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USOIl Crude Oil important Support LevelWTI Crude Oil is at a key support level now and i don`t think we have seen the last of it. OPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day. It`s not much for now, but they will continue cutting the supply until they will get the oil to $90. I`m looking for a bounce to the $85 - $92 area before heading to $62 by the end of next year, when i expect the beginning of an electric revolution worldwide. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
2
OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022 Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 6.59%, up from 6.36% of last week. From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 66th from ATR and 66th from OVX index. With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be: 4.56% for bullish 5.01% for bearish With the current IV, we can expect with a 71.0% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel: TOP: 94.68 BOT: 83.35 Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have: 31% to hit the previous weekly high of 93.8 65% to hit the previous weekly low of 84.65
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by exlux
20 Reason for sell OIL 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1 ✨Eagle eye: Sideways 2 📆Monthly: Bullish to corrective mode 3 📅Weekly: a clear bear trend is established with proper lower lows 4 🕛Daily: bear and filled out corrective move now just ready for the next impulse move in bearish side 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: Daily 5: 1 Price Structure: bear 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: long shadow rejected at resistance 7: 3 Volume: 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Sideways to bear 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: rejected at the middle band 10: 6 Strength ADX: just beginning strength for bears 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4 12: Entry TF Structure: sideways 13: entry move: wait yet 14: Support resistance base: upper resistence 15: FIB: nil ☑️ final comments: wait for breakout 16: 💡decision: sell 17: 🚀Entry:79.90 18: ✋Stop losel: 81.5 19: 🎯Take profit: 73.66 20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6 🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 days
TVC:USOILShort
by Optimum369
BIG UPDATES PART 1 (CHAPTRE 3)We're back with breaking news Expecting oil retracement to the 85$ zone before a "ready to launch phase" Big pockets on the edge and i might sound crazy but we can touch the +100$ zone in a very short time of a period. Risk of your own and i wont recommend any TP or SL in this one If you lose don't blame me if you win don't thank me As always lose to win and risk to gain. that's the moto. The full chapter: 1) Sell "Done" 2) Buy "We are Here" 3) Sell
FX:USOILLong
by UnknownUnicorn2830187
3
Oil buyers step in at $72/bbl: Is the downside limited?The oil market has seen a lot of activity, with recent developments mostly easing worries about market tightness. In China, Covid-related restrictions have been reinstalled in major cities, triggering rare protests and consequently reducing outlook for oil consumption, in striking contrast to perceived moves to reopen the economy at the beginning of November. On the supply side, reports that the United States granted Chevron Corp permission to restart oil production in Venezuela, as well as Iraq's statement that it will add 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day of oil export capacity by 2025, weighed on oil prices. The oil future curve is no longer in a backwardation state. The price premium that spot WTI held over its future contracts ( 3A1! ; 4A1! ; 5A1! ) has been fully wiped away by the most recent leg of oil depreciation. In essence, the spot price of oil is currently trading at par compared to its 6-month future delivery, indicating that the market is not currently concerned about prompt supply. This condition has not been observed since January 2021, and it may be prudent to be wary of surprises at this time. Bad news is priced, but positive catalysts are still to come? With most bad news already priced in by the market, it may take something new to stop oil prices from falling. In October, the US White House signalled that it intends to repurchase crude to replenish its SPR stocks when WTI prices are at or below about $65/bbl and $72/bbl. Consequently, this area could present a strong price support and thus limit the downside relative to current market prices. Additionally, supply-side risks have not completely disappeared. The G7 has postponed a price ceiling on Russian oil, but Russia said that it may retaliate, restricting supply, if the G7 applies a price cap. In view of recent market developments, OPEC+ could also reinforce its very restrictive supply strategy on Sunday, December 4th. Dip buying to resume at $72? Technically speaking, oil has revised its lows for 2022 and is currently experiencing a negative year-to-date performance. The most recent wave of decline was dramatic, bringing the daily RSI close to oversold territory. In the past, massive selloffs in oil prices, with the daily RSI in oversold territory, produced some near-term price recovery. WTI prices are currently 14% and 30% below their respective 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which appears overly pessimistic considering the persistence of upside risks. Given how sharp the recent downward trend was and the fact that a positive catalyst might happen soon, dip buying may start to come back at these levels.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by Capitalcom
Why buying oil Oil have to scenarios on is going up to 106 $ where it will form double bottom pattern . At 75 $ which is forming now . How it fail ? Close 2 days below 75 $ Second scenario , going down as we have double top at 92 $ . Where it can reach 70 $ I believe upside worth more risk . Because it more logical and reflect the indicators as we are in over sold monthly If we cross bellow 75 $ 2 days ill be seller to 70 max 63 For daily trades i believe we have a big bounce can kill the seller soon . GOOD LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by tornadosoul
10
USOIL Forecast: Position Trade IdeaHey trader, As you can the price is currently bearish running in the head and shoulders level 2, and below the 50 and bearish crossed short-term MAs. It is preparing to drop for the patterns L3 together for the 200 MA (that's visible on the MT4 chart). But that bias will be fully confirmed once the price has bearish closed and retested below the Daily Neckline and 8 MA (1st trade) or 3rd Weekly Key Lvl (2nd trade), to trigger what I call the "H&S C-E.1 & E.2 signals". However if the price decides to bullish rally to break and retest the 3rd Monthly Key Lvl and 8 MA, the bias will be rejected. With that said, take the trades at your own risk, because this is not financial advice. I'm just sharing my point of view, which you also can do in the comments section below. I don't mind if you do so; I'd love to know your thoughts! That's it for today. I hope you found value from this article. If you wish to see more content on trade ideas and psychology, click the posts linked below. You won't regret it. Trade Safe, Sphatrades.
TVC:USOILShort
by Doji-2k1