CADJPY on the verge of break a bullish channelI am positioning to buy CADJPY because of
> Potential bullishness in Oil price which is a plus for CAD
> Global improvement in containing COVID-19 which implies more economies will be opened and investors will start to dump safe haven like JPY.
I am not ruling out the weak legdown due to Hongkong Riots and Minneapolis Riots which will likely worry investors and improve price of safe havens (JPY and Gold). I think they will be for a short time and will provide opportunity to buy at the bottom.
ON
Gold on the verge of a slight legdown to 1680'sWith improvement of risk there might be fund flow out from Gold to other risk assets. This might pull back the advancement in the price of gold in the medium term. I see huge opportunity to sell gold at the current level with taking profit at 1700, 1690 and 1680.
Kinnari + Elliott's wave theory (5 + 3 = Waves), Bitcoin!Attention to the rhythm of the wave for bitcoin.
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Kinnari + Elliott's wave theory
5 + 3 = Waves
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The price is under Wave A, B, and C.
ABCDE, Triangle leading by 2-wave.
The "Parallel Channel" is respected wave 2 and waves 4 and parallel towards 3-wave.
You have figured out that Wave 4 would normally retrace 0.618% of Wave 3.
ON SEMICONDUCTOR ($ON): Will ON be Having an OFF Day?✨ New charts every day ✨
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Expectations of Q2 earnings are low for ON Semiconductor, and last quarter performance was underwhelming as well. There is likely a short setup here, and with earning only a few days away on May 14th, it makes sense to find our short now.
Resource: www.earningswhispers.com
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1. Fractal Trend is signaling downtrend (Maroon bar color) on the 4 hour chart. While this downtrend started a while back, it is still technically in play and that means we want to look for short setups with our strategy.
2. With the strategy, we are looking to open a short position after a reaction from either a bearish orderblock plotted by Orderblock Mapping or a S/R level plotted by Directional Bias.
3. R1 and R2 are looking like probable resistance and could result in a continuation of the downtrend after they are retested.
4. Our entry for R1 depends on what the open looks like Monday. If the entry makes sense with Monday's open, we have a target of S1. Our stop for the R1 entry is set in a way that gives us roughly a 3:1 risk to reward ratio here since there aren't a lot of levels of interest to use for stop placement.
5. Our entry at R2 will be in play if our R1 entry fails. With R2 we have placed our stop right above the bearish order block above our R2 entry. The target for our R2 entry is S1 as well.
6. The overall market might be in recovery mode, and ON might be recovering too, but this chart is still in a bear trend. Thus, taking this short at resistance into what is likely a bearish earnings makes sense.
Semiconductor *Trade Eyes*Weekly candlestick is ugly, but I am keeping an eye on this semiconductor name. As growth slows, I'd expect share price to pull back significantly. Capex Margin is attractive relative to its peers. Expecting first profitable fiscal year since 2016.
AAPL - Bullish Monday?Sharp decline of all stocks across this sector, AAPL selling off from $328 down to $256. As previously charted, we considered this a temporary sell off or profit taking, a smaller correction. Once price hit $256, it triggered quite a bit of purchases. Volume rose quickly on Friday, and the day ended at $273. Aftermarket saw some increase in price, current asks are around $276.
I would not be suprised to see a nice return today, we may not be out of the danger zone yet, but we saw a great bounce off the 38.1% short term fib level, and a potential retrace set. Over the weekend, we saw an upgrade by Oppenheimer to Outperform and a target price of $320. Don't forget the actual quarterly profits of this stock, when considering 'the coronavirus sell-off'. This is a much sought after stock, and I think $256 was many peoples buy-in price.
I will be placing a market purchase today, we should see a good return on some stocks in this sector, and am a long term believer in this one.
I think Uj just touched the bottom and is heading upI drew trend lines connecting a LARGER overall Uptrend, then it broke out to the upside so I thought it was over. BUT It just came back down in and touched that spot like it never left that channel at all. Touched and now is heading up so it looked impresive, Like you could buy it for days. But I'm kinda new so check it out yourself. Happy ZEN Trading!
Triangles for XmasWe could see the formation of a larger triangle formation into the New Year. Let's see how it plays out. It seems like the beginning of 2020 will determine the price action for the year.
ARE YOU BEARISH OR BULLISH FOR 2020?
Be courageous! State your pick.
I say bullish!
Who knows.
Good luck.
ORBEX: EURUSD, USDJPY - The Risks Of A US-EU TradewarIn today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #EURUSD and #USDJPY
#EURUSD weak on:
- US-EU potential trade conflict (airbus illegal state aid - WTO depended)
- ECB's Germans board member resignation
Medium-term #Euro led flows will hang on Lagarde's policy. A potential transition to fiscal tools will be euro positive
#USDJPY strong on:
- Dovish Evans turned neutral
- Positive home sales
- No GDP revision
- No safe-haven flows
- Dollar seen as risk positive
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
USDCHF LONG TRADELooking at recent structure, we can see the price are creating a new LH which align with previous based as well as 50% fibs level. therefor give us a chance to go short.
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LINK IN BIO!!
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LamchiuFX
---DIREXION---GLD----1hr Fill the gap at 16.10$ Long Buy set up!-------------------------------------------------1hr Fill the gap at 16.10$ for long Buy set up! --------------------------------------------
Text cup and handle completing...
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Gold 1D 50MA has just crossed over the 200MA, and now will retest\close and escape!
On the 1W cup and handle detected, looks to be going for curl!
long
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4hr looks good
1hr RSI inverse head and shoulders
1D RSI still dropping
1D Stoch RSI needs to turn
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Gold!
COTD - 12/04 XAUUSD Revisiting our Chart of the Day from Tuesday, where we took a look at the safe haven asset of Gold.
On Tuesday we were seeing Gold catching a bid and trading higher on the back of a softer dollar and investors cycling out of riskier assets and aligning themselves with the risk-off assets.
We discussed the longer-term setup of the head & shoulders pattern forming and also the declining trendline that has been capping the asset and causing the lower highs.
As we look at it now, the U.S. dollar was on the front foot yesterday and as investors cycle back out of safe-haven assets we can see that Gold meets the declining trend line and fails just as it touches it, we have some support today on the weekly pivot level, but for the time being the original two ideas are still in play as we are yet to see a break of the neckline on the head & shoulders formation or a convincing push above the trendline.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Leg D completed on the Weekly... expecting bears to come in hereThose who have been following our commentary on Gold will have known 1180-1220 was our initial entry for longs when the position was anti-consensus. Once it started working we released the idea of longs towards 1345 and finally we are here after 14 weeks.
Expecting a large retrace here as bulls unwind their positions and book profits, we have an opportunity to ride this retrace leg to the downside.
Inflation is starting to edge down, the only card we need to be aware of is risk. For those tracking the macro side, via inflation 1225 is the only level in play for bears on this final leg E. There is plenty of room below current levels and we see great value in shorts here.
Best of luck to those trading live, please remember to like and comment and keep the support coming.
Thanks
Risk on catching market off guard,high conviction Long Nikkei225Weekly Insidebar pushing higher towards 22500 level.
Risk on continues, JGB yields bottomed. Path higher is clear