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Oil hits YTD peak. What are the risks now? Oil prices reached their highest level in seven months, partly driven by worries that escalating tensions in the Middle East could constrain supply. Iran has warned of a potential "serious response" against Israel following a targeted strike in Damascus that resulted in the deaths of two Iranian generals. This incident has raised concerns about a widening conflict in the Middle East, following over five months of the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza. Furthermore, Ukraine has launched a counter-offensive by targeting Russia's oil infrastructure. Although the attacks have so far reportedly only caused minimal damage. Ukraine's objective is to disrupt Russia's main financial support for its invasion of Ukraine. Better-than-expected manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) reports from China and the US have also buoyed optimism in the oil market. Because of this, investors might anticipate increased demand in the manufacturing and industrial sectors of both countries. WTI has now found support just above $84.00. The 100 SMA is above the 200, potentially indicating that support is likely to hold. However, caution might be warranted as the market nears overbought conditions. If the $84.00 level fails to provide support, the subsequent target could be slightly below $81.00, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the low in March to the recent peak. Alternatively, a less significant pullback might see buyers stepping in at the 23.6% or 38.2% Fibonacci levels.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
WTICO Outperforms BCO on US Oil Production RiseWTICO (West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil) has recently been outperforming BCO (Brent Crude Oil). This trend coincides with an increase in US-produced oil replacing sanctioned Indian refined oil. Potential Opportunity in WTICO The shift in market dynamics could present an opportunity for traders considering long positions in WTICO. However, as always, it's important to conduct your own research and consider factors like: • Market Volatility: Oil prices can fluctuate significantly due to various factors. • Global Oil Production: Changes in global oil production can impact WTICO's price. • Your Investment Strategy: This trade should align with your overall risk tolerance and investment goals. Stay Informed, Make Informed Decisions We recommend staying updated on market developments before making any investment decisions. We're Here to Help Please don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further within the comments.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Israel strikes Iranian consulate, what does WTI chart tells us?Hi, 1PERCENT here. Today I am sharing a chart that I drew a few years ago. Contrary to crypto where we have fast movements of 30% intraday, Bonds, commodities, inflation rates, etc. are "slow movers"... but only in peaceful times. So patience is required for investors who focus on the forest. You were correct, but 10 years early. Now is your time to shine. #PeterSchiff #MikeMaloney WTI crude oil price that bounced from the $68-74 support zone . This support zone held well even last year when mass media and the EIA (US government's puppy) kept screaming that we have an oversupply of oil & gas. Remember what happened back in 2022 when oil went to $128? Especially those in Europe & Asia? Pay attention & Be prepared for the changes occurring in our societies. Stay safe. 1PERCENT
TVC:USOILLong
by RVD_1PERCENT
Will U.S. oil rebound and repair next week?Crude oil is currently going through a wave of surges and falls on the weekly trend, but it still maintains its operation on the short-term moving average. Pay attention to whether there will be continued adjustment on the line next week. On the daily trend, the current price has begun to touch near the previous support band, and the downward trend has begun to slow down. After the continuous low fluctuations in the intraday 4-hour trend, the technical form showed signs of gradual recovery. The K-line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average. It is believed that crude oil will rebound to a certain extent in the short-term trend. If you are not confident in your trading, you can follow me and I will share trading ideas every day
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
Jump on the Oil Trend as Russia Refineries Attacks Drive Prices I wanted to bring to your attention the latest trend in the oil market - prices are on the rise due to recent attacks on refineries in Russia. These attacks have caused disruptions in the supply chain, leading to an increase in oil prices. This presents a great opportunity for you to capitalize on this trend and make some significant profits by going long on oil. Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to make some quick gains in the market. Take advantage of the current situation and place your bets on oil to see your investments grow. So, what are you waiting for? Get in on the action and go long on oil today
NYMEX:CL1!
