USDOIL Crude Oil top | Retracement level targetCan i call the $92 level the 2022 top for Crude oil???
We might see a retracement in USOIL after Russia reported pullback of military troops.
Some military units will start returning to their permanent bases after completing drills near the Ukrainian border, said the Russian Defense Ministry.
Extending the Fibonacci retracement tool, my price target for crude oil this year is the $79 support.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Oilforecast
An attractive ideaThis analysis is purely a personal analysis
Hints
1. This analysis is checked in the weekly time frame, so each of the waves has the necessary time to form between a few weeks to several months, and a total of one to two years.
2. For convenience, it refuses to go into details so that the trader can easily understand it.
3. The study was performed in the form of Elliott and canalization using Macd indicator
Analysis Description: Oil is on a long-term upward trajectory annually, so after the proper growth of oil prices and the failure of the downtrend, higher goals are pursued, but what is clear is that each impulse step needs a active step to rest.
So it can be said that in the next few weeks to a few months, the oil route is expected to be relatively upward to reach its $ 114 target to complete a complete cycle.
And then it enters a correction cycle that can take up to two years, so expecting to see $ 35- $ 45 as a midline target is not unexpected.
Note:
Proper insight into considering all possible scenarios then
1. Short-term visions Long-term to medium-term are well defined
We have a temporary uptrend and targets of $ 114 and $ 105 for it
Then for several months the rest of the movement shifted and, the price suffered
And then move to the channel midline for several months
At the end of this analysis is only a personal analysis and there is no certainty in doing or not doing it ......
OIL forecast price prediction 12/02/2022In my opinion oil is in an extremely important area in deciding whether the price can continue its bull run or became berish
CRUDE OIL SHORT COMING SOONHi there,
As you can see, we got a DIVERGENCE on the HIGHER timeframe on the RSI and PRICE ACTION.
PRICE ACTION is rising whilst RSI is getting lower. So We can conclude that a DROP is coming SOON.
Our ENTRY will be on MONDAY 3hrs after MARKET opens because we STILL NEED to CHECK FOR FURTHER CONFIRMATION before entering the drop.
Our PROFIT TARGET will be the minor support level and potential the MAJOR support level.
kind regards
Oil Corrective Price Action ContinuesThe large descending (often bullish) channel in blue continues to suggest that Oil will continue
to challenge the above prices. The weekly chart (not shown here) suggests that the trend is getting
weaker with the print of TWO LARGE DOJI candles. This does not inspire confidence to buy this
and better to just wait for confirmation. The plan continues to be that 93.23 area is where this
will turn back down. Nothing to me indicates that this will head higher than that target and if we take in to
account the weekly candle patterns that it might not even make it there. For now we just wait on oil
to do it's thing.
Triangle on WTI, Short on breakdownTriangle formation on short time frame, look for short entry
Key Levels :
81.2 - 81.8 - we might see significant support in this zone
Observations :
1 - Trendline support is drawn based on more short term basis and I think is more validated than most I've seen posted here as there has been numerous bounce from it as indicated in the chart
2 - Current formation for a catalyst pattern on breakout is support by trendline parallel to said trendline in point 1
3 - There might be a formation for a ascending triangle / rising wedge / parallel action in the pattern as indicated in the red box
Trade plan :
1 - I prefer to look for shorts entry here, but there is a small possibility for prices to return to trend based on a break up on a symmetrical triangle that has formed. But the current formation favors shorts
2 - I will not enter short here because it can form either a ascending triangle which is preferable or a rising wedge and parallel channel which is less desirable as there's more room for prices to increase
3 - Once entered, will target 81.2 - 81.8 for take profit
Will update accordingly
What's gonna happen to OIL price ..?TVC:UKOIL
in weekly , price of UKOIL has reached to a important zone which can act a resistance and push price toward down ...
this is only technical analysis and we also need to be aware of OPEC meetings results and also fundamental news around oil .
what is your opinion ? mention it in comments .
WTI should go down to 74-71 soonThe economy will slow down will affect oil demand.
And interest rate will hike this year it's should be pressure on main street business cost-push, so oil price will be decreased to balance the business cost side.
I prefer to short WTI the target is around 71-74$ at first.
Oil Update and news 17/1/2022Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Oil prices surged on Monday, with Brent futures reaching their highest level in more than three years, as investors anticipated supply will remain tight due to limited output by major producers and unaffected global demand by the Omicron coronavirus variety.
Brent crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $86.46 a barrel. Earlier in the session, the contract reached a high of $86.71 for the first time since Oct. 3, 2018.
Daily Support & Resistance points for Brent :
support Resistance
1) 86.46 1) 86.83
2) 86.26 2) 87.00
3) 86.09 3) 87.20
West Texas Intermediate crude in the United States was up 58 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $84.40 a barrel after reaching $84.78, the highest since Nov. 10, 2021, earlier in the day.
Daily Support & Resistance points for WTI :
support Resistance
1) 84.31 1) 84.59
2) 84.15 2) 84.71
3) 84.03 3) 84.87
The gains came on the heels of a rally last week in which Brent rose more than 5% and WTI rose more than 6%.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia, and their allies, known collectively as OPEC+, are progressively lifting output cuts imposed when demand dropped in 2020.
However, many smaller producers are unable to increase output, and others are hesitant of pumping too much oil in case of further COVID-19 difficulties.
Two US officials and two industry sources told Reuters on Friday that the US administration has held talks with numerous multinational energy corporations about contingency plans for exporting natural gas to Europe if Russia-Ukraine violence damages Russian supplies.
Meanwhile, crude oil inventories in the United States declined more than predicted to their lowest level since October 2018, but gasoline inventories increased due to sluggish demand, according to the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Oil is headed towards 85 levelOil is headed towards 85 level. Many analysts are predicting lower oil demand due to Omnicron variant but the impact is yet to be seen.
We cannot expect the price crash similar to 2020 because there were no vaccines at that time and complete lock downs are very unlikely. Hence, do not wait to see the negative oil prices ;-)
We use Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels to risk manage our positions. These levels are invite only and can be accessed through url in my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Oil Weekly Analysis$OIL Weekly Analysis
From where we stand, today seems to be the day, which will determine the weekly trend. A bounce up in the $78.25 area should lead to higher high and a potential uptrend.
If the lower trendline doesn't hold, I will be opening a short, targeting at least $76.90 and potentially looking for stacking short orders.
Currently still in "'Sit Tight and Assess'" mode, trying to not look up or down, but just let the market do its thing.
Oil Short SetupOIL Weekly Analysis (Short)
Currently price is in the upper part of an ascending channel, approaching a downtrend line. There's confluence of three levels here - the descending trendline, the ascending trendline of the current channel and a resistance level.
I am looking for a short position in the $78-$79 area with a relatively tight stop loss slightly above $80. If price does break out from the downtrend line, then the last thing I would like is to short it.
Target is set at the lower trendline in the ascending channel, somewhere around $72, depending on the time it will take the price to retrace back down.
This analysis goes along with the one about $SPX500 , which I just posted. Since there's high correlation and I expect a retracement there, too, I believe we are about to see a pullback.