💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 64.83 on 02/18/2021, so more losses to support(s) 58.65 and minimum to Major Support (54.40) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 66.
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Oilforecast
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 64.83 on 02/18/2021, so more losses to support(s) 58.65 and minimum to Major Support (54.40) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 66.
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💡WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
51.60 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 51.60 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 63.10, 66.50, 72.55 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 79.
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💡WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
51.60 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 51.60 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 63.10, 66.50, 72.55 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 79.
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Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry: $58.51
🟢 TP & RR: $53.68 (4.24)
⛔ Stop Loss: $59.65
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Reached upper trendline
✔️ Seems like we are going to form a lower low
✔️ Divergence in the Market Flow indicator
📝 This is continuation of the short setup I posted a few days ago (1). If you are in a trade already this additional short (2) will increase your exposure, so I suggest moving your SL down.
Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry: $58.73
🟢 TP & RR: $53.73 (2.91)
⛔ Stop Loss: $60.45
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Reaching a strong resistance level
✔️ Market Flow Indicator seriously overbought
✔️ Ascending channel upper trendline resistance
✔️ 1.618 Fibonacci Level (although not plotted on the chart as it becomes a bit clustered)
📝 Stop Loss is above the $59-$60 resistance level, although if you want a more relaxed trade you may move the SL higher to about $61. The confluence of the three factors above makes me believe that the price is due for a pullback if not even trend reversion. I will be monitoring the entry level mentioned above and may open the position prematurely if I see that the price is getting ready to take a dive down.
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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go short US oil to possible $54Here we can see a nice hourly divergence on US Oil 1 hr charts. Higher prices, bearish indictors so price should move a little lower.
Trading inside a rising wedge as well, a reversal pattern, major support at the green line. Look for the wedge to break to take profits after the break.
We can also see price is in optimum short zone as well above the falling daily trend line and at the top of another rising wedge
Stop loss at $57.30. Not everything works, but most things I post do. Here is another low risk high reward set up you might like to take.
Follow me on trading view for regular updates to this trade.
DBW For Oil. 57 highest possible shorting levelJust posting it for my reference if this will be successful short. I'd be glad to hear comments as I am still on my learning phase.
Crude Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup
Entry: $53.68
TP & RR: $57.65
Stop Loss: $52.57
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Contrary to most expectations that Oil was overpriced, it continues to trend up. I won't open a long order at the current level, nor would I short obvious strength. However, if price retraces back to previous resistance, which is now support, I am more than happy to buy. I believe we are now in a channel and we are yet to see how we go through the awaited $55-$56 level.
With that being said, we may not get filled at all. Should this be the case, we will be targeting the upper channel with a short order.
Oil Descending Channel - Short TradeOil Descending Channel - Short Position
Entry: $53.16
TP & RR: $51.61 (2.77)
Stop Loss: $53.72
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Similarly to my previous trade idea about SPX500 from today, I am placing an alert at $53 and I will be patiently waiting to see how price action develops. You never know what's been going on in the traders' and investors' heads over the weekend, so we want to see the volume and a 1h close around that level before opening a position.
I believe we are now in a downtrend channel, which should bring more balance to that longer-than-expected move up. My entry is quite high and we very much may miss it, so I have highlighted the upper trendline as an entry-level suggestion. Any position around that level with a SL place reasonably high should provide a good trade setup. Ultimately, I am expecting that we reach the $49 level (bigger trendline) before we move up again.
Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
52.45 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 57.25 on 01/13/2021, so more losses minimum to Major Support (52.45) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
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