Lean Hogs Break Below the 200 Day Moving AverageLean Hogs
Technicals (August): It was the last trading day of the month and quarter, which may have been the main catalyst for breaking lean hogs below what we have labeled a “MUST HOLD” support level, defined by the 200-day moving average and trendline support. This will now act as our pivot pocket, 103.00-103.95.
Resistance: 108.125**, 109.45***, 110.075-110.225**, 111.30***
Pivot: 103.00-103.95
Support: 101.30-101.60**, 98.00-98.65****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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Lean Hogs Test "MUST HOLD" SupportLean Hogs
The quarterly Hogs and Pigs report will be out after the close. Estimates are:
All hogs and pigs - 99.0%
Breeding herd - 98.9%
Market hogs - 99.0%
Technicals (August): Lean hog futures broke lower yesterday, trading into 4-star support from 103.00-103.95. This pocket represents trendline support and the 200day moving average. A failure here could take futures back near or below 100.00. On the resistance side of things, there’s not a lot until the 50-day moving average, today that comes in at 108.125.
Resistance: 108.125**, 109.45***, 110.075-110.225**, 111.30***
Support: 103.00-103.95****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Lean Hogs on the Move
Lean Hogs
Technicals (July): July lean hogs were able to breakout above trendline resistance and the 50-day moving average which led way to an extension to our next resistance level mentioned in yesterday’s report, we’ve defined that wide ranging pocket as 112.825-114.00. Previous resistance will now act as support, that comes in near 110.50-111.475.
Resistance: 112.85-114.00****, 117.025-117.85**
Pivot: 110.50-111.475
Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Lean Hogs are at an Inflection PointCommitments of Traders Update: Friday’s CoT report showed Managed Money were net sellers of 3,641 futures/options contracts through June 14th. This shrinks their net long position to 18,832 futures/options. Broken down that is 44,483 longs VS 25,651 shorts.
Technicals (July): July lean hogs gaped higher on Friday but couldn’t get much else going after fizzling out against trendline resistance from the March 31st high and the 50-day moving average. If the Bulls can chew through this barrier, we could see futures attempt to breakout above the 100-day moving average and the June 2nd high, 112.825-114.00.
Resistance: 110.50-111.625***, 114.00-114.825***
Pivot: 109.575-110.075
Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Daily Lean Hog Technical and Fundamental Update (6.16.22)Lean Hogs
Technicals (July): July lean hogs were all over the place today as the market attempts to find its footing. The close out above resistance from 106.75-107.75 is encouraging and could encourage additional buying to 110.775-11.625. This pocket represents the 50 day moving average and trendline resistance from March 31st high. The Bulls have their work cutout for them with plenty of hurdles to overcome just above that pocket.
Resistance: 110.50-111.625***, 114.00-114.825***
Pivot: 106.75-107.
Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Lean Hogs Test the Last Line of Defense
Lean Hogs
Commitments of Traders Update: Friday’s CoT report showed Managed Money were net buyers of 4,335 futures/options contracts, through June 7th. This expands their net long position to 21,630. Broken down, that is 46,526 longs VS 24,896 shorts.
Technicals (July): July lean hogs were able to stabilize on Friday after defending MUST HOLD support on Thursday. That pocket remains intact from 103.35-103.70. A failure here could take us back to fill the tiny gap left from May 16th, and potentially lower. On the resistance side of things, there are multiple hurdles for the Bulls. The first comes in from 106.75-107.75. A close back above this pocket could help spark some buying interest which could take us back near the 50 and 100 day moving average, which coincides with trendline resistance from the March 31st high.
Resistance: 106.75-107.75*** 110.50-111.625***, 114.00-114.825***
Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.