Oilanalysis
Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish.
Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move.
So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG
The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for.
Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink
Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE?
I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
XTIUSD(WTI/US OIL): Next Target Is $94.00Dear Traders,
Hope you are well, we have an excellent buying opportunity coming up on Oil, price rejected at key level and since then it is bullish on daily timeframe, however, we have seen some bearish correction happening. We have identified a key level where 'imbalance' zone is there. In our analysis we think price will react from this level and move toward $90 and then $94.
Team Setupsfx_
Crude Oil Thursday Rumble...As we are in Bullish territory on the HTF the Daily FVG bellow is where I am anticipating price to retrace too leading upto 0930est... Does it have to retrace there? No.
However I am Looking at Bullish bias towards the Daily V.i Marked in the chart for a Target and Forecast going forward...
Pretty simple.
Looking to sell WTI crude (USOUSD) … the week of 17 June, 2024Often times, the 200dma is a great dynamic support and resistance. See how effective it has been for the past 6 weeks as resistance as multiple attempts were made by the bulls. The up trendline was broken recently and last week it was re-tested from below. The round number 80.00 and the fact that long-term we are in a downtrend are all factors of confluence. There are so many reasons supporting a sell but the short-term trend is bullish.
I want to see some bearish evidence before committing to a trade.
A bullish continuation past the 80.00 level and the 200dma will negate my analysis.
As you can see, this has the potential to be a +5R trade. Staying patient and allowing for market to make its moves will be required.
This is not a trade recommendation.
Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Anything can happen in the markets at any time. Please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
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Crude Turbo Tuesday'sYesterday we saw a nice bulish displacement and I would like price to stay above the 1hr FVG..
We can wick bellow on the 1hr but leading into CME open I would wait for bullish price to reach to the 80.00 level which is the Daily FVG..
Once we close inside the Daily FVG we can start looking at CE of it.
intermediate trend is up but now trading in sidewayI've set up my TradingView chart for Crude Oil (WTI) in the 1-hour timeframe to understand the current market conditions and potential trading opportunities clearly.
1. Price Levels:
- Right now, the price of crude oil is around $78.217.
- I’ve marked key resistance levels at $80.278 and $79.988. These are the areas where I expect the price might face some selling pressure.
- On the downside, support levels are at $77.557 and $77.550, which could act as a floor if the price drops.
2. Trendlines:
- I’ve drawn a couple of diagonal trendlines that form a channel, showing the range within which the price has been bouncing around.
- These trendlines intersect at several points, which might signal potential breakouts or breakdowns.
3. Volume:
- The volume bars at the bottom are crucial. They show how much crude oil is being traded during each hour.
- Notice the spikes in volume during significant price moves—these often indicate strong market activity and can hint at future price directions.
4. Candlestick Patterns:
- I use candlestick patterns to track price action. Recently, the price has been consolidating around the $78.217 level, which suggests that the market is gathering momentum for a big move.
5. Supply and Demand Zones:
- The shaded areas highlight important supply and demand zones. These zones are where there has been significant buying or selling interest in the past.
- They help me identify potential reversal points and set my stop-loss and take-profit levels more accurately.
6. Support and Resistance Boxes:
- I’ve also drawn boxes around the main support and resistance levels to make them stand out.
- The upper box around $80.278 is a strong resistance zone, while the lower box near $77.550 is a key support area.
This setup helps me keep track of critical price levels and market behavior, making it easier to plan my trades. I rely heavily on these visual cues and patterns to anticipate where the market might head next.
Crude Oil - Turbo TuesdayWell yesterday all targets where hit and some!
Today we have more targets to meet and London has not dissapointed so far
NY we will see what happens but for now I have Monthly ssl and weekly CE of wick and the Daily SSL as 3 main draws that will act as Bearish Bias.
That is the Forecast!
Crude Monday Drab Bias and ForecastI am HTF bearish on Crude OiL
I have PD arrays marked out that should be respected if market was to retrace and take some BSL.
The targets for today are Lows marked out.
Pretty simple.
Stay bellow 1hr fvg and 1hr -OB = BEARISH
Close above the 1hr FVG start looking for short term BSL
Wednesday Forecast Crude OilWe had a very expansive two days From the Bank Holiday Monday and Tuesday.
I do expect the market to slow down a little before we start to move higher to 81.50 as long as price stays above the 1hr fvg and the 1hr +ob my bias will be Bullish.
If we close bellow these pd arrays then a retracement is in order and different targets will have to be looked at.
Pretty simple
Crude Oil Tuesday ForecastI Have in Mind that we will be BEARISH bias mostly this week as we have Tapped into the Premium Daily FVG yesterday and rejected lower.
My two targets shown in the forecast are the arrows.
Daily PDL
Weekly SSL
Now it is important to realise that the market is moving in London and a straight sell into 0830 or 0930est wouldn't be the best move.
Waiting for a retracement and then finding your model to get into the market is what we all strive for and to do couple times a week as intra day traders if the market gives us the opportunity.
Lets see how this plays out !!!
Oil Counter-Trend Longs into Next ShortOil has broken the 15 minute shorts and now are on their way to the All The Way HWB shorts in on the larger 4 hour time frames. You can see how on Friday, the small time frame shorts survived multiple 4 hour candle dives below the 61.8% longs, only to close at or above the 61.8% long. Our 15 minute bias is long and expect it to trade back up to the 82.18-83.42 level, where we sold it in April. Where we can, we will try to be a buyer . . . should have bought those 15 min longs on Friday but it's a hard contract to hold over the weekend. . . .though if there is a direction to hold oil over the weekend, it would be long in the event of a geo-political issue that causes a gap up in oil prices.
Crude - Pre Market Guessing.So I don't take too much of my time on the weekend trying to figure out where price is going to go as price isnt even active.
So barring any exponential moves Sunday open I am still bearish and have :
Monthly Wick CE and target 1
Weekly SSL as target 2
Pre CME open I will re analyse where the market is and publish further forecast for the day.
OIL Valid For Buy To Get 300 Pips At Least , Are You Ready ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Technical Forecast... Crude OilWith FOMC looming today and NFC I don't see any reason for the Weekly SSL to be taken out and price to at least stab into the Daily FVG.
I will be looking out for meaning full moves into these price points during NY session today.
London may offer a little chance to create some false idea we have done it but usually the move is fake and revisited.
80.50 is my weekly objective as it has been from late last week.
So my trade idea's will evolve around price post retracement and then heading down.
Crude Oil Tuesday.Daily Bearish
Stay Bearish bias until 1hr -OB is closed above with a displacement candle @ 83.25
In this chart I am illustrating why IMO, this is a High resistance Liquidity run and not LRLR.
The Price in the circle is Balanced, so for price to cut through this with ease is difficult all be it we have a signature LRLR bellow.
So if a bearish setup appears don't expect it to run through like butter..
I am looking for bearish PA
Crude Oil ForecastSo I was looking at Crude on the weekend and I couldn't determine a clear direction for Monday.
Now Monday Is almost over and we Have disrespected the Mean threshold of the Daily +OB I do expect price to be bearish and heading down towards the Daily FVG.
An Good indicator on the Daily we have respected the WEEKLY ifvg CE.
These things are very important to watch.
Before 0930est I will post intra day targets that I suspect will be Draw On Liquidity.
Bring on Tuesday!