by bryandowningqln
Crude oil is focusing on support near 80, how to trade today? The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) fluctuated and hit new lows, testing the 80 support. The moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend is downward. Oil prices hit around 80.70, forming a certain recurrence, and their upward strength is relatively weak. It is expected that crude oil will remain volatile in the short term during the day. Trading strategy: 81.60 short, stop loss: 81.90, target 80.60.Trading strategies are for reference only
TVC:USOILShort
by Donald-king
How will U.S. oil trade after the Federal Reserve decision?U.S. oil continued to fluctuate and repaired yesterday. The bullish EIA data in the evening failed to bring rebound momentum to U.S. oil. On the contrary, the market retreated to around the 80.8 line in response to technical needs before rebounding. Of course, this period was also affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. , in the end, US oil still closed with a negative line. If U.S. oil falls back to the 81-80.7 area today and tomorrow, you can be aggressive and light up your position. If you have long positions at this level overnight, you can still keep it. However, you can reduce your position as appropriate when the pressure is measured near 82 at the top during the day.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
USOIL continues to rise 85 today? Prices have pulled back after hitting a four-month high of $83 yesterday on Monday. Russia has increased exports in response to Ukrainian attacks on the country's oil infrastructure. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser has rejected the idea of phasing out fossil fuels, calling it a fantasy. Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices have fluctuated for about two weeks based on the moving average system, and oil prices have once again tested the upper edge of the channel. The two big positive lines show strong upward momentum, and it is expected that the mid-term rise will open up room for growth after adjustments within the week. Crude oil (1H) continues to trend higher and continues to hit new highs. The moving average system maintains a bullish arrangement and is supported by the 5-day moving average. The short-term objective trend is upward. Oil prices have adjusted slightly from high levels. It is expected that crude oil will continue to fluctuate upward in the short term during the day. Pay attention to the short-term support effect of 81.5.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Can U.S. oil continue to be bullish? How to trade?The release of U.S. EIA crude oil inventory data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision may bring external interference to the trend, so U.S. oil needs to be careful in the short term. The bullish tone at the daily level has been locked in. A firm hold at 80 will lay the foundation for medium and long-term bullishness. As long as there are no major negative fundamentals in the future, it is worth looking forward to the medium and long-term bullishness of the 84-85 area and even the 90 area for U.S. oil. In the day, U.S. oil can see a temporary pressure correction on the 83 line, but don’t expect too much in the repair space below. You can focus on the 5-day line around 81.7-5. If the data tonight is negative, the short-term retracement target can be lowered. Moving to the 81-80.5 area, the main line of thinking is still bullish on US oil, so whenever a retracement is seen, we should still consider choosing lows to place long orders, provided that 80 cannot be broken. In addition, due to the frequent incidents affecting U.S. oil-related fundamentals from tonight to early tomorrow morning, conservatives can choose to wait and see and make relevant strategic adjustments after the fundamentals stabilize tomorrow. If you participate in radical activities during the day, you must also wait for the extreme point before participating, and you must make adjustments closely following fundamental events. Do not make judgments based solely on technical expectations.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 18 March 2024 🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 18 March 2024 Oil prices saw a slight retreat primarily attributed to technical correction. However, the long-term outlook for the oil market remains positive as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC revised their 2024 oil demand forecasts upwards for the fourth time. Economic growth surpassing expectations is anticipated to bolster oil demand, underpinning the positive trend in the oil market. Oil prices are trading flat while currently testing the support level. Suggesting the commodity might extend its losses after breakout. Resistance level: 82.45, 84.10📉 Support level: 80.20, 78.00📈
TVC:USOILShort
by top_fx
