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Oilforecast

WTI: Weekly Forecast 20210530Oil prices continued to stay uplifted amid rising commodity prices due to fast-rising inflation despite a recent selloff in March. The consolidation phrase seems to be ending as a breakout of a symmetrical triangle that occurred last week and the week ended with the price closing above the consolidation structure. Besides, the entire consolidation which has now reached 3 months came after a major breakout of a 13-year falling trendline, thus we can expect more bulls to come, both technically and fundamentally. This week, we expect the market to break me which but not excluding a possible pullback at the beginning of the week. If the price drops first, we can look to buy at 66 - 65.4 region. And should the price go ahead and break higher, simply wait for a pullback towards the breakout level to buy again.
TVC:USOILLong
by AlgoVenture
3
WTI Crude - Where to next?WTI Crude - Where to next? What a great week it has been! Time has flown by this yr - Next month we will be half way through the yr... Really great moves in G10 space and commodities as well. The FX 2021 Yr Ahead Outlook video produced those levels are coming into play! Want access? Message us privately (An updated video will be produced soon). Technical view: Short term: lower 60's - 56's areas could come into play any lower price of 54-53- IF we were to decline further. However, we go above 64's areas bulls could gain back into control. Longer term:70's areas (Depending on Commodities & DXY Performance) Pattern wise, coming out of triangle formation. Fundamental factors for now: - Investors have been concerned about a upshift in market-based measurement of inflation expectations pushing upward. - Minutes from April’s FOMC meeting, mentioning of tapering - However, remember these are just words not the execution I feel may take place at the end of the yr. (Data dependent) Conclusion: Overall, the developments of commodities have escalated vastly due to the dollar depreciation and various other aspects allowing indices, commodities and majors to increase. However, WTI looks a little heavy, I feel bearish momentum short term may come into play. I'd like to scale in further positions at a better price and this really depends on your strategy on the way you trade. Key tip: When trading any product, I approach it like a coffee business you want get your produce at the best price you can by looking at the longer term picture. Don't panic, don't let your emotions get the better of you or let other peoples influence your trade ideas and guess what if it does go wrong - JOURNAL, Why did that trade not work? but never give up, because losses are part of the game. Have a great week end. Trade Journal (Just trade ideas, not recommendations)
FX_IDC:USDWTI
by Trade_Journal
Wednesday: Crude Oil - Week 19It definitely looks like a big complex regular flat is in play. We have made a 3-wave corrective structure, so I'm looking for price-action to break the top 1 more time and then drop. I'm looking for the drop because of how the structure is developing, and the divergence in MACD and volume, which is indicating buyer-weakness. I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SMASH that follow button! 👍 💡 Leave a comment and/or message me on how I can improve and provide better content, I'm open to suggestions to create a better experience for you! RISK DISCLAIMER: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my videos as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this channel. This content is for educational purposes only and is not tax, legal, financial, or professional advice. Any action you take on the information in this video is strictly at your own risk. We, therefore, recommend that you contact a personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Inotfancy.com and all individuals affiliated with this channel assume no responsibility for your trading and investment results.
TVC:USOILLong
by INotFancy
USOIL at MULTIYEAR S/R zone!Oil is currently in a base consolidation at a multi-year support & resistance zone. There’s some RSI divergence in this choppiness. Not interested until price action has built support over level 70 for a long or a defined resistance below level 60 for a short. Will be updating as we go. Sharing humbling my POV and will gladly discuss with anyone if we agree or disagree, I'm a Full-time Life & Market student, always learning! Best regards and Happy Trading! Keep it simple 😉
FX:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn21414332
USOIL - THE MAIN PROBLEM IS STILL INCREASING COVID !SHORT DESCRIPTION: - Nothing has changed! We are still inside DOWN TREND channel (long and short term)! - During Monday trading a huge "HANGING MAN" candlestick has formed, which is a BEARISH SIGNAL! - (Bloomberg) "Oil slipped with the rapid resurgence of COVID-19 in India and other countries casting a cloud around a return to normal consumption, even as OPEC+ projected a strong global demand recovery this year." - (Bloomberg) "Indian Oil Corp. is looking to sell gasoline into the spot market -- a potential indication of weak domestic demand. The country’s refiners are being forced to postpone planned shutdowns for maintenance at some plants as workers are either fleeing or falling ill." - Overall we are still VERY BEARISH! GLOBAL OUTLOOK (nothing has changed): - Record COVID cases in INDIA (the world’s third-largest oil importer) could threaten Global Oil Demand! - The biggest cities in INDIA are on lockdown again this month! - India’s combined demand for diesel, the most used fuel in the country, and for gasoline is set to plunge by as much as 20% (!) this month compared to March, officials from refiners and fuel retailers told Bloomberg. - Also rising COVID cases in JAPAN (the world’s fourth-largest oil importer)! - Japan has declared a state of emergency (shutdown) for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo from April 25 till 11th May to stop people from travelling and spreading the virus during Japan’s Golden Week holidays from late April through the first week of May! - And last but not least GERMANY (the world’s sixth-largest oil importer) faces lockdown (curfew) until June as curbs fail to push down cases! - And not to forget, on April 1, OPEC+ said it would gradually lift daily oil production by 350,000 barrels in May, 350,000 barrels in June, and 441,000 barrels in July and holding back around eight million barrels a day of output! - All in all, globally it don't look good for oil demand within the next months!
