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Crude oil hits new highs, if it falls back, you can go long At present, due to the intensification of international geopolitical conflicts, market supply concerns have once again heated up. At the same time, manufacturing data in the United States and China have rebounded, and demand-side expectations have increased. The dual benefits on both sides of supply and demand have stimulated the rebound of crude oil. Technically, the continuous positive closing continues to test the upper pressure level. . In terms of operation, we will focus on the pressure level near 85, and the gradually moving upward support near 82. We will support the bullish trend by stepping back, but do not consider aggressive pursuit of the increase. Crude oil is short around 84.4, stop loss is 85.2, target is below 82.6 Go long near 82.3, stop loss 81.5, target above 84 Ideas are for reference only. Profit and loss are at your own risk. Investment is risky. Please be cautious when entering the market.
TVC:USOIL
by Donald-king
Crude oil pressure is obvious, bulls are cautious U.S. crude oil inventories continue to rise, and short-term demand concerns have also increased. However, as expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts have increased, the loose atmosphere has given crude oil some support. At the same time, short-term supply-side pressure has increased as geopolitical conflicts intensify. Crude oil also stretched again after repeated repetitions. Technically, longs and shorts closed alternately. The top still focused on the pressure around 84, but did not chase the rise too much.
TVC:USOIL
by Donald-king
Oil hits YTD peak. What are the risks now? Oil prices reached their highest level in seven months, partly driven by worries that escalating tensions in the Middle East could constrain supply. Iran has warned of a potential "serious response" against Israel following a targeted strike in Damascus that resulted in the deaths of two Iranian generals. This incident has raised concerns about a widening conflict in the Middle East, following over five months of the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza. Furthermore, Ukraine has launched a counter-offensive by targeting Russia's oil infrastructure. Although the attacks have so far reportedly only caused minimal damage. Ukraine's objective is to disrupt Russia's main financial support for its invasion of Ukraine. Better-than-expected manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) reports from China and the US have also buoyed optimism in the oil market. Because of this, investors might anticipate increased demand in the manufacturing and industrial sectors of both countries. WTI has now found support just above $84.00. The 100 SMA is above the 200, potentially indicating that support is likely to hold. However, caution might be warranted as the market nears overbought conditions. If the $84.00 level fails to provide support, the subsequent target could be slightly below $81.00, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the low in March to the recent peak. Alternatively, a less significant pullback might see buyers stepping in at the 23.6% or 38.2% Fibonacci levels.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Expectations of Fed rate cut rise, gold retreats1: Investors are anxiously awaiting data to be released later this week to gain insight into potential inflation trends and provide a strong basis for judging the timing of interest rate cuts. At the same time, market expectations for an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve are growing, coupled with the strength of U.S. gold . Market focus will be on Friday's release of the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures price index. The data will reveal the latest developments in inflation and have an important impact on the Fed's monetary policy decisions. 2: Market concerns mainly come from the uncertainty of global oil supply. Ongoing Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries have heightened geopolitical tensions and put additional pressure on oil markets. In addition, Commerzbank commodity strategist Barbara Lambrecht pointed out that as the U.S. sanctions exemption on Venezuela is about to expire, Indian refiners have stopped buying crude oil from Venezuela, which further exacerbates supply instability. Overall, while the oil futures market showed some consolidation on Tuesday, market participants remain concerned about the global supply outlook and geopolitical tensions. These uncertainties may have further impact on oil prices, and investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and formulate corresponding investment strategies.
TVC:GOLD
by Donald-king
WTI OIL Strong sell aheadWTI Oil (USOIL) eventually held the short-term uptrend within the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up and hit our 81.85 Target, as explained on our last idea (March 14 2024, see chart below): Moving out to the 1D time-frame, we can see that the price has started to pull-back after reaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up pattern. In addition, it was rejected on the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line). As the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross, selling may start to gain momentum and transition into the new Bearish Leg. The previous one hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the top. It also made the last contact with the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been Oil's multi-year Support. As a result, we are now turning bearish on WTI, targeting the 0.618 Fib at 76.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
Will U.S. oil rebound and repair next week?Crude oil is currently going through a wave of surges and falls on the weekly trend, but it still maintains its operation on the short-term moving average. Pay attention to whether there will be continued adjustment on the line next week. On the daily trend, the current price has begun to touch near the previous support band, and the downward trend has begun to slow down. After the continuous low fluctuations in the intraday 4-hour trend, the technical form showed signs of gradual recovery. The K-line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average. It is believed that crude oil will rebound to a certain extent in the short-term trend. If you are not confident in your trading, you can follow me and I will share trading ideas every day
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
Jump on the Oil Trend as Russia Refineries Attacks Drive Prices I wanted to bring to your attention the latest trend in the oil market - prices are on the rise due to recent attacks on refineries in Russia. These attacks have caused disruptions in the supply chain, leading to an increase in oil prices. This presents a great opportunity for you to capitalize on this trend and make some significant profits by going long on oil. Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to make some quick gains in the market. Take advantage of the current situation and place your bets on oil to see your investments grow. So, what are you waiting for? Get in on the action and go long on oil today
NYMEX:CL1!
by bryandowningqln
OIl Buy The Dips, Sell the RipsCrude OIl: Daily, Fibs & Indicators . . . Not as bullish as one would think. The move above the daily BB showed why you don't buy above the BBs . . . eventually, you get a correction. 3 days down for oil. The BB midpoint, yellow line, has been a support level for oil and will be interesting to see what happens down there. But, we are at a big resistance level based on the Oct - Dec 23 downdraft . . . so, we will be watching to see if we get support at 79.25 and then do we make a move back to highs at 83.22? That may be the trade in oil.