OPEC's production reduction measures will turn supply and demandCrude oil as a whole this week is going through a complex shock rebound. I have previously emphasized that from the perspective of the time cycle, the overall future focus will be on whether the low on the 26th breaks below. If it does not break below, the overall trend will be a shock upward, but we still have to wait for time to break through. This week, it rebounded further after gaining support at 76.7, closing up 4.07%, and finally closed at $80.96. From a fundamental perspective, the reasons for the continued complex fluctuations in crude oil prices this week are as follows: 1. Source: Venezuela’s Paraguana oil refining base suffered a power outage. The base’s daily output is 955,000 barrels. 2. IEA monthly report: Oil demand growth in 2024 is expected to be 1.3 million barrels per day; due to OPEC+ production reduction measures, oil supply and demand are expected to turn into a "slight deficit" in 2024. Global oil supply will increase by 800,000 barrels per day in 2024, reaching 102.9 million barrels per day. 3. The overall CPI in the United States unexpectedly rebounded in February; the market is worried that more Federal Reserve officials will adjust their expectations for interest rate cuts to two times this year. 4. The EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory in the United States increased by 596,000 barrels to 361.6 million barrels in the week to March 8, the highest since the week of May 5, 2023. 5. OPEC Monthly Report: The 2024 global economic growth forecast is raised from .7% to 2.8%, and the 2025 forecast is maintained at 2.9%; the global crude oil demand growth rate in 2024 and 2025 is maintained at 2.25 million barrels/ and 1.85 million barrels per day. The above factors are the key to the continued upward fluctuation of crude oil, and the core reason is that OPEC+ has implemented new voluntary production reduction measures. The rise in gasoline has pushed the overall CPI higher, and the unexpected rise in inflation will also support oil prices to a certain extent. Moreover, I was worried about the decline of crude oil before. There is a risk of a breakthrough, so I would like to remind you that you need to wait for a breakthrough in time. However, the overall trend is still bullish, especially the upward trend on Thursday. This will be further analyzed later; From a technical point of view, the overall outlook for next week will remain bullish. In the future, the overall focus will be on whether the low on the 26th is broken. From a time cycle perspective, the overall outlook is bullish until March 29th, so there will be no downside next week. Before 75.8, the market continued to fluctuate and was mainly bullish. But the space up and down here is very large at the moment. Risk control still needs to be done well. Making bold predictions and carefully verifying is the long-term way of trading. It is more based on the intraday strategy. The expected trend chart next week: If you are a newbie, you will not be able to complete transactions independently yet. You can refer to my trading ideas. You can follow my channel and I will alert you when trading signals appear.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
1
Seven tips for investing in gold and crude oilThe financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people lose money, some people must make money. But if you want to make a profit in investment, there is no shortcut. You can only do your homework seriously every day and accumulate diligently like an ascetic. In addition to providing some investment experience and learning methods, I also hope to find like-minded investment friends and work together. Research. Investment does not happen overnight. Losses in the early period do not mean losses in the later period; profits in the early period do not mean profits in the later period. Therefore, friends who are losing money should not be discouraged, and friends who are making profits should not be complacent. Let yourself invest rationally with a peaceful mind. 1. Learn to establish positions, close positions and make profits "Establishing a position" means opening. Opening is also called exposure, which is the act of buying gold. Choose the appropriate gold price level And timing to establish a position is a prerequisite for profitability. If you enter the market at a good time, you have a greater chance of profit: On the contrary, if you enter the market at a bad time, you are prone to losses. "Liquidation" is a stop-loss measure taken to prevent excessive losses when the gold price suddenly drops after a position is established. For example, if you sell gold at a price of 157, and later the gold price drops to 150, you will see a nominal loss of 7 yuan. In order to prevent the gold price from continuing to decline and causing greater losses, I sold gold at the price level of 150 and ended the exposure with a loss of 7 yuan. Sometimes traders refuse to accept losses and insist on waiting, hoping that the price of gold will turn back. In this way, they will suffer huge losses when the price of gold keeps falling. The timing of "profit" is more difficult to grasp. After establishing a position, when the price of gold has developed in a direction favorable to you. You can make a profit by closing the market. For example, you buy gold at 145 yuan; when the gold price rises to 150 yuan, you have a profit of 5 yuan, so you sell the gold and make a profit. It is very important to grasp the opportunity to make profits. If the price is closed too early, the profit will not be much; if the price is closed too late, the opportunity may be delayed, and the gold price trend will reverse, with no profit but loss. 2. "Pyramid" overweighting The meaning of "pyramid" overweighting is: after buying gold for the first