TVC:UKOILShort
by dresipent
USOIL - THE MAIN PROBLEM IS STILL INCREASING COVID !SHORT DESCRIPTION: - Nothing has changed! We are still inside DOWN TREND channel (long and short term)! - During Monday trading a huge "HANGING MAN" candlestick has formed, which is a BEARISH SIGNAL! - (Bloomberg) "Oil slipped with the rapid resurgence of COVID-19 in India and other countries casting a cloud around a return to normal consumption, even as OPEC+ projected a strong global demand recovery this year." - (Bloomberg) "Indian Oil Corp. is looking to sell gasoline into the spot market -- a potential indication of weak domestic demand. The country’s refiners are being forced to postpone planned shutdowns for maintenance at some plants as workers are either fleeing or falling ill." - Overall we are still VERY BEARISH! GLOBAL OUTLOOK (nothing has changed): - Record COVID cases in INDIA (the world’s third-largest oil importer) could threaten Global Oil Demand! - The biggest cities in INDIA are on lockdown again this month! - India’s combined demand for diesel, the most used fuel in the country, and for gasoline is set to plunge by as much as 20% (!) this month compared to March, officials from refiners and fuel retailers told Bloomberg. - Also rising COVID cases in JAPAN (the world’s fourth-largest oil importer)! - Japan has declared a state of emergency (shutdown) for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo from April 25 till 11th May to stop people from travelling and spreading the virus during Japan’s Golden Week holidays from late April through the first week of May! - And last but not least GERMANY (the world’s sixth-largest oil importer) faces lockdown (curfew) until June as curbs fail to push down cases! - And not to forget, on April 1, OPEC+ said it would gradually lift daily oil production by 350,000 barrels in May, 350,000 barrels in June, and 441,000 barrels in July and holding back around eight million barrels a day of output! - All in all, globally it don't look good for oil demand within the next months!
TVC:USOILShort
by dresipent
UKOIL - COVID ON THE RISE AGAIN!TECHNICALS: - Tuesday we've had one of the strongest bearish signals a big "BEARISH ENGULFING PATTERN", which was confirmed Wednesday! - Thursday and Friday we've had a little rebound (retest), but closing price was below the highs of Wednesday! - A "BEAR FLAG" has formed, where now only the flagpole is missing! - All in all, the technical data are looking VERY BEARISH! GLOBAL OUTLOOK: - Record COVID cases in INDIA (the world’s third-largest oil importer) could threaten Global Oil Demand! - The biggest cities in INDIA are on lockdown again this month! - India’s combined demand for diesel, the most used fuel in the country, and for gasoline is set to plunge by as much as 20% (!) this month compared to March, officials from refiners and fuel retailers told Bloomberg. - Also rising COVID cases in JAPAN (the world’s fourth-largest oil importer)! - Japan has declared a state of emergency (shutdown) for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo from April 25 till 11th May to stop people from travelling and spreading the virus during Japan’s Golden Week holidays from late April through the first week of May! - And last but not least GERMANY (the world’s sixth-largest oil importer) faces lockdown (curfew) until June as curbs fail to push down cases! - And not to forget, on April 1, OPEC+ said it would gradually lift daily oil production by 350,000 barrels in May, 350,000 barrels in June, and 441,000 barrels in July and holding back around eight million barrels a day of output! - All in all, globally it don't look good for oil demand within the next months!
TVC:UKOILShort
by dresipent
1