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Oil back at key support who will win this battle?Hi all, thanks for checking in for Wednesday's video analysis on oil. Once again, we find ourselves back at key support. This level has stood since March, and till today sellers haven't been able to break through this level. For the last two sessions, sellers have tried and failed at breaking $95.20 support, but the question now is, do buyers still have the numbers to defend a new assault? Monday saw a strong move down by sellers, but they continue to be blocked at support. Things above are not much clearer as resistance continues to look firm from $101-$102. Our question today is will we see a new break lower or will support hold, and with price now starting to be squeezed, could this become a defining point that continues the current downtrend or sprouts a new reversal? One thing I didn't cover in today's video is the danger of breakout selling at this point. The current point looks as good as any for a bear trap after a false breakout out lower, as we have already seen one in July. Regardless of the breakout direction, we see it might be a good idea to wait for a new LH or HL to gauge that the move is valid and won't get sucked back into the range. Thanks for watching and reading. We hope you enjoy the rest of your day. Good trading
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Eightcap
1
Gas futures down 7 of the last 9 weeksFirst of all, I used to always use CL1 as my main source of oil & energy. That measures Crude Oil futures. I think now is also an important reminder about the differences between Crude Oil futures and Gasoline Futures. Before I really get started, let me say I am a big believer in new energy sources. I just don't think it makes sense to dig something up from the ground, burn it once, and then it's gone forever. Especially when it's possible to find sources of energy that are continually producing, no questions asks, no input or output required, just going at all times. The sun is one example. Anyways, let's get back to the chart above that RB Gasoline Futures. This means reformulated gasoline, which is a cleaner type of fuel that is used in most cars and automobiles. So the chart is interesting because you can get feel for the price of gas, the cost to fill up a car, at any given moment. However, keep in mind that gasoline futures involve the delivery of 42,000 gallons of gasoline per contract. That's a lot! I don't know many traders who have enough space to store 42,000 gallons of gasoline. That's true for all futures contracts... they are huge quantities. So if you look at RB1! you will see an interesting double bottom. That looks playable. But then again, 42,000 gallons per contract. Oil is coming on globally, cars are getting more efficient, and new energy sources are emerging. My takeaway from all of this simple: a tradeable bounce is here. Quick swing trade. But I am not so sure that bounce will blast off quickly to the moon. So this entire chart and energy market is in a strange situation. Did the bull rally come and go that fast? More importantly, what does that mean for all other markets from stocks to crypto? I would add this chart to your Watchlist...
NYMEX:RB1!
by scheplick
6
ULSD / Diesel Fuel LongThis analysis is contingent on data that cannot be cited due to the source's explicit restrictions placed on republishing without expressed written consent. ULSD is of particular interest in the energy markets for the following reasons: • It is quoted based on delivery at New York Harbor. This means that it has localized supply / demand factors related to the Eastern United states. Data shows supply is particularly tight at this location. • Traders are exporting virtually all US oil overseas due to the spread between WTI and Brent • No tankers set to deliver low sulfur distillates to New York Harbor for over a month. On top of these factor, there's a clear support zone at the current price. Given that simple technicals are lining up with fundamentals, the trade seems favorable. Major risk factors include OPEC+ meeting, however I speculate that OPEC will not increase supply due to negative data regarding oil consumption.
NYMEX:HO1!Long
by Vercingetorix01
1
Oil price swayed by OPEC meeting and weak Chinese PMIEUR/USD 🔼 GBP/USD 🔼 AUD/USD 🔼 USD/CAD 🔽 XAU 🔼 WTI 🔼 Last week saw WTI crude oil futures climbing to $101.58 a barrel, but a disappointing Chinese PMI reading and a possible OPEC production boost brought prices down to $98.62, now dwelling at $97 territory. US dollar and treasury yields both dropped as recession sentiment was intensified by another negative US GDP growth, USD/CAD slipped to 1.2793. Gold futures rode upon a weakened greenback to $1,781.8 an ounce, settling on the $1,780 level. Greenback’s loss became stock’s gain, major indices have all gone up. Amazon surged 10.40% thanks to a stellar sales report, but Roku lost 23.07% of its stock value due to lackluster earnings that fell short of market estimates. Meanwhile, major currencies rallied against the US dollar, and the GBP/USD pair further recovered to 1.2189. Aussie met resistance at 0.700, AUD/USD slightly moved up to 0.6985, and both central banks in Australia and Eurozone will announce their interest rate decision this week. Cheered by optimistic Eurozone and Germany GDP results, EUR/USD closed at 1.0226 with a 29-pip gain. More information on Mitrade website.
by Mitrade_official
USOIL Short: Shooting Star at 4hr Resistance LevelTrend: The overall trend of the chart is downwards. Candle Sticks: Formation of shooting start at the LH of the chart. Support & Resistance: Price is testing the 4he resistance area by making an LH with a shooting star. Reasoning: The formation of a shooting star at the LH of the 4hr resistance area strongly indicate the price will go down. SL: Place at the previous LH of the chart. TP1, TP2, TP3: Placed according to the Fibonacci retracement levels.
TVC:USOILShort
by sanasaeed
5