Oil Update and news 17/1/2022Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Oil prices surged on Monday, with Brent futures reaching their highest level in more than three years, as investors anticipated supply will remain tight due to limited output by major producers and unaffected global demand by the Omicron coronavirus variety.
Brent crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $86.46 a barrel. Earlier in the session, the contract reached a high of $86.71 for the first time since Oct. 3, 2018.
Daily Support & Resistance points for Brent :
support Resistance
1) 86.46 1) 86.83
2) 86.26 2) 87.00
3) 86.09 3) 87.20
West Texas Intermediate crude in the United States was up 58 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $84.40 a barrel after reaching $84.78, the highest since Nov. 10, 2021, earlier in the day.
Daily Support & Resistance points for WTI :
support Resistance
1) 84.31 1) 84.59
2) 84.15 2) 84.71
3) 84.03 3) 84.87
The gains came on the heels of a rally last week in which Brent rose more than 5% and WTI rose more than 6%.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia, and their allies, known collectively as OPEC+, are progressively lifting output cuts imposed when demand dropped in 2020.
However, many smaller producers are unable to increase output, and others are hesitant of pumping too much oil in case of further COVID-19 difficulties.
Two US officials and two industry sources told Reuters on Friday that the US administration has held talks with numerous multinational energy corporations about contingency plans for exporting natural gas to Europe if Russia-Ukraine violence damages Russian supplies.
Meanwhile, crude oil inventories in the United States declined more than predicted to their lowest level since October 2018, but gasoline inventories increased due to sluggish demand, according to the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Oilfutures
Oil is headed towards 85 levelOil is headed towards 85 level. Many analysts are predicting lower oil demand due to Omnicron variant but the impact is yet to be seen.
We cannot expect the price crash similar to 2020 because there were no vaccines at that time and complete lock downs are very unlikely. Hence, do not wait to see the negative oil prices ;-)
We use Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels to risk manage our positions. These levels are invite only and can be accessed through url in my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Oil Update for 3/1/2022Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Oil prices rose on Monday as the market began 2022 on a bullish note, with suppliers in the spotlight ahead of Tuesday's OPEC+ meeting, but rising COVID-19 cases dampening demand optimism.
Brent crude was up 59 cents, or 0.76 %, to $78.37 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate oil futures in the United States rose 63 cents, or 0.84 %, to $75.84 per barrel.
"Tightened Libyan supply ahead of an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) meeting maintained market sentiments upbeat," said Abhishek Chauhan, head of commodities at Swastika Investmart Ltd.
Libya's official oil company announced on Saturday that owing to maintenance on a critical pipeline connecting the Samah and Dahra fields, the country's oil output would be reduced by 200,000 barrels per day for a week.
Meanwhile, four sources predict that OPEC+ will maintain to its plan of adding 400,000 barrels per day of supply in February.
Oil prices surged about 50% last year, fueled by the global economic rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic depression and production restraint, even as infections hit all-time highs around the world.
US crude is expected to average $71.38 a barrel in 2022, up from $73.31 in the previous month's consensus.
Oil and natural gas rigs were installed in the United States for the 17th month in a row, as rising prices enticed some drillers back to the wellpad following last year's coronavirus-driven decrease in demand.
As shown in a monthly report released on Thursday by the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude oil production increased to 11.47 million barrels per day in October, up 6% from the previous month, as output climbed in the Gulf of Mexico as the region recovered from storms.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Oil is headed down in 60s rangePrices of oil have a direct impact on the inflation. The higher oil prices have started impacting the consumers across the globe.
We have used Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels to analyse the oil prices trend. It has clearly broken down the short-term support levels at 77.75 and most probably could lead to further down side.
As the the oil production ramps up, the oil prices could stabilise at the pre-covid levels in the range of 60s.
Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
oil we published this idea yesterday and we are gonna hit the TB soon every thing is running very great more than 400 pips in one trade in one day have a look at the idea below Congratulations to all and see you in other successful deals as we have been used to
#OIL SHORT TERM SELL OPPORTUNITYAlright first off price is in bullish Daily trend but it reached 161% of Fibonacci extension ratio and as a result of that we saw a bearish engulfing candle which tells us participants who were long in oil are probably busy with profit taking actions and as a result it is possible that we see a bearish corrective move.
If you are with me so far now lets see how we can trade oil in short time.
In 4H time frame we saw an impulsive bearish move which shifted the 4H time frame structure to bearish for the first time in long time, after that bearish impulsive move we have a bullish corrective move which you can see in 1H time frame. Now price has reached an important res area with RSI indicator divergence and also we can see 1H bearish engulfing candle which shows us price has an intention for down side move also we kind of see that in 1H time frame price also couldn't create HH and we can see a Double top formation which is another confluence for bearish move.
Now in case of trading you can probably wait for the price to come below double top neckline which is around 82.050 and then wait for the retest or you can trade it with your strategy at any given time. But it is important to remember this is a counter trend trading and the overall trend is bullish.
For targeting first target obviously would be around 80.500 and after that its kind of risky to hold the position because as I said its against the main trend.
