Brent 50 or 12 dollar?The longterm trend in oil is weak, Gov bond around ATL signaling low inflation/low growth.
12 dollar would be a retest of the 1999 low, and a new millennial bottom.
You could also argue that the worst is over in oil and tripple bottom is in play at 20.
Or we hit 50 dollar and the longterm trend has turn for now.
Probabillity leaning towards the downside since we are in a downtrend 60/40
if more downside, target would be at 23 and 20, but with an "option" of 12 dollar
What do you think?
Oilprice
LONG CATKeep your trading simple 🚀🚀🚀
Bullish Long Term
T1 = minimum risk reward 1:1
Long term target $123 - Closing gap.
I always leave 1/3 of my position for long term gains - moving my stop to my entry if I need to give room for the volatility or using trailing stop for maximum gains.
For maximizing your profits you can use Options.
One of the benefits with swing trading is that we collecting dividend along the way.
Not a financial advise just my tradingview - trade smart trade safe.
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Eventual Halliburton Correction to Yield Nearly 200% ROI stillHalliburton sank as low as 4.7, flirted with the mid 9s, then promptly began its slow climb back to normal levels. Still not there, it is currently oscillating a little around the 12 per share mark. The overall correction, however, and eventual sell-point is between 20 and 25, with 22 being the figure that we are keying in upon for the swing-deal pump/dump.
With $HAL still trading at roughly 1/2 of its true market value in a healthy economy (25+ in Jan of 2020, even), it is far from too late to capitalize on a quick ROI with a vital oil stock that ...PROBABLY... Will be the absolute first of the major oil stocks to show signs of full-recovery.
May the odds be forever in your favor.
I might close every future update about oil related stocks with that same line. It fits.
Halliburton ($HAL) Correction In Full-SwingHalliburton ($HAL) has made its upward ascent after plummeting as low as 4.7 per share during the March dip. Now trading over 12 per share, the correction process is full en route to normalcy: HAL has traded as high as 25/share in the last calendar year, and it is there that it will (LIKELY) reside when we flip our calendars over to 2021.
It remains a longer-term swing trade, based on the inevitable correction of the oil market that is currently also underway (with OIL now over 33/barrel).
Expect HAL to continue to rise: It is **NOT** too late to get in, either. While obviously preferable to have "nabbed it" while under 10 per share, the overall adjustment is still largely yet to occur. Buy and long HAL. Swing it and flip in 7-12 months, as previously stated in HAL updates.
USDCAD Possible channel breakout setting upFutures on Oil is moving into bullish territory with a target of $45-55 pbl by mid to late summer or higher...
Canada is Oil country, this target or higher will get the rigs back in full swing.
Will this be the channel that leads back to a stronger CDN dollar.........maybe.
CRUDE OIL BEAR MARKET MIGHT HAVE ENDEDAs you can see from the Weekly chart, bear market might have ended for crude oil.
With Elliott Wave model, i have counted the corrective wave started from July 2008 to mid April 2020( indicated by the oil crash event amidst pandemic).
A complete zigzag corrective wave is done with prolonged ending diagonal of impulsive wave C.
If this model is correct, then I expect a bull market rally in the next decade.
Pay attention to the top of previous wave 4 @ 28.94 that act as a major resistance. For conservative long term investor, consider to enter long if the price breach those level. Stop loss adjusted at the bottom of wave C @ 11.00.
This counting is invalid once price make new low, below wave C.
Hope this analysis can help you in the future market, please consider like and share to help me make another elliott wave analysis.
PGSVY
Hello TV, looking to take a long here on PGSVY I had to zoom in b c the chart is so gappy but the next gap to fill is around .98c. With the dollar looking for support B4 the next bounce and
WTI in the upper channel looking to test $43 this looks like a nice long scalp. The risk is pretty low with a SL around .24c if things go bad. You don't want to be in below that price as that .22c area and below brings fresh historical lows. I would simply cut looses there and look to re enter where ever pgsvy actually does bottom. I think this TP can get hit B4 June.
This is OTC that is also a risk. good luck everyone.
GO UP & UP There is a huge probability that the market will go up in the next hours because we have a breakout in the VWAP band also the 200 MA confirm that the market is building up an uptrend
So now it all depends in the next huge volume if it's green then winner-winner chicken dinner
Thanks for watching!!!!
DNR - No Brainer #2 All,
This one is also a good buy possibly a higher entry and you can see it is smashed between resistance/support. Either way long as you don't panic sell buying around this area should reap its rewards soon enough. I am in.
Earnings:
"Denbury Resources (DNR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.08 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.10 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 12.50%."
Peaks on OilPrevious resistance points can be observed at $31, $33, and $35 from mid-April.
We could see this rise in Oil price reach one of these peaks, before heading back down as Oil storage reaches a maximum and a second wave of Coronavirus cases occur.
This drop is likely to happen over the coming week, so a good opportunity for a Short on Oil, potentially reaching $20 or even $10.
We may have already hit a peak on Oil for the timebeing, on the other hand, we may hit a peak at one of the mentioned resistance heights in the near future.
Displayed are potential pathways for Oil to head.
Possible peak on OilWe may be currently experiencing a peak before a plunge in Oil.
As world Oil storage reaches near-maximum capacity and a threat of a second wave of Coronavirus cases due to the early easing of lockdowns, the price of Oil may fall drastically to ease these factors.
The price of Oil may fall to lows of $20, or even $10, which are previous Support points.
If the drop occurs, good gains can be made by shorting soon.
plan for next WEEK ?Guys, I want to ask, if is this strategy possible for next week after Monday ( like Thursday evening ). From 30.75 to 36.70. Economic in the USA will be better and better next days and weeks and oil will grow. Or what you think about it? Let´s comment, please. have a nice weekend!
US Oil short - divergence after breakoutNice divergence on the 1hr chart on the MACDH and RSI. This could be oil topping out here temporarily after a great run up and bull flag/penant continuation pattern.
Opportunity here to take a short on divergence with a nice 1hr dojo reversal candle to. If the stop gets hit (top of candle) I would expect this breakout to continue powerfully to the upside so I will simple reverse and go long
Likely a win win trade again
New bottom Trough Established for Halliburton ($HAL)Halliburton was as low as the mid-4s per share during mid-March, but with its most recent nadir, it seems to have established a low trough in the 9.5 to 9.7 range. A further fall back to under 5 per share is exceedingly unlikely with many states opening up and drilling to resume on mass-scales soon. $HAL will be the first stock to benefit from the major oil companies following it later with equivalent ascents. A December to March sell-range seems reasonable, with as high as a 500% ROI for those who got in under 5/share. It should establish value in the 20 to 25 range by the beginning of 2021, as a vital oil stock with regards to drilling and production.
With oil on the rise, this stock will begin its rise accordingly and already is after a recent fall Monday following the Fed Chairman's market scare. This is a 7 to 12 month swing trade.
USOIl. Long. Bull pennant Oil looks good for a buy after the hour candle spike in volume to confirm the bull pennant. Candle closed pretty much above the support box just 5 min moving averages are lagging a bit.
RSI is looking strong and stochastic is still nicely oversold on the hourly so plenty of room to breathe upwards.
First take profits at the break of the bull pennant. Could hold some to see if we get a further move upwards. Stop at the low of the hourly candle.