time, the price of gold rises. Seeing that the investment is correct, if you want to increase your investment, you should follow the principle of "the amount added each time is less than the last time". In this way, the number of incremental purchases will become less and less, just like a "pyramid". Because the higher the price, the greater the possibility of approaching the top of the rise and the greater the risk. 3. Buy (sell) when there are rumors and sell (buy) when the facts are real The gold market, like stocks, often circulates some news or even rumors. Some news turns out to be true later, and some news turns out to be nothing more than rumors. What traders do is buy as soon as they hear good news and sell as soon as the news is confirmed. Vice versa, when bad news breaks, sell immediately and buy back as soon as the news is confirmed. If you don't trade quickly enough, you may incur losses due to market changes. 4. Don’t increase your bet when you are losing money. After buying or selling gold, when the market suddenly advances in the opposite direction, some people will want to add more money, which is very dangerous. For example, when the price of gold continues to rise for a period of time, traders chase the high price and buy the currency. Suddenly the market reversed and plummeted downwards. Seeing that the traders were losing money, they wanted to add more orders at a low price. In an attempt to offset the gold price of the first order, and when the gold price rebounds, the two orders will be closed together to avoid losses. Be especially careful with this overweighting approach. If the gold price has been rising for a period of time, what you bought may be a "top". If the more it falls, the more you buy, and you continue to increase your investment, but the gold price never turns back, then the result will undoubtedly be a vicious loss. 5. Do not participate in unclear market activities When you feel that the trend of the gold market is not clear enough and you lack confidence, it is better not to enter the market. Otherwise it is easy to make wrong judgments. 6. Don’t blindly pursue integer points In gold investment, sometimes things go wrong in order to compete for a few points. After establishing a position, some people set a profit target for themselves, such as earning 200 US dollars, etc. They are always waiting for this moment to come. Sometimes the price has already It was close to the target, and the opportunity was very good, but it was still a few points short of reaching the target. It could have been a flat profit, but due to the original target, the best price was missed while waiting, and the opportunity was missed. 7. Establish a position when the volatile market breaks through The market situation refers to the volatile market. A volatile market is a sign that buyers and sellers are evenly matched and temporarily in balance. Regardless of whether it is a shock in the process of rising or falling, once the shock ends, the market price will break through upward or downward, showing a breakthrough. This is a good time to enter the market and establish a position. If the market has been in a volatile market for a long time, the market price will break through. Opening a position has a greater chance of making a big profit.
TVC:USOIL
by Donald-king
2
Friday is approaching the weekly close, with cautious profit-tak According to the IEA's forecast, oil demand growth will decrease by 1 million barrels per day this year, to an estimated 1.3 million barrels per day. The IEA pointed out that factors such as the global economic slowdown, improved vehicle fuel efficiency and the increase in the number of electric vehicles will bring additional headwinds to oil use. In addition, the IEA has also lowered its supply forecast for 2024, predicting that oil supply this year will increase by 800,000 barrels per day to 102.9 million barrels per day. Continuous attacks by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil refining facilities caused refinery shutdowns, which in turn caused Russia's seaborne fuel exports to fall by 1.5% month-on-month in February. Separately, U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories have fallen sharply, with gasoline prices at the pump expected to rise sharply in the coming weeks as widespread refinery shutdowns reduce supply ahead of the summer driving season. Although the IEA forecasts oil demand growth in 2024, it is still less optimistic than the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). OPEC kept its demand growth forecast unchanged this week, still nearly 1 million barrels per day behind the IEA. Shipping disruptions in the Red Sea have forced more trade to shift to longer routes, pushing the volume of oil at sea to nearly 1.9 billion barrels, the IEA said. Although some OPEC+ members have extended production cuts, the IEA predicts that oil supply growth from non-OPEC+ countries will continue to exceed demand expansion in 2024. The IEA said there will be a slight supply shortage this year, but tankers may see some relief as large volumes of offshore oil reach its final destination. However, dovish signals from central banks suggest that the economy is emerging from the downturn, but some major economic powers are still facing weak economic data. In addition, the sharp rise in the US dollar has also put pressure on crude oil prices. Economic downturns, a surge in the U.S. dollar, and long-term high interest rates will lead to reduced demand for crude oil. Oil prices continued to rise on Thursday, hitting a nearly four-month high as the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast a tighter market in 2024 and raised its view on oil demand growth this year. Considering the possibility of profit-taking on Friday today, do not pursue long positions directly. You can participate in long positions later after the correction of crude oil stabilizes.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
