Oil Oversold? Middle East Risks Remain Oil Oversold? Middle East Risks Remain
Oil prices are cooling off as concerns over the nature and scale of Israel’s retaliation to Iran become known. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated to the Biden administration that they will be targeting military rather than oil nor nuclear facilities.
Israel could be keeping oil-related targets as a last resort, depending on how Iran responds to any military strikes.
Iran accounts for around 4% of global oil production. However, Iran’s production isn’t the only worry. Broader concerns over regional stability, particularly involving the Strait of Hormuz, should continue to weigh heavily on energy markets. Roughly 20% of the world’s oil, and 20% of liquefied natural gas (LNG), passes through the strait that is bordered by Iran, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman.
If the price fails to hold the $70 support, WTI could slide toward the next support zone of at $66.90, the low from October, and $65.50, a level not seen since September.
Oiltrader
What I'll be looking for USOIL on next few days.The price is at a crossroads and tomorrow's data will be, as always, decisive for the decision-making that will direct the market in the coming days. I will be waiting for this most likely downward movement, but always paying attention to what the price shows at any given moment. Be careful, trade safely and stay calm. I wish you all an excellent trading week!
Oil: Thoughts and Analysis. Resistance Continues!Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Resistance re-hold
Support – $77.21, $76.30
Resistance – $78.85
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Oil on the daily chart.
Today, we have broken down how we see price and key levels. Once again, we have seen resistance re-hold and a new move lower after tests failed. Will we see a new move lower traders as we have seen in the past after buyers failed to break resistance? Or will we see the current trend hold and a new test and break of resistance eventuate?
Good trading.
Oil: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USOUSD
Pattern – LH after Trend Break
Support – 86.84 - 88.00
Resistance – 90.60
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the USOUSD on the daily chart.
We are continuing to watch price after it broke the last trendline. So far, we have a new LH after the break, with price continuing to push lower in today's session.
Will we see further selling confirm the LH trend break pattern? Price will have to beat support to make this happen; otherwise, a new hold at support and break of resistance could suggest buyers are going to form a new leg up.
We will contnue to watch seller momentum today; also, check out the USDCAD, as it may try to make a new push higher, and Crypto, as it continues to push higher into the new week.
Good trading.
Oil price analysis in weekly timeBut black gold
What is 100% clear and certain for me is that there is no seller in the upper price levels and the price level of $130 is empty of heavy sellers and oil has a target of $138.
But until the price reaches 138 dollars, many ups and downs are possible, because the weekly price structure is currently downward and the price has made a PA in the range of 75 dollars.
My event is determined by the fluctuations in the price of the red chart.
In my opinion, inflammation and big events are happening in the world, which we will witness in these years, and these developments have started from the Middle East.
Like a 52 Hz whale whose sound cannot be heard by any other whale. I am watching.
Oil Experiences Worst Declining Week Since March Last week, oil prices suffered a significant decline, marking the worst week since March. This alarming development demands immediate attention, and I strongly urge you to consider taking advantage of this unprecedented opportunity to short oil.
The oil industry, which has been grappling with numerous challenges throughout this year, is now facing a new wave of uncertainty. The recent decline in oil prices has sent shockwaves through the market, raising concerns about the stability and future prospects of this crucial commodity. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay ahead of the curve and capitalize on these fluctuations.
By shorting oil, we can potentially profit from the ongoing downtrend and mitigate the risks associated with the volatile nature of this market. This strategy allows us to sell oil contracts at current prices, with the intention of repurchasing them at a lower price in the future. However, timing is of the essence, as the window of opportunity may be limited.
It is important to acknowledge that the current decline in oil prices is not without its reasons. Factors such as weakening global demand, oversupply concerns, and geopolitical tensions have contributed to this downward spiral. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical conflicts, and the transition towards renewable energy sources further compound the challenges faced by the oil industry.
Considering the gravity of the situation, it is crucial that we act swiftly. I encourage you to conduct thorough research, analyze market trends, and consult with your trusted advisors to determine the best course of action. While shorting oil presents an opportunity, it is essential to weigh the risks and rewards based on your individual risk appetite and trading strategy.
To seize this opportunity, I recommend closely monitoring the oil market, staying updated on the latest news, and utilizing technical analysis tools to identify potential entry and exit points. Additionally, it is prudent to set clear profit targets and implement risk management measures to protect your investments.
Remember, as traders, we are constantly navigating through uncertain waters, seeking opportunities amidst volatility. The current decline in oil prices presents a unique chance to capitalize on the market's downward momentum. However, I urge you to exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and make informed decisions.
Please feel free to comment below if you have any questions or require further assistance. Let us seize this moment and make the most of this unprecedented opportunity to short oil.
VTOL: Prepare for lift-off, triple-digit share priceVTOL will benefit from the resurgence in offshore drilling as their fleet of helicopters becomes more in-demand. Also, the chart is technically beautiful. Clean 5 waves up off the COVID low, followed by a kiss of the 50% retrace. Sell zone is $175-290. The sell zone will narrow as time goes by.
Get Ready for an Epic Rise: Oil Prices Set to Soar to $300!
I will reveal a scenario that could send shockwaves through the market and skyrocket oil prices to an unprecedented $300 per barrel!
In recent months, we have witnessed a series of events that have set the stage for an extraordinary rise in oil prices. The global economy is experiencing extreme inflation, with prices soaring. As a result, we are on the verge of witnessing a perfect storm that could send the value of oil through the roof.
You might be thinking, "Why should I care about this?" Well, my friends, this is an invitation to seize an opportunity that could transform your trading portfolio. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on an adrenaline-fueled journey of epic proportions!
Here's the deal: Rising extreme inflation is causing the value of currencies to plummet, leaving investors scrambling for a haven. And what better haven than the black gold itself? Oil has historically been a store of value during times of economic uncertainty, and this time is no different.
As the demand for oil rises, driven by the need for energy in an ever-growing world, and supply constraints tighten, we are witnessing the perfect storm brewing. It's like a pressure cooker waiting to explode; oil prices will surge to unimaginable heights when it does.
So, what's the call to action, you ask? It's simple: Long oil! Position yourself to ride this wave of opportunity before it's too late. Don't let this thrilling chance slip through your fingers. Take action now and secure your position in the oil market.
Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical factors that could impact oil prices. Knowledge is power, and being well-informed will give you an edge in this exhilarating journey.
2. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk tolerance and investment goals. Consider entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and potential profit targets.
3. Leverage trading tools: Equip yourself with cutting-edge trading platforms, technical analysis tools, and real-time market data. These resources will help you make informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve.
4. Stay updated: Keep a close eye on global economic news, oil production reports, and market-moving events. Knowing the latest developments will enable you to adapt your strategy accordingly.
Remember, trading is not for the faint-hearted. It's for those who crave excitement, thrive on challenges, and are willing to take calculated risks. The potential rewards that await in the oil market are enormous, and it's time for you to seize this golden opportunity.
So, fellow traders, gear up, embrace the thrill, and embark on this exhilarating journey to long oil. Together, we can ride the wave to unimaginable profits!
Wishing you adrenaline-pumping trades and boundless success,
Oil Is Going To $300 A Barrel (forbes.com)
Potential Impact of EU Importing Russian Oil via Refined IndiaRecent developments suggest that the European Union (EU) might start importing Russian oil through refined products from India. As prudent traders, it is crucial that we pause and carefully evaluate the potential consequences of this situation.
Over the past few years, the EU has been actively diversifying its oil supply sources to reduce its dependency on a single region. However, reports indicate that the EU might explore alternative routes for importing Russian oil. Specifically, there are indications that Russia could export its oil to India, where it would be refined before being shipped to Europe.
While this development may seem like a mere shift in supply routes, it can disrupt the oil market dynamics. The EU's reliance on Russian oil has always been a concern due to geopolitical tensions and uncertainties surrounding the region. This new approach of importing Russian oil via refined products from India introduces a new layer of complexity and raises several questions:
How will this impact the oil market's overall supply and demand dynamics?
Will the EU's diversification efforts be compromised, potentially leading to heightened geopolitical risks?
Can we anticipate any price fluctuations or market volatility resulting from this potential shift?
Given the potential implications, I strongly encourage you to pause oil trading momentarily and take a cautious approach until further clarity emerges regarding the EU's decision and its impact on the market. It is crucial to carefully assess this development's potential risks and opportunities before making any significant trading decisions.
As the situation unfolds, I urge you to stay informed and closely monitor any updates from reliable sources. Engage in discussions with industry experts and fellow traders to gain insights and perspectives that can help inform your trading strategies moving forward.
In conclusion, the EU's potential decision to import Russian oil through refined products from India has the potential to impact the oil market significantly. We must exercise caution and evaluate the possible consequences before resuming trading activities. We can navigate this uncertain period and make informed trading decisions by staying informed and engaging in thoughtful discussions.
Thank you for your attention to this matter, and let us remain vigilant as we navigate these evolving market dynamics.
Factors Behind Rising Oil Prices: A Call-to-Action for ConsciousThe oil market is heating up, and it's time to seize this golden opportunity. The recent surge in diesel prices, a decline in oil rigs, and a refinery fire in Louisiana have caused oil prices to skyrocket. This is your chance to make a bold move and long oil!
First off, let's talk about the surge in diesel prices. Diesel prices have been climbing steadily, which has significantly impacted oil prices. Diesel is a crucial fuel for the transportation and industrial sectors, and its increased demand has put pressure on the oil market. As diesel prices continue to rise, so do the prospects for oil prices.
Adding fuel to the fire, we have witnessed a decline in oil rigs. With fewer rigs in operation, oil production has been affected, leading to a decrease in supply. As the saying goes, when supply dwindles, prices soar. This decline in oil rigs has created a perfect storm for oil prices to rise even further.
But that's not all! A recent refinery fire in Louisiana has exacerbated the situation. Refineries are vital in transforming crude oil into various petroleum products, including gasoline and diesel. The disruption caused by the fire has reduced refining capacity, leading to a tighter supply of oil products. As a result, oil prices have shot up, presenting an incredible opportunity for traders like you.
Now, here comes the call to action! It's time to take advantage of this exciting market scenario and long oil. By going long, you'll be betting on the continued rise in oil prices. This is your chance to make a profitable move and ride the wave of this upward trend.
But remember, trading involves risks, and it's crucial to do your due diligence and consult financial experts before making investment decisions. Stay updated on market trends, monitor news related to the oil industry, and keep a close eye on economic indicators that can impact oil prices.
So, traders prepare to dive into the oil market and capitalize on this incredible opportunity. Long oil and ride the wave of this price surge. The time is now, and the potential for profits is immense. Don't miss out on this exciting chance to make your mark in the oil trading world!
Impact of Chinese Stimulus on Oil Prices: Proceed with CautionChina may have stimulus packages are expected to boost economic growth, it is crucial to approach oil trading orders cautiously due to the rising oil inventory in the United States.
The Chinese government's efforts to stimulate their economy have historically impacted global markets, including the oil sector. As the world's largest importer of crude oil, any increase in Chinese demand can potentially drive up oil prices. This could be a favorable development for those considering investing in oil trading.
However, it is essential to remain vigilant and consider the potential risks associated with this situation. Recent reports indicate a steady rise in oil inventories in the United States, which could offset the positive effects of Chinese stimulus on oil prices. This factor should not be overlooked when making informed decisions regarding oil trading orders.
Considering these circumstances, I encourage you to carefully evaluate the current market conditions and analyze the potential consequences of Chinese stimulus on oil prices. It is crucial to remain cautious and consider the potential impact of rising US oil inventory on the overall market dynamics.
In light of this, I recommend closely monitoring market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical factors that could influence oil prices. Staying informed through reliable sources and consulting with trusted advisors can provide valuable insights into making well-informed trading decisions.
Oil continues to decline or go range boundI wanted to bring to your attention the recent news from China regarding their lending standards. It has been reported that China is cutting lending standards to shore up growth, but easing was not seen as a priority while inflation continues to be elevated.
I would caution against making any hasty investment decisions at this time. With inflation still a concern, it is important to consider any investment opportunities and their potential risks carefully.
Therefore, I encourage you to pause on oil investing and take a step back to assess the current market conditions. This will allow you to make informed decisions and avoid any unnecessary risks.
Will oil continue with strong China refinery output?There is some exciting news about the oil market that I believe will pique your interest.
As you may already know, China's refinery output grew by a whopping 15% in May, which has contributed to a surge in demand for oil. Additionally, OPEC+ decided to cut supply in May, and Saudi Arabia has announced that it will cut supply for July due to a supply deficit in times of high demand.
These factors have led to a rise in oil prices, which is excellent news for those interested in oil investing. As an oil trader, I encourage you to consider taking advantage of this opportunity to invest in oil and potentially reap the benefits of this market growth.
So, what are you waiting for? Don't miss this chance to capitalize on the rising oil prices. Act now and explore the world of oil investing.
Oil sellers gearing up for a push lower? Are oil sellers gearing up for a push lower?
Hi traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. After yesterday's fade, oil sellers remain in control today. Today's video looks at the last several day's price action with a focus on yesterday's and today's selling.
Was yesterday's fade a warning that we could see a new test lower by sellers? The main trendline remains intact, and we have seen the fast-up trend broken and a new short-term downtrend start to form.
Levels to watch:
Resistance 74.90
Support 73.15 & 71.63
A close below 74.15 could set off a new push lower, but if we see a new higher close above resistance, this could be a warning that seller numbers are not that strong.
Good trading, and happy Tuesday.
Crude oil Short Term BearishThe idea here is about crude oil.
I am short term bearish on crude oil due to following observation.
1. Cypher harmonic pattern completed on daily chart.
The Cypher harmonic pattern is a technical analysis formation indicating a price-action reversal.
The Cypher pattern, which can be either bullish or bearish, has five points (X, A, B, C, and D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, and CD). Like any other harmonic pattern, the theory behind the Cypher chart pattern is that there is a strong correlation between Fibonacci ratios and price movements.
The Cypher harmonic pattern has been historically proven to be a fairly reliable and accurate chart pattern. According to various studies, the pattern has an accuracy rate of around 70%.
2.Stochastic Oscillator
The intersection of two lines is considered to be a signal that a reversal may be in the works, as it indicates a large shift in momentum from day to day.
3.Bollinger Bands
20 day moving average, bands at 2 standard deviations
Looking at the lower band for profit target.
4.On-balance volume (OBV)
OBV shows crowd sentiment that can predict a bullish or bearish outcome.
OBV is on continuous decline.
Last but not least
5. MA 200 over 50 aka Death cross
02 September 2022.
The price was $95.23
Previous cross happened on
02 September 2020
MA 50 over 200 aka Golden cross
The price was $41.40
I am aware that it is little late for the analysis, but i feel there is more to come.
That's what they say "Something is better than nothing".
Looking forward...
The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Oil Bearish Structure - WTICOUSDBearish structure within a bearish structure.. going with bearish on this one.
Oil is interesting because Russia, which supplies 10% or the world's oil supply (per a quick google search), is no longer selling the world its petro.
Maybe demand is falling off...? Maybe Russia was cut "out" and another country was allowed "in"?
I don't know, but price looks bearish for now.
God bless.