DOUBLE BOTTOM IN OIL + EMA resistancesGood day friends..Give us a thumbs up if you like our idea.Follow my profile to get new ideas and trade setups everyday
OIL
Due to the weaker demand in the Global market Oil felled towards the 36.12 which is the September low and then its formed a triangle pattern and went bullish up to 41.43 and traded in a range from September 17 to October 01 and again felled towards 36.63 and formed a dissimilar double bottom
Currently the 200 EMA is acting as resistance for the bull and 50,100 EMA is acting as support for the bull. And my bias is towards the bullish side and the primary target would be around 43.00 which is a swing high area stop lose may placed below the 38.45 price action level
OIL is currently in a consolidation phase if the price well above the 39.50 psychological level we can buy the oil.
Disclaimer
Its a forecast of the next expected moves Not a financial advice
Oilsignals
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Descending Triangle on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded on the Support making a Double Bottom event, while the MACD made a Bullish Cross.
Target: 40 (right on the Lower High trend-line and the 4H MA200).
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 44.15 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 34.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 37.10 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.70 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 38.85 and minimum to Major Support (37.10) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 49.
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WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Triangle into Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the Triangle broke, the 4H MA50 has been crossed and the 38.45 Resistance is being tested.
Target: 40.10, that is roughly a +5% rise from the 4H MA50 break-out. Sinc June 16, every break-out above the 4H MA50 has resulted into at least a +5.50% rally.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 37.10 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.835 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
The RSI support #1 at 52 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.75 on 08/26/2020, so more losses minimum to Major Support (37.10) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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USOIL Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up.
Signal: (A) Buy if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks (B) Sell if the Channel Up breaks downwards.
Target: (A) 43.50 (just below the Resistance) (B) 37.10 (just above the Lower Support).
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 46.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 40.00 breaks.
. If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 46.525 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. The RSI support #1 at 55 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 46.50 on 08/25/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70 and minimum to Major Support (40.00) is expected.
. Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
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Don't miss the great sell opportunity in WTITrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (42.56).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. WTI is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 39.08
TP2= @ 37.13
TP3= @ 34.68
TP4= @ 30.32
TP5= @ 20.44
SL: Break Above 43.91
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis Update Midterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 43.60, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 37.15 breaks.
. If the resistance at 43.60 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.595 on 2020-08-05, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.60 on 08/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.30, 38.85 and minimum to Major Support (37.15) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 59.
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OIL Buy SignalPattern: Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price broke below the 4H MA50.
Target: 44.00 (Higher High of the Megaphone).
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Oil/USD : Brent gradually recoverAfter the big drop in oil prices, however, it recovered gradually swinging
.
However, it is now in a confusing area at resistance and is likely to break it, despite the fact that the barrels of oil have been reduced
.
Moving Average Indicator gives a good indication for the upside. Moving 20 has been breached, and the Moving 50 remains if the break occurred, it will continue.
OIL Pull back will create a buy opportunityPattern: Triangle on 4H within a Channel Up.
Signal: Sell as long as the Triangle doesn't make a Higher High. Buy the dip afterwards.
Target: 44.50 the dip buy target.
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USOIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up.
Signal: Buy when the price completes the roughly -8.00% decline from the recent top. There is an obvious declining pattern on the pull-backs within the Channel Up.
Target: 44.50 (+2.20% from the most recent High, in accordance to all previous Higher Highs made).
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Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 45.00, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 45.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 45 on 2020-07-21, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 55 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 45.00 on 07/21/2020, so more losses to support(s) 41.70, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 56.
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