I'm out - After 45% PROFITS!Ok guys, you know that I went long on UKOIL about a week ago, and now I’ll update you about my trade. If you missed my first call on UKOIL, follow me to keep in touch with my analysis and trades. Now, here’s my analysis when I long UKOIL (Apr 28):
Why I long it? Simple, I saw a Piercing Line pattern near a support, and a Double Bottom in the hourly chart. There’s a Piercing Line in the weekly chart too, which would help the bulls to keep going. No indicators, just the candles (as always).
Now, I sold it after it did a Pivot downwards in the hourly chart, as you can see here:
As you can see, a very technical trade, with a nice risk/reward relationship (about 7:1). I don’t know if it will continue going up, but now I’m out because of my own technique. I usually set an exit point under a support after such a bullish move, I think it’s wise and gives me comfort. Now, I can sleep like a baby here.
Remember to follow me, I’m a trader who uses the classic technical analysis (barely any indicator, just the candles and the volume). Like this idea if it helped.
Thank you very much.
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Oilfutures
USOUSD OIL BULLISH TO 24.68 to 32.88| 5th May 2020"How Malaysian people can predict the oil price accurately?
This is the long lost technique which I learn from my father.
Japanese people expert at rice price
Malaysian people expert at oil price.
We are an oil producer since generation.
Alas, not many Malaysian people know it.."
-Zezu Zaza Oil Webinar on 28th April 2020
8 years ago, when I started the journey seriously in being trader (your job is to buy and sell price),
my dad asked me if I want to learn an ancient technique. A technique which not people know
because not all people being in the oil industry at that times.
Well I said, 'Yes of course I want to learn the secret..' I said like being skeptical on how he really
can know the secret of oil price traded. I mean for a second I was like dont very pay attention
about what he told me.
That times I was like 24 years old. Very novice, juvenile and smell like nothing in my head.
Now I am 32 years old. Old enough to experience the trading like 12 years experiences just
only to watch the price daily for 12 years. Market price is my netflix.
'Well son, I learn from your grandpa. He taught me something that people like us need to
know but our races won't appreciate it because they don't know how important really is.'
My father sipped warm coffee. That time felt like peace with breeze air from outside of
our village.
(Back then poor people don't venture into the oil price trade)
Since we are a family which trade the price, we must know all the technique.
How to trade oil, how to trade gold, how to trade wheat.
And all of this traded instrument were totally different on how to trade it.
But younger generation nowadays hit everything on its path.
They think they know everything and trade the same.
Old people from our time is really good than people in your time.
All your gadget, indicator makes you stupid. Things that comes easy,
human wont strive for the success to dig the knowledge.
They prefer the indicator to tells things while indicator is a lagging coding
after price and momentum makes its turn.
I hear his mumbling bla bla bla and bla like 1 hour.
At one point, what he said is true. I cant denied.
Then he off his tobacco cigarette and sipped the coffee.
He show me something which I truly remember until now.
He draw a chart in one piece of paper...
Then I saw something huge.
Something that people need to know.
The secret is so huge to hide.
I was amazed with the prediction.
The price is like a battleground of a chess.
I stood hard to digest on every single details he told me...
To be continue..
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
RIG testing crucial multi-year supportFrom February 2011 until November 2016, a major resistance trend line has kept RSI well below 50. In November 2016, there was a minor breakout, which ultimately failed and re-entered bearish territory. Since August of 2017, the RSI has held above this trend line until this month.
After the RSI resistance breakout in late 2017, the trend line has been tested on 3 different occasions for support;
- February 2018
- December 2018
- August/September 2019
We are currently BELOW this trend line, but the monthly still has one full trading week left.
They say the more times a trend line is tested, the weaker it gets. Although I agree whole heartedly with that statement, it truly depends on the area you're attempting to trade. With investor sentiment currently in the toilet due to Coronavirus, there is an extreme amount of fear and a record number of short positions.
This trend line is now very very close to oversold. With price below it, it is in my opinion a very strong buy signal especially if accompanied by a hammer close.
On the most recent successful support re-tests, price wicked below and closed as a hammer, even after strong bearish pressure. Currently, RIG is only 00.08 points away from exactly 30 RSI. SERIOUS bullish RSI divergences are present in the daily, 2D, 2W, monthly, 2M and 3M charts.
There is especially strong bullish divergence in the MACD on all time frames above the weekly.
MACD:
RSI:
Monthly zoomed out
WTI Oil July futures. Buy. Divergence 30min chartI have drawn the 1hr chart here to show the spike in volume with the low at 1780. We can see a break below the tredline and a lot of volume come back in. Actually the 30 min chart also shows a nice MACDH divergence at this point as well. All in all this actually constitutes a higher swing low on the oil charts after a lot of divergence at the major low of 1735 on the daily charts.
I am preferring to trade the July contract due to oversupply concerns on the June contract.
