trade ideaEnergy crisis will deepen further in autumn. Russia’s decision to stop gas supplies to Europe is exacerbated by yesterday’s OPEC+ decision to cut crude oil production by 100,000 barrels per day beginning from October. The reason is to defend oil prices on the global market after Europe decided to cap price for the crude oil exported from Russia. The situation implies increasing spiral in energy prices which means bad news for the stock markets. The situation could be more severe than during covid, because of uncertain duration. We believe that the decision to cut oil production may create a short-term upward momentum for crude oil prices. We believe that the price drop is highly limited, while upside potential implies an attractive risk/return. We would consider building a swing trade long position around $86-$87 per barrel with potential swing to over $100 or even higher again.
Oiltrading
WTI Crude Oil OPEC+ Token Supply CutOPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day.
Emily Ashford (Standard Chartered analyst): “Last month’s adjustment provided a nod to the demands of the consumers, this monthly adjustment is a small nod to the concerns of the producers,”
Deepening energy crisis in Europe after Russian energy giant Gazprom PJSC said gas flows along a key pipeline to Germany would not resume.
In this economic context my short term price target for WTI Crude Oil is $99.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
USOIL on a triple bottom 🦐USOIL on the 4h chart bounced over a monthly support creating a possible triple bottom into an important liquidity zone.
The market after the test of the 86 level is now trading below a minor resistance.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market open and if the market will break above i will set a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
-––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
WTI Cude (OIL) WAITE TO BUY CONFARMANATION...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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Oil Brent AnalysisOil Brent Analysis
We are now in a bearish corrective wave that may extend to the demand area.
Regards,
Nov. Crude Oil... OPEC+ meeting on the 5thNext week on the 5th of Sept. OPEC+ will have a meeting to talk all things oil. I am thinking they will pull back on production due to the massive decline in oil prices this week. (11.5% on Nov. Crude). With lower production, brings lower supply, lower supply brings higher demand!
That being sad, I am looking to get long today or next week. On the chart I am looking for a swing failure of yesterdays lows into the red horizontal area. I will scale in as the price enters this zone and double down at the bottom of the zone. There is a lot of confluence at the bottom of that area. Along with all of that I see a bullish divergence forming right now that would also aid in a nice rally here.
My take profit targets are signified by wave 1, 3, and 5.
This trade has a 75-85% chance of playing out to at least the top of wave 1, I plan to take 25% of my position off there and leave the rest for other targets. Move stop loss into profit.
Please leave a comment below on what you think and if you have an opposing idea!
Goodluck
UKOil (Brent) 4H TA : 09.01.22 In this chart, we can see the possible price trends of Brent oil! 2 scenarios are specified on the chart based on the probability of each occurrence!
Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 09.01.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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BRENT CRUDE OIL BEARISH PREDICTIONSPrices of petroleum are declining due to increased output by OPEC and United States and weakening demand by the Chinese economy.
RSI index of the Daily graph of BRENT is below the neutral line of 50, and MACD histogram, although still above 0 line, is declining.
If the price keeps falling, it might test its previous support at 91.50 and if it breaks it, it might target levels of 84. Alternatively, it might try to reach levels of 105.5
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
USOIL a retest of the 0.5 Fibonacci area 🦐USOIL on the 4h chart bounced for a 2nd time over the 92 area.
The market after the test of the 0.5 Fibonacci support is now trading below a minor resistance.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market open and if the market will break above i will set a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
-––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Falling oil prices boost Euro above parityEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD 🔽
AUD/USD 🔽
USD/CAD 🔼
XAU 🔽
WTI 🔽
Crude oil prices have been suppressed by optimistic reports from Iran, Iraq, and Venezuela, all showing signs of increasing oil supply to the market. As a result, WTI crude futures lost almost $5.00 to $91.64 a barrel, Brent went below $100 to $97.84. Europe's energy shortage is then partially relieved, finally sending EUR/USD above parity to 1.0012, as the market awaits Eurozone and Germany's inflation data later today.
Despite recession fears, the latest US Consumer Confidence and Job Opening provides positive readings, which may encourage the Federal Reserve to extend its series of aggressive rate hikes in September. USD/CAD climbed to 1.3092, gaining over 80 pips, and Canada will also announce its GDP tonight.
GBP/USD dropped from a low of 1.1627 to 1.1655, while AUD/USD fell and stabilized at 0.6851. A stronger dollar once again held back gold prices, gold futures declined to $1,736.3, currently at $1,732.60 an ounce.
Bitcoin briefly lost support at $20,000 and just rebounded to $20,233.0.
More information on Mitrade website.
USOIL looking up 🦐USOIL on the 4h chart bounced for a 2nd time over a monthly support.
The market after the test of the 86 level is now trading below a minor resistance.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market open and if the market will break above i will set a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
-––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI rose in value in response of potential OPEC+ cuts and conflict in Libya. This possibility of supply cuts was enough to offset the effect of the strong US dollar.
WTI broke the resistance line of the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish outlook, supported as well by the RSI and MACD indicators.
The instrument might test its previous support level at 99.70, but if the break turns out to be false, the instrument might test its previous support at 94.70
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Crude oil making another push against resistanceUSO (largest crude oil ETF) has been in a wide trading range for the past 2 months between 71 and 79.
It's failed at all previous breakout attempts, but the more it tries and the longer this range carries on, the more likely the breakout becomes. No trade yet, but we're watching this zone to see if we can finally get some price expansion and volume on a move over 79.
Oil forming a new uptrend? Hi, and thanks for stopping past for Monday's video update. Today's focus is USOUSD (oil). We are looking at oil on its current daily chart and asking if we are seeing the start of a new uptrend.
We all saw last Friday's fireworks and the effect they had on the USD and risk markets. Oil acted no differently at the start moving 1.98% lower, but this was short-lived, and buyers came back into the market, cutting losses and closing at a very small gain.
This was a good sign to us as we had been watching the last leg higher from $870.50 - $95.75, which broke out of the downtrend. The previous two days of trade last week continue to paint a bullish picture for oil as we have now seen a retracement and a new HL. Today's price action so far has continued to catch our attention, as it looks like buyers are trying to get a new move going.
From here, we would like to see a break of Friday's high and a new move back to test resistance at $95.80 - $96. A break of those resistance points could start suggesting that we have a new short-term uptrend underway.
If we see a new move lower that closes below last Friday’s low, this would be a worry that seller numbers are still very high. A new move below $90 would most likely cancel out bullish momentum in the short term.
We would like to hear from you. Don’t agree or have something else to add? Please feel free to comment.
Good trading.