NYMEX:CL1!
by CeresTrader
1
Crude oil is focusing on support near 80, how to trade today? The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) fluctuated and hit new lows, testing the 80 support. The moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend is downward. Oil prices hit around 80.70, forming a certain recurrence, and their upward strength is relatively weak. It is expected that crude oil will remain volatile in the short term during the day. Trading strategy: 81.60 short, stop loss: 81.90, target 80.60.Trading strategies are for reference only
TVC:USOILShort
by Donald-king
How will U.S. oil trade after the Federal Reserve decision?U.S. oil continued to fluctuate and repaired yesterday. The bullish EIA data in the evening failed to bring rebound momentum to U.S. oil. On the contrary, the market retreated to around the 80.8 line in response to technical needs before rebounding. Of course, this period was also affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. , in the end, US oil still closed with a negative line. If U.S. oil falls back to the 81-80.7 area today and tomorrow, you can be aggressive and light up your position. If you have long positions at this level overnight, you can still keep it. However, you can reduce your position as appropriate when the pressure is measured near 82 at the top during the day.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
USOIL continues to rise 85 today? Prices have pulled back after hitting a four-month high of $83 yesterday on Monday. Russia has increased exports in response to Ukrainian attacks on the country's oil infrastructure. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser has rejected the idea of phasing out fossil fuels, calling it a fantasy. Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices have fluctuated for about two weeks based on the moving average system, and oil prices have once again tested the upper edge of the channel. The two big positive lines show strong upward momentum, and it is expected that the mid-term rise will open up room for growth after adjustments within the week. Crude oil (1H) continues to trend higher and continues to hit new highs. The moving average system maintains a bullish arrangement and is supported by the 5-day moving average. The short-term objective trend is upward. Oil prices have adjusted slightly from high levels. It is expected that crude oil will continue to fluctuate upward in the short term during the day. Pay attention to the short-term support effect of 81.5.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Can U.S. oil continue to be bullish? How to trade?The release of U.S. EIA crude oil inventory data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision may bring external interference to the trend, so U.S. oil needs to be careful in the short term. The bullish tone at the daily level has been locked in. A firm hold at 80 will lay the foundation for medium and long-term bullishness. As long as there are no major negative fundamentals in the future, it is worth looking forward to the medium and long-term bullishness of the 84-85 area and even the 90 area for U.S. oil. In the day, U.S. oil can see a temporary pressure correction on the 83 line, but don’t expect too much in the repair space below. You can focus on the 5-day line around 81.7-5. If the data tonight is negative, the short-term retracement target can be lowered. Moving to the 81-80.5 area, the main line of thinking is still bullish on US oil, so whenever a retracement is seen, we should still consider choosing lows to place long orders, provided that 80 cannot be broken. In addition, due to the frequent incidents affecting U.S. oil-related fundamentals from tonight to early tomorrow morning, conservatives can choose to wait and see and make relevant strategic adjustments after the fundamentals stabilize tomorrow. If you participate in radical activities during the day, you must also wait for the extreme point before participating, and you must make adjustments closely following fundamental events. Do not make judgments based solely on technical expectations.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
WTI OIL Trade according to this Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a short-term Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, with the wider pattern still a Channel Up since the December 13 2023 market bottom. As long as the price keeps closing the 4H candles within the Channel Up, we remain bullish, targeting 81.85 (+6.64%, which is the rise of the previous Bullish Leg of the dashed Rising Megaphone). If a 4H candle is closed below it, we will take the loss and open a sell aimed at the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 77.70. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
Crude oil fluctuates upward The daily K-line of crude oil continues to run above the short-term moving average and continues to maintain a high and strong trend. There is currently no particularly obvious trend in the 4-hour trend. After yesterday's adjustment, it is expected that there will be a rebound trend in the short term. In the small-level cycle trend, after continuous narrow range fluctuations, the technical form began to gradually recover, the K line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average, and the short-term trend tends to continue to rebound. long-term trends.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Bullish Fibs Upmoves in Oil - Now, Needs to Defend 61.8% LineOil has held bull fibs since Feb 1. The 3 previous fibs are documented and highlighted on the chart. We have been in a wide-range pattern for the past couple of weeks, threatening to keep and hold yearly highs, only to fall back down. Now, it is facing it's biggest test in the upmove, with two different saves at the 61.8% line over the last week. Given the dynamics of the recent down move, I expect this 61.8% line to be challenged early on Sunday night / Monday with a break of 40-60 cents. If we can hold those level above and regain this 77.60 level, I do anticipate a big move to new highs in oil, ALL THE WAY UP TO 82.11.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CeresTrader
1
Today’s Profitable Trading Signals for Crude Oil Hello everyone. At present, crude oil continues to fluctuate at a high level on the daily trend, and the short-term moving average is basically in a flat state, tending to continue to maintain a relatively volatile trend in the short term. Currently, the 4-hour trend continues to fluctuate at a low level, and the K line continues to be under pressure. The short-term moving average maintains a slightly weaker trend. The bottom rebound after the U.S. market yesterday has continued, and the current range on the hourly level has been compressed very little. The current resistance is around 81, forming a short-term downward trend. So today we rebound and need to sell
TVC:USOILShort
by Crazy_money_making_signals
WTI OIL Sell opportunity targeting the 1D MA50.Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 13 2023 market bottom and currently is on the 3rd Bullish Leg towards the top (Higher Highs trend-line). This indicates that on a R/R basis, there is greater incentive selling with the price being closer to the pattern's top than the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As a result we are bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the bottom of the Channel Up at 76.00, which is also marginally above Support 1. Notice also how symmetrical the Higher Highs and Higher Lows legs have been within the pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
1