Wish you all the best
OPEC ReportOPEC's monthly report was released yesterday. Analysts of the cartel lowered the estimate of oil demand growth in 2021 to 5.8 million barrels per day (b/d) compared to 5.96 million b/d in the previous forecast. Thus, global demand in 2021 will average 96.6 million b/d.
"The downward revision is mainly due to lower-than-expected actual data for the first three quarters of this year, despite assumptions about good demand for oil in the last quarter of the year, which will be supported by a seasonal increase in demand for fuel for petrochemicals, heating and a potential transition from natural gas to petroleum products," the report says.
The forecast of demand growth in 2022 is maintained at the level of the previous report's estimate of 4.2 million b/d (100.8 million b/d). The forecast was influenced by expectations of high economic growth rates in the main consumer countries as they gradually emerge from the pandemic. The organization predicts that the demand for oil in 2022 will reach 100.8 million b/d, which will exceed.
OIL Breaking out of the bull flag or another fakeout?Hello and welcome to my post !
OIL is still in a strong uptrend and we are just breaking out from a bullflag.
We are getting strong resistances from EMA100 and MA200.
Something worth mentioning is the purple boxes on the chart, they are indicating previously fake out areas, a think that might happen if the price action dosent break the previously mentioned resistances.
If we continue from here the break of the bull flag strongly the target is 72$.
Indicators: The combination of the overbought SRSI and the mid level RSI suggest a strong momentum for the bulls.
Don't forget to protect yourself with proper Risk Management.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market !
Feel free to ask anything in the comments or send me a message !
Thank you for reading my post,if you liked the idea you can support with a like and a follow have a great day !
The FlipThought of this as I saw the further-out Dec'22 & Jun'22 6-months spread flipping through the closer Jun'22 & Dec'21 ; the historical examples are given in the chart in green circles.
Seems like oil is looking higher from here as per the indication of the attached chart.
Let us see how this unravels.
CL futures. Good level practice 70$2 days since my last idea about Oil.It gave good trade with short stop loss .With risk 20 cent we earn more than 1 dollar.Our level 70 was placed right becouse we can se that price cinfirm this level many times , byers still trying to protect this level.The main now is look where price will close today, if it will close near 70$ its not good sign, becouse all who buy over 70 have stop loss under this price.
CADJPY Buy Trade Idea DailyPotential for CADJPY to continue Uptrend after dip and retest of most recent breakout area. Oil Futures mimic this move as well. Looking for buying pressure to pick up in the green "buy zone" for Buy Opportunity. Either wait for the Breakout or place a conservative Limit Order in the zone.
Global view Crude Oil. Hello trenders,
I am not really into futures but I like to see the future :)
What I just saw is not pleasent, we are into a bearish channel and on top of it.
So down we go with a long bearish trend.
Retest failed, all indicators in a bubble ready to explode.
Dollar loosing its power is another factor that confirms the idea.
Check the larger view under.
M.M.M Make Motherfuc.in Money
Be wise: don´t work for the money, make your money work for you.
USOIL at MULTIYEAR S/R zone!Oil is currently in a base consolidation at a multi-year support & resistance zone. There’s some RSI divergence in this choppiness. Not interested until price action has built support over level 70 for a long or a defined resistance below level 60 for a short. Will be updating as we go. Sharing humbling my POV and will gladly discuss with anyone if we agree or disagree, I'm a Full-time Life & Market student, always learning! Best regards and Happy Trading! Keep it simple 😉
WTI Crude Oil - The Bigger Picture 👀There's a great chance that we would see higher prices on Crude Oil and for two reasons only... technically!
1. $63.90 level was taken out which opens up room to go higher.
2. Crude Oil... yes we just discovered this recently, it had broken above the Monthly Down Trendline awaiting a possible retest before a move higher.
So yes, that's the bigger picture.. at least it's what I see anyway! 😊
Happy Trading folks!
Cheers!
$CL_F Fib RetracementsToday had some big impulsive moves up in #oilfutures...only to come crashing down twice. And they were big retracements to the 76.4% Fibonocci. Today stalled again at $61.70...if the 76 Fib retracement pattern holds we should see a dip down to $61.20. It is strange to see this pattern off of a 3 wave correction so as always...we let price action dictate our opinions.
OILUSD On A Short Term ConsolidationHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Oil is consolidating on 57$ to 61$ region for the last days, not much is happening but opportunity's are everywhere.
First of all what is consolidation ? Consolidation is generally market indecisiveness, which ends when the asset's price moves above or below the trading pattern.
A consolidation pattern could be broken for several reasons, such as the release of materially important news or the triggering of a succession of limit orders.
We can trade this region with a pretty simple plan.
A break and a candle close of the resistance will lead us to the upside target.
A break and a candle close of the support will lead us to the downside target.
Also trading within the range is possible by just longing the support and shorting the resistance.
Be on alert for important news about oil with the current world situation that can change the whole analysis with a sudden move.
Thank you for reading my post, have a great day, wish you all the best !
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
Feel free to ask anything in the comments :)
US OIL at Important SupportIf this can break the support level we are currently at this could have a big fall. IF it does break then we can look to short with a target of 49.30. I have been looking for this to have a big correction for some time. Other key target levels are at Fibonacci levels 0.382 and 0.5 which also align with key structure. First we need to break current support though as oil has been very strong and may resist this.