USOIL Forecast: Position Trade IdeaHey trader,
As you can the price is currently bearish running in the head and shoulders level 2, and below the 50 and bearish crossed short-term MAs. It is preparing to drop for the patterns L3 together for the 200 MA (that's visible on the MT4 chart). But that bias will be fully confirmed once the price has bearish closed and retested below the Daily Neckline and 8 MA (1st trade) or 3rd Weekly Key Lvl (2nd trade), to trigger what I call the "H&S C-E.1 & E.2 signals". However if the price decides to bullish rally to break and retest the 3rd Monthly Key Lvl and 8 MA, the bias will be rejected.
With that said, take the trades at your own risk, because this is not financial advice. I'm just sharing my point of view, which you also can do in the comments section below. I don't mind if you do so; I'd love to know your thoughts!
That's it for today. I hope you found value from this article. If you wish to see more content on trade ideas and psychology, click the posts linked below. You won't regret it.
Trade Safe,
Sphatrades.
Oilforecast
OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022
Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 6.59%, up from 6.36% of last week.
From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 66th from ATR and 66th from OVX index.
With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be:
4.56% for bullish
5.01% for bearish
With the current IV, we can expect with a 71.0% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 94.68
BOT: 83.35
Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have:
31% to hit the previous weekly high of 93.8
65% to hit the previous weekly low of 84.65
High-risk buying opportunity USOIL !The price is now within the buying areas, but it is high risk, and is now based above the moving average 200 with an uptrend and within the demand area, but with this there will be risks, if it closes below the demand area, there will be more downside.
It is an opportunity worth entering into, but with a small contract that fits your wallet
Note: Opportunities do not end, but your account may expire quickly if you covet this market.
🔥💥 Like, Shared and subscription 💥🔥
Note: If you are a beginner trader, you should be aware of these rules:
1: Do not covet
2: Don't trade too much
3: Secure your positions after entering the profit
4: Enter contracts that fit your portfolio
5: Adhere to all recommendations
Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 6.63% which declined from 6.88% last week.
Currently according to ATR we are on 61th percentile, and according to OVX we are on 85th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details.
We can see that currently there is 29.1% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel
TOP: 97.25
BOT: 84.73
This can also be translated as a 70.9% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a
71% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 93.05
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 85.5