8/31/22 XOPSPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product ( AMEX:XOP )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $ --
Current Price: $144.75
Breakout price: $147.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $140.20-$120.00
Price Target: $166.70-$170.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 76-80d
Contract of Interest: $XOP 11/18/22 145c
Trade price as of publish date: $13.20/contract
Oilprice
Aramco eyes diversification after record Q2 income Is Saudi Aramco (TADAWUL: 2222) looking to diversify its income sources after soaring oil prices helped it deliver record-high earnings in the second quarter?
Saudi Aramco saw its net income nearly double during the three-month period to 173.80 billion Saudi riyals ($46.28 billion) from 90.90 billion riyals.
President and CEO Amin Nasser said increasing demand for the company's products made the record-high earnings possible, adding that it also benefitted from favorable market conditions stemming from strong global crude oil prices.
But as oil prices begin to cool down, Saudi Aramco has set its sights on improving its technology and generating products from different sources.
Reaching New Heights
Saudi Aramco formally listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange Dec. 11, 2019. Upon its debut, it became the most valuable listed company with a market capitalization of $1.9 trillion. It was eventually dethroned by Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), but thanks to oil price hikes, it reclaimed the title in May with a market value of $2.43 trillion against Apple's $2.37 trillion.
Every movement in the company's price is heavily reliant on oil and energy prices. Saudi Aramco saw major growth when oil prices reach multi-year highs at the beginning of the second half. When war broke out between Russia and Ukraine, oil prices had another boost. Nowadays, industry observers aren't as bullish.
Last week, oil prices tumbled amid fears that demand could weaken due to an impending economic slowdown, Reuters reported.
Given this trend in oil prices, the company had been on the red, dropping nearly 3% to $39.00 since August 14. Its management does not seem fazed, however, with Nasser saying "we expect oil demand to continue to grow for the rest of the decade, despite downward economic pressures on short-term global forecasts."
Off to new goals
Nasser, as part of Saudi Aramco's second quarter results, said the company is working to increase production from multiple energy sources, including oil and gas, as well as renewables and blue hydrogen. "We are progressing the largest capital program in our history and our approach is to invest in the reliable energy and petrochemicals that the world needs, while developing lower-carbon solutions that can contribute to the broader energy transition," he added.
Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Industry and Mineral Resources and chairman of the Saudi Aramco's board, said the company will be on the frontline of the country's Vision 2030. He said the company "will become a much more technology and knowledge-driven organization" and that it "will seek to move, change, and expand into areas that will not only make it more agile and responsive, but also lead the industry into a better energy future."
Oil Back to 100$ a barrelOil has had some strong buying volume around 85-86$ a barrel. Starting to break out of the downward slope to create a new higher low pattern.
If Iran doesn't except the deal the price of oil will pull back above 100$ a barrel
-Russia might also cut of demand for EU
-USA is going to stop adding supply in September because their reserves are running low
-Anything about 93.00 i would be going long TVC:USOIL
DOABC correction appears complete. No in a leading diagonal rising wedge pattern. Likely a retest to $5.80 before starting the next leg higher.
XTIUSD....BUY (7.10%)after a long sell on oil, XTI formed a double bottom between 5th and 17th August.....finally i'm expecting a bull run on XTIISD...int0 $96 per barrel!!!
There's a possibility for a price rejection at $94.2
NB: red box: rejection zone
blue box: breakout zone
How LOW can Oil Go?Oil Price still in bullish trend even after retracing from HH2 price of Top of approximately 130 to current 90.
Sign of bullish trend
-Line C having stronger uptrend momentum/strength than line B
-Line C surpass above Fib Extension of 1.272 Line B
-Candlestick above MA200
-Staying above MA(Price approx 63) will still can consider as bullish trend
Some sign of bearish
-Candlestick falling below ichimoku cloud(not bearish confirmation yet)
-lagging Span fall below Candlestick
A closer look on the retracement:
test of downtrend strength within line C
oil is going to ready to jump oil is ready to complete terminal as c in last lag of flat in d lag of big triangle
buy opportunity in 80-83 dollar for 140 dollar at least
SELL OIL OILSetup / Analysis
🕐 4hr's Chart
Key Technical / Reason's SHORT
———————————
What is our confirmation?
- Breakout trendline and retest
- Resistance Support level
- Pressure zone
- Pivot and MA rejection confluence
- Ascending Pattern
- Descending Pattern
- The pivot zone
- Demand Supply
- Candlestick Patterns
Always do your own research before opening positions and always put stoploss.
USOIL Short: Shooting Star at 4hr Resistance LevelTrend: The overall trend of the chart is downwards.
Candle Sticks: Formation of shooting start at the LH of the chart.
Support & Resistance: Price is testing the 4he resistance area by making an LH with a shooting star.
Reasoning: The formation of a shooting star at the LH of the 4hr resistance area strongly indicate the price will go down.
SL: Place at the previous LH of the chart.
TP1, TP2, TP3: Placed according to the Fibonacci retracement levels.
Gasoline Bearish Formation"Gasoline... breakfast of champions" - Joe Dirt
Consistent with our view of #Oil, gasoline shows us a beautiful bear wedge.
Are we all just expected to pay $4.50+ / gal of gasoline? This seems like a tall ask for the American consumer, considering prices are significantly elevated across most of the American ( & global ) economy.
Emerging markets getting beat up all around the globe
Commodities have started to selloff
Interest rates are rising
USD ripping higher
crypto bubble... popping...?
Let's see how it goes!
God bless!
India tricks the West, Strong dollar & China imports russian oilOil top might be in for this year.
Reasons:
1. Market adjustment mechanisms are underway on the commodity markets, ensuring that Russian oil, which is spurned by the West, once again finds its buyers (india, china). This in turn causes these countries to demand less Brent or WTI oil, which again depresses prices. India and China are buying significantly more crude oil from Russia, Europe less, which means there is a balancing out taking place on the world markets with the new tanker routes and transportation routes.
2. India recently bought more oil from Russia than ever before, according to a recent report by the Finnish Energy and Clean Air Research Center. "A significant portion of the crude is re-exported as refined oil products, including to the U.S. and Europe, an important loophole to close," the Finnish analysts warned. Since new sanctions measures are very unlikely, the alignment process between Russian oil and Brent and WTI crudes is likely to continue.
3. Dollar price, interest hikes & recession fears by FED. The strong dollar is also acting as an additional burden on the oil market. This is because commodities such as oil are traded in dollars. If you read between the lines of the FED, they're doing their best to crush commodity and oil prices to crush long-speculators on comm and oil.
4. Fear of new lockdowns in China. Chinese head of state Xi Jinping nevertheless only recently announced that he would stick to the strict zero-covid strategy. This is fueling fears of new lockdowns in China = downside risk for oil demand in China, probably a small impact, since the gov in China is trying its best to avoid a greater corona outbreak in large cities to stabilise eco. situation.
5. bitcoin/tradional markets are sometimes seen as counterparts to oil. Bitcoin, despite very bad news (CPI increased) and being a risk asset, has not moved much further down in price, showing that risky assets have more or less found their bottom while oil bulls have an empty tank.
Opinion: I see the price cooling down slowly rather than continuing to climb, probably going towards 70-60$ in the next 6-10 months.
! This is not an investment advise! Do your own research! This is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell oil shares and this is NOT a recommendation to short or to long oil!
WTICOUSD (SUPPORT/RESISTANCE ZONE)Good morning guys!
so currently I am sitting out from Oil trading. It was a big fall last night and indeed the weak candles has confirmed for me that weakness was in place.
Will wait till wednesday before placing my trade again. Hope you guys managed to capture it a few days back!
Oil Futures Settle Lower On Demand WorriesDespite concerns about a potential recession, oil prices were still around $114 a barrel today as supply concerns outweighed concerns about a potential decline in demand. In the latest developments, workers in Norway went on strike, which is expected to cut the country's oil production by around 130,000 barrels a day.
Despite the global economic recovery, oil prices are still up more than 50% this year as the conflict in Ukraine and the lack of supply from other producers such as Russia have raised concerns about the supply of oil. OPEC+ has also been struggling to boost its production due to various factors. In addition, the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy has also triggered a sell-off in commodities.
Investors are also closely monitoring the situation in China, where the country is still experiencing sporadic outbreaks of the virus.