Oil is headed towards 85 levelOil is headed towards 85 level. Many analysts are predicting lower oil demand due to Omnicron variant but the impact is yet to be seen.
We cannot expect the price crash similar to 2020 because there were no vaccines at that time and complete lock downs are very unlikely. Hence, do not wait to see the negative oil prices ;-)
We use Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels to risk manage our positions. These levels are invite only and can be accessed through url in my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Oilforecast
Oil Weekly Analysis$OIL Weekly Analysis
From where we stand, today seems to be the day, which will determine the weekly trend. A bounce up in the $78.25 area should lead to higher high and a potential uptrend.
If the lower trendline doesn't hold, I will be opening a short, targeting at least $76.90 and potentially looking for stacking short orders.
Currently still in "'Sit Tight and Assess'" mode, trying to not look up or down, but just let the market do its thing.
Oil Short SetupOIL Weekly Analysis (Short)
Currently price is in the upper part of an ascending channel, approaching a downtrend line. There's confluence of three levels here - the descending trendline, the ascending trendline of the current channel and a resistance level.
I am looking for a short position in the $78-$79 area with a relatively tight stop loss slightly above $80. If price does break out from the downtrend line, then the last thing I would like is to short it.
Target is set at the lower trendline in the ascending channel, somewhere around $72, depending on the time it will take the price to retrace back down.
This analysis goes along with the one about $SPX500 , which I just posted. Since there's high correlation and I expect a retracement there, too, I believe we are about to see a pullback.
OIL Analysis. Buy and Sell POIs marked
Will look for a Sell or a buy in the marked POIs. No direct entries.
Risk 1% and aiming for 10% on this trade. No indicators used. Pure price action. Like to keep my chart clean. Simply trading structure, nothing else!!
All trades closed on the same day. Entries are taken on 1 min or lower timeframes. Stop loss is moved to cost after structure break. Don't chase the trades, wait for the next opportunity.
Also, please view price action on 1 min chart if you're following my entries. It will make sense. Trading view doesn't allow to post entries on charts smaller than 15 minutes.
Mostly trade 12-5pm UK time NY session. Sometimes London Session. Don't like the idea of watching charts the whole day.
Oil Update for 3/1/2022Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Oil prices rose on Monday as the market began 2022 on a bullish note, with suppliers in the spotlight ahead of Tuesday's OPEC+ meeting, but rising COVID-19 cases dampening demand optimism.
Brent crude was up 59 cents, or 0.76 %, to $78.37 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate oil futures in the United States rose 63 cents, or 0.84 %, to $75.84 per barrel.
"Tightened Libyan supply ahead of an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) meeting maintained market sentiments upbeat," said Abhishek Chauhan, head of commodities at Swastika Investmart Ltd.
Libya's official oil company announced on Saturday that owing to maintenance on a critical pipeline connecting the Samah and Dahra fields, the country's oil output would be reduced by 200,000 barrels per day for a week.
Meanwhile, four sources predict that OPEC+ will maintain to its plan of adding 400,000 barrels per day of supply in February.
Oil prices surged about 50% last year, fueled by the global economic rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic depression and production restraint, even as infections hit all-time highs around the world.
US crude is expected to average $71.38 a barrel in 2022, up from $73.31 in the previous month's consensus.
Oil and natural gas rigs were installed in the United States for the 17th month in a row, as rising prices enticed some drillers back to the wellpad following last year's coronavirus-driven decrease in demand.
As shown in a monthly report released on Thursday by the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude oil production increased to 11.47 million barrels per day in October, up 6% from the previous month, as output climbed in the Gulf of Mexico as the region recovered from storms.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Usoil Wyckoff distribution update.Hello my beauties.
Trade I'm currently in. (from the utad).
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
THE DECEPTIVE ONE / OIL I understand that institutions as well as market technicians/experts in OIL markets are very bullish on oil yet I believe that oil is deceiving therefore I see oil is extremely bearish hence i did not add entry or exit points for oil because this analysis is medium/long term trade and most people day trade plus my target is inconceivable.
🛢️Brent oil - correction lasting several years? 🕰️● CFDs on Brent Crude Oil ( UKOIL ): 🕐 1M
"Fig. 1"
The development of the ending diagonal is expected within the wave (V) of ((III)) .
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● BCOUSD (OANDA): 🕐 2D
"Fig. 2"
From the end of wave II, there is a five-wave structure — an impulse that could be wave Ⓐ . If this assumption is correct, then the current decline is part of the correction Ⓑ , which can take the form of any corrective pattern and last for several years.
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BCOUSD (OANDA): 🕐 4h
"Fig. 3"
"Fig. 4"
Once again, I repeat that at this stage in the development of the correction it is not possible to predict its final shape and duration, but I am betting on a triangle , on a model that has a high predictive value and is appears , according to my experience, in wave B of the zigzag most often.
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Wait for divergence and sell opportunities with USOILH1 time frame.
Structure: Short-term uptrend towards 74.00 price zone.
The 74.00 price zone is the confluence between the Fibo 50 and the downtrend line of the bearish structure on the 4-hour timeframe.
Here, waiting for the divergence signal to appear and the bearish reversal pattern to be completed, a selling opportunity can be found.
The profit target is the 62.00 price zone.
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Wish you all have a good trading day!
WTI Oil can rise above 80 (again)From 25th October's high at around 85, Oil has started to correct and dropped to strong demand zone between 62 and 65.
Now, this correction seems to be over and we can have a leg up above 80 again.
I'm bullish as long as the price is above 65 and, in my opinion, dips should be bought
USOIL BUY TECHNICALS
The markets have made the amazing bearish move and as expected now let's see what's next for the oil pairs
markets have corn to not only a touching point of support zone but also thee daily bullish trendline and also a pullback to the
the RSI is also indicating that the market is oversold so bulls may see this as a perfect time to buy.
fundamentals
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OIL IS BULLISHTECHNICALS
The markets have made the amazing bearish move and as expected now let's see what's next for the oil pairs
markets have corn to not only a touching point of support zone but also thee daily bullish trendline and also a pullback to the 61.8% fib
the RSI is also indicating that the market is oversold so bulls may see this as a perfect time to buy.
fundamentals
N/A
crude oil
Since history always repeats itself, we expect oil to drop to levels 38, 34 , as you see there are 2 ascending triangles , one big and the other small, look at the small one, after the price broke the third higher low , the price retested it by forming double top then descending wolfe wave formed ,then the price free fall fell so we are expecting the same path for the big ascending triangle , zoom out to see it now the price broke the third higher low in big ascending triangle , we expecting the price to retest it the form a descending wolfe wave the free fall to 34 ,In addition to fears of an inflated global excess supply of crude in the first quarter of next year, due to lower demand.
Take your profit & RUN! 🏃♂️
I hope you all have a brilliant trades 💖
Stay safe ✌️