Crude oil stepped back to the buying pointRecently, crude oil has experienced a major pullback and is currently in a phase of rebound and volatility. Yesterday's market surged and fell back, and at one point fell to around 77.00. Currently, it has stopped falling and rebounded. From the attached chart below, it can be clearly seen that there have been signals of bullish players laying out their positions at the bottom area, as well as several buy signals during the process of rebound and pullback, which have formed a small rebound wave. Currently, there is another buy signal appearing during the pullback, and with the potential influence of EIA data in the evening, it is highly likely to see another upward rebound. Our focus remains on the resistance level near the 80.90 moving average.
In terms of operation, we continue to adopt a short-term strategy of selling high and buying low.
Specifically, we suggest buying near the 77 level with a small position and paying attention to the breakthrough of 77.8. The specific profit-taking point will be updated in a timely manner in the post.
As for today's EIA , it will depend on everyone's own judgment whether to seize the opportunity or not. Stay tuned and let's reap the harvest together.
Oilfutures
OIL: Short above 77 today
Oil saw a high-volume drop below support near 78 yesterday, which turned the immediate position into a resistance level. As of now, there has not been a complete breakthrough and the trend has weakened, so in terms of trading, selling short positions is the main strategy for today, with buying long positions as a secondary strategy.
Specific trading strategies:
Sell short near 77.4-78.5, take profit near 76
Buy long near 75.7-74.2, take profit near 76.5
I will continue to track market trends and share trading strategies in real time. Thank you for your attention and support. If you have any questions, please leave a message in the comments section. I will provide you with the most sincere and responsible solutions to help you solve your problems.
Many things may not yield immediate results at first, but only those who persist in pursuing their goals can experience the joy of success. As the saying goes, "Every cloud has a silver lining." The effort you put in will eventually receive a satisfactory response from time.
$CL_F: Time to buy oil...I'm already long via a number of energy stocks I have been buying recently but now Oil futures are finally onboard. I was thinking that inflation remaining stickier was proof of post COVID lock downs induced supply disruptions being still a factor, and now that we have China reopening and an increase in demand of 'atoms' thanks to the transition to renewable energy and electric vehicles, combined with the long term dynamics of nearshoring/onshoring/friendshoring, I think oil and oil stocks, biofuel producers, coal, refineries, etc. offer nice upside. Think that India and Mexico will require larger amounts of energy for the wave of industrial activity that will be unleashed there once Western firms move their production to ally nations rather than relying on China, while China reopens and activity resuming unleashes pent up demand on the same finite resources. It's an interesting juncture, and a recipe for potentially explosive upside in certain names.
Let's see how this goes, pick your poison, as far as instruments better suited to express this view in the long term...
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Bearish Crab on USOIL: Bearish Continuation Expected This WeekWe have a Bearish Crab with MACD Bearish Divergence at Last Week's high on USOIL after a reaction to the PCE report. I'm expecting that we have reached a top for the week and that we will continue to make the bigger move to the downside to continue the trend started by the 4HR Bearish Bat Trade Below.
I will be waiting for the stock market to actually open before taking the trade if it's still within the Pattern Completion Zone by then.
20 Reason for sell OIL 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1 ✨Eagle eye: Sideways
2 📆Monthly: Bullish to corrective mode
3 📅Weekly: a clear bear trend is established with proper lower lows
4 🕛Daily: bear and filled out corrective move now just ready for the next impulse move in bearish side
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: bear
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: long shadow rejected at resistance
7: 3 Volume:
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Sideways to bear
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: rejected at the middle band
10: 6 Strength ADX: just beginning strength for bears
11: 7 Sentiment ROC:
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: sideways
13: entry move: wait yet
14: Support resistance base: upper resistence
15: FIB: nil
☑️ final comments: wait for breakout
16: 💡decision: sell
17: 🚀Entry:79.90
18: ✋Stop losel: 81.5
19: 🎯Take profit: 73.66
20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6
🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 days
OIL - Possible Inverse Head and ShouldersIf we can hold $77.33 for a bit, there's potential of this IHS pattern playing out well. Fundamentals + news events in this market should be observed for such a trade. Not financial advice. DYOR.
CRUDE OIL Bullish entering DecemberWTI Crude Oil made a remarkable rebound yesterday marginally below the 76.30 Support (the Support Zone is now 76.30 - 75.30) and turned the 4H RSI around, approaching the 4H MA50 (yellow line).
This is the first Resistance (short term) with the initial target of this late September/October-like rebound being the 1D MA50 (blue line). If then the price breaks above the 1D MA100 (green line), we can continue buying and aim the 93.75 Resistance, which happens to be on the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the June 14 Top. Being so symmetrical, is why we consider the 0.236 Fibonacci to also be a medium term Resistance as well. A break above the 93.75 Resistance targets the 1D MA200 (orange line), the long term bearish barrier.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
OIL BEARISH DOWNTREND $$$Oil has been consistently declining since its last top, trading in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. I've highlighted the key areas of support and resistance for oil to help you see the broader picture. You may take advantage of this if you want to swing trade in the channel.
Sitting on a strong support Oil hit this support more than five times and it respected this support so if we received candle confirmation above the support rectangle (the green one) we can long oil
But if it closed under the support wait for retest and then we can go short.
Good luck all if you like my idea like it and comment your opinion 🍀💰😊
oil is going to ready to jump oil is ready to complete terminal as c in last lag of flat in d lag of big triangle
buy opportunity in 80-83 dollar for 140 dollar at least
Oil Futures (45) Long Gap ReversalPrice runs up out of a relative low, Buyers step up and try to make a new high and confirm the major reaction Leg. Sellers holding at the high and pullback into a major reaction, buyers step up to the consolidation at the centre of the impulse leg up and make a new high. Buyers try to step up, break outs get washed and pulls back to re-test the minor confirmed low. Price finds orders and begins to consolidate, sellers press price into the buyers, they try to hold and expand up into the press before getting rejected with a WRB gap down. Minor confirmed low gets washed, price expands into the relative major pullback and zooms back through the sellers to land on the backside of the WRB gap down.
Trading the major impulse leg back to balance. Push of the press up
Crude Oil Rally PatternCrude Oil USOIL seems to be following a very similar pattern
Following this Idea, the next two days we'll be waiting for a pull back to 100 level, and then get into another rally.
The Question is, Will Crude Oil Stay on pattern? or news and the economic calendar will take it out?
Oil setting up at a break higher? Hi trading view community, hopefully, a great weekend was had by all.
Looking at oil on the 4H chart today, we see a few signs that buyers are trying to get the trend going again. First, we can see that 108.49 resistance has started to become support. Price continues to consolidate, but that consolidation continues to form an ascending triangle pattern. (AT patterns in uptrends can be a sign that buyers could resume the trend if they can confirm a breakout) Lastly, the lowest on our list is that the CCI has moved back above the 0 line. When the CCI is above the 0 line this can indicate that price is in a bullish zone.
From here, we would like to see buyers prove they hold momentum with a break of the pattern. If we do see a confirmation and a new leg higher, we will be watching to see if 116 comes back in as resistance. Failure to break the ascending triangle pattern and or a move back below 108.49 would start us to question buyer strength.
Good trading.