Crude oil fluctuates upward The daily K-line of crude oil continues to run above the short-term moving average and continues to maintain a high and strong trend. There is currently no particularly obvious trend in the 4-hour trend. After yesterday's adjustment, it is expected that there will be a rebound trend in the short term. In the small-level cycle trend, after continuous narrow range fluctuations, the technical form began to gradually recover, the K line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average, and the short-term trend tends to continue to rebound. long-term trends.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Today’s Profitable Trading Signals for Crude Oil Hello everyone. At present, crude oil continues to fluctuate at a high level on the daily trend, and the short-term moving average is basically in a flat state, tending to continue to maintain a relatively volatile trend in the short term. Currently, the 4-hour trend continues to fluctuate at a low level, and the K line continues to be under pressure. The short-term moving average maintains a slightly weaker trend. The bottom rebound after the U.S. market yesterday has continued, and the current range on the hourly level has been compressed very little. The current resistance is around 81, forming a short-term downward trend. So today we rebound and need to sell
TVC:USOILShort
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Oil: Thoughts and Analysis. Resistance Continues!Today's focus: Oil Pattern – Resistance re-hold Support – $77.21, $76.30 Resistance – $78.85 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Oil on the daily chart. Today, we have broken down how we see price and key levels. Once again, we have seen resistance re-hold and a new move lower after tests failed. Will we see a new move lower traders as we have seen in the past after buyers failed to break resistance? Or will we see the current trend hold and a new test and break of resistance eventuate? Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Eightcap
OIL If oil prices push higher above 81$, they will prop the dollar in the medium term. Higher oil prices will influence inflation globally. Central Banks particularly the Fed might not cut rates until the later part of 2024. Fed Chair has already echoed these words citing that fed cuts are years away. Once oil adds onto that equation, we might see a possible rate hike in 2024. On the monthly charts, we have a consolidation around a strong demand level. On the weekly timeframe we do not have a clear direction though the market seems to be pushing higher to mitigate inefficiencies at the 107-115 levels. Dropping down to the 4 hour chart, we have a bullish bias targeting 77-90 levels. Change of character plus flip zones in addition to multiple break of structures inform our bullish bias.
TVC:USOILLong
by morrisgitau
Oil’s Tug-of-War: Iran Tensions vs. Evergrande Oil’s Tug-of-War: Iran Tensions vs. Evergrande On Wednesday, WTI crude futures dropped below $77 per barrel, undoing a 1.4% increase from the prior session, all while the U.S. readies itself to address a lethal attack on its troops in the Middle East. Perhaps traders are concerned more about the liquidation of China Evergrande, raising worries about the overall Chinese economy. There is fear that this uncertainty in China could lead to a decrease in demand for crude oil. However, there is a question of whether traders might be underestimating the potential for U.S. responses to the lethal attacks to escalate tensions or lead to a conflict with Iran. Despite President Biden expressing a desire to avoid a wider war in the Middle East, there are concerns about the unpredictable outcomes of such military actions. The Guardian predicts dire consequences if there is direct American military retaliation against Iran. This could prolong the Gaza conflict, trigger a Hezbollah attack on Israel, escalate conflicts in Iraq and Syria, and destabilize friendly regimes in Egypt, Jordan, and the Gulf. Additionally, such actions could inadvertently assist China in pursuing its anti-democratic geopolitical ambitions and provide justification for Russia's aggression in Ukraine.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
🛢️📉 Crude Oil Breaks Down: Brace for Aggressive Drop 💥🔻$60/bIt looks like the 45-minute breakdown has occurred, which could lead to a bearish trend in both the weekly chart and the February monthly candle. Our swing trade has two targets: - The first target is $60. - The second target is $40. Please note that this is a long-term trade and we're making this decision quite early. Remember DXY is still very strong signalling that commodities in general are expected to be weak.
TVC:USOILShort
by blacklegend55