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Oilforecast

USOIL Short: Shooting Star at 4hr Resistance LevelTrend: The overall trend of the chart is downwards. Candle Sticks: Formation of shooting start at the LH of the chart. Support & Resistance: Price is testing the 4he resistance area by making an LH with a shooting star. Reasoning: The formation of a shooting star at the LH of the 4hr resistance area strongly indicate the price will go down. SL: Place at the previous LH of the chart. TP1, TP2, TP3: Placed according to the Fibonacci retracement levels.
TVC:USOILShort
by sanasaeed
5
India tricks the West, Strong dollar & China imports russian oilOil top might be in for this year. Reasons: 1. Market adjustment mechanisms are underway on the commodity markets, ensuring that Russian oil, which is spurned by the West, once again finds its buyers (india, china). This in turn causes these countries to demand less Brent or WTI oil, which again depresses prices. India and China are buying significantly more crude oil from Russia, Europe less, which means there is a balancing out taking place on the world markets with the new tanker routes and transportation routes. 2. India recently bought more oil from Russia than ever before, according to a recent report by the Finnish Energy and Clean Air Research Center. "A significant portion of the crude is re-exported as refined oil products, including to the U.S. and Europe, an important loophole to close," the Finnish analysts warned. Since new sanctions measures are very unlikely, the alignment process between Russian oil and Brent and WTI crudes is likely to continue. 3. Dollar price, interest hikes & recession fears by FED. The strong dollar is also acting as an additional burden on the oil market. This is because commodities such as oil are traded in dollars. If you read between the lines of the FED, they're doing their best to crush commodity and oil prices to crush long-speculators on comm and oil. 4. Fear of new lockdowns in China. Chinese head of state Xi Jinping nevertheless only recently announced that he would stick to the strict zero-covid strategy. This is fueling fears of new lockdowns in China = downside risk for oil demand in China, probably a small impact, since the gov in China is trying its best to avoid a greater corona outbreak in large cities to stabilise eco. situation. 5. bitcoin/tradional markets are sometimes seen as counterparts to oil. Bitcoin, despite very bad news (CPI increased) and being a risk asset, has not moved much further down in price, showing that risky assets have more or less found their bottom while oil bulls have an empty tank. Opinion: I see the price cooling down slowly rather than continuing to climb, probably going towards 70-60$ in the next 6-10 months. ! This is not an investment advise! Do your own research! This is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell oil shares and this is NOT a recommendation to short or to long oil!
FX:UKOILShort
by Lobotto
WTICOUSD (RESISTANCE ZONE)Hey guys! How are you guys doing! O hope from the previous analysis, the daily fake out from DAILY timeframe got you guys a confirmation and brought toward more downside. What I'm seeing now is that it shall go back and test 110.70 zone and probably bring more downside to 105, 103 and possibly to 95 range. However, shall it break the resistance zone with a strong candle, it will be bring us to a greater height. As oil is a very volatile commodity and can easily go up/down a few dollars so do trade with minimal risk and not overtrade! let me know how you guys think!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by shiyishiyi
Caps on russian oil is likely to come Insider: G-7 talks with India and China on oil price brake positive G-7 talks with India and China on a plan to cap the price of Russian oil have been positive, according to an insider. The two buyer nations have incentives to comply, a person familiar with the discussions says. A cap on the price has not yet been set, he said. However, it would have to be high enough for Russia to continue producing anyway. Currently, Russian oil sells at discounts of between $30 and $40 per barrel (159 liters) compared to market prices of up to $120 per barrel. Source: Welt Zeitung What impact would the price cap have on prices in Germany and the other G7 countries? In the ideal case, oil prices would fall; in the less good case, at least they would not rise any further. However, precise forecasts are difficult to make. The petroleum industry association Fuels und Energie already explained in the discussion about the EU oil embargo that market and price developments depend on many factors, including the dollar exchange rate and decisions by the major producing countries. Source: n-tv Opinion: I see the price cooling down slowly rather than continuing to climb, probably going towards 70$ in the next 6-10 months. To force russia to sell all its oil below market price, will make most countries of the world (which are not part of G7) to buy it off for a small price, leading to an overall relaxation of the oil market price. Also OPEC is ramping up efforts to increase output for the next months! This is not an investment advise! Do your own research! This is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell oil shares and this is NOT a recommendation to short or to long oil!
TVC:UKOILShort
by Lobotto
1
The oil goes overboard (2030-2040)Today's energy crisis is not a sign of strength of the oil companies, it is rather witness to the fact that the world economy has a very high productivity, still partly based on fossil fuels, but now moving towards properly renewable and alternative resources. I believe that the tops we will reach in the next few months will only accelerate the transformation into properly renewable energies. Oil demand will drop rapidly in the next decades, altough the demand will remain for some products (plastics, mechanics, etc.). This is not a trading recommendation, nor an advise to buy or sell anything.
TVC:UKOILShort
by Lobotto
Oil Short via Direxion's Inverse $DRIPI have entered a leveraged (2X) short in #oil, via Direxion's Inverse $DRIP ETF. NOTE: This post shows "LONG" because I have BOUGHT $DRIP; #Oil, as the asset class - I am viewing as a SHORT. Not much else to say, other than the #oil #selloff is underway after forming what I see as a double top (see WTICOUSD) and a good risk/reward entry to short. I will continue to provide updates on this one, and as usual, the chart will dictate how to manage the trade. You may recall, I bought oil, via Direxion's $GUSH ETF back in September 2021 (returning over 50%); I officially closed the oil-long ($GUSH) position in April 2022. Let’s see if the oil selloff translates at the gas pump. God Bless!
AMEX:DRIPLong
by ChiefMacro
2
Crude Oil Short / Long SetupLong or Short game plan: Short Order: ✔️ Entry: $120.25 ⛔ Stop: $122.34 🤑 Profit: $116.26 By all means I would have shorted the level here, but what worries me is the massive amounts of shorts that have piled up. If price bounces off the $119.19 level and then starts trending up, going through the upper trendline of $122.10, we may very well see a short squeeze. With that being said, if price does go up a little bit, giving me a better Risk:Reward ratio, then I will take my chances.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by Quant_
1