Bullish signals include: >Steady demand >Global inventory declines of 72m since January >Capex slashed year over year since 2015 >Potential for output cuts to come >Instability in the middle east >Rising marginal cost of production.
Dear shorts, I know most of us are extremely frustrated with the situation of OIL in the past (almost) 2 months. Whilst it should have retraced a long time ago, it can't seem to do so. In the early stages of this short trade, mostly technical indicators supported the idea whilst in the past ±4 weeks fundamental factors should cause oil to crash, since despite...
I ended up holding my short position today, still in the hunt for the 40's. Bear divergence still there, RSI trending down towards oversold. Oil seems to be bouncing in between the two light blue bars, watch for a strong break either way. Pair this with my other ideas.
Still short from $54, have not sold or added to my position at all. Blue line: $52 transition line, this line needs to be broken strong for us to head lower imo. Red trend-lines: We've see an increase in prices, with declining RSI. This is a bear divergence.(whether or not it will play it is another story, yet I believe it will) Orange line: This was a bull RSI...
the further out in time we go the smaller the spread between front and back, so thinking the front to out 6 months should narrow so going to take a position on that idea
So I didn't sell any of my $54 oil shorts today when it rebounded, I just moved my stop to break-even. Today we saw a major miss in inventories, which was initially bearish, but was somehow bullish? I'm still short because of the numerous reports that essentially the OPEC "cut" is garbage, and on top of that oil inventories are growing, while demand remains...
Continued idea from previous. 1 - The current trendline looks to be tested within the next few days, look for a bounce (long), or a break (add short). 2 - This red horizontal bar is around the $52 area (key transition area), it broke today, and closing below it over the next few days will be a good sign for shorts. 3 - Most big players got out December 30th,...
1. Lots of deep corrections in this range. Gonna have to break to the up/down side to confirm the next trend. 2. Uncertainty reflected in the price
When I drew the tramlines and fib, they matched. I then noticed the gap between the 61.8% and 50% fibs. If you add in support and assume OPEC will agree cuts next week, then you have five pieces of evidence which point to the same thing.
I'm looking to go long the December 2017 contract if we hit the target specified on chart. I'm not detailing the money management or the trade plan here, I reserve that to my clients, but we could certainly see a bounce very soon, but we need a flush of weak longs to achieve sufficient negative sentiment for a bottom. I was expecting a faster rally, but that...
Okay 1hr fib has been retraced to the 61.8%, At the current time of publishing stochastics oversold on the 15 minute, overbought on the one hour. This could hold at $44.72 and go lower but we do have a channel support half way into the channel. Waiting for volume to show the direction of the market.
Alright this is a real nice short I was away from the market took some really good profits on oils failure to move higher on news. These prices are major S/R points that intersect with Old very valuable fibs usually a great profit target. Look for a pullback and enjoy the ride. may also reverse at these levels.
Good short lined up, ready for a continued push to the downside. Be careful during news at 10:30am EST
Nice short lined up ready to break. We could have a nice profit taking pullback down to some previous Resistance could go lower on news.