Stop at 1770 target 2020 in the first instance.
USOIL Is this pullback fake or real? Write me your commentsHI
NEWS:
-Top oil hedge-fund trader sees more pain for crude as coronavirus crushes demand
-Dow Jones Rises As Pace Of Job Losses Slow; Oil Prices Recover
personal opinion:
-Given the declining demand for oil, we will probably see oil spill again, but we can't say for sure that this is why I want to know your views.
Please follow my support and like my posts.
see you later
GOOD LUCKY
OIL FUTURES, STORAGE and STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVEFuture prices may be related to the fulfillment of the contract associated to them. In the case of Oil, the Future Contract Specs for WTI can be found here (www.cmegroup.com). So upon the contract Expiration (Last Trade date that can be found here: www.cmegroup.com), you will have to receive the Oil Barrels (1000 per Future purchased as per this contract in this case). This requires storage capacity, and given the current Covid scenario, this has been compromised (read more about this here: www.nytimes.com).
It seems that given that the price of the futures are negative, it means that sellers are willing to PAY buyers to take the asset from them... so this might mean that it is cheaper for them to have someone take the oil from them and take care of the storage, than having to do it themselves (having to store more than they can, or even drop production to be able to prevent more supply from compromising current storage capacity and the costs associated with it).
I think that Governments and other entities with high storage capacities might stand to benefit from this. They can get paid to take the oil from these suppliers, while also increasing their Oil reserves. In the case of the US, for example, the US has the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (en.wikipedia.org(United_States)), read more here (www.spr.doe.gov). If they acquire the oil barrels now, when things normalize, they will be at an advantage with higher volume supply than others, to sell. They will be able to regulate the Oil market and other markets that depend on it.
Will be looking into it as it evolves. Thoughts?
CRUDE OIL (WTI) KEY HISTORICAL LEVELSGood morning guys CRUDE OIL (WTI) is at KEY HISTORICAL LEVELS , this is a life time trading opportunity and should not be missed for any reason for swing trade. i am dollar cost averaging from this price point . Use low leverage and trade with proper risk management. thank me later. Good luck guys
WLLZoomed in on WLL we can see that downside risk is very limited and upside potential is epic.
The 200 EMA 4 hour is at $4.34
200 EMA D1 is at $8.55
Price gaps from $28-$26
Price Gap from $26-$24
Price Gap from $14.67-$13.56
52 week high $31
Oil storage facilities will at full capacity by June if OPEC doesn't make supply cuts.
Descending Triangle top line being tested repeatedly. Break out seem more likely.
My bias is that the bankruptcy filing is already priced in along with the crash in the oil market. The price of this stock has been destroyed and as we already know smart money gets out way b4 retail. So the dump from $60-.29c is in my opinion proof that all these events are in fact priced in.
Is it time to buy some OIL? EngineeringRobo warned you!Oil prices have plunged this year, as supply has jumped and demand has plummeted. They are down more than 50% just this month. On Monday, they took a new leg down, with West Texas Intermediate crude futures temporarily falling below $20. The last time Texas oil settled below $20 was in 2002.
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WTI has completed a bearish pennant - Retesting higher levelsFor the fourth week in a row, last week oil fell.
Technically, WTI has completed a bearish pennant. That pattern is normally followed by an upward correction which, in this case, means it could retest the $30 level.
I recommend you to go bull to 29-30$ levels during this week.
cl, oil, day trading for Mar 23rd 2020Today we are again digesting some extraordinary moves and need to look at what is really happening. I am watching 20.50 as a very important lower level . I am not looking at targets today but more observation of what the activity of the day will be, the range is massive and there is plenty of room inside the range to have large trades so as long as inside this range no targets.
Everything has been very sold and a technical bounce could happen at any time
oil, cl, day trading for mqr 20th 2020We have dropped below normal red zone low and now the level to watch is the current low, this will be a important level to help find today's direction. I do not see ( unless news) a much higher move above the current highs. however can see a test of the lower balance point very easily.
Oil ranges have been very large and provide some good trades but also lots of risk if managed poorly.
oil, cl, day trading for Mar 19th 2020yesterday saw oil drop hard into new lower levels and now we are in a bottom of range balancing zone. If we stay in this range I think we break down for mid teens to what could be the bottom, however i am beginning to see a case for oil below $10.00 also.
A move above red zone could take us back to prior RTH session low and then see if bulls have any mojo left. This range is big so should be able to find action today.
oil, cl, day trading for Mar 18th 2020A down move over the early session moves below prior support levels and sets up a move into teh higher teens. Will be watching for any type of bounce and if this bounce fails will be hanging my hat on the short side. also will get short on a impulsive move down that gives me a pause to jump on.
Lower target 17
Please look at your chart and the usoil TV chart I have cl numbers coming in .40 higher than TV