retest of that level. If the gap is filled, that area could be a good support zone to buy from.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum entered around the zero line, confirming a breakout after basing in a range. Therefore, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred approach in this structure.
Crude Oil
Crude oil continued its upward move, closing higher on the daily chart.
With strong support around the $68 level, the market could potentially rise toward the $70 zone, and possibly test resistance between $70–$71, which is a key area to watch closely.
Overall, traders should continue to buy on dips, but be cautious with chasing long positions above $70. If taking short positions, they should be managed with tight stop-losses.
On the 240-minute chart, oil appears to be in the midst of a third wave rally, so any short positions should be considered above $70, while buying pullbacks remains valid.
Current Middle East tensions and U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil are contributing to a supply risk premium in oil prices.
Since the market is recovering from the lows and showing a positive technical setup, short trades should be managed carefully with proper risk control.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within its range-bound structure. On the daily chart, gold is currently trading between the 3-day and 5-day MAs above, and the 10-day MA below, forming a narrow consolidation zone. This makes sell-at-highs and buy-at-lows strategies effective.
Since there's room for a pullback to the 5-week MA on the weekly chart, chasing longs is not advised. If the MACD crosses below the signal line, this could create a bearish divergence, leading to potential sharp downside, so caution is warranted.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is failing to break above the signal line and continues to decline. However, since the signal line remains above the zero line, a rebound attempt is likely, even if the MACD dips below zero.
Given the current slope and distance, it's unlikely that a golden cross will form soon. Also, traders should keep in mind that major economic data such as GDP and PCE reports are scheduled later this week, which could influence market direction.
If you can understand the daily chart structure, you can better anticipate intraday high/low ranges and potential wave patterns. Make it a habit to perform thorough daily chart analysis each day, and prepare a trading scenario that suits the market’s behavior. As always, questions are welcome.
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USOIL To Retest $70.5I'm watching TVC:USOIL for a strong push towards at least the $70.5 level, though this area presents significant resistance.
A confirmed break of the bearish trend could fuel strong buying momentum, but patience is key.
Ideally, I’d like to see a solid rejection off the $68.5 level as confirmation before a move higher.
If we get a decisive breakout above $70.5 with sustained bullish momentum, my next target would be the major resistance around $75.
OIL Today's strategyIn the medium term, because the lower edge of the channel has been broken, the short force is relatively dominant, and crude oil may face certain downward pressure.
However, today's crude oil prices are affected by tightening expectations on the supply side, geopolitics and other factors, and the short-term trend is strong, and there is a certain upward momentum on the technical side. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakout of key support and resistance levels.
OIL Today's strategy
buy@67.5-68
tp:69-69.5
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USOil:Wait for rebound to shortThe market movement on Friday was not significant. The intraday high was reached at the opening in the morning, hitting a peak of $68.65, while the low was at $67.65. The maximum intraday fluctuation was just $1, and the price trend showed a shallow V - shape. Considering that Trump is bound to end the Russia - Ukraine conflict over the weekend, crude oil will likely remain bearish in the short term. Therefore, today's market is generally expected to rise first and then decline under pressure again.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@68.5-69
TP:67-66
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USOIL Trading Strategy: Secrets to Consistent ProfitsThe situation in the crude oil market has been complex recently.
On the supply side, it is affected by the uncertainty of the OPEC+ production increase plan, the recovery of U.S. shale oil production, and the potential supply risks in Iran.
On the demand side, due to the weak momentum of global economic recovery and trade disputes, demand has been suppressed. However, the rising market expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut may boost crude oil demand if the loose monetary policy is implemented.
In terms of inventory, although U.S. crude oil inventories have decreased slightly recently, there is still pressure for inventory accumulation, and the decline in the geopolitical risk premium has weakened the support for oil prices.
In the short - term, the crude oil price was blocked and retraced at the upper edge of the trading range. Eventually, it rebounded and recovered, yet failed to break through to a new high. The bullish and bearish forces are locked in a stalemate. Objectively, the short - term trend direction remains unclear, while subjectively, it is biased upward. It is expected that crude oil will break through the resistance at the upper edge of the range and continue to rise today, though with limited upside potential.
USOIL Trading Strategy
sell@68.5-69
tp:67-66.5
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Crude Oil Week AheadFrom a weekly time frame perspective, oil prices have continued to respect the boundaries of a declining channel since the 2022 highs, reaching three-year lows in 2025, in alignment with the long-standing support zone between $64 and $66 that has held since 2021.
After recently rebounding from the $65 level, a decisive close below $63.80 would confirm further downside potential, opening the way toward key support levels at $60, $55, and, in more extreme scenarios, $49.
If the support zone holds, resistance levels within the declining channel may come into play at $70.80, $72.60, $74.30, and $76. A breakout above the channel’s upper boundary and a sustained hold above $78 could shift the outlook to bullish, with potential resistance at $80, $84, $89, and the $93–$95 range.
Despite a complex mix of OPEC quotas, U.S. policy shifts, Chinese economic dynamics, global growth uncertainty, renewable energy demand, and escalating geopolitical tensions, oil remains bearish and range-bound—awaiting a decisive breakout.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL Today's analysisUSOIL is at 68.335. Technically, I'm bearish short - term.
The strong resistance at 69.000 has repeatedly blocked upward moves. Heavy selling occurs near this level, making it a firm price cap.
There are two key supports. 67.000 has halted drops before. If breached, 66.30, a crucial level from past down - trends, comes into play.
With the price below 69.000, facing downward pressure and bearish sentiment, USOIL may decline soon. There's no strong bullish factor to push it higher. The downward - sloping momentum and proximity to supports suggest a downward path. Traders should be cautious and might consider short - term short positions, with risk control, as the price may test 67.000 first, then 66.300 if the bearish trend persists.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@68.500 - 69.000
🎁 TP 67.000 - 66.300
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