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Oilcrude

CRUDE OIL LONG-TERM OUTLOOK TO GO 'SHORT'Looking at the long-term analysis on the 1D view of Crude Oil, it looks like it is headed downward. Swing trade wise, it could still go up to 67/68 region, which you can swing trade if the opportunity presents itself. However, long-term view Oil is headed downward from it's July's high of 74, prices are below ichimoku cloud which is bear market indication. Now it could take weeks/months to hit bottom but I suggest leaning toward bear trend for the long-term outlook. Have a look at 1HR or even 4/hr view for a more suitable entry point to go short. Suitable entry point being when many indicators are corresponding to go short, this way you are not stuck in a huge retracement and confuse for a trend reversal. 'A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a stock's price that goes against the prevailing trend.' The different yellow horizontal lines represent possible support and resistance areas after analyzing Oil market on 4HR, 1D and the 1W view. I suggest using it as a guideline and look for areas yourself and work with indicators in the long term view to determine when you want to exit market. Please remember to look at what indicators are telling you if you can understand some, as they would likely help you determine a suitable entry point. Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks and there is also the posiblity to hedge yourself, for more confident traders imo. All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
FX:USOILShort
by Dani0
Oil long $62.90 or $60.40 ($61.15 resistance short) best to waitOil chance to go long to $62.90 or short to $60.40 between the horizontal pattern now. ($61.15 is a resistance within the short-range) best to wait now. The Oil price is exactly between two bollinger bands , which means price- fluctuations and opening positions most of the time means losing money. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators! The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading! My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility! One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try! How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse: - sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode - I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions. - and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly. - and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market! - the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions. And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period! Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best! Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed. Thank you for following and Succes with trading ! Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
FX:USOIL
by Rich_Exclusive_Trading
Oil is still bullish. As long as we are not breaking 59 dollarOil is still in bullish position. As long as we are not breaking 59 dollar I still believe we are in uptrend and the price can rise to 75 dollar. We have reached a critic point last week, but the week ended positive. The sentiment next Monday will decide if it will be interesting to open a long cfd! The orange line is showing which point is the position we open a trade. Stop loss position and take profit position are very important! My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Just like last week, when came up unexpected volatility at oil, and we lost two trades. The won position a day before was at a steady market. Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility! Well, one of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try! Now, I see a opportunity on Oil. The chart is horizontal but the upper horizontal resistance was broken at $59 dollar. I have pointed out the breakingpoint with the black vertical line! Last week it retraced, but when it stays above $59 dollar we are still in uptrend! Oil is just in horizontal pattern now. How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse: - sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode - I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. - and this own indicators tell me If a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! - and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! And that is Why I win more than I lose. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! Thank you for following and Succes with trading ! Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
FX:USOILLong
by Rich_Exclusive_Trading
The stubborn hunt for the 40'sStill short from $54, have not sold or added to my position at all. Blue line: $52 transition line, this line needs to be broken strong for us to head lower imo. Red trend-lines: We've see an increase in prices, with declining RSI. This is a bear divergence.(whether or not it will play it is another story, yet I believe it will) Orange line: This was a bull RSI trend-line witch has been broken as of late, and the RSI is beginning to look very bearish to me. The flags are areas in which I am predicting that the RSI and price will hit. I am not adding or selling any of my position for the near future (obviously unless my SL at BE gets hit). I will be expecting slight bounces based on some BS news from the middle east, or if we hit any support areas on the way down, however I will not be scared into selling something that easily looks bearish in my eyes.
FX:USOILShort
by GeorgeJimas
The continued short of oil..So I didn't sell any of my $54 oil shorts today when it rebounded, I just moved my stop to break-even. Today we saw a major miss in inventories, which was initially bearish, but was somehow bullish? I'm still short because of the numerous reports that essentially the OPEC "cut" is garbage, and on top of that oil inventories are growing, while demand remains stalled. There's still a bear divergence in the RSI, but we must carefully watch the $52 transition area (in blue), as a strong break above could signal a higher high.
FX:USOILShort
by GeorgeJimas
Will Putin's Intervention Rally Oil? Watch 46.00 For CluesAccording to a new Bloomberg interview Mr Putin is pushing for OPEC and Iran to halt oil supply in order to rally prices above $50 a barrel. The measure of success will be a close above $46.00 as it was breakout above this level that previously took oil above $50.00. Given the nature of oil any major exporter announcing they want to cut supply should provoke a short term rally and 46.00 is in view given Friday's close failed to break the 61.80% fib level. A sell trade is still on the cards with price failing to close above 44.64 where we have prior structure so now it's a matter of waiting for exhausted candles at this level or if we see a spike upwards from Mr Putin's words.
FX:USOIL
by Elliot_Myers
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