The FlipThought of this as I saw the further-out Dec'22 & Jun'22 6-months spread flipping through the closer Jun'22 & Dec'21 ; the historical examples are given in the chart in green circles.
Seems like oil is looking higher from here as per the indication of the attached chart.
Let us see how this unravels.
Oilprice
USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again.
In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79.
The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range.
Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ??
Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon.
But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state.
Possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level.
The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign).
Scenario 2 :
Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market.
3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Daily Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 69.76 1) 70.40
2) 69.35 2) 70.63
3) 69.12 3) 71.04
Weekly Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 68.27 1) 70.63
2) 66.79 2) 71.51
3) 65.91 3) 72.99
Fundamental point of view :
At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy.
Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
USOIL WTI Crude Oil Short, breach of a decade long pattern Oil has breached a 13 years long falling wedge.
I will be shorting until the 55/57 area, then switching to a long term buy that, in my opinion, could lead priced up to the 130 area. This would allow the big petroleum companies to sell their oil stocks at higher prices as they decrease production to switch to environmental friendly vehicles.
You can see that the pandemic created a spring that allowed smart money to accumulate positions at advantageous prices, around 0. We'll see a lot of strength after the trend-line has been retested.
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Peace.
TrickleDown FX
Analyzing RECAF and USOIL Recently, USOIL and RECAF have both taken a tumble. Named "The Hottest Oil Play in Decades," we surely have more to see from RECAF in 2021 and 2022.
As you can see, USOIL's candlestick progression is clearly notated by the dark grey line displaying price action on the front.
Experts predict USOIL to bottom around $55-60 USD. After that, experts predict OIL to stabilize around $65-80 USD levels. The ultimate top predicted is $100. This would lead to gas prices around $4/gallon for your Suburu's fill up. At around $2.50, we still have plenty of room to run. However, Biden's administration has asked for lower gas prices for now, as the economy continues to recover from COVID. Will the Oil Barons be able to produce more oil to lower gas prices, or will we see gas prices once again rising up? I wouldn't put it out the question.
ACTION PLAN:
Currently, RECAF is still in a bear pattern, though we still a slight uptick today as price actions grapples for the last few bites of the bear.
1. Can RECAF's stock price go down to the most favorable price target for longs, $1.80-3.50 USD? Formidable support levels lie here, protecting it from falling lower.
2. Or will we remain in a bottoming formation pattern around $4.75-5.25 USD? The median price is $6.20 USD and that may be met sooner or later.
Overall long price target for long-term holders: $12.81 USD
Feel free to write your thoughts in the comments as well.
Short Vision on OIL for 10/08/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for OIL which is near in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame OIL will fall to 66.8 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 66.5.
Currently, OIL is moving towards the resistance level of 68 ,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of OIL.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@ 68
TP1: @67.6
TP2: @67.3
TP3: @66.8
SL : @68.5
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Breaking: The OPEC report is issuedOPEC monthly report was issued a few minutes ago, and the report was not positive for OPEC+ and the oil-producing countries within the group, led by Saudi Arabia. OPEC kept its forecast for oil demand in 2021 unchanged at an increase of 6 million barrels per day, bringing the average to 96.6 million barrels per day, and also kept its forecast for the growth of oil demands in 2022 by 3.3 million barrels per day, bringing the average production to 99.86 million barrels per day.
While OPEC+ raised its expectations for an increase in the production of oil-producing countries outside the group by 840 thousand barrels per day, to reach an increase of 2.9 million barrels per day, with a total average of 66.9 million barrels per day in 2022.
It also raised its forecast for the production growth of oil-producing countries outside the group in 2021 by 270,000 barrels per day to reach 1.1 million barrels per day, with a total average of 64 million barrels per day.
Short Vision on OIL for 04/08/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for OIL, which is near the buy zone. I expect the price to rise. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame OIL will rise to 70. Our Weekly Goal is 71.3. So we are looking for a pullback to repeat what we have marked up and executed over the last few days, demand is still there. Simply looking to buy the dips effectively, the bullish trend still here since April 2020.
Currently, OIL is moving towards the support level of 68.3 where there is some liquidity, from this value we are looking for short-term buying opportunities of OIL.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bullish Market for today.
Entry:@68.25
TP1: @68.6
TP2: @68.9
TP3: @69.3
SL : @67.8
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Has Oil's uptrend come to an end?My short answer is no. Oil hasn't peaked yet in my opinion, although in the short term it might chop between 63-77$ before a big breakout. As OPEC+ has decided to increase production, we might slowly see the effects of that + there are some general deflationary pressures like new Covid strains and endless lockdowns that might push oil lower in the short term.
However in my opinion due to the ESG movement and the climate change proponents in general, the underinvestment in oil + forced production cuts due to protests might limit supply so much that if demand slowly increases the price of oil could skyrocket.
Technically Oil is still in an uptrend and its more than a decade long bear market has come to an end. Speculators were flushed out but oil has manage to hit some key levels which if broken might attract more speculative capital in the market. Above 77$, 90$ is a very easy target and we could see it go even to 100$+. In the short term if there is a panic across all markets and we get a strong dip everywhere, I think oil could get to 42-55$, which in my opinion would be an incredible opportunity.
Oil around 50$ is ok for allowing for more global growth, but it is also signaling slow growth. Low oil prices could translate in lower bond yields which would mean deflation which would allow the status quo to remain.
potential rise on oil for next week to to weeksi expect that oil will rise to retest the resistance , which mean a rise until the 78 dollars level.
Long Vision on OIL for july and augustHello Dear Traders,
We can see the crush that happens this week for oil prices is due to the disagreement in the OPEC meeting for August production over the oil production where UAE want to increase the oil production and the market disruptions due to the coronavirus number of cases in the UK, Singapore...
Maybe, OPEC + tomorrow's Meeting will give some good news about oil production.
You find in this video my analysis for OIL, which is near the buy zone. I expect the price to rise more and more till the end of the year where we can touch 90$. According to my set of rules, in the H4 frame OIL will rise to 72 . Our Weekly Goal is 73.3. So we are looking for a pullback to repeat what we have marked up and executed over the last few days, demand is still there. Simply looking to buy the dips effectively, the bullish trend still here since April 2020.
Currently, OIL is moving towards the support level of 66.5 from this value we are looking for short-term buying opportunities of OIL.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bullish Market.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Long Vision on OIL for 19/07/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for OIL, which is near the buy zone. I expect the price to rise. According to my set of rules, in the H4 frame the price of OIL will rise to 72 . Our Weekly Goal is 73.3. So we are looking for a pullback to repeat what we have marked up and executed over the last few days, demand is still there. Simply looking to buy the dips effectively, the bullish trend still here since April 2020.
Currently, OIL is moving towards the support level of 69.5 where there is some liquidity, from this value we are looking for short-term buying opportunities of OIL.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bullish Market for today.
Entry:@69.8
TP1: @70.5
TP2: @71
TP3: @72
SL : @69
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!