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Oiltrading

Oil Outlook 2022 🛢️With global political tensions on the rise, the expectation for crude oil price seemed to be bullish across the mainstream media. Everyone seems to think that war=high crude oil prices. This is true. However OPEC+ just said they will likely be upping production in Jan 23 so price has been plummeting. I was actually surprised that price wasn't moving higher yet before this announcement, however algobuddy was telling us on the weekly that it's still in bear mode so I have been weary of long positions on my short term charts. I try to stick with the overall weekly or monthly trend. I also keep remembering when the US president said he'd like to see price of oil closer to $72 before he stops emptying reserves, and when a US president says something like this I like to think there are enough strings to pull that he can make it happen. This seems to be working out, as price is almost down to that exact number now, especially after OPEC's announcement. I do notice a broadening formation happing on the weekly chart right now around this area. This gives me the feeling that a big slingshot move up is coming. I'll keep my head on a swivel, but until we get a weekly algobuddy bull signal I am staying on the bear side for now. IF the talk of WW3 turns more and more likely into becoming reality, then I will start to think of a move to the upside. IF weekly candle crosses and closes back above the algobuddy thick ribbon line then I'll turn bullish. It's already made a new low and peeked below the previous weeks bar and is now back above its low. This is bullish for me, however if price continues to make new lows and more production ramp announcements I will jump on shorts. Looking forward to seeing how this week candle closes. If red, then we can see more downside move. Stay solvent my friends 💪 AlgoBuddy
NYMEX:CL1!
by QuantVue
Why buying oil Oil have to scenarios on is going up to 106 $ where it will form double bottom pattern . At 75 $ which is forming now . How it fail ? Close 2 days below 75 $ Second scenario , going down as we have double top at 92 $ . Where it can reach 70 $ I believe upside worth more risk . Because it more logical and reflect the indicators as we are in over sold monthly If we cross bellow 75 $ 2 days ill be seller to 70 max 63 For daily trades i believe we have a big bounce can kill the seller soon . GOOD LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by tornadosoul
10
Crude prices under downside pressureCrude prices under downside pressure on the back of weaker demand outlook The recent break below the $92 short term support level has opened up the prospects for a further decline towards a test of the September 30th lows near $84, the bearish outlook can be technically supported by the fact that current price is below its 20 and 50 day simple moving averages, as well as the fact that the 14 day relative strength index has crossed below its respective signal line (bearish). Short positions can therefore be technically supported provided price is unable to push back above the recent support now turned resistance at $92. Short sellers may be looking for $84 and $81 as potential downside targets, while longs may be aiming for a retest of the $92 area with $93.54 in extension.
SKILLING:XBRUSDShort
by Skilling
USOIL Forecast: Position Trade IdeaHey trader, As you can the price is currently bearish running in the head and shoulders level 2, and below the 50 and bearish crossed short-term MAs. It is preparing to drop for the patterns L3 together for the 200 MA (that's visible on the MT4 chart). But that bias will be fully confirmed once the price has bearish closed and retested below the Daily Neckline and 8 MA (1st trade) or 3rd Weekly Key Lvl (2nd trade), to trigger what I call the "H&S C-E.1 & E.2 signals". However if the price decides to bullish rally to break and retest the 3rd Monthly Key Lvl and 8 MA, the bias will be rejected. With that said, take the trades at your own risk, because this is not financial advice. I'm just sharing my point of view, which you also can do in the comments section below. I don't mind if you do so; I'd love to know your thoughts! That's it for today. I hope you found value from this article. If you wish to see more content on trade ideas and psychology, click the posts linked below. You won't regret it. Trade Safe, Sphatrades.
TVC:USOILShort
by Doji-2k1
Cenovus Energy INC.CVE price chart analysis on the 3Day time frame 2015-Current. In line with my "Keep it simple stupid" philosophy, my trend analysis shows that when the 13 SMA crosses the 48 SMA, it is a notable occurrence, possibly indicating a change in trend upcoming. My buy or sell decision occurs when the red 48 SMA turns down (Bear) or up (Bull). This simple strategy shows me possible % gains if playing various long or short market equity instruments and entering/exiting the trade near or at these occurrences. Included is the 200 SMA line. My method of trading this ticker is to buy or short 100% of my position at the 13/48 SMA crosses (with 48 pivoting up or down) This helps my probability of success and risk factor. Using this method and resulting in 8 trades short and long, I could possibly have made around 75% gain on the downside since 2015, and an additional approx. 400% gain on the long side since Jan. 2021 had I been selling at these level. Normally I would be still holding the position until a new 13/48 SMA cross down (so return would be less). The support line is included around $14/sh mark for interests sake, as price would most likely bounce around there for a bit imo. I could also add other indicators such as custom buy sell signals and or MACD, RSI, SAR to assist my decision making but the trend based idea keeps me grounded in the trade. I generally use Heikin-Ashi candles for simplicity/clarity and also remove the wicks. None of this should be interpreted as financial advice, I am not a professional or certified financial adviser! all charts, and or analysis' are my personal opinions and observations only!
TSX:CVE
by Turtlecoins
OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022OIL Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022 Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 6.59%, up from 6.36% of last week. From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 66th from ATR and 66th from OVX index. With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be: 4.56% for bullish 5.01% for bearish With the current IV, we can expect with a 71.0% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel: TOP: 94.68 BOT: 83.35 Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have: 31% to hit the previous weekly high of 93.8 65% to hit the previous weekly low of 84.65
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux
USOIL can look for new recent high? 🦐USOIL after the test of the 93 level dropped back at the 85.50 support creating a possible double bottom. The price is now trading below the 89 level and according to Plancton's strategy IF the market will break and close above the resistance level we will set a nice long order. -–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
TVC:USOIL
by InkyGrip
4