The support is not broken:upYesterday's long positions in crude oil yielded good profits, and after taking profits, crude oil experienced a temporary decline. Currently, the medium to long-term strategy for crude oil is still biased towards long positions. The chart shows two support levels and two possible trends. Aggressive traders can go long now, but they should be mindful of their position sizes. Conservative traders can watch and wait for the next move.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil rose then fell yesterday, with the highest rebound reaching the 78.0 resistance level and then declining below the 4-hour midline. It fell again at the end of the day, and closed at a low point. The daily chart closed with a bearish K-line, forming a continuous downward trend. From the daily K-line structure, the continuous decline suggests a further decline. However, overall, it is still oscillating within a wide range of 72.0-82.0, and may return to the lower range, but breaking through will be difficult. It may also end up oscillating after a downward probe. The 4-hour chart continues to decline below the midline, and the step-by-step downward trend continues. Yesterday's high point of 78.0 is the critical point for short-term bears and also the short-term defense point for the midline Bollinger band. Below this point, traders can consider short positions. The overall break of the hourly chart support level of 76.0 has turned into short-term resistance. Taking into account yesterday's rebound and subsequent decline, today's trading may repeat this type of oscillating downward trend, with only the strength of the rebound determining the entry point for short positions.
In summary, for short-term trading in crude oil today, it is recommended to focus on the resistance level of 78.0-79.0 and the support level of 74.0-73.0.
Welcome to the discussion channel and express your thoughts
Oiltrading
WTI OIL 13 March AnalysisWTI Oil has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on the price chart, which is a technical analysis pattern that appears when the highs and lows of the price action converge towards each other, forming a triangle shape. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation or indecision in the market, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, causing the price to fluctuate within a tight range. Traders often watch for a confirmation of either a breakout or breakdown from this pattern, which can indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation. It's important to use additional indicators such as volume, momentum, and moving averages to confirm and evaluate the strength of the move before taking action. The crucial area to monitor is illustrated on the chart, and traders should be cautious of false breakouts.
Make necessary move during this breakout or breakdown.
OIL: Short above 77 today
Oil saw a high-volume drop below support near 78 yesterday, which turned the immediate position into a resistance level. As of now, there has not been a complete breakthrough and the trend has weakened, so in terms of trading, selling short positions is the main strategy for today, with buying long positions as a secondary strategy.
Specific trading strategies:
Sell short near 77.4-78.5, take profit near 76
Buy long near 75.7-74.2, take profit near 76.5
I will continue to track market trends and share trading strategies in real time. Thank you for your attention and support. If you have any questions, please leave a message in the comments section. I will provide you with the most sincere and responsible solutions to help you solve your problems.
Many things may not yield immediate results at first, but only those who persist in pursuing their goals can experience the joy of success. As the saying goes, "Every cloud has a silver lining." The effort you put in will eventually receive a satisfactory response from time.
step back on key support and continue to consider long ordersOn Wednesday, the data was bullish, but crude oil did not rise. After a weak rebound, it continued to decline. The market has already released most of its downward pressure here, and it is highly likely that it will rebound from here. If it falls directly to 75.50 without rebounding, it may be considered for a low long position. Friends who have long positions need not worry for now.
I am not sure about everyone's position and direction, so feel free to leave a message below or join the discussion channel to discuss together. Being trapped is not scary, what's scary is not having a method.
The following are the reasons for expecting a bottoming and rebound in crude oil:
The downward momentum of crude oil has weakened, and the daily candlestick shows a clear reduction in the size of the bearish body.
According to the updated wave trading system, the current trend is still considered to be part of the upgraded X wave c, and the structure of X wave a suggests that there may be further downside in the short term, followed by another upward movement.
The intraday resistance is at 76.90-77.30, and support is at 76-75.50.
OIL: Trade at these levels
Recently, the technical trend of crude oil has mainly been volatile, with support around 76.5-75.7 and short-term resistance around 78.1-78.8.
Trading is dominated by short positions, with long positions being secondary.
Specifically, short positions can be entered around 78.15, with a target around 77.5-77, while long positions can be entered around 76.5-76, with a target around 77.5-78.
I will continue to track the market trends in real-time and share strategies. Thank you for your support and attention, and I hope you continue to follow me as it will contribute to the completeness of the trade. I will also share more interesting trading strategies for you to refer to! If you have any questions, please leave a message in the comments section, and I will provide you with the most reliable solution with the most serious and responsible attitude to help you solve the problem!
Oil prices have stopped falling, and the bulls are back?Crude oil was suppressed by fundamentals and high pressure. Yesterday, the daily line fell all the way, and finally the daily line closed the negative line. Crude oil currently continues to maintain a wide range of oscillations on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is also after a continuous decline. The current deviation rate is slightly too large, and the technical patterns on the small-cycle trend are also beginning to be gradually repaired, and there is a high probability that there will be some room for rebound and repair in the short-term trend.On the news side, short-term attention will be paid to Powell's further remarks and EIA data within the day.
Operationally, crude oil is recommended to be short at 78.3, below the target of 76.6.
In order to facilitate you to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me. In addition, you can enter my channel for free in the following ways to follow real-time views and operational strategies.
TVC:USOIL TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
$CL_F: Time to buy oil...I'm already long via a number of energy stocks I have been buying recently but now Oil futures are finally onboard. I was thinking that inflation remaining stickier was proof of post COVID lock downs induced supply disruptions being still a factor, and now that we have China reopening and an increase in demand of 'atoms' thanks to the transition to renewable energy and electric vehicles, combined with the long term dynamics of nearshoring/onshoring/friendshoring, I think oil and oil stocks, biofuel producers, coal, refineries, etc. offer nice upside. Think that India and Mexico will require larger amounts of energy for the wave of industrial activity that will be unleashed there once Western firms move their production to ally nations rather than relying on China, while China reopens and activity resuming unleashes pent up demand on the same finite resources. It's an interesting juncture, and a recipe for potentially explosive upside in certain names.
Let's see how this goes, pick your poison, as far as instruments better suited to express this view in the long term...
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
The morale of crude Oil bulls is strong, breakthrough!Fundamentals:
On Tuesday (March 7), international oil prices tended to fluctuate.Previously, the UAE's withdrawal from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries was proved to be untrue, and there was a need for technical correction after the surge in oil prices.And cautious investors are waiting for Fed Chairman Powell's upcoming testimony later this week.However, signs of China's economic rebound have prompted Saudi Arabia to continue to increase its prices in Asia, bringing support to the oil market.
Technical aspects:
At the daily level, after oil prices have risen for five consecutive trading days, oil prices have initially stood above the 80 integer mark. The daily line has gotten rid of the downward trend channel, and the opening of the technical indicator Bollinger band continues upward. MACD golden fork, KD stochastic indicator golden fork, technical bullish signal continues, if it can withstand the short-term pullback pressure, it is expected to continue to oscillate higher, the initial resistance is near the Bollinger band rail 82; further strong resistance is near 83, which is where the top of the box that has oscillated extensively since the end of November is located. If it breaks further, it will increase the medium- and long-term bullish signal.
At the 4-hour level, oil prices as a whole are still in the channel of rebounding upward trend, but they are still suppressed by the short-term moving average, and the KD stochastic indicator sends a short-term overbought signal. It is still necessary to beware of the risk of short-term oil prices falling back.However, the short-term volatility here is still within the normal range, which is a technical repair to the short-term rally, and the 79 position of the 20-day moving average below has been transformed into a preliminary support position. If this position is lost, it can be judged to weaken the bullish signal in the future.
Taken together, today's short-term crude oil operation ideas are mainly based on stepping back and lower, supplemented by rebounding high altitude, which can be done at the 79 position and the target position is 80.5
Oil: Go long on this range.
After analyzing the 4-hour chart of crude oil, it is found that yesterday's market first fell and then rose, rebounding after reaching support near 78. In the short term, it has broken through resistance at 79 and 80 and now support has formed around 78 and 79. If there is a substantial breakthrough and stabilization around 81.5, there is a high probability of further rising towards the strong resistance level near 83. However, the market currently needs further consolidation and momentum to complete the potential breakthrough, so we recommend shorting at higher levels and going long at lower levels.
The specific recommendations are as follows:
short around 81-80, long around 79-78, with a stop loss of 70 points and a take profit of 200 points for each.
OIL IS LIKELY GOING TO SELLWhen examining this asset, there is evidence of an M-pattern formation occurring across weekly, 4-hour, and 1-hour time frames.
Although the right arm of the M-pattern has not yet begun on the weekly timeframe, it is about to commence on the 4-hour timeframe. There is also a clear formation of the right arm of the M-pattern taking place on the 1-hour timeframe.
Aggressive traders may opt to enter using the 1-hour timeframe, while conservative traders may prefer to use the 4-hour timeframe. Conservative and long-term holders may choose to ride with the weekly timeframe.
Ultimately, the choice of timeframe depends on individual trading style.
Follow for more tips, and share your thoughts by commenting, liking, and sharing.
US Oil - Last downward leg- Pt.2- About to become impulsive?Hello traders,
in our previous posts about oil we highlighted how we expect cycle wave 2 to complete around the 57-63 area with the final C wave of the corrective structure.
We then showed how we applied leading indicators to obtain confirmation of more downside: .
We entered at the golden zone (61.8%fibo) strong volume rejection.
We are short from @78.18 aiming to ride the microcount outlined in the chart. Stop loss on entry as per the update in previous post.
Cheers
GMR
WTI Oil Uptrend Critical Levels, Elliot Wave Analysis for ProfitWTI oil has been on an upward trend for eight consecutive days, gaining as much as 5.50-6% since its lowest price. The current trend is expected to continue into next week, with recent sideways movement in a 1-hour time frame. The Elliot Wave Pattern shows impulse and correction visible on the chart. Traders should watch the critical levels of 78.70 for selling and 77.00 for buying.
Although the trend remains healthy, a breakdown may occur upon completion and retracement of the wave. It's important to remain vigilant and monitor the market closely. Another possible scenario is a continuation of another wave, but this seems unlikely due to stronger resistance at the 80.20 level. For more updates and analysis, follow my account and feel free to share your thoughts and ideas to make our trading journey more successful. By collaborating and sharing knowledge, we can all potentially profit from the opportunities in the market.
SELL CL1!Good morning traders !
As usual today I'm sharing with you my trade on CRUDE OIL, as you can see on the chart on thr 1st arrow there was a fake break out of the channel, now after getting a clear one we got in as sellers and after that the market moved I shared it with you as usual since I can't give it to public at the same time I give it to my clients.
SL and TP set them at your own risk
In case you got any question don't hesitate to ask !
USOIL : Master Of Washing Account's TVC:USOIL
Hi , Trader's .. I am keeping chart very simple for you to understand
Price touching Resistance 1 , If price failed to break R 1 than it can Fall to pivot point around 76$
Price needs to Retest Pivot again for any further bullish momentum
Pivot point Will play a vital role as a death cross for oil
USOUSD (Crude Oil) 3H: 22/02/2023: Bull or... ?
Main Idea:
You can see all the details on the chart.
Around 74$ (with low time frame confirmation) it can be a good area to buy.
If you have questions, feel free to ask.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️22/02/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Recap of my trade for todayGood afternoon traders, our trade for today on CRUDE OIL was as good as expected, after breaking the channel we got in with one contract exactly on the candle I put the 1st arrow on on the left, then after having a configuration I can't share with the public we added another contract on the 2nd arrow on the left, then the 3rd contract on the 3rd arrow and finally closed after having a squeeze pattern.
In case you got any question don't hesitate to ask !
WTI OIL Rally is halfway there. Still a buy.WTI Crude Oil is now supported on the MA50 (4h).
The Channel Up that started on Support Zone (1) is similar to all previous 4 Channels that started on that level.
Price got rejected on the Mid level structure, indicating that we are only halfway there.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 80.50 (under Resistance Zone 1).
Tips:
1. The Declining Resistance shows that since November, there have been 2 such Cycles and we are about to completed the 2nd.
2. MACD (4h) right over its neutral level, an additional factor indicating that the Channel Up is halfway there.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
This is an extension of this trading plan:
OIL SELLWelcome . oil market. in a very negative state. With the price reaching strong support 77.50, and breaking the pattern. double bottom, there is a lot of pressure from sellers to downgrade the market. To 75 levels in the first stage. And level 74 good luck. Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be glad to share ideas Thank you
WTI OILWTI Oil, a benchmark for crude oil prices, has been gradually rising recently, indicating an uptrend in the market. By analyzing the available charts, it is possible to identify entry points for traders to buy at the same time as identifying an exit point.
To further refine the strategy, traders can use different technical indicators to help them make informed decisions. One potential approach involves looking for a little pullback on the middle trendline, which can serve as a testing ground for a "BUY" signal.
Overall, this strategy can be effective for traders looking to capitalize on the current trend in the WTI Oil market. By carefully monitoring the charts and utilizing appropriate indicators, traders can identify optimal entry and exit points to maximize their profits.
Sasol Inv Cup and Handle just made it bearish to R221.11Inv Cup and Handle formed on Sasol.
The price broken below the brim level.
The gap was filled when the price went back up to close and form the right handle.
Then the supply side kicked back in dropping it further.
We also see bearish indicators.
200 > 21> 7 - Bearish
RSI<50 (Lower highs) - Bearish
Target R221.11
ABOUT
Sasol is a global energy and chemicals company based in South Africa. It was founded in 1950 and was originally named the South African Coal, Oil and Gas Corporation.
The company is primarily focused on the production of synthetic fuels, chemicals, and gas. Sasol is one of the world's leading producers of synthetic fuels.
Sasol operates in more than 30 countries around the world and employs approximately 30,000 people.
The company is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange.
Sasol is one of the largest producers of low-emission transportation fuels in the world, including synthetic diesel, jet fuel, and naphtha.
In addition to its energy and chemicals operations, Sasol is involved in a number of other businesses, including mining, power